Wednesday picks ( 199-130 +21.06 )

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  • gregm
    SBR MVP
    • 03-14-11
    • 3535

    #1
    Wednesday picks ( 199-130 +21.06 )
    Germany to win euro 2012 +344 risk 2

    Spain to win euro 2012 +275 risk 1

    Klose o1.5 goals +119 risk 1


    I thought about just riding out my futures bet here with Spain and Germany and I really hope we see that a Spain/Germany final and not Portugal/Germany matchup again, but I really dont see much chance here for Italy or Portugal but who knows what can happen if it gets into extra time. I am seeing alot of punters on Portugal on the boards and having guys like Ronaldo and Pepe who play in La Liga and these h2h stats are pretty interesting, but I just think Spain has too much talent here for Portugal. Spain has looked really strong in the back with Ramos and Pique and they have one of the best goalkeepers in the world with Casillas.

    Ronaldo is capable of winning this game for Portugal but the midfield dominance of Spain and the domination of possession by Spain here should eventually be too much. Portugal just doesnt have the kind of midfield to handle Spain and Portugal will probably play back for the counter but I am trusting Ramos and this pretty impressive defense this tourney to handle Pepe and Ronaldo. The midfield is where I think Spain will just control this game, I havent been that impressed with what I have seen from Moutinho or Veloso and this spanish formation should be brutal on these guys.

    I just cant see how this turns into a high scoring game unless Portugal falls behind and starts giving up a lot of space, seems like a 1-0, 2-0 spanish win, I just hope spain doesnt play too conservative and this one goes into extra time or PKs. I would normally just play with props here and ride out the futures but I really havent seen many props I like. Just going with Spain here in regulation and the -1 line

    Spain -.5 -102 risk 1.02

    Spain -1 +208 risk 1
  • Monte
    SBR MVP
    • 08-21-10
    • 2056

    #2
    Some people give lower respect to Spain now, for the simple reason that they expect them to completely dominate a game on their own, every time. And make it super watchable too, of course.
    As soon as Spain has some weaker games, the clowns come out of the woodwork and scream "look this dog has great value".

    I agree with you, it's all bullshit.
    Spain should win this, again, and the trolls can go on with stating betting against Spain was great value.
    Comment
    • BigBurk
      SBR MVP
      • 02-25-11
      • 3785

      #3
      Where did you get Germany and Spain to win the tournament at +344 and +275?!

      5dimes has them at +172 and +166. You must have locked that in more than 10 days ago?!
      Comment
      • gregm
        SBR MVP
        • 03-14-11
        • 3535

        #4
        Originally posted by BigBurk
        Where did you get Germany and Spain to win the tournament at +344 and +275?!

        5dimes has them at +172 and +166. You must have locked that in more than 10 days ago?!
        I have had these futures in my threads since the 8th of June.

        Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


        Totally agree Monte about Spain but I just hope they can do more than control possession and run triangles up and down the field. Probably a 1-0 result here but we shall see.
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