$1,000 to $100,000

[AdvantageHC]

i cant even find these games

Most bookmakers offer odds on these games. You can use an odds comparison website to see all the bookmakers that offer odds on these game such as www.oddschecker.com or www.betbrain.com.

u just hit a $500 parlay 3, y is ur bankroll still only $1,344

The odds for each selection are posted beside the bet in fractional odds format.

this one should not be parlay, the first is draw...so LOSS!

If you look at the bet again you will see it is "Houston Dynamo Draw no bet". The bet is pushed and effectively becomes a double.

Argentina - Newells Old Boys v Lanus - Newells Old Boys & Draw - 2/9
Is it Newell ML and draw? or Newell -1/2 and draw ?

They are both the same bets.
Bookmakers offer a market called 'Double Chance' so that you don't have to place two separate bets.
You can use an odds comparison website to see all the bookmakers that offer odds on this market such as www.oddschecker.com or www.betbrain.com.

For the last two totals, I only see this available:
Over 2.5, 3 -103
Over 2.5, 3 -120
What's up with your posted lines?

Those are asian goal line bets which are a different bet. You can use an odds comparison website to see all the bookmakers that offer odds on this market such as www.oddschecker.com or www.betbrain.com.

You must feel pretty lucky with that goal in 5 min ekstra time???

It makes no difference to me whether the bet wins in the first minute or the last minute.

[AdvantageHC]

We have gone 2 for 2 and it looks to be a good opening weekend for the log.


Argentina - Newells Old Boys v Lanus - Newells Old Boys & Draw - 2/9 (0-0)
Japan - Kashiwa Reysol v Kashima Antlers - over 1.5 goals - 2/9 (1-1)
Japan - Nagoya Grampus Eight v Jubilo Iwata - over 1.5 goals - 1/5 (2-0)


Balance: $1,876


To put the cherry on top and double the bankroll in the opening weekend we will be going back to the USA and once again to the old familiar favourites San Jose who will be trying to avoid a backlash from Salt Lake who lost 3-2 during the week to a resurgent LA Galaxy.


USA - Real Salt Lake v San Jose Earthquakes - over 1.5 goals - 1/4


Bet: $938
Bookmaker: Bet365

[ohumad]

We have gone 2 for 2 and it looks to be a good opening weekend for the log.


Argentina - Newells Old Boys v Lanus - Newells Old Boys & Draw - 2/9 (0-0)
Japan - Kashiwa Reysol v Kashima Antlers - over 1.5 goals - 2/9 (1-1)
Japan - Nagoya Grampus Eight v Jubilo Iwata - over 1.5 goals - 1/5 (2-0)


Balance: $1,876


To put the cherry on top and double the bankroll in the opening weekend we will be going back to the USA and once again to the old familiar favourites San Jose who will be trying to avoid a backlash from Salt Lake who lost 3-2 during the week to a resurgent LA Galaxy.


USA - Real Salt Lake v San Jose Earthquakes - over 1.5 goals - 1/4


Bet: $938
Bookmaker: Bet365

Following your lead sir. Was thinking of draw no bet for Spain but I got a little to spare.

1	Over 1.5	Montreal Impact v Houston Dynamo (Alternative Goal Line)	06/23/2012	None	1.30	To Run
2	Spain	Spain v France (Fulltime Result)	06/23/2012	None	-110	To Run
3	Over 1.5	Real Salt Lake v San Jose Earthquakes (Alternative Goal Line)	06/23/2012	None	1.23	To Run

[AdvantageHC]

I will wrap things up for this week. To put things in context, 6 more weeks with a profit of 111% from each new weeks starting balance will reach the $100,000 target.


USA - Real Salt Lake v San Jose Earthquakes - over 1.5 goals - 1/4 (1-2)


Balance: $2,110

[Phillth]

So two losing bets in a row will bust you. 6 weeks is a long ways away.

[AdvantageHC]

So two losing bets in a row will bust you. 6 weeks is a long ways away.

I'm staking 50% of the current balance. The stake will increase or decrease based on the previous result.

[JuniorAnalyst]

Advantage id love to eventually pick more mathematics stuff from your brain however in this situation your setting yourself up for trouble. yes if you lose a play now for $1000 you still will have your initial but the way your betting is that after a win you are betting to lose more and then if you lose i assume your betting to win less.
If i have $120 and bet %50 all the time at even odds and alternate WLWLWL look what happens

W $60*2.00 = $120 + $60 = $180 BR
L $90*2.00 = $0 + $90 = $90 BR
W $45+2.00 = $90 + $45 = $135 BR
L $67.50*2.00 = $0 + $67.50 = $67.50

Ive now gone 2-2 but almost lost half my money.....

most betting professionals suggest to bet 1% of your starting bankroll on plays with a few 2-3% plays so if your at $2,000 now you would bet $20 a unit, So $20 a game with some $40-$60 plays. I understand your trying to go for a big goal here so maybe try to bet 5%-10% on dogs and 20-25% max on huge favourites.

Once you gain some money then raise your unit size but do it over a month to limit variance stealing your roll

[AdvantageHC]

Advantage id love to eventually pick more mathematics stuff from your brain however in this situation your setting yourself up for trouble. yes if you lose a play now for $1000 you still will have your initial but the way your betting is that after a win you are betting to lose more and then if you lose i assume your betting to win less.
If i have $120 and bet %50 all the time at even odds and alternate WLWLWL look what happens

W $60*2.00 = $120 + $60 = $180 BR
L $90*2.00 = $0 + $90 = $90 BR
W $45+2.00 = $90 + $45 = $135 BR
L $67.50*2.00 = $0 + $67.50 = $67.50

Ive now gone 2-2 but almost lost half my money.....

most betting professionals suggest to bet 1% of your starting bankroll on plays with a few 2-3% plays so if your at $2,000 now you would bet $20 a unit, So $20 a game with some $40-$60 plays. I understand your trying to go for a big goal here so maybe try to bet 5%-10% on dogs and 20-25% max on huge favourites.

Once you gain some money then raise your unit size but do it over a month to limit variance stealing your roll

I'm aware of that. I have set aside $1,000 from my main betting bank to do this exercise. My maximum bet with my main betting bank is 2% which is conservative as I have built up my betting bank over a number of years. For someone that is starting off and using a small amount that can be replaced relatively easily a much more aggressive staking strategy can be used. It is very much a case of each to their own.

For anyone who is interested in learning more about staking strategies the Kelly Criterion is a good place to start. I recommend using a 1/4 Kelly stake.

[nosaij]

anymore plays brother?

[AdvantageHC]

New week, new treble. We are going to three continents for this one and with Bray Wanderers having an average of 3.71 match goals per game they have one of the highest goals per game average in Europe.


Japan - Gamba Osaka v Nagoya Grampus Eight - over 1.5 goals - 2/11
USA - Montreal Impact v Toronto FC - over 1.5 goals - 2/9
Ireland - Bray Wanderers v Cork City - over 1.5 goals - 2/9


Bet: $1,055
Bookmaker: BetVictor

[PHyldahl]

learn from someelse JuniorAnalyst.

this teacher didn't graduate.

[alta]

New week, new treble. We are going to three continents for this one and with Bray Wanderers having an average of 3.71 match goals per game they have one of the highest goals per game average in Europe.


Japan - Gamba Osaka v Nagoya Grampus Eight - over 1.5 goals - 2/11
USA - Montreal Impact v Toronto FC - over 1.5 goals - 2/9
Ireland - Bray Wanderers v Cork City - over 1.5 goals - 2/9


Bet: $1,055
Bookmaker: BetVictor

The Bray v Cork City game is being played on the 29th, yes?

[cracknobug]

That's right.

[paulx441]

so 2 for 3 this week with ireland to come? Both J League and MLS matches crushed the 1.5+ goals. Some books only allow 2.5+ goals for parlay, were the 2.5+ goals not good value? Both leagues commonly score 3 goals, and it could help you double your money faster. Either way you're not losing so keep it up!

[TheRedGambler]

Took your parlay and the over 2,5 too, separately, at each game.So far so good

[paulx441]

3 for 3.

[AdvantageHC]

Japan - Gamba Osaka v Nagoya Grampus Eight - over 1.5 goals - 2/11 (2-2)
USA - Montreal Impact v Toronto FC - over 1.5 goals - 2/9 (0-3)
Ireland - Bray Wanderers v Cork City - over 1.5 goals - 2/9 (0-3)


Balance: $2,914

[delevid]

Japan - Gamba Osaka v Nagoya Grampus Eight - over 1.5 goals - 2/11 (2-2)
USA - Montreal Impact v Toronto FC - over 1.5 goals - 2/9 (0-3)
Ireland - Bray Wanderers v Cork City - over 1.5 goals - 2/9 (0-3)


Balance: $2,914

What are dates of these matches? and what sportsbooks can I find these alternate lines? By the way, I live in the U.S.

[silvap]

e was actualy updating the scores, those games were last weekend. Waiting for your new picks, you've been doing well sir!

[delevid]

is he not posting anymore plays?

[CyberBoss]

The EURO just finish and there is only a few league playing right now...

I guess his waiting to have a better variaty on play to choose from

[TheCalculator]

With this betting approach and bet size -- there's not a lot of room for error. I'm assuming he's going for quality and not quantity.

[AdvantageHC]

This weekend we are back with Bray Wanderers who will have their work cut out for themselves against the league leaders.


Ireland - Sligo Rovers v Bray Wanderers - over 1.5 goals - 1/6
Japan - Kashiwa Reysol v Nagoya Grampus - over 1.5 goals - 1/6
USA - New England v New York - over 1.5 goals - 1/4
USA - Chicago Fire v Los Angeles - over 1.5 goals - 1/4


Bet: $1,457
Bookmaker: Paddy Power

[adila1401]

Are these all parlays or str8 bets

[CyberBoss]

This is a 1 parlay play

[hougigo]

I need to expand books, Heritage don't have any of these

[joe1122]

4 for 4 nice !

[easyliving]

great job so far and best of luck in future picks.

[AdvantageHC]

Ireland - Sligo Rovers v Bray Wanderers - over 1.5 goals - 1/6 (1-1)
Japan - Kashiwa Reysol v Nagoya Grampus - over 1.5 goals - 1/6 (1-2)
USA - New England v New York - over 1.5 goals - 1/4 (2-0)
USA - Chicago Fire v Los Angeles - over 1.5 goals - 1/4 (0-2)


Balance: $4,555

[Brk1907]

today match ?

[nosaij]

Good work

[delevid]

what sportsbook is he using?

[Altarath]

different ones it seems, paddy power and betvictor. Check his previous posts with picks and it says which one at the bottom!

[Galego]

This is a really good job!! I have 10k and my goal is to make it 35K, I think I will follow your plays for a while!!

Good luck and keep the good job!!

[cmaulsby]

I'm undecided on 3 7/12 games and can be easily swayed - opinions please.

Honved/Flore Uefa under 2.5