Croatia to qualify -110? Tempting for sure

[irlandais_noir]

Think either Croatia or Ireland should manage a draw today, which would effectively eliminate Italy. But line has moved from -138 each to Italy now being heavily favored. Very worrying. Don't like to go against that sort of line movement....

Thoughts?

[JT OZ]

Don't see Italy drawing so Croatia needs a win or 2-2 draw to qualify.

[pattymayo]

For Italy to advance they have to win ... So if you think Croatia will advance why not take Ireland PK much better odds

[irlandais_noir]

For Italy to advance they have to win ... So if you think Croatia will advance why not take Ireland PK much better odds

Because i dont think they will beat Italy. But they could tie. I would also not rule out a score draw b/w Croatia and Spain which would leave Italy having to win by multiple goals to go through.

[irlandais_noir]

Don't see Italy drawing so Croatia needs a win or 2-2 draw to qualify.

If Croatia/Spain tie 1-1, Italy would need goals to get through not just a 1-0 win

[irlandais_noir]

The more I think about it, the more I think i should just take the draw in both. My least fav play

[JT OZ]

The more I think about it, the more I think i should just take the draw in both. My least fav play

Split and profit so its not a bad idea considering Spain/Italy both winning seems too easy.

[Monte]

I dont see how -110 is tempting, if your team must avoid a loss to spain.

[irlandais_noir]

I dont see how -110 is tempting, if your team must avoid a loss to spain.

Italy avoided a loss to Spain and Croatia outplayed them. Moreover, Ireland could easily grind 1 - 1 against Italy.

[irlandais_noir]

OK no play - afraid to pull the trigger.

Playing Ireland -0.5 cards instead (3x). And Spain to not qualify +1300 (0.5x) for fun.

Will keep an eye on both matches to see if anything is available.

[irlandais_noir]

Won the cards bet, and easily could have won the second one if Rakitic could head.

Happy with today, on to the next!