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Why is the price on England drifting so much?

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  • grizzlies1
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-17-11
    • 726

    #1
    Why is the price on England drifting so much?
    I've been keeping an eye on the England line for a few days now. It was +100 give or take at most places earlier in the week and has been steadily shifting upwards since. I took it at +125 at Pinny last night thinking it was about as high as it will go. I log on this morning at it's +138!!

    Most places like 365,Hills, Laddies etc are still in the +110-+120 mark with Pinny being much higher. Pinny is a sharp book so the line conspiracy theoriests would think this means Sweden or the Draw is the play?

    The other day before the Poland v Russia game Lakerboy said "The game has been offline at Pinny for ages whilst they figure out who is going to win', I nearly wet myself I laughed so hard.

    I think England are the far superior team and Sweden is in a down period and only has 1 class player. England and Sweden do love to draw now so I may back the draw as well which with my England bet already will work out a bit better than -300 which is better than the double chance odds. I can't see England losing this one.
  • lawalahmed
    Restricted User
    • 11-13-10
    • 1237

    #2
    Hint:

    England have never beaten Sweden in a competitive encounter drawing five & losing two of those seven matches......
    ## my little advice just by-pass the game since England is in ur mind as favorite ##
    Comment
    • snip3r2006
      Restricted User
      • 07-11-11
      • 776

      #3
      easy bet! england will win this. schweden is worst team in this group! GL
      Comment
      • iqbet
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-30-11
        • 733

        #4
        everyone is hammering sweden +0.5 AH
        Comment
        • grizzlies1
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 02-17-11
          • 726

          #5
          My gut is saying the game will end a draw. 1-1 I think. However I can't overlook England being the much better team. England usually goes into major champs with several world class players, a bit cocky and thinking they can win it. This group seems a bit different, less world class players but younger a more hungry. The fact England have not beaten Sweden in the last 7 competitive matches means nothing for tonight's game. Trends like that don't mean anything in general but when you are talking about international teams with different players and probably over 10+ years it means nothing.
          Comment
          • camelbreath$
            SBR MVP
            • 12-04-10
            • 3267

            #6
            england +145 now
            Comment
            • Loola
              SBR Hustler
              • 05-12-12
              • 76

              #7
              england to win nil is a good bet for me (1-0)
              Comment
              • PickApprentice
                SBR MVP
                • 07-20-10
                • 1895

                #8
                Close game for England, and as mentioned above, I would not stake big for this game. Still think they will win tonight!
                Comment
                • DarkNite
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-12-09
                  • 5023

                  #9
                  Very strange. Not only Sweden +.5, but some books give now PK and look at the over/under @2.
                  Something tells me not to bet E today. Try small on Sweden PK and France Over 2.5
                  Comment
                  • grizzlies1
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-17-11
                    • 726

                    #10
                    I don't think the o/u gives too much away other than that the books think it will be a low scoring affair. I would agree with them, I think the most likely scores in order of most likely to least likely in my mind are..

                    1-0 England
                    1-1
                    2-1 England
                    0-0
                    Comment
                    • pellumb341
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-25-11
                      • 1183

                      #11
                      i can remember WC2002 Sweden - england 1-1 and WC2006 Sweden - england 2-2 ... i am young so that's i have seen ...it seems like a draw again ,0-0 / 1-1
                      Comment
                      • grizzlies1
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-17-11
                        • 726

                        #12
                        +150 at Pinny now!!!
                        Comment
                        • odog11
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-14-11
                          • 3874

                          #13
                          It's cuz they looked like shite against France.
                          Comment
                          • sportfan
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-22-09
                            • 10111

                            #14
                            Is Rooney playing today?
                            Comment
                            • MatI
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-17-11
                              • 5200

                              #15
                              Originally posted by sportfan
                              Is Rooney playing today?
                              no he is not
                              Comment
                              • RubberKettle
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-28-09
                                • 6421

                                #16
                                No Rooney today.

                                England with two strikers today and likely to be more positive.

                                I like England to win real small, but I'm biased.
                                Comment
                                • sportfan
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-22-09
                                  • 10111

                                  #17
                                  England will park the bus again
                                  Comment
                                  • nycyellow9
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 10-02-11
                                    • 78

                                    #18
                                    Line movement in these games is absolutely meaningless.
                                    Comment
                                    • RubberKettle
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-28-09
                                      • 6421

                                      #19
                                      I am Zlatn

                                      Comment
                                      • justin81
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 04-05-11
                                        • 298

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by RubberKettle
                                        I am Zlatn

                                        where did you find this G? fuuking hilarious...
                                        Comment
                                        • byronbb
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-13-08
                                          • 3067

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by nycyellow9
                                          Line movement in these games is absolutely meaningless.
                                          Pinnacle is taking 200k max bets on AH for these games. The lines are sharp.
                                          Comment
                                          • mysterio619
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 05-28-12
                                            • 452

                                            #22
                                            Any 2H bets?
                                            Comment
                                            • grizzlies1
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 02-17-11
                                              • 726

                                              #23
                                              Not looking too sharp right now are they?
                                              Comment
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