spain or germany?

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  • chrizgod
    SBR Hustler
    • 12-17-11
    • 85

    #1
    spain or germany?
    who do you think will win the european championchip this year? im going with germany, better clutch players with Podolski, Gomez and Klose!
  • Le_Donk
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-13-10
    • 627

    #2
    spain is now +233 and germany +282 at pinnacle
    Comment
    • zizoudane10
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-27-12
      • 7272

      #3
      Count Podolski out. Worst player in our team right now, and it's not even close tbh. But yeah, if I had to chose one single team right now, it would def. be my home country, and not because I'm biased.
      Comment
      • swordsandtequila
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-23-12
        • 9757

        #4
        I have Germany in a future to make the final. Price goes up any more will drop a few to win.
        Comment
        • Sunde91
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-26-09
          • 8325

          #5
          It's a crude angle, but no team has won Euro back to back. Spain would have to win Euro WC Euro back to back to back. That's 10 straight knockout stage wins against tough competition without a single letdown. Supernatural

          Whereas Germany knows the taste of bitter defeat well 06 Semis loss, 08 Final loss to Spain, 10 semi loss to Spain. This adversity serves them well. They have the pieces and all the experience and it is their time

          Question is will this be the best price we see on Germany at +285 (little value lost from +300 open). I think so and just put it in. The letdown for Spain could come in quarters and then the bottom falls out on Germany value.
          Comment
          • BigTimeWinner
            Restricted User
            • 01-13-12
            • 1070

            #6
            everyone was expecting germany to win the world cup, when they were drawn vs spain , people were thinking germany will dominate the game and advance. What I saw there was the whole germany team defending like crazy for 90 minutes, they barely made a couple of shots on casillas's goal. I think Spain will win it if they keep scoring goals like they did so far, without any problem.
            Comment
            • grizzlies1
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 02-17-11
              • 726

              #7
              I think Germany will win. I liked them pre tournament but don't see much value in +300 when it only takes one flukey goal of referring decision in the knock out stages to send them home. You will probably get much better value by taking their to qualify (not ML) lines in each of the knockout stages.
              Comment
              • Sunde91
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-26-09
                • 8325

                #8
                The value of betting to advance each game is comparable assuming Spain and Germany both reach Final. Say quarters and semis are -300 each to advance and then +120 vs Spain in the Final. Parlay that and its +291

                If Germany loses before, you lose a -300 type bet. If Spain loses before, Germany will be a big fav in the Final rather than a small dog
                Comment
                • grizzlies1
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 02-17-11
                  • 726

                  #9
                  I don't think Germany will be -300 to qualify in the semi final. Clearly depends on why they play but it's likely to be someone good. More like -170 at a guess.
                  Comment
                  • Sunde91
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-26-09
                    • 8325

                    #10
                    Spain +232 to Germany +235 pinnacle
                    Germany +220 to Spain +225 bet365
                    Germany +210 to Spain +320 SBO
                    +225/+225 5Dimes

                    Germany has to play Greece and France/Italy/Croatia in semis
                    Spain has to play likely England then likely Portugal (or Croatia).

                    Spain's road is tougher and reflected in +110 to reach final vs. -135 for Germany. Portugal upsetting Spain would be too classic
                    Comment
                    • makman
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-31-10
                      • 1019

                      #11
                      neither of them will win

                      France or Portugal will win
                      Comment
                      • woodsawyer
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 08-20-10
                        • 20

                        #12
                        i think germany has a better chance, spain will face england/france than portugal which is way harder than the route germany will have.
                        Comment
                        • tommygun
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-01-10
                          • 2239

                          #13
                          go Germany!
                          BETTING EXCHANGES, easy money.

                          Soccer Tipping: 5-0-1
                          Comment
                          • Monte
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-21-10
                            • 2056

                            #14
                            I hope everyone realizes how much better Spain is..Germany always looked good, till they met THEM.
                            Portugal was a lucky win for Germany, remember the header close before halftime?
                            Holland didn't have it this year, everyone beat them.
                            And Denmark was close for a long time.

                            No no, germany isn't even close to Spain skills..and the future odds are crazy shit, putting them on the same level.
                            Even if Germany has an easy game now (maybe).
                            Comment
                            • tommygun
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-01-10
                              • 2239

                              #15
                              Monte it wasn't a header, Pepe side footed straight onto the underside of the cross bar
                              BETTING EXCHANGES, easy money.

                              Soccer Tipping: 5-0-1
                              Comment
                              • Le_Donk
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 02-13-10
                                • 627

                                #16
                                Comment
                                • Le_Donk
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 02-13-10
                                  • 627

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Sunde91
                                  Spain +232 to Germany +235 pinnacle
                                  Germany +220 to Spain +225 bet365
                                  Germany +210 to Spain +320 SBO
                                  +225/+225 5Dimes

                                  Germany has to play Greece and France/Italy/Croatia in semis
                                  Spain has to play likely England then likely Portugal (or Croatia).

                                  Spain's road is tougher and reflected in +110 to reach final vs. -135 for Germany. Portugal upsetting Spain would be too classic
                                  i think spains path is a lot easier ( if france wins the group )
                                  england/ukraine in the quarters, semis czech/portugal
                                  germany plays against italy or france in the semis.
                                  Comment
                                  • Sunde91
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 11-26-09
                                    • 8325

                                    #18
                                    Germany +212 to Spain +247 pinnacle

                                    Spain vs. France then Portugal then Germany

                                    Spain

                                    Fade Spain until they lose or take Spain not to win Cup -283. The letdown is coming guaranteed and they are not winning this. Croatia real close to taking them out, now they would probably have to play 3 real tough teams back to back to back. Done
                                    Comment
                                    • tommygun
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-01-10
                                      • 2239

                                      #19
                                      anyone think england have a chance?
                                      BETTING EXCHANGES, easy money.

                                      Soccer Tipping: 5-0-1
                                      Comment
                                      • simplelowlife
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 06-06-12
                                        • 51

                                        #20
                                        Not with the back four they have.
                                        Comment
                                        • tommygun
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-01-10
                                          • 2239

                                          #21
                                          ok no worries, I have a mate that wants me to put $100 on England to win Euro on my betting account.
                                          I keep telling him they won't win but he is persistent.
                                          BETTING EXCHANGES, easy money.

                                          Soccer Tipping: 5-0-1
                                          Comment
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