Tuesday's [4/3] Ninja Plays

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #1
    Tuesday's [4/3] Ninja Plays
    [England Championship] Burnley-Birmingham City Over 2.5 [-102]
    Birmingham remain a solid OVERs play on the road with three goals or more in seven of their last ten on the road and six of the last seven. They have scored and conceded in six of those last seven and have just two clean sheets on the road in their last 15 in the Championship. Burnley have banged home seven goals in their last two league matches. At home, they have scored in five straight [two w/multiple goals] and conceded in four of those. They have only failed to score twice in their last ten at home. Burnley will be without their top scorer in Rodriguez, but they have some quality options including Charlie Austin who banged home a hat trick with three late goals against Portsmouth last time out.

    Champions League Specials

    1
    . Bayern Munich/Marseille 1st Goal 27th Minute or Before [-120]
    Marseille is going to be forced from their defensive comfort zone in search of goals and that plays right into the hands of a Bayern team that normally blasts out the gate on their home pitch. In league play at home, Bayern average nailing their 1st goal by the 20th minute. In Champions League play dating back through the group stages, it's the 15th minute. Marseille normally is tough to crack on the road, but again given the circumstances there should be some early fireworks potentially in Germany.

    2. Barcelona: Pedro to Score [+125]/Xavi to Score [+225]
    Will wait until lineups are released to secure these. As usual, the market on Messi is way to chalky [-275] and although I do not expect a repeat of the 0-0 draw in Italy, that's just too much juice to lay. I'd rather take a shot that one of the secondary scorers adds to the tally today at plus odds. If Xavi is out, will probably take a stab at Fabregas +125 or maybe Ibrahimovic at +300 for AC Milan.

  • Spaceviews
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 06-04-09
    • 799

    #2
    Riding this over with you NINJA!!! LETS BREAK A LEG!!!
    Comment
    • SlickRick1382
      SBR MVP
      • 10-15-11
      • 3838

      #3
      Keep up the solid work bro
      Comment
      • BebeRebozo
        SBR MVP
        • 12-28-08
        • 2094

        #4
        not worried about the heavy rain? thank you for your great work!
        Comment
        • PhillyUnionCC
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-01-11
          • 985

          #5
          Which match has heavy rain
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #6
            Munich forecast is for rain, light and steady from what I saw.
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #7
              And just to add, I have stated my opinion on soccer and weather many times. I think too often we over think the effect. I think outside of a hurricane where they'd stop play any how or a terrible pitch to begin with that could be water logged [especially lower tier leagues] - I think the weather is as likely to hinder goals as it is to help. People will say footing will be tough, it's going to be tough for everyone so a goalie or defensive player is as likely to slip leading to a scoring chance as an offensive player is to slip and blow a chance. That's my two cents. Will monitor the weather up until the match, but if nothing changes from what I see now ... sticking to it.
              Comment
              • Les_Nuts
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 02-01-12
                • 931

                #8
                Like the over pick. Xavi might not start so wait till lineups as the worst thing for these bets is them to come on with 10mins left
                Comment
                • Phillth
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-09-09
                  • 1785

                  #9
                  Damn. Huge movement on price for over on burnley match.
                  Comment
                  • bigwinnertime
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 03-13-12
                    • 60

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Phillth
                    Damn. Huge movement on price for over on burnley match.
                    yep...looks with problems....
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #11
                      No Pedro so I will try Xavi and Fabregas for goal scorers.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #12
                        Bayern early score hits. Dodging f-ing tornadoes in Texas. Fukkkk this.
                        Comment
                        • BigTimeWinner
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-13-12
                          • 1070

                          #13
                          Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                          Bayern early score hits. Dodging f-ing tornadoes in Texas. Fukkkk this.
                          Just read about the tornadoes in Dallas, stay safe if you are in that area!!
                          Comment
                          • Nova99
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-31-12
                            • 428

                            #14
                            Thanks for the winner today on the over!
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #15
                              Damn skippy. Line movement can kiss my arse. I don't read into it much in soccer. Knew about the key absentee for Burnley. Guessing many who bet it may not have known before lineups announced and it was an over reaction to that. Good day overall. The Bayern early strike basically got me a small profit with the Barca scorers failing. So with the over hitting, nice afternoon.
                              Comment
                              • swordsandtequila
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-23-12
                                • 9757

                                #16
                                Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                Bayern early score hits. Dodging f-ing tornadoes in Texas. Fukkkk this.
                                An Eagles fan in Texas? Move to New York and you got the perfecta! Cheers on the good picks.
                                Comment
                                • cmh329
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 11-22-09
                                  • 407

                                  #17
                                  Winner on the over. Let's do it again tomorrow.
                                  Comment
                                  • cmaulsby
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 03-28-12
                                    • 261

                                    #18
                                    Fantastic picks of late - keep it up.
                                    Comment
                                    • Spaceviews
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 06-04-09
                                      • 799

                                      #19
                                      OH WHERE OH WHERE IS THE NINJA??!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #20
                                        Didn't think either Champions League match was worth much today. Hard to read. Took some small side stuff on Torres to score at plus mopney and both teams to score Real/APOEL hoping that Real would get loose after maybe scoring a few. Otherwise, matches were tough to call based on the lines. Chelsea-Benfica ... can easily see a low scoring boring match which is what I slightly favored, but goals quite possible too as Benfica has to get one. Real/APOEL was also not great based on lines. Real needs nothing. APOEL isn't going to get much of anything. APOEL could probably stay within 3.5 depending on how the match goes in the 1st half, but once Real score ... Real could score and score and score ... just didn't see these as real great compared to yesterday with stuff I liked much more. Better to sit it out and rest up and watch.
                                        Comment
                                        • soul786
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-09-12
                                          • 1697

                                          #21
                                          Anyone see this chelsea game? Chelsea doesn't have a chance in the semis if they squeak this one through
                                          Comment
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