My picks

[karajohn13]

not sure about lazio, after cisse left ( and im not sure why on earth they let him go ) lazio are not playing very good in attack. And I dont like rochi at all, he misses 3-4 clear chances before scoring a goal lol

good luck to you though!!

Regarding Cisse, allow me to tell you you are not quite right. Although he is a good striker, he is a really weird kind of person. He needs to feel that everyone likes him. I'm from Greece and Panathinaikos fan. When he came to Greece, everyone had great expectations from him, so after some matches without scoring, people got somehow anxious and Cisse nervous. But when he started scoring as a gun, everyone loved him as a God, Cisse was very happy and lead Panathinaikos to an epic championship, being a real captain. On the other hand, and since many Lazzio's fans are racists against black people, while Cisse didn't score, it was quite sure that he would leave the club.
Sorry for the off-topic

PS: We, the Panathinaikos fans, are still loving him. Believe me, if it was not for the huge financial problems, Cisse would never leave Greece

[TonyDimy]

not sure about lazio, after cisse left ( and im not sure why on earth they let him go ) lazio are not playing very good in attack. And I dont like rochi at all, he misses 3-4 clear chances before scoring a goal lol

Lazio have played three games without Cisse:
W/3-0 vs Chievo
W/2-0 vs Milan
L/2-3 vs Genoa
8 goals in three games. They are doing ok without him.

Penalty from my yesterday's pick Herta - 'Gladbach The ref is so badass!

[TonyDimy]

A#1
CSKA - Timisoara/ One of the teams will NOT score @ 1.90 (2u)
<...> I don't think Timisoara will be able to do something with CSKA'a defence <...> Alan Dzagoev might score one, though. I think the score will be like 1-0 or 2-0. The game starts in 4 hours.

CSKA - Timisoara/ 2-0, Alan Dzagoev scored both of these goals. Totally nailed it

[BigTimeWinner]

CSKA - Timisoara/ 2-0, Alan Dzagoev scored both of these goals. Totally nailed it

nice one mate! keep it up

[TonyDimy]

nice one mate! keep it up

Thank you I have such a great day so far. 3 out of 3 already ( 'Hantuchova to win 2-0' in tennis and our lovely turkish 'over') and I also have a bet on Russia -1.5 against Croatia in Futsal and they are leading 4-1 with 8 minutes left to play.

[TonyDimy]

Not many games to choose from today. I picked three of them and that's probably it.
A#1
CSKA - Timisoara/ One of the teams will NOT score @ 1.90 (2u)
This one is pretty easy one. I don't think Timisoara will be able to do something with CSKA'a defence and CSKA have almost no offensive line this days (Vagner Love was transfered to Flamengo and Doumbia is still playing in African Nations Cup). Alan Dzagoev might score one, though. I think the score will be like 1-0 or 2-0. The game starts in 4 hours.

A#2
Lazio - Cesena/ TO 2.5 @ 2.12 (1.5u)
Lazio have the ability to cover this 'over' without Cesena's help, especially after their miserable performance against Genoa last weekend. And Cesena while losing to every solid team, still have an ability to score at least a goal. 1-5 against Roma, 1-4 against Udinese, 1-2 against Napoli, those are latest Cesena's ROAD games. I expect to see something like that today too.

Y#3
Siena - Napoli/ DRAW @ 3.25 (1u)
I really like this one. Napoli have never won on the road against Siena. And Napoli don't usually play well when there's a CL game on the horizon. Their games are usually under 2.5, so I expect something like 0-0 or 1-1 today. Of course there's a chance that Siena will win this game. This is the first leg in Italy Cup semi finals, and most likely Siena will try to win so they would have a chance @ Napoli in the second leg. But it's a risk I'm willing to take.

A#1
CSKA - Timisoara/ One of the teams will NOT score @ 1.90 (2u) 2-0, +1.8u

A#2
Lazio - Cesena/ TO 2.5 @ 2.12 (1.5u) 3-2, +1.68u

Y#3
Siena - Napoli/ DRAW @ 3.25 (1u) 2-1, -1u (oh. my. Napoli had a chance to level the score at 95 (!!!) minute, but the ball hit the crossbar. So close!)

Today +2.48u
A: 2-0-0 (+3.48u)
Y: 0-1-0 (-1u)

I also had two side bets, both are winners. I won't count them in my record, of course. Just saying what a great day it was.

Overall:
A: 10-3-2 (+10.79u)
Y: 1-3-0 (-2.67u)

[TonyDimy]

Y#1 Parlay
Sao Paulo - Comercial/ TO 2.5
Wolfsburg - Freiburg/ Freiburg U 1.5
@ 2.07 (1.6u)

[TonyDimy]

Y#1 Parlay
Sao Paulo - Comercial/ TO 2.5
Wolfsburg - Freiburg/ Freiburg U 1.5
@ 2.07 (1.6u)

Y/Sao Paulo - Comercial/ 1-1, -1.6u

Overall:
A: 10-3-2 (+10.79u)
Y: 1-4-0 (-4.27u)

A#2
Wolfsburg - Freiburg/ One of the teams will NOT score @ 2.30 (2u)
Both teams have problems in offence, Wolfsburg also have a good defence. Shouldn't be to hard.

A#3
FSV Frankfurt - Ingolstadt/ TU 2.5 @ 1.84 (1.5u)
Pretty much the same story, Ingolstadt probably will not concede at all, and I doubt their ability to score 3 on the road.


Y#3 Parlay
Alania - Torpedo Moscow/ TU 2.5
Sibir - Shinnik/ TU 2.5
@ 3.22 (1u)
I saw a few books that marked these games as 'friendlies'. They are not. FNL Cup is the official competition. I predict slow paced games with a lot of errors. 'Draw' is also very likely in both of them.

I also have a biathlon bet that Russia will not win today's mixed race. I don't like russian starting line-up at all. 3u

[TonyDimy]

Y#5 Parlay
Almere - Cambuur/ TO 2.5
Wolfsburg - Freiburg/ Freiburg U 1.5
@ 1.91 (1.5u)

Y#6
Wolfsburg - Freiburg/ TU 1.5 @ 4.8 (0.5u)

That's it for friday.

[TonyDimy]

Y#3 Parlay
Alania - Torpedo Moscow/ TU 2.5
Sibir - Shinnik/ TU 2.5
@ 3.22 (1u)
I saw a few books that marked these games as 'friendlies'. They are not. FNL Cup is the official competition. I predict slow paced games with a lot of errors. 'Draw' is also very likely in both of them.

It's Alania - Sibir and Torpedo M - Shinnik, I was typing in a hurry. Sibir just scored their third goal. I should've wait a little for the lineups. Alania is playing using 5-1-4 scheme, they don't even have enough players to cover all of the field positions. This one is definitely my mistake.

[TonyDimy]

I also have a biathlon bet that Russia will not win today's mixed race. I don't like russian starting line-up at all. 3u

+1.6u, not for the record though

I have a new strategy for my 'Y' bets starting tomorrow, as they are obviously not as good as my 'A' bets. From now on there will be only single bets on 'draws', 'dogs' and risky U/O (U1.5 and less, O3.5 and more) of my choice without handicap (with rare exceptions. For example, I had a pick last week on Real S. against barca +2.5 @ 2.4, although this bet could qualify as 'A', I'm not so sure now, knowing the result). There will be no additional bets either, as I usually suck at it. As for today, I have one more Y parlay, probably my last one. Tomorrow I'll think of a more handy way to organise my picks.

Y#7
Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik/ TU 3.5
Wolfsburg - Freiburg/ Freiburg U 1.5
@ 1.7 (2u)

Good luck to everyone, see ya all later today or tomorrow.

[TonyDimy]

Y#1 Parlay
Sao Paulo - Comercial/ TO 2.5 1-1
Wolfsburg - Freiburg/ Freiburg U 1.5 nope
@ 2.07 (1.6u) -1.6u

A#2
Wolfsburg - Freiburg/ One of the teams will NOT score @ 2.30 (2u) 2-2 -2u

A#3
FSV Frankfurt - Ingolstadt/ TU 2.5 @ 1.84 (1.5u) 1-1, +1.26u

Y#4 Parlay
Shinnik - Torpedo Moscow/ TU 2.5 0-0
Sibir - Alania/ TU 2.5 6-0
@ 3.22 (1u) -1u

Y#5 Parlay
Almere - Cambuur/ TO 2.5 ---
Wolfsburg - Freiburg/ Freiburg U 1.5 nope
@ 1.91 (1.5u) -1.5u

Y#6
Wolfsburg - Freiburg/ TU 1.5 @ 4.8 (0.5u) nope -0.5

Y#7
Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik/ TU 3.5 0-0
Wolfsburg - Freiburg/ Freiburg U 1.5 nope
@ 1.7 (2u) -2u

Today:
A: 1-1-0 (-0.74u)
Y: 0-5-0 (-6.6u)

Overall:
A: 11-4-2 (+10.05u)
Y: 1-8-0 (-9.27u)

I overestimated wolfsburg, put them in almost every parlay. What a great move, huh. If not for other kinds of sport, I'd be -7.34u today. But I needed to drive this experiment with 'Y' bets to the end. And now I'm confident that they are crap. Ha-ha. I need to re-build my bankroll so for the next few days only 'A' bets until I'm ready for experiments again.

And yeah, it's humiliatingBut actually I like how stable my 'A' bets were this week, so I have a reason to be proud too at the same time. Tomorrow is the second week since I started, let's hope my best bets will not fail me.

[TonyDimy]

02.11.2012
#1/Auxerre - Lorient/TO2.5 @ 2.35/1.25U
#2/Stuttgard - Hertha/Stuttgart -0.5 @ 1.85/1.85U
#3/B. Moenchengladbach - Schalke/Schalke +0 @ 2.22/1.5U
#4/Betis - Ath. Bilbao/BTS @ 1.82/1.25U
#5/Sunderland - Arsenal/Arsenal -0.5 @ 2.10/1.5U

[TonyDimy]

02.11.2012
#1/Auxerre - Lorient/TO2.5 @ 2.35/1.25U
#2/Stuttgard - Hertha/Stuttgart -0.5 @ 1.85/1.85U
#3/B. Moenchengladbach - Schalke/Schalke +0 @ 2.22/1.5U
#4/Betis - Ath. Bilbao/BTS @ 1.82/1.25U
#5/Sunderland - Arsenal/Arsenal -0.5 @ 2.10/1.5U

^ 'A' bets.

Y#1/Man. United - Liverpool/Liverpool -0.5 @ 4.5/1U
Y#2/Udinese - Milan/DRAW @ 3.2/1U

[TonyDimy]

A#6/Osasuna - Barca/HT Osasuna +0.5 @ 2.08/1.5U

[TonyDimy]

Sweet start! 1-0

[Zahpeter]

Congrats, 2-0. Layed the U1.5 myself so we'll both get our cash

[TonyDimy]

Congrats, 2-0. Layed the U1.5 myself so we'll both get our cash

You mean O1.5? Thanks, congrats to you too I love pre-live betting, you can learn so much from starting squads. Tired Barca without Xavi, Iniesta and Fabregas versus Osasuna, a very difficult opponent at their home stadium. Obvious choice

[Zahpeter]

Layed the Under at Betfair, so yeah, i was on the over. Wasn't expected to cash it so fast, but pleasant surprises are always welcomed when it involves + money )

[TonyDimy]

02.11.2012
*A
#1/Auxerre - Lorient/TO2.5 @ 2.35/1.25U/1-1, -1.25U
#2/Stuttgard - Hertha/Stuttgart -0.5 @ 1.85/1.85U/5-0, +1.57U
#3/B. Moenchengladbach - Schalke/Schalke +0 @ 2.22/1.5U/3-0, -1.5U
#4/Betis - Ath. Bilbao/BTS @ 1.82/1.25U/ 1-1 at 23', +1.03U
#5/Sunderland - Arsenal/Arsenal -0.5 @ 2.10/1.5U/1-2, +1.65U
#6/Osasuna - Barca/HT Osasuna +0.5 @ 2.08/1.5U/2-0, +1.62U

*Y
#1/Man. United - Liverpool/Liverpool -0.5 @ 4.5/1U/2-1, -1U
#2/Udinese - Milan/DRAW @ 3.2/1U/1-2, -1U

A: 4-2-0 (+3.12U)
Y: 0-2-0 (-2U)

Overall:
A: 15-6-2 (+13.17U)
Y: 1-10-0 (-11.27U)

'Y' bets are for me only, do NOT pay attention to them. These are my weekly experiments. Last week it were parlays, this week it will be singles with big odds (for those who is willing to tail something from this thread, if there are such people )

My 'A' picks for sunday coming in a few hours, I'd consider them if I was one of you

[TonyDimy]

02.12.2012
*A
St. Pauli - Bochum/St. Pauli O1.5 @ 1.77/2U
Inter - Novara/Inter -1.5 @ 1.88/1.5U
Villareal - Granada/TO 2.5 @ 2.20/1.25U

And a few leans as an act of goodwill : TU2.5 in Aston Villa - Manchester City; Koln without Podolski against Hamburg; Genoa is taking their fireworks to Catania. GL and have fun!

[TonyDimy]

One more 'A':
Wolves - West Brom/West Brom +0 @ 2.15/1.25U

[phenomenon]

goodluck buddy

[GAMBLOR777]

One more 'A':
Wolves - West Brom/West Brom +0 @ 2.15/1.25U

will fade, thanks

[The Special One]

will fade, thanks

Shouldnt have done that

[GAMBLOR777]

If I lose fading SBR joe's I will still sleep tight

[The Special One]

Well this guy knows his shyt, not a smart fade

[GAMBLOR777]

^ 'A' bets.

Y#1/Man. United - Liverpool/Liverpool -0.5 @ 4.5/1U
Y#2/Udinese - Milan/DRAW @ 3.2/1U

went 2-0 fading these, just got home from work thought i'd dip my hand in the jar again, plus if you look around, he wasn't the only one on west brom.

[TonyDimy]

I never read anything before I had made my bets, I don't care who was on West Brom. 'Y' bets don't mean crap, I told you several times. My record is 'A' picks.

So much hate. I have such a good record, but it looks like everyone wants me to fail. I have my blog, I don't really care for you guys, I just wanted to help. Now I don't.

*A
St. Pauli - Bochum/St. Pauli O1.5 @ 1.77/2U/2-1, +1.54U
Inter - Novara/Inter -1.5 @ 1.88/1.5U/0-1, -1.5U
Villareal - Granada/TO 2.5 @ 2.20/1.25U/TBD
Wolves - West Brom/West Brom +0 @ 2.15/1.25U/1-5, +1.43U

A: 2-1, +1.47 today
A: 17-7-2 (+14.64U) overall
I hope you guys will be able to achieve something like that someday. Bye.

I hope you guys will be able to achieve something like that someday

Actually no, I don't.

[GAMBLOR777]

207 posts in and he thinks he's got the midas touch...

just another brahmabull in the making people, nothing to see here.

Bye. Countless others will step up in your place.

[Zahpeter]

Really now, can you guys take your testosterone somwhere in Real Life and cut it out with these "who's got a bigger dick" posts ? It's terribly childish.

[Bluedragon]

I never read anything before I had made my bets, I don't care who was on West Brom. 'Y' bets don't mean crap, I told you several times. My record is 'A' picks.

So much hate. I have such a good record, but it looks like everyone wants me to fail. I have my blog, I don't really care for you guys, I just wanted to help. Now I don't.
A: 2-1, +1.47 today
A: 17-7-2 (+14.64U) overall
I hope you guys will be able to achieve something like that someday. Bye.

Actually no, I don't.

Dude, you've been here since exactly a month before that guy, don't leave just cuz of that. fuk man the haters come out when they see you prevail, it should be a compliment when you acquire dingleberries. people are talking shit cuz you're becoming somebody in this forum and jealousy is rampant in these types of forums.

[TonyDimy]

fuk man the haters come out when they see you prevail, it should be a compliment when you acquire dingleberries. people are talking shit cuz you're becoming somebody in this forum and jealousy is rampant in these types of forums.

I just thought that bookies are our enemies, why should we wish something bad to each other? It's inspiring what you said, thank you. It's not childish what I said earlier. The thing is, you need to be objective as much as it is humanly possible when picking your bets. But all this negativity messing with your brain, you just can't ignore it. And I don't want my thought process to be affected by someone. I am very careful about it, that's why I'm on the winning side.

*A
St. Pauli - Bochum/St. Pauli O1.5 @ 1.77/2U/2-1, +1.54U
Inter - Novara/Inter -1.5 @ 1.88/1.5U/0-1, -1.5U
Villareal - Granada/TO 2.5 @ 2.20/1.25U/3-1 at 72', +1.5U
Wolves - West Brom/West Brom +0 @ 2.15/1.25U/1-5, +1.43U

And my fourth pick is a win too.
A: 3-1, +2.97 today
A: 18-7-2 (+16.14U) overall

One more thing. I just don't understand this negativity. I never promised anything to anyone, I never told anyone to tail my picks, I don't ask for your money to see 'all of my picks' like many guys do. Phuk it.

[TonyDimy]

02/13/2012
*A
Real Sociedad - Sevilla/TO 2.25 @ 1.96/1.5U

Be a cool guy: fade it or ignore it. And all the women will love you. At least that's what I heard.

[Pweter]

Mate you're doing a great job. It doesn't take a genius to work out your A bets vs Y bets and which people should tail on if they want to make some coin. Your A bet record speaks for itself.

There are no doubt plenty of people including myself who tail you often but don't post so I'll just take the opportunity to say thanks, keep up the good work and ignore the haters.