Monday's [12/12] Ninja Plays

[EaglesPhan36]

Hopefully some of these draws start hitting. Had a good run with splitting them early last week, but missed out for several days in a row.

Draw Project
Argentina: Velez Sarsfield-Racing Club +212
Turkey: Sivasspor-Manisaspor +227

[England] Chelsea-Manchester City Over 2.5 [-125]
Seven home matches for Chelsea in EPL play this season and six of them have seen the home side score two goals or more. They also have just one clean sheet in that span. City have kept just one clean sheet in road play this season in the EPL and have tallied at least one goal in each road tilt with six of those featuring multiple goals from the league leaders.

[EaglesPhan36]

Also going to play 1st goal scorer props for Chelsea-City. Only if both guys start of course.

Drogba [13/2]
Balotelli [13/2]

[southpaw74]

I was just looking at the sivasspor draw. I see a 1-1 finish there. Not sure what to do about Chelsea game yet

[EaglesPhan36]

Only plays I see worthwhile are over or draw personally. Picking a side is very difficult. City is bound to lose eventually, but I''m not sure if Chelsea is the team to hand them that loss.

[EaglesPhan36]

Adding ..

[Poland] Lech Poznan -1.5 [+100]

[jimmy007oc]

Also going to play 1st goal scorer props for Chelsea-City. Only if both guys start of course. Drogba [13/2] Balotelli [13/2]

Balloteli is not going to play this match since he violated team's rule last Thursday.

[EaglesPhan36]

10-4, thanks Jimmy. I had not been able to find 100% that he was sitting to start or not. Will probably shift the City 1st scorer to Dzeko or Aguero. Think I may also put the same amount on no goal scorer at 9:1 in case the match just gets funky. These are all very small bets.

Draw #1 hits! That's how we like to start the day.

[southpaw74]

We got the draw in silvasspor!! It's the first draw bet I've ever made I liked it but since you were on it as well I decided to take it! Congrats EP.

[TheAntFather]

GL today Eagles.

[southpaw74]

Any thoughts on the Roma match over 2.5?

[EaglesPhan36]

Balotelli is starting, so staying with the Drogba, Balotelli and No scorer options. Damn Polish fukkaz. Blew two goal leads twice and won by just one goal to not cover that handicap.

People don't like draws because they see them as hard to hit, but the whole thing I am trying with the draw project - if you bet one unit per bet and can win 30-35% of them minimum, you at least break even or very close to it.

[petermans23]

Hi EaglesPhan36!

I follow you a lot and think you have many great bets and good write ups to them. And you are probobly going to hit on chelsea-manchester c over 2,5 goals today.

But I will bet the under 2,5 goal tonight. See value there and going against the public.

I wish you good luck and thanks for many great write ups.

[EaglesPhan36]

Balotelli bitch!

[BigBurk]

Over is a easy money!

[petermans23]

Congratulation EaglesPhan36 to the win on over!

I am writing this already now in halftime because I think it is clear there will be at least one more goal.

[southpaw74]

I'm afraid both will just sit back and play defense 2H. I have the over but hedged with the under 2.5 at half at +327 so I am guaranteed profit.

[EaglesPhan36]

Nice work southpaw. I'm sitting on it for about another 15 minutes of match time before I hedge out. Have it available live to do so, so trying to just stick with the original bet - plus getting the extra cash for Balotelli scoring 1st also lessens the sting even if the over fails.

[southpaw74]

I just have 5dimes some don't have live betting. I would have just let it ride but couldn't resist the auto profit. Cowboys screwed me last night so wanted to protect the bank roll good luck...It should still go over. Man city is content with a draw and that worried me.

[EaglesPhan36]

Not that they are the best book, but I use them for some things - Bodog has good live betting options for select soccer matches which I was unaware of until recent times.

With the red card, I'll wait as long as I can now to see if I need a hedge or not. Good thing is with the red card, they have shot the under odds back up to bigger plus odds.

[gti175]

here we go

[gti175]

ovvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvve r the total

[EaglesPhan36]

Nice.

[EaglesPhan36]

Just some junkie action to tide me over until later ...

Lanus-Newell's Old Boys Under 2 [-115]

[EaglesPhan36]

Eh, so much for the under. Already two goals before the half. Lots of goals in Argentina today. Would love to hit that 2nd draw today.

[beefcake]

Ep like 34% of games in ARG this year are under 2.5..Last 6-7 years it was like 45-50% so they were due to score with reduction to the mean..

[EaglesPhan36]

I guess. Should have just gone draw. Newells were the draw masters. Was tough to back either scoring goals though. Both had scored like one goal in their last four. Oh well, just hoping to hit the draw here to finish off the day - nice hit on the over.

[beefcake]

Watch now we see 2 1-0 games and 2 0-0 draws in the late games..

[EaglesPhan36]

No draw in the one I needed, but 1-0.

[TheAntFather]

Nice hit Eagles.