Bundesliga 11/12

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  • t0mson
    SBR High Roller
    • 03-26-11
    • 138

    #36
    KAISERSLAUTERN - HANNOVER 4/10 and 2/10

    First I have say that I can't agree with odd on Hannover. Bookies are looking on Hannover streak without win ? Probably -yes but they forget that away should be favourite here. Hannover played in uefa Cup , but Slomka gave chance reserve players because of warrant qualify to next round. Hannover game look very nice , but if you look on the results you can say: Ooo it's weak team which will situated on 10/12 place on the end of season, trust me results are mislead in case of Hannover. In the line-up are very good technical players like Schlaudraf with huge potential, good technical Abdellaue, Pander with good pass , Rausch, playmerker Pinto or Ya Konan who is good alternative if some player aren't available for Slomka. Hannover need 2 or 3 passes to create scoring opportunity, their another competence is good counter attack.

    Kaiserslautern results mainly on away were very lucky in my opinion. They alway can score one brilliant goal ( Hoffenheim, Dortmund, Hertha - own goal) but it's not convincing. Three players are playing on high level like playmerker Tiffert , if he has got bad they Lautern has big troubles, Koumeha buy he slew down last time, and Sahan or De Witt but he has good shot only from free kicks. Their defence has got problem if opponent exert pressing and are very nervous. Kaisersluatern exert, easy means, they centre ball from 50 meter to opponent box and count on lucky. It's terrible to watch , onother is that they shoot often from distance but it shouldn't be huge dangerous for Hannover goalie.After Lakic, Illicevic moved to VFL and HSV they looked more poor. Kaiserslautern of course has good physically condition, fighting spirit and home advatage but it isn't reason to play on Home side. Hannover is playing very weel, measured football should be favourite here ! Draw is the worst result here and I recommend +0,25 or safe option (0) @ 2,42

    Hannover +0,25 @ 1,98
    4/10
    Hannover 0 @ 2,42
    2/10
    Comment
    • t0mson
      SBR High Roller
      • 03-26-11
      • 138

      #37
      Originally posted by t0mson
      KAISERSLAUTERN - HANNOVER 4/10 and 2/10

      First I have say that I can't agree with odd on Hannover. Bookies are looking on Hannover streak without win ? Probably -yes but they forget that away should be favourite here. Hannover played in uefa Cup , but Slomka gave chance reserve players because of warrant qualify to next round. Hannover game look very nice , but if you look on the results you can say: Ooo it's weak team which will situated on 10/12 place on the end of season, trust me results are mislead in case of Hannover. In the line-up are very good technical players like Schlaudraf with huge potential, good technical Abdellaue, Pander with good pass , Rausch, playmerker Pinto or Ya Konan who is good alternative if some player aren't available for Slomka. Hannover need 2 or 3 passes to create scoring opportunity, their another competence is good counter attack.

      Kaiserslautern results mainly on away were very lucky in my opinion. They alway can score one brilliant goal ( Hoffenheim, Dortmund, Hertha - own goal) but it's not convincing. Three players are playing on high level like playmerker Tiffert , if he has got bad they Lautern has big troubles, Koumeha buy he slew down last time, and Sahan or De Witt but he has good shot only from free kicks. Their defence has got problem if opponent exert pressing and are very nervous. Kaisersluatern exert, easy means, they centre ball from 50 meter to opponent box and count on lucky. It's terrible to watch , onother is that they shoot often from distance but it shouldn't be huge dangerous for Hannover goalie.After Lakic, Illicevic moved to VFL and HSV they looked more poor. Kaiserslautern of course has good physically condition, fighting spirit and home advatage but it isn't reason to play on Home side. Hannover is playing very weel, measured football should be favourite here ! Draw is the worst result here and I recommend +0,25 or safe option (0) @ 2,42

      Hannover +0,25 @ 1,98
      4/10
      Hannover 0 @ 2,42
      2/10
      half won/push

      HT 0:1/FT 1:1
      +1,9

      small profit but I'm happy
      Comment
      • t0mson
        SBR High Roller
        • 03-26-11
        • 138

        #38
        NURNBERG - FURTH 3/10

        I think about this clash few times ago. I don't know very well Greuher Furth but found some information abouth this team. First is that between team from Bundesliga I and Bundesliga II is diffrence as to quality.
        Last time Furth smashed Union but this opponent is very weak if play on away field onother that their defence is joke and we can't look on this performance to comapre today clash. It will be quite different clash. Nurnerg has expirience in DFB, it's one way to play in Europa League for them and alway play on 100%. If we compare single players Furth has very good Schamrock and Ocean. Their main problem is when they have to play in important match with good opponent. Good example here are results against Pauli where took lucky 1 point and Fortuna where lose clearly.
        Expirience say that here is good value on home side. More quality, home advantage is on Nurnberg side. Both teams has trouble in defence, but level in BL is higher thank BL II and I expekt more quality by Nurnberg and win here.

        NURNBERG -0,25 @ 1,83
        Comment
        • t0mson
          SBR High Roller
          • 03-26-11
          • 138

          #39
          After time but I had problem with the net .
          Comment
          • t0mson
            SBR High Roller
            • 03-26-11
            • 138

            #40
            Originally posted by t0mson
            NURNBERG - FURTH 3/10

            I think about this clash few times ago. I don't know very well Greuher Furth but found some information abouth this team. First is that between team from Bundesliga I and Bundesliga II is diffrence as to quality.
            Last time Furth smashed Union but this opponent is very weak if play on away field onother that their defence is joke and we can't look on this performance to comapre today clash. It will be quite different clash. Nurnerg has expirience in DFB, it's one way to play in Europa League for them and alway play on 100%. If we compare single players Furth has very good Schamrock and Ocean. Their main problem is when they have to play in important match with good opponent. Good example here are results against Pauli where took lucky 1 point and Fortuna where lose clearly.
            Expirience say that here is good value on home side. More quality, home advantage is on Nurnberg side. Both teams has trouble in defence, but level in BL is higher thank BL II and I expekt more quality by Nurnberg and win here.

            NURNBERG -0,25 @ 1,83
            FT 0:1
            -3 u

            Last bet which I don't fell 3/10 are always bad ! See you in January
            Comment
            • t0mson
              SBR High Roller
              • 03-26-11
              • 138

              #41
              Welcome, back

              HSV - Dortmund 2/10


              Today, I have one pick. Dortmund -0,5. Sorry for short info, lack of time...
              Hsv without main playere Tore who created 50% of attack for HSV. It's key info for me. Home siede will have problem with BVB. They don't like team who are good in ofence. HSv is very weak in defence and today we should see it.

              Dortmund @ 1,87
              Comment
              • montan
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-19-09
                • 716

                #42
                good info. keep the information coming : i always view your posts, just to make sure i pick the right ones
                Comment
                • t0mson
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 03-26-11
                  • 138

                  #43
                  Originally posted by montan
                  good info. keep the information coming : i always view your posts, just to make sure i pick the right ones
                  Thanks mate Performance in second part of season should be easy for me. I have good value on next round but we have to wait on line-up and more info. We will rich at end of season Boookies will cry
                  Comment
                  • t0mson
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 03-26-11
                    • 138

                    #44
                    Originally posted by t0mson
                    welcome, back

                    hsv - dortmund 2/10


                    today, i have one pick. Dortmund -0,5. Sorry for short info, lack of time...
                    Hsv without main playere tore who created 50% of attack for hsv. It's key info for me. Home siede will have problem with bvb. They don't like team who are good in ofence. Hsv is very weak in defence and today we should see it.

                    dortmund @ 1,87
                    ht 0:2/ft 1:5
                    +1,74
                    Comment
                    • t0mson
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 03-26-11
                      • 138

                      #45
                      Hannover Nurnberg
                      Hannover -0,25 @ 1,90
                      Pinnacle

                      6/10

                      First I don’t understand why bookies give high odd on Hannover ? It’s typical Home, strong team. Hannover is very hard oponent on own ground. In this season we could see it against Bayer Leverkusen or Bayern Monachium. Their problem is away game and I’m confident that they sould win tonight. Better organisation, more quality of course for Hannover. Nurnberg is typical team chich will In relegation zone. Away can win with weak teams, if they have to play against stronger they have huge problem In defence and lose few goals. Short info but I’ve go to work.
                      Comment
                      • t0mson
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 03-26-11
                        • 138

                        #46
                        Originally posted by t0mson
                        Hannover Nurnberg
                        Hannover -0,25 @ 1,90
                        Pinnacle

                        6/10

                        First I don’t understand why bookies give high odd on Hannover ? It’s typical Home, strong team. Hannover is very hard oponent on own ground. In this season we could see it against Bayer Leverkusen or Bayern Monachium. Their problem is away game and I’m confident that they sould win tonight. Better organisation, more quality of course for Hannover. Nurnberg is typical team chich will In relegation zone. Away can win with weak teams, if they have to play against stronger they have huge problem In defence and lose few goals. Short info but I’ve go to work.
                        FT 1:0
                        +5,4


                        Deserved win, but last 5 minutes and second half was very dangerous for H96. They have to change tactic in my opinion...
                        Comment
                        • t0mson
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 03-26-11
                          • 138

                          #47
                          Werder-Bayer Leverkusen
                          Bayer Leverkusen +0,25 @ 1,96
                          4/10

                          Last performance by Bayer Leverkusen was on very high level, mainly in first half. Very good organisation, fast passes and very good defence ( Schwaab, Freidrich). Second half was very poor porbably because of lack of concentraction (2:0 after 1st half). Bayer is TOP 5 team in Bundesliga , and it will be not easy opponent for Werder who Has very important absencje in defence. Naldo who is 50% strength of this formation, Prodl, Schmitz and ofence Hunt. This are very important absence and I see very good chance for away here. Bayer without Sidney Sam and Augusto , of course importnant but they have good replacement. Draw is the worst here...Short info, because I have go to work
                          Comment
                          • tullamore21
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-12-09
                            • 1929

                            #48
                            do you like over 3,5 at Werder?
                            Comment
                            • eSTOXX
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-25-08
                              • 1866

                              #49
                              Agree with Your pick but for me POD is Hamburger SV win.
                              Comment
                              • t0mson
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 03-26-11
                                • 138

                                #50
                                Originally posted by tullamore21
                                do you like over 3,5 at Werder?
                                Sorry for late response. I don't like this kind of gamblin under/over. It always lottery for me. I love asian handi
                                Comment
                                • t0mson
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 03-26-11
                                  • 138

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by t0mson
                                  werder-bayer leverkusen
                                  bayer leverkusen +0,25 @ 1,96
                                  4/10

                                  last performance by bayer leverkusen was on very high level, mainly in first half. Very good organisation, fast passes and very good defence ( schwaab, freidrich). Second half was very poor porbably because of lack of concentraction (2:0 after 1st half). Bayer is top 5 team in bundesliga , and it will be not easy opponent for werder who has very important absencje in defence. Naldo who is 50% strength of this formation, prodl, schmitz and ofence hunt. This are very important absence and i see very good chance for away here. Bayer without sidney sam and augusto , of course importnant but they have good replacement. Draw is the worst here...short info, because i have go to work
                                  ft 1:1
                                  +1,92
                                  Comment
                                  • montan
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-19-09
                                    • 716

                                    #52
                                    i`m thinking stuttgart and m`gladbach will be o2.5 and mainz to win , what do you think?
                                    Comment
                                    • t0mson
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 03-26-11
                                      • 138

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by montan
                                      i`m thinking stuttgart and m`gladbach will be o2.5 and mainz to win , what do you think?
                                      Sorry for late resposne again. Under/Over is lottery for me. Next time I will here before match and give some advis if you need. If you have MSN, send me your MSN on Private and we can talk there
                                      Comment
                                      • montan
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-19-09
                                        • 716

                                        #54
                                        no, i dont have msn, i have messenger yahoo but i dont use it lately. anyway dont worry i`ve already pick them and i won . i was just curious what your opinion is.
                                        Comment
                                        • Nova99
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 01-31-12
                                          • 428

                                          #55
                                          Just found this forum recently, looking forward to reading your bundesliga posts in the future weeks.
                                          Comment
                                          • t0mson
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 03-26-11
                                            • 138

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by Nova99
                                            Just found this forum recently, looking forward to reading your bundesliga posts in the future weeks.
                                            Thanks ! I appreciate this !
                                            Comment
                                            • t0mson
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 03-26-11
                                              • 138

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by montan
                                              no, i dont have msn, i have messenger yahoo but i dont use it lately. anyway dont worry i`ve already pick them and i won . i was just curious what your opinion is.
                                              Ok, no problem. I like talking about Bundesliga with everyone. If you will have some good ideas write here See you on Friday
                                              Comment
                                              • t0mson
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 03-26-11
                                                • 138

                                                #58
                                                Nurnberg-Dortmund 6/10

                                                I'm very confident that Dortmund take 3 points today. Here are two teams from different worlds. Nurnberg is opponent who can fight with teams from second 10. Home side has huge problems in defence when rival play aggressive and good in ofence, onother problem are individual challenges and space on the wings. Dortmund has the best ofence in the league in my opinion winger Kuba who is in very good condition, for me no problem that Gotze has injury, good technical Kagawa with individual skill, and Gorsskreutz but he is not good technical players but militant. Defence look very strong and Nurnberg will have a lot of problems to create good chances to score. They have 4 players on good level Esswein, Eigler, Pekhart and Didavi but last time Esswin is not in good condition in my opinion. Another player is Hegeler but he is good in high ball challanges nothing more. Today will be around -10 but it will be not problem for Dortmund. If they think about win the league it's must win game. Difference in quality, Dortmund is to strong for team like Nurnberg and I see today 2:0 or 3:0

                                                Dortmund AH -1 @ 2,05
                                                Comment
                                                • t0mson
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 03-26-11
                                                  • 138

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by t0mson
                                                  Nurnberg-Dortmund 6/10

                                                  I'm very confident that Dortmund take 3 points today. Here are two teams from different worlds. Nurnberg is opponent who can fight with teams from second 10. Home side has huge problems in defence when rival play aggressive and good in ofence, onother problem are individual challenges and space on the wings. Dortmund has the best ofence in the league in my opinion winger Kuba who is in very good condition, for me no problem that Gotze has injury, good technical Kagawa with individual skill, and Gorsskreutz but he is not good technical players but militant. Defence look very strong and Nurnberg will have a lot of problems to create good chances to score. They have 4 players on good level Esswein, Eigler, Pekhart and Didavi but last time Esswin is not in good condition in my opinion. Another player is Hegeler but he is good in high ball challanges nothing more. Today will be around -10 but it will be not problem for Dortmund. If they think about win the league it's must win game. Difference in quality, Dortmund is to strong for team like Nurnberg and I see today 2:0 or 3:0

                                                  Dortmund AH -1 @ 2,05
                                                  FT 0:2
                                                  +6,3


                                                  Very good first 20minuts by Nurnberg. Bvb had a lot of troubles when Nurnberg had corners and free kicks. But quality and higher level won here.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MatI
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-17-11
                                                    • 5200

                                                    #60
                                                    That was a scary first few minutes, but Dortmund come through once again!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • montan
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-19-09
                                                      • 716

                                                      #61
                                                      I also played Dortmund last night but didn`t had time to post here. Anyway for today i want to play shake 04 ML and wolf - m`gladbach over2.5, what do you think?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jules11
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 01-24-12
                                                        • 717

                                                        #62
                                                        Same. trowing in PSG ML in there also
                                                        Comment
                                                        • t0mson
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 03-26-11
                                                          • 138

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by montan
                                                          I also played Dortmund last night but didn`t had time to post here. Anyway for today i want to play shake 04 ML and wolf - m`gladbach over2.5, what do you think?
                                                          Hi, no value on schalke. Of course they should win but bookmakers give good odds. Schalke is very strong at own ground, they often win with handi. Under/Over is creazy for me. When I play over always is under, when I play under alway is Over. Tomorrow I post here my ideas Today I will beat bookies on LIVE
                                                          Comment
                                                          • montan
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 11-19-09
                                                            • 716

                                                            #64
                                                            ok. ) good luck today
                                                            Comment
                                                            • t0mson
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 03-26-11
                                                              • 138

                                                              #65
                                                              Freiburg-Werder
                                                              Werder-0,25@1,96
                                                              4/10

                                                              Freiburg is one of the weakness team in Bundesliga. Their main problem is quality. The worst defence in my opinion in the league. Good example may be last clash against BVB who had a lot important missing and won very clear 4:1. I wrote about BVB because it team who is very strong in ofence. Brema preffere ofence style, I alway say when opponent is strong in ofence = bet against Freiburg. First performacnes by Werder was not good , but they played without main players like Naldo, Hunt, Marin or Arnautovic. They are main player in my opinion and when they are nor available to play Werder lose about 40% of power. On Sunday we will not see strong line-up for Werder but Freiburg is very weak. I read articles before this match and Schaff know how to win with Freiburg. Agressive and Pressing is the best solution to demolish rivals like Freiburg. I read the same in interview. Werder of course is not good on away but here should take 3 points. For me is Value on -0,25 , it's very safe option. I think about 6/10 but finally 4/10 bacause Werder will play without Hunt, Arnautovic, Naldo and Marin
                                                              Comment
                                                              • t0mson
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 03-26-11
                                                                • 138

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by t0mson
                                                                Freiburg-Werder
                                                                Werder-0,25@1,96
                                                                4/10

                                                                Freiburg is one of the weakness team in Bundesliga. Their main problem is quality. The worst defence in my opinion in the league. Good example may be last clash against BVB who had a lot important missing and won very clear 4:1. I wrote about BVB because it team who is very strong in ofence. Brema preffere ofence style, I alway say when opponent is strong in ofence = bet against Freiburg. First performacnes by Werder was not good , but they played without main players like Naldo, Hunt, Marin or Arnautovic. They are main player in my opinion and when they are nor available to play Werder lose about 40% of power. On Sunday we will not see strong line-up for Werder but Freiburg is very weak. I read articles before this match and Schaff know how to win with Freiburg. Agressive and Pressing is the best solution to demolish rivals like Freiburg. I read the same in interview. Werder of course is not good on away but here should take 3 points. For me is Value on -0,25 , it's very safe option. I think about 6/10 but finally 4/10 bacause Werder will play without Hunt, Arnautovic, Naldo and Marin
                                                                FT 2:2
                                                                We are loserrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr but finally profit in this round.
                                                                -2 u


                                                                I stay away form Lautern game. Draws
                                                                Comment
                                                                • blink
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 01-20-12
                                                                  • 46

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by t0mson
                                                                  FT 2:2
                                                                  We are loserrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr but finally profit in this round.
                                                                  -2 u


                                                                  I stay away form Lautern game. Draws

                                                                  6th draw out if 7 games
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • t0mson
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 03-26-11
                                                                    • 138

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Play Koln +0,5 @ 1,9 on live. But I don't give it in statistic.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • t0mson
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 03-26-11
                                                                      • 138

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by t0mson
                                                                      Play Koln +0,5 @ 1,9 on live. But I don't give it in statistic.
                                                                      Good but it was live game. WON.

                                                                      I will post my Live bets sometimes here with (W, L, P) statistic only.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • t0mson
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 03-26-11
                                                                        • 138

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Hertha-Gladbach
                                                                        Glabach (0) @ 1,70
                                                                        3/10

                                                                        Hertha with new coach Skibbe have not good results. Last games in league against Hannover look good, few situation but efficiency was poor, it's normal for team which will fight to stay in Bundesliga. I know Skibbe very well, it's not good coach for team which are in relagation zone and are in stressfull situation in the league. Few weeks and he leave Hertha. Hertha look good in ofence only, Players like Ramos, Raffael, Ebert play on good level and Lasogga. Defence is poor without main player Franz. Gladbach full line-up with good defence and huge power in ofence.I'm confident about this bet but it's cup and small stake. Very safe option.
                                                                        Comment
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