EPL Question!!! Who will upset?

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  • The Special One
    Restricted User
    • 01-08-11
    • 3972

    #1
    EPL Question!!! Who will upset?
    on Saturday there are 4 big favs at home..

    Liverpool vs Wolves
    Arsenal vs Bolton
    Chelsea vs Swansea
    Man City vs Everton

    I know they all look like easy home wins (or extremely close in Arsenals case ) but without jokes, I know for a fact that one of these favs wont win... it doesnt look like it at first but from experience I feel that 1 or maybe even 2 of these games will DRAW/upset...

    now which one?

    i have no clue as of now so im opening this thread for discussion... DRAW pays about 4-5 in each of these so the reward is there...
  • SiMON2g
    SBR MVP
    • 10-01-10
    • 1157

    #2
    To be honest the only game I can confidently predict is the Chelsea game, they will get 3 points vs Swansea. Liverpool, Arsenal and Man City on the other hand I can see all 3 of those games resulting in suprise. Everton are usually strong against City, but how much of an impact would the transfer window see to this game? Enough to see City win? You would think so, but never know. Everton are going for +1.5 @ 1.65 at Bet365 if you don't mind the juice and I can see the value in that. Arsenal vs Bolton is the game I would pick as a draw though @ 4.50
    Comment
    • donkson
      SBR Sharp
      • 03-12-11
      • 411

      #3
      Bolton are the worst away team in the EPL, I can't see them doing anything even against an unimpressive Arsenal.

      Everton and Wolves are the only possibilities imo.
      Comment
      • borgsta
        SBR High Roller
        • 04-11-11
        • 110

        #4
        They don't all look easy.

        Liverpool vs Wolves
        Arsenal vs Bolton
        Chelsea vs Swansea
        Man City vs Everton
        Comment
        • lukahh
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 04-08-10
          • 941

          #5
          swansea plays well, no done deal there. could upset
          Comment
          • Puda
            SBR MVP
            • 03-26-10
            • 1798

            #6
            if carroll starts wolves have a chance.

            no smart man would bet on the gunners.
            Comment
            • Puda
              SBR MVP
              • 03-26-10
              • 1798

              #7
              the only value this week:
              wba
              qpr
              spurs
              Comment
              • BigBurk
                SBR MVP
                • 02-25-11
                • 3785

                #8
                None of them all.

                I put them all (ML) in a parly (including Man Utd). 1 units pays 4.65 units.
                Comment
                • The Special One
                  Restricted User
                  • 01-08-11
                  • 3972

                  #9
                  Originally posted by BigBurk
                  None of them all.

                  I put them all (ML) in a parly (including Man Utd). 1 units pays 4.65 units.
                  It will lose, I don't think man utd will win away again... And trust me one of those 4 won't win
                  Comment
                  • RedDevil11
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 335

                    #10
                    Perhaps Liverpool with Adam out with a few injuries at the back. Wolves were able to nick a result at Anfield last season, but I'm not so sure with this time around the way they're conceding goals.

                    Bolton haven't had much success at the Emirates but they could steal a point there. Might be the best time to get a result against the Gooners....bit fragile atm. Their physicality and length is exactly what gives Arsenal trouble and Cahill will play to impress his "future club". Though there is pressure on Wenger and Arsenal to get a result at home, Bolton could be digging a deeper hole if they don't get anything from this match and then their following match against Chelsea.

                    I would have said Everton (as they did the double over Citeh last season), but Mancini's got his club playing at such a high level and tempo and they won't want to drop points to United in consecutive weeks. Aguero has been unstoppable thus far and Silva and Nasri should be able to run the midfield all game, especially now that Arteta isn't there.
                    Comment
                    • BigBurk
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-25-11
                      • 3785

                      #11
                      Originally posted by The Special One
                      It will lose, I don't think man utd will win away again... And trust me one of those 4 won't win
                      We'll see! I'm fairly confident about it.
                      Comment
                      • Nikfrio
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 04-16-11
                        • 261

                        #12
                        Liverpool without Suarez(on his best) is an average mid table team
                        Comment
                        • alon7777777
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-11-10
                          • 1864

                          #13
                          Wolves won at Anfield last year so forget about it
                          Comment
                          • samitarian
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-02-10
                            • 610

                            #14
                            You're not stating some AMAZING prediction by saying that at least 1 of them won't win. There's a reason why parlaying 4 of them will give you around +400 odds, because it's more likely that one of them don't win than all of them winning.
                            Comment
                            • SiMON2g
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-01-10
                              • 1157

                              #15
                              Originally posted by samitarian
                              You're not stating some AMAZING prediction by saying that at least 1 of them won't win. There's a reason why parlaying 4 of them will give you around +400 odds, because it's more likely that one of them don't win than all of them winning.
                              He is trying to figure out which one to play the draw for, just looking for opinions.
                              Comment
                              • RubberKettle
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-28-09
                                • 6421

                                #16
                                This would be a good idea if we had Champions League games midweek, but with Carling Cup the big squads are all rested.

                                If I had to pick a winner/ draw candidate it would be Wolves as they played Liverpool very tough last year and had good results vs top teams last year, albeit most of them at home.
                                Comment
                                • MartR
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 12-14-10
                                  • 321

                                  #17
                                  I have a hunch it could be ManU this time. Stoke is strong at home.

                                  Also United and City are playing CL on tuesday..
                                  Comment
                                  • The Special One
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 01-08-11
                                    • 3972

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by samitarian
                                    You're not stating some AMAZING prediction by saying that at least 1 of them won't win. There's a reason why parlaying 4 of them will give you around +400 odds, because it's more likely that one of them don't win than all of them winning.
                                    are you serious?
                                    Comment
                                    • samitarian
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-02-10
                                      • 610

                                      #19
                                      yeah, i am serious.

                                      did you get offended by my post or something?
                                      Comment
                                      • samitarian
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-02-10
                                        • 610

                                        #20
                                        if i had to choose one, i think man city have the most likelihood to falter this weekend.

                                        But i think they'll all win
                                        Comment
                                        • RedDevil11
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 335

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by MartR
                                          I have a hunch it could be ManU this time. Stoke is strong at home. Also United and City are playing CL on tuesday..
                                          I agree...no easy task playing at the Britannia for any club. Stoke are a much improved squad, though I think they'll have a difficult time containing United's wing play. Plus Stoke are coming off a long hard fought battle midweek against the Spurs in the Carling Cup, whilst United were able to rest the majority of its first team squad against Leeds. With the size of United's squad, the upcoming CL match at Old Trafford against Basel shouldn't be too much of a concern (Fergie will certainly change some of his team) as opposed to Stoke's Europa league clash with Besiktas on the Thursday.
                                          Comment
                                          • The Special One
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 01-08-11
                                            • 3972

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by RedDevil11
                                            I agree...no easy task playing at the Britannia for any club. Stoke are a much improved squad, though I think they'll have a difficult time containing United's wing play. Plus Stoke are coming off a long hard fought battle midweek against the Spurs in the Carling Cup, whilst United were able to rest the majority of its first team squad against Leeds. With the size of United's squad, the upcoming CL match at Old Trafford against Basel shouldn't be too much of a concern (Fergie will certainly change some of his team) as opposed to Stoke's Europa league clash with Besiktas on the Thursday.
                                            not to be an ass, but Stoke plays Kiev... which is far worse than Besiktas..

                                            but regardless, this game smells like a DRAW
                                            Comment
                                            • RedDevil11
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 335

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by The Special One
                                              not to be an ass, but Stoke plays Kiev... which is far worse than Besiktas.. but regardless, this game smells like a DRAW
                                              no worries....but they actually just played Kiev....they drew in the Ukraine 1-1. Next match is home against Besiktas.
                                              Comment
                                              • The Special One
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 01-08-11
                                                • 3972

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by RedDevil11
                                                no worries....but they actually just played Kiev....they drew in the Ukraine 1-1. Next match is home against Besiktas.
                                                wow I fuked up, im sorry.. I checked ESPN fixtures and thought i saw Kiev (2nd leg) but it was Besiktas..

                                                Comment
                                                • PickApprentice
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-20-10
                                                  • 1895

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by The Special One
                                                  on Saturday there are 4 big favs at home..

                                                  Liverpool vs Wolves
                                                  Arsenal vs Bolton
                                                  Chelsea vs Swansea
                                                  Man City vs Everton

                                                  I know they all look like easy home wins (or extremely close in Arsenals case ) but without jokes, I know for a fact that one of these favs wont win... it doesnt look like it at first but from experience I feel that 1 or maybe even 2 of these games will DRAW/upset...

                                                  now which one?

                                                  i have no clue as of now so im opening this thread for discussion... DRAW pays about 4-5 in each of these so the reward is there...
                                                  In order of confidence level:

                                                  Bolton
                                                  Everton
                                                  Wolves

                                                  Good luck, TSO!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • The Special One
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 01-08-11
                                                    • 3972

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by samitarian
                                                    yeah, i am serious. did you get offended by my post or something?
                                                    not really but do you think I posted to show an AMAZING prediction? what I know is all 4 arent winning, so I wanted to hear some opinions...

                                                    honestly, so far nobody has posted any persuasive angle...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PickApprentice
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 07-20-10
                                                      • 1895

                                                      #27
                                                      1. Not really convinced with Arsenal at all even if they got the win against Swansea. Bolton always have good record against Arsenal due to style of play, we all know that any club is more dangerous when they are wounded.

                                                      2. Everton has a good record against City. Moyes always tend to get the best out of players, and even if they do lose this game it definitely willn't be a big margin.

                                                      3. Wolves did the double over Liverpool last season, and I am sure that lose would be in players' mind, so I expect Liverpool to put up a good performance this time. Also I expect Anfield to be a hard place to visit to get any point this season.

                                                      4. I willn't touch Chelsea at the moment, because you don't know which Torres will pitch on the day.

                                                      Good luck!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • PickApprentice
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-20-10
                                                        • 1895

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by The Special One

                                                        not really but do you think I posted to show an AMAZING prediction? what I know is all 4 arent winning, so I wanted to hear some opinions...

                                                        honestly, so far nobody has posted any persuasive angle...
                                                        TSO, btw, just something that I have observed over the years. The standard of this forum has went down over the years. You could find great tipsters on this site previously, before you join, but nowadays, every noob is posting their picks.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • faia81
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 01-20-10
                                                          • 20

                                                          #29
                                                          Bolton +1 2.10 bet365 is one of my main bet for saturday
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JOHON8
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-28-10
                                                            • 7712

                                                            #30
                                                            Wolves to beat Liverpool.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • The Special One
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 01-08-11
                                                              • 3972

                                                              #31
                                                              Its either Liverpool or arsenal..

                                                              I say 75% pool
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BetGrinder
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 09-06-11
                                                                • 168

                                                                #32
                                                                Torres to score @1.61.....a guy that only scored maybe 5 goals since he went to Stanf.Bridge!!!

                                                                The bookies are seeing the same as me: redemption game for Andre Villas-Boas, for Torres and for Chelsea in general. I'm betting Chelsea -1 HT @3.00 and parlaying their ML with City and with Utd @2.65
                                                                Comment
                                                                • innn
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 08-31-10
                                                                  • 492

                                                                  #33
                                                                  my opinion is city , even -1,5
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • The Hot Pepper
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 08-05-11
                                                                    • 283

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Failpool maybe
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • phenomenon
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-11-10
                                                                      • 3227

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Torres to score @1.61 ?
                                                                      then villas boas to score should be 1.40...
                                                                      Comment
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