Vaughany's Soccer Plays...

[Vaughany]

Seems like reasonable value to me, especially with Dusseldoft defensive issues

[bleedtoledo]

Any more thoughts on the Milan match? Do you think we'll see much line movement?

[Vaughany]

Any more thoughts on the Milan match? Do you think we'll see much line movement?

The PK line has gone to -169 on Pinnacle now so has had some action since I got the -143 opener on Tuesday. I expect it will end up between -175 and -185. Catania's home record is enough for them to keep getting some action but fact is they are without Spolli, Gomez, Biagianti, and Izco. Perhaps Gomez and Biagianti are the only real significant losses as Spolli is a donkey and Izco is more of a squad player. And there is no guarantee that Bergessio will start neither, if he does they may be rushing him back too soon...one thing is for sure is that he wont be fully fit. Mexes maybe available as well afterall for Milan as he trained on Wednesday.

[Vaughany]

Gonna be on an "extreme sports!" weekend so might not be able to post again until early next week! BOL all

[Mrscofield25]

Hey Vaug.

You are often making some really good writeups on games, finding good info etc. But where are you finding it in English, in example? Normally I use the different teams, club pages to get some info, but I often think that the info I find is quite usable. But maybe it's just me who is furious with it. Would be good to know where to find good info, besides SBR.

Thanks in advance.

[statdude]

Agree on Milan and you're not the only one I respect on it. I'm on the -.25 line.

Look forward to any other sports you post on this weekend.. Gl

[16johnnymac]

Who is Milan playing I played it but not much of following soccer

Thx

Agree on Milan and you're not the only one I respect on it. I'm on the -.25 line.

Look forward to any other sports you post on this weekend.. Gl

[statdude]

Catania

[swordsandtequila]

Who is Milan playing I played it but not much of following soccer

Thx

Post #205. You played it but don't know who they're playing? Come on man, a little effort. Not trying to be rude, but you continually ask questions to which the answers are easily found. We're all here to help, but nobody wants to hold your hand.

[Ajax1489]

I think Milan will take care of business today. They are not worried about their last Champions League game and should be up for a great Friday night game in Sicily.

[andy888888]

yeah i hit the milan ML some days ago before the lines shifted any further

[Bill_Hicks]

Added:

Small on Fortuna Dusseldorf to Score Over 1 Goal @ -119 at home to Frankfurt (stake back if 1 goal);

Dusseldorf beat HSV 2-0 in last home game and got an excellent 1-1 draw away at the Champions Dortmund last wknd. It's been 12 games since Frankfurt last kept a clean sheet which was back in September when they beat 9 men Hoffenheim 4-0 away from home (only clean sheet this season).

Cashes early, thanks!

[andy888888]

i went with dusseldorf ML thanks to shanty picking frankfurt lol

[swordsandtequila]

What do you guys think about btts in the Dusseldorf/Frankfurt match? At -135 now (Bovada), might wait for a better price live, although I got burned by 1st minute goals in both the Man U and Arsenal matches yesterday. Ended up saving me money in the Man U match.

November been the month of the red card. Took btts prematch -135, then live @ -114. Still got a chance, but looks slim with that early red. Managed to salvage some profit live betting over 1/2 1st half -138 and over 1 1st half +300. Gonna count my blessings and call it a day. Good luck.

[Bill_Hicks]

on the right side of red cards today

[16johnnymac]

Did they winUOTE=Ajax1489;16958298]I think Milan will take care of business today. They are not worried about their last Champions League game and should be up for a great Friday night game in Sicily.[/QUOTE]

[andy888888]

man im so annoyed i didnt go Milan ML at half time when it was over 5/1 to win, o well a win is a win

[Ajax1489]

Was it really 5/1?! Should have taken that. Still got my win though. I was worried when Catania took the lead, but the red card killed them off.

[laca07]

Good one. Milan could have had a couple more. Makes up for some losses today

201 AC Milan (ITA-A)/Catania (ITA-A) Over 2½ +104*
201 AC Milan (ITA-A) +132* vs Catania (ITA-A)
201 AC Milan (ITA-A) pk -153* vs Catania (ITA-A)

[andy888888]

Was it really 5/1?! Should have taken that. Still got my win though. I was worried when Catania took the lead, but the red card killed them off.

it was before certainly before half time, but the red card changed everything had it have been 11 vs 11 catania probably could have gotten more out of it, so milan ML lost its value. never mind still got milan at 2.25 can't complain really.

[Vaughany]

Great wknd so far boys, both plays hit. Adding MK Dons -1 A.H. at home to Wimbledon.

[andy888888]

Great wknd so far boys, both plays hit. Adding MK Dons -1 A.H. at home to Wimbledon.

whats the difference between -1? and -1.5? because 1.5 has so much more value

[pellumb341]

if mk dons wins by one , -1 is push , -1.5 is loss

if mk dons win by 2 or more ,they are both winner

[andy888888]

if mk dons wins by one , -1 is push , -1.5 is loss

if mk dons win by 2 or more ,they are both winner

cheers

[Vaughany]

...my big play for Friday that I've locked in already is AC Milan PK @ -143 away at Catania. Catania were piss-poor in the Sicilian derby against Palermo and will have arguably best player Gomez (Lodi would argue otherwise!) out through suspension. Milan have issues at the back with Mexes and Yepes out but I think Acerbi and Zapata should be good enough to do a reasonably good job and they should still have enough to scrape a win or a draw worst case scenario. Catania are solid at home which is concerning, but I feel only way this fuucks up is if Catania play the game of their lives after that shocking performance against Palermo and go out with a point to prove - in conjunction with Milan still being hungova and tired from the great 1-0 win against Juve on Sunday! BUt in terms of momentum Milan definitely have the edge...players like Montolivo, Nocerino, Robinho and El-Sharawy put in good performances against Juve and seem to be finding their fitness and rhythm, whilst Catania are the opposite, looking lethargic and disinterested...players like Legrotaglie, Almiron, Castro, and the disgruntled Barrientos in particular. Bergessio will probably return but he will probably need a couple matches to get back in to the swing of things after being out for a couple of weeks.

Milan come through for me again! That's three games in a row now that they've made me decent dollar!...

1:12pm 26-Nov-12

30-Nov-12

Soccer Handicap

Catania vs AC Milan (+0) for Game.

-143

1,000.00

699.30

Added:

Small on Fortuna Dusseldorf to Score Over 1 Goal @ -119 at home to Frankfurt (stake back if 1 goal);

Dusseldorf beat HSV 2-0 in last home game and got an excellent 1-1 draw away at the Champions Dortmund last wknd. It's been 12 games since Frankfurt last kept a clean sheet which was back in September when they beat 9 men Hoffenheim 4-0 away from home (only clean sheet this season).

Should have had more faith in this pic and gone bigger but was being cautious due to big play on Milan PK. Knew this line was off...Frankfurt's away record (conceding goals in every game except one) combined with Dusseldorf's recent form and solid performances at home in general should of led to handicap being O1.5 at -119 rather than O1...

1:31pm 29-Nov-12

30-Nov-12

Soccer Team Total

Fortuna Dusseldorf (O 1) for Game.

-119

119.00

100.0

Great wknd so far boys, both plays hit. Adding MK Dons -1 A.H. at home to Wimbledon.

MK Dons scored in injury time to make it 2-1 so this one was a push. Game was a lot closer than I expected, I've watched Wimbledon quite a lot this season (and witnessed first hand how bad they are in most games!) as my brother has a mate who plays up front for them, however Wimbledon rose to the occasion and defended deep and manage to stifle MK Dons for majority of game. Took two amazing goals from Gleeson and Ostembor. Ironically it was my Bro's buddy who scored the equalizer for Wimbledon with a great diving header and nearly lost me £384!...

3:34am 2-Dec-12

2-Dec-12

Soccer Handicap

Milton Keynes Dons (-1) vs AFC Wimbledon for Game.

-192

384.00

Cancelled

So 2 winners, 1 push and 0 losses in total.

[Vaughany]

Plays tonight:


Told myself earlier in season that I wouldn't bet against Sevilla ever again when they are playing at home after I lost a considerable amount from betting on Real Madrid to beat Sevilla at the Sanchez Pizjuan at start of season. But I can't resist playing these tonight:

Under 2.5 goals @ +103 & Valladolid +1 A.H. @ -133.

Sevilla are going to be without top scorer Negredo, and 6 other players including regulars such as Fazio, Rakitic, Trochowski, Manu, and Spahic. Without Negredo it's hard imagining Sevilla scoring too many goals. He didn't score in the 5-1 thrashing of rivals Betis in their last home game but Fazio scored two and Rakitic scored one and got one assist and they both are suspended for this game. Sevilla crushed Espanyol 3-0 in last away game in Copa Del Rey despite not having Negredo, but the three goals were scored after a player was sent off for the hosts and again Rakitic scored one of those. I'll take the chance that this is a low scoring game tonight, either 1-0 or 1-1 and hopefully at least one of the two will come off or the under hits and +1 is a push. Small on both though as fact is that Sevilla are very strong at home and the players coming in will be fresh and keen to impress so some of the absences may not be necessarily as bad as it may seem, and Valladolid are quite frankly a very average team and not very good away from home.

[Vaughany]

Damn, liked Trabzonspor PK tonight but didnt pull trigger...3-0 up!

[Sam_Hawkins]

Damn, liked Trabzonspor PK tonight but didnt pull trigger...3-0 up!

I did too, but dunno what would be the score if Genclerbirligi did not get RC at '18...that's the prob with turkish soccer, too many hot heads

[Mrscofield25]

Plays tonight:


Told myself earlier in season that I wouldn't bet against Sevilla ever again when they are playing at home after I lost a considerable amount from betting on Real Madrid to beat Sevilla at the Sanchez Pizjuan at start of season. But I can't resist playing these tonight:

Under 2.5 goals @ +103 & Valladolid +1 A.H. @ -133.

Sevilla are going to be without top scorer Negredo, and 6 other players including regulars such as Fazio, Rakitic, Trochowski, Manu, and Spahic. Without Negredo it's hard imagining Sevilla scoring too many goals. He didn't score in the 5-1 thrashing of rivals Betis in their last home game but Fazio scored two and Rakitic scored one and got one assist and they both are suspended for this game. Sevilla crushed Espanyol 3-0 in last away game in Copa Del Rey despite not having Negredo, but the three goals were scored after a player was sent off for the hosts and again Rakitic scored one of those. I'll take the chance that this is a low scoring game tonight, either 1-0 or 1-1 and hopefully at least one of the two will come off or the under hits and +1 is a push. Small on both though as fact is that Sevilla are very strong at home and the players coming in will be fresh and keen to impress so some of the absences may not be necessarily as bad as it may seem, and Valladolid are quite frankly a very average team and not very good away from home.

Hi Vaug.

I asked you a question in post #215. About where you find all that info about games? Soccerway, club pages, world news?? That info you have about Sevilla I have read at Soccerway. It's just that you make some really good write ups so I would like to know where you get that info. I could use it for further games.

[Vaughany]

Vallodolid take lead early through Ebert

[Vaughany]

Hope I dont regret not just playing the Valladolid Over 0.5,1 goals at -120. Pretty annoyed that I didnt take that now!

[Vaughany]

Hi Vaug.

I asked you a question in post #215. About where you find all that info about games? Soccerway, club pages, world news?? That info you have about Sevilla I have read at Soccerway. It's just that you make some really good write ups so I would like to know where you get that info. I could use it for further games.

yeah I found out about tht on soccerway and went on the club's official websites then just use the google chrome translator. Also use twitter and bettingexpert.com

[Vaughany]

I did too, but dunno what would be the score if Genclerbirligi did not get RC at '18...that's the prob with turkish soccer, too many hot heads

ah yeah Petrovic sent off in first 20. Never know with Turkish league!

[Vaughany]

ha gotta love the Spanish league...Rukavina does a blatant dive to try and win a pen, gets booked then just gets up laughing as if it's all part of the fun! No shame in it at all!

[Vaughany]

ha 2-0 already!