Vaughany's Soccer Plays...

[Robin Van Rogan]

Yeah, lost money on that game too.

I got norovirus two years ago, shit is nasty as hell.
Even if they're recovered by now, which they should be, that's still a week without training and a couple of pounds lost.

Might be worth a little play.

[Vaughany]

Esbjerg/FC Nordsjaelland Over 1 goal 1st half @ -113...

Esbjerg beat Nordsjaelland 4-0 the last time they met, but that was when Nords had an injury crisis at start of the season. The main concern with this play is that Nords only scored 4 goals away from home before winter break, however, with players back from injury now like Norstrand and Joshua John I do think they will improve. Nords do have a rather inexperienced defense with full back Mtiliga being the only player over age of 23 which I think Esbjerg can exploit tonight. Esbjerg also missing two regular defenders in Hansen (14 apps), and Askou (13 apps), and also regular keeper Ronnow (18 apps), although they've signed Slovakian keeper Dubravka from Zilina.

[Vaughany]

Elazigspor/Fenerbahce Over 2.75 goals @ -117...


A play based on the following:

- Statistically it suggests goals: Elazigspor and Fenerbahce lead the table in highest goals per game average - both average 3.48 goals per game. Their last two meetings in 2013 were 4-0 to Fenerbahce and 2-2 at Elazigspor. 10 out of Fenerbahce's last 11 games have had 3+ goals. Elazigspor's last 7 games have gone over.

- Fenerbahce are going to have to play with a bit of a make-shift defense - two 1st choice centre-backs Bruno Alves (17 apps, 2 goals), & Korkmaz (19 apps, 2 goals) are both injured, so erratic Irtegun (8 apps, 1 goal), and natural left-back Kadlec (3 apps) are expected to be the central-defenders tonight. There is the possibility that Fenerbahce may play more conservative as a group though to make up for this which is a concern.

[Vaughany]

Zawisza Bydgoszcz/Lechnia Gdansk Over 1 goal 1st half @ +124...

I think there is some value in this seeing as Zawisza generally playing attacking football at home and Lechnia were hopeless defensively last wknd. Probably be a boring tight 1st half though and then open up in final 30 mins

[Vaughany]

hmm no fans at the game due to a buoycot ...probably wont help...zero atmosphere

[onemoregoal]

who knocked sparta prague out of europe? i cant remember at all..

[Vaughany]

Zawisza Bydgoszcz/Lechnia Gdansk Over 1 goal 1st half @ +124...

I think there is some value in this seeing as Zawisza generally playing attacking football at home and Lechnia were hopeless defensively last wknd. Probably be a boring tight 1st half though and then open up in final 30 mins

Well thts extremely annoying, Lechnia score 2nd straight from kick off in second half!

[atofsu32111]

bucaspor gazientep, any news on why this game has not started?

[MutaPukan]

hmm no fans at the game due to a buoycot ...probably wont help...zero atmosphere

Yeah, the fans have some problems with the clubs management and the players. My initial pick was Gdansk but then went for the draw.

[Vaughany]

Of course nothing happening elsewhere

[Vaughany]

Parma/Fiorentina Over 3 @ -175 live...

Provably be another draw and stay 1-1 but fuuck it, been a good tempo to game

[onemoregoal]

Esbjerg

[Vaughany]

Ha elazigspor and esbjerg score in stoppage time! This parma game will probably screw me now!

[atofsu32111]

its funny when i asked about bucaspor gazientep game, I finaly found it, right when I put flashscore up .... goal at 41 now its 2-0 early second. So cool yep

[atofsu32111]

then i get suckered into brighton hull game instead ..... charlton was the game to bet ... i couldnt understand how odds were more in favor under for charlton .... fckn turkey scum game

love tilting 2-0 now

[MutaPukan]

then i get suckered into brighton hull game instead ..... charlton was the game to bet ... i couldnt understand how odds were more in favor under for charlton .... fckn turkey scum game

love tilting 2-0 now

Try to stay away from Turkeys first division. Corrupt as F***k

[Vaughany]

Benfica/Guimaraes Over 2 goals @ -135 live (1-0, 56 mins)...

[hundo]

Looks like Benfica has taken the foot off the gas a bit...

[Vaughany]

Yeep jus crusing to a 1-0

[Vaughany]

Hmm probably a sucka bet but cant resist playing Espanyol/Villarreal Over 2 live @ -137...

Espanyol going to have to attack more now tht they are a goal down and Villarreal are a decent counter attacking side with Gio up front. Was expecting this to be nearer -175

[hundo]

Benfica miss open net, damn...

[Vaughany]

Ha yee joke. At least villarreal scored after 5 mins.

[Vaughany]

22 shots on goal, 10 on target in this Benfica game...1 goal

[Vaughany]

Typical Espanyol...beat Bilbao away last wknd...one of toughest places to go in league, and now playing like shiite at home and wont even score 1

[hundo]

THere you go dude!

[Vaughany]

Ha nice! Went quite big on tht, should of been a max play tho...tht line was bizarre, went on pinnacle expecting to see it at -175 to -200 range...could perhaps understand it being -137 if game was tied at HT, but when a home side who are in form are losing to a side with talented attacking players like Villarreal who are so lethal on counter it was always going to be quite open and have potential for goals

[azsportswin]

I had a draw bet on Esp/Vill game and Esp misses penalty in injury time....didn't see it, so don't know if keeper made great save or shooter just missed, but crap, that would have been a nice win!!

[hundo]

Weak shot and good save by keeper..

[Vaughany]

oh wow, didnt realise theyd missed a pen! Sergio Garcia as well!

[MutaPukan]

Was on Esp/Vill Over glad it hit. Historically it looked impossible but something just seemed right about it this time.

[Vaughany]

Man Utd DNB @ -180 away at Olympiakos...

Olympiakos lost Mitroglou to Fulham in January, and now Saviola is out of this one after coming off in their league game at wknd.

6 of Olympiakos' 10 group-stage goals were scored by 3 players who won't be playing tonight in Saviola (2), Mitroglou (3), and Weiss (1).

[Vaughany]

I've got a small play on Al-Fateh DNB @ -156 at home to Bunyodkor in AFC Champions League...

Bunyodkor have never won in Saudi Arabia in 5 attempts. They have lost a number of key players from last season including GK Nesterov (15 apps), defender Filiposyan (19 apps), and midfielders Blazic (20 apps, 3 goals), Hasanov (20 apps, 3 goal), Turaev (24 apps, 7 goals), and forward Igor Taran (18 apps, 4 goals).

Bunyodkor's experience in the competition may give them the edge, but Al Fateh do have a couple of good foreign players in Brazilian midfielder Elton (23 apps, 9 goals) and Congolese strker Fuakuputu (22 apps, 10 goals). Bunyodkor should also be rusty as their season hasnt started yet unlike Al Fateh who have played 22 games in their season so should be match-fit.

[Vaughany]

Al Jaish/Foolad Under 2.5 goals @ -126...

Probably a foolish play considering that Jaish usually score 2 or 3 by themselves at home in their league games! However, Jaish will be without Nilmar, Anderson Martins, and midfielder Ko Seul-Ki. Foolad are top of the Iran league, and their games only average 2.04 goals per game. From what the Coaches have said it seems that not conceding and being cautious is their main aim...

"We must be ready and cautious against Foolad as our opponents are strong and we must give all our best in the match which will be very hard,”

“We will try to have a positive result although we are playing against strong opponents. We must concentrate in this first match and try to have the least possible mistakes in front of El Jaish forwards who are good in front of the goal.”

[atofsu32111]

5dimes soccer is such pussys, they drop lines constantly and i know i am the only one betting.... masry beni suef under i ask to be put up it is then put up.... i bet a few times every time i bet line is set higher and higher till it is pulled down , you ever see a reputable site pull down a line because of one bettor? im pretty sure im the only one up 5am betting it ... what say you?

[Vaughany]

5dimes soccer is such pussys, they drop lines constantly and i know i am the only one betting.... masry beni suef under i ask to be put up it is then put up.... i bet a few times every time i bet line is set higher and higher till it is pulled down , you ever see a reputable site pull down a line because of one bettor? im pretty sure im the only one up 5am betting it ... what say you?

ha probably. Like I said before Ive never used 5dimes for soccer, but for MMA (UFC) they move opening lines drastically and erratically. I even had a conversation with Tony (the head guy there at 5dimes and sportbet) a couple years ago because I bet on a fighter at +120 when the line opened and then it was taken down and re-opened with the fighter at -150 or something, and he said that I'd made multiple bets on it on multiple accounts at same time and that he was going to close my account! was ridiculous! I've max bet MMA openers before and the line has moved from -175 to -250 immediately.