Few tips 2011-2012

[latinrus]

hello my friend!

How u been?

What's new?

Long time without u on the forum! Hope to see u more often this season!

I'm waiting the start of La Liga! Can't wait fot it!

[cogiditopapa]

hello my friend!

How u been?

What's new?

Long time without u on the forum! Hope to see u more often this season!

I'm waiting the start of La Liga! Can't wait fot it!

What's up buddy, I been good, I was pretty busy with work and traveling earlier this year but hopefully I will be a regular now.

Ready to see madrid beat Barca on Sunday?..I am so ready!

Will be in touch buddy, some pretty good games on the EPL and Mexican league.

[cogiditopapa]

I have Pool vs. Sunderland, pool -1.5 at 2.40 and pool at -2 at 3.75, any one else on this bet?.
I really think Liverpool will try to go out there to prove that they want to do something this season, fo God sake, I hope they do !!!!

[beeps220]

BOL on Chivas tonight

[cogiditopapa]

BOL on Chivas tonight

Thanks bro!!!, did you place a wager on this Game?

[beeps220]

Thanks bro!!!, did you place a wager on this Game?

I stayed away, just watching this one. I thought Monarcas could be due for a win.

Interesting match, 0-0 but could of easily had 3 or 4 goals.

Hopefully Chivas can put some in.

[cogiditopapa]

I stayed away, just watching this one. I thought Monarcas could be due for a win.

Interesting match, 0-0 but could of easily had 3 or 4 goals.

Hopefully Chivas can put some in.

Agreed. Let's see how it ends.

[beeps220]

An own goal 0-1 Chivas

[cogiditopapa]

Wow man down chivas is winning!!! hold it boys!!!

[latinrus]

Wow Chivas 2 men down and still holding!

I was on a party so missed the bet! Just came back home!

So far 2 teams looking very good on Mexican League, Pumas and Chivas so far the best teams!

Xolos of Tijuana looking good also, they built a great team!

[beeps220]

This has been one of the most entertaining Mexican matches I've seen.

Sure as hell beat that Friday night Necaxa matches that were on every Friday.

[cogiditopapa]

for sure great game and no question Pumas and Chivas are on fire!!! Hold it boys!!!!

[cogiditopapa]

wow, chivas with 9 players beat monarcas, Nice game !!!!

[beeps220]

wow, chivas with 9 players beat monarcas, Nice game !!!!

Nice start to the weekend!

[cogiditopapa]

Nice start to the weekend!

For sure

[cogiditopapa]

Today Picks:

FullHam Dnipro 2.4 Home Team -1
FullHam Dnipro 3 Home Team -1.5
FullHam Dnipro 5.5 Home Team -2
Hearts Tottenham 2.15 Away Team -1
StandardLeige HelsingborgsIF 1.8 Over 2.5
HJKHelsinki Schalke04 1.8 Over 2.5
Zestafoni ClubBrugge 1.8 Over 2.5
Hannover96 Sevilla 1.75 Over 2.5
ShamrockRovers PartizanBelgrade 1.7 UNDER 2.5
AthleticBilbao Trabzonspor 1.95 UNDER 2.5
Thun StokeCity 1.7 UNDER 2.5
SKSlovanBratislava Roma1.9 UNDER 2.5
Ekranas HapoelTelAviv 1.75 Under 2.5
AustriaVienna GazMetanMedias 1.75 UNDER 2.5
AthleticMadrid VitoriaGuimaraes 2.65 Away Team +1
AthleticMadrid VitoriaGuimaraes 2.2UNDER 2.5
ChicagoFire DCUnited 2.4 Away Team DNB
ChicagoFire DCUnited 1.75 UNDER 2.5
Fenix UdeChile 1.8 UNDER 2.5

[cogiditopapa]

Europa league was good:
12 wins
4 losses

3 more games tonigh
Imay add another picks for brazilian league

[cogiditopapa]

Could post on time but I picked:

AmericaMG SaoPaulo over 2.5 at 1.80

[cogiditopapa]

Total recap for 8/18/2011

14 wins
5 loses
1 draw

some pretty good odds on the bets won. Average odds today 2.16

[cogiditopapa]

Today's picks:

AstonVilla--BlackburnRovers 2.3 Home Team -1
AstonVilla--BlackburnRovers 3 Home Team -1.5
AstonVilla--BlackburnRovers 5.25 Home Team -2
Arsenal Liverpool 3.25 tie
Arsenal Liverpool 1.75 UNDER 2.5
Everton QPR 2.3 Home Team -1.5
Chelsea--WestBromwich 2.6 Home Team -2
Chelsea--WestBromwich 3.25 Home Team -2.5
Augsburg--Hoffenheim 1.95 Over 2.5
BayernMunich--HamburgerSV 2.3 Under 2.5
StuttgartBayer--Leverkusen 2.1 UNDER 2.5
WerderBremen--Freiburg 1.6 Over 2.5
Malmo--Gais 1.75 Under 2.5
WerderBremen--Freiburg 2.4 Over 1.5 1st half
BotafogoRJ--atleticoMG 1.75 Over 2.5
Corinthians--Figueirense 1.75 Over 2.5
Mexico France 1.71 Both Teams to score
CruzAzulXolos--Tijuana 1.8 Over 2.5

GL

[Boxing Champ]

Hey man..Good job so far!!!
I don't mean to be an ass...I'm just feeling my way around soccer...
What I noticed is that most people have no clue about and never even seen a team they are picking..
Good capper takes into account injuries, latest news, trends...and a lot of stuff that can affect the
outcome of the match.. I guess what I'm asking is are you familiar with all these teams, do you at least follow them once in a while or are you using some kind of a system or odds movements to make your picks.
I just wanna know if I can lay a descent ammount on these games or is this something that you don't bet yourself, but just have a lean...
Please don't get me wrong, I'm not trying to be a dick, I just wanna make sure that you are for real, because I'm new and never tailed you before..
Thanks..

[cogiditopapa]

Hey Champ, no worries man I can answer your questions.
Most of the teams I usually play I have follow them or seen then play to get a feel of how they actually perform.
I look at trends and news and history between them. I bet on all this picks myself. I keep track on all my plays. I stick to my money management system, I do not bet more than 1.5% of my bank roll on any play, it doesn't matter how much I like the play.
I try to look for good odds most of the time, So far this season I have placed 395 wagers here are my average odds:


Home team to win average odds 2.72 (I play many -1, -1.5, -2 etc when I see value on the games)
Tie average average odds 2.46 (very few)
Away Team to win average odds 2.43 (Some -1 and DBN)
Under 2.5 average odds 1.84
Over 2.5 average odds 1.90

My winning rate so far is about 56%.

I treat my picks as an investment, each team is a company and I like to buy shares if I see value in it. If the return is worth the risk based on the information I have about a play, I will place my wager.
I do this as a project, I have an objective to achive at the end of the season.
I have a few rules to predict my pics, I think it can become a system at some point but as of right now, I do all my pick based on research and knowing how the teams play. Of course I am no proffesional. I have a job and I am pretty busy but this is a project that I devote a lot time to. I do not post most of my picks because I do not have the time, but I do post from time to time.

Many people in this forum are really good (beeps, latinrus,HH, Miha, etc). I have learned quite of few good stuff from many of them. I hardly ever tail people, but I do read their post, is amazing all the info you can find in here.

GL with you plays and tail at your own risk, cheers my friend!!!!

[phenomenon]

goodluck cogi
u are italian ?

[cogiditopapa]

goodluck cogi
u are italian ?

Thanks, nop, I am from Guatemala and live in DC.

[phenomenon]

ok ty mate, just wonder

[cogiditopapa]

Picks for tonight:

ColumbusCrew-- PhiladelphiaUnion 1.83 Home Team DNB
Universitario-- LeonDeHuanuco 1.65 UNDER 2.5
Chivas--Monterrey 1.8 Over 2.5
SantosLaguna-- Morelia1.85 Over 2.5
Tigres-- SanLuis1.85 Under 2.5
HoustonDinamo --RealSaltLake 1.63 Home Team DNB
ColoradoRapids-- ChivasUSA 2.75 Home Team -1

[cogiditopapa]

Adding some picks for tonight:

LAGalaxy--SanJose 2.5 Home Team -1.5
LAGalaxy--SanJose 4 Home team -2
PortlandTimbers-- Whitecaps 1.95 Over 2.5
Dallas--Sounders 1.7 UNDER 2.5
Brasil Portugal 2.63 Correct Score 0-0 1st half

[cogiditopapa]

Galaxy, playing like crap...they get to the San Jose Cage twice an BAM nice 2 goal, to cash 1 and push one.

[cogiditopapa]

Recap for 8/20/2011 picks

16 wins
11 loses
3 draw

average odds 2.27

[cogiditopapa]

Picks for 8/21/2011:

NorwichCity-- StokeCity 1.7UNDER 2.5
NorwichCity-- StokeCity 1.83 Away Team DNB
BoltonMan-- City 1.85 UNDER 2.5
WolverHampton-- Fullham 3.25 tie
WolverHampton-- Fullham 1.65 UNDER 2.5
Maiz--Schalke04 1.71 Home Team DNB
Hannover96--HerthaBSC 1.75 Over 2.5
Cobresol -- Melgar 2.1 Over 2.5
Puebla--Pumas 1.83 Away Team DNB
Toluca-- Atlante 1.75 over 2.5
LDUloja--DeportivoQuito 1.9 Under 2.5Under 2.5

[Boxing Champ]

Picks for 8/21/2011:

NorwichCity-- StokeCity 1.7UNDER 2.5
NorwichCity-- StokeCity 1.83 Away Team DNB
BoltonMan-- City 1.85 UNDER 2.5
WolverHampton-- Fullham 3.25 tie
WolverHampton-- Fullham 1.65 UNDER 2.5
Maiz--Schalke04 1.71 Home Team DNB
Hannover96--HerthaBSC 1.75 Over 2.5
Cobresol -- Melgar 2.1 Over 2.5
Puebla--Pumas 1.83 Away Team DNB
Toluca-- Atlante 1.75 over 2.5
LDUloja--DeportivoQuito 1.9 Under 2.5Under 2.5

Thanks for the great info and a write up...
What does DNB mean???

[cogiditopapa]

DNB=Draw no Bet
you pick a team to win, if the game ends on a draw is a push, you get your money Back. If the team you choose losses, then you lose you bet. If the team wins then you win your bet.
I think of this bet as an insurence bet because it eliminates the draw. Odds aré lower than Betting straight up on a team when you have the 3 choices , home team, draw, away team.

[cogiditopapa]

Picks for 8/21/2011:

NorwichCity-- StokeCity 1.7UNDER 2.5
NorwichCity-- StokeCity 1.83 Away Team DNB
BoltonMan-- City 1.85 UNDER 2.5
WolverHampton-- Fullham 3.25 tie
WolverHampton-- Fullham 1.65 UNDER 2.5
Maiz--Schalke04 1.71 Home Team DNB
Hannover96--HerthaBSC 1.75 Over 2.5
Cobresol -- Melgar 2.1 Over 2.5
Puebla--Pumas 1.83 Away Team DNB
Toluca-- Atlante 1.75 over 2.5
LDUloja--DeportivoQuito 1.9 Under 2.5Under 2.5

5 wins
5 losess
1 draw

[cogiditopapa]

8/23/2011 picks:

CobreloaUnionEspanola 2UNDER 2.5
UniversidadDeConcIquique 1.7Over 2.5
UdineseArsenal 1.8UNDER 2.5
RubinKazan Lyon 1.8UNDER 2.5 (This game started already, no time to upload the picks earlier)
ViktoriaPlzenCopenhagen1.85UNDER 2.5
SturmGrazBateBorisov 1.65UNDER 2.5
SantiagoWanderersHuachipato 1.8Over 2.5
SantiagoWanderersHuachipato 2.65Away Team ML

[phenomenon]

goodluck mate