UEFA Europa Qualifying July 14th

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  • RubberKettle
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-28-09
    • 6421

    #1
    UEFA Europa Qualifying July 14th
    I count 39 games today. So much variety and action.

    I will start us off in Kazakhstan where Irish team St Patricks look to keep the score close for the return leg in a weeks time. St Pats will be without Dave Mulcahy and Danny North, but Connor Kenna has made the trip.

    This is a very long trip and Shakhtyor Karagandy currently are on 4th position with 5 points less of the leader Lokomotiv Astana but at home showed solid performance 7-3-1 with 22:9 goals difference. St.Patrick's found life away from home hard when they visited Icelandic club IBV Vestmannaeyja. I don't think this is any easier and the Kazaks have two kids with wonderful goal scoring records this season.

    Shakhtyor Karagandy with odds of -115 seems very good
    I would also look at the under.

    More to come....
  • OneTipster
    Restricted User
    • 06-02-11
    • 849

    #2
    I'm on Shakhtyor Karagandy & Metalurg or Draw & Ferencvaros.
    Comment
    • RubberKettle
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-28-09
      • 6421

      #3
      Olimpi Rustavi vs Irtysh Pavlodar

      Olimpi defeated a very poor Armenian team Banants 2-1 over two legs to advance here - 1-0 in Armenia and 1-1 at home.

      But in second game after Armenian minnows Banants scored an equalizer Olimpi lost every playing scheme and played some awful football, Banants dominated and they just had no ability to put away a chance and win the game.

      Short to say Olimpi is a poor team and I don't see any home advantage today. There home form is OK, and the stadium will be half full at best.

      Irtysh is far better team than hosts here, and they showed great skill in the previous round against Jagiellonia. In first game they played with 10 men for more than half the game and finally conceded late on. At home they were totally in control scoring two goals in the 1st half and narrowly missing some opportunities to extend their lead. I watched this game last week as I had a bet on the under and I was surprised how dominant they were against supposed 'better' opposition.

      I don't get why this game is not pk or -.5 in the other direction. Getting Irtysh Pavlodar in good nick against a team that is ready to bow out of the qualifying. Irtysh Pavlodar +.5 (+100) and ML +300 small stakes.
      Comment
      • sockeye
        SBR High Roller
        • 10-31-09
        • 233

        #4
        Good luck
        Comment
        • TheBeautifulGame
          SBR MVP
          • 08-26-08
          • 1286

          #5
          Crusaders V Fulham - UNDER 2.5
          Comment
          • dlew2k
            SBR MVP
            • 05-26-08
            • 1009

            #6
            I like it. Good luck
            Comment
            • Blue_Chips
              Restricted User
              • 08-20-10
              • 1775

              #7
              Originally posted by TheBeautifulGame
              Crusaders V Fulham - UNDER 2.5
              Why?
              Comment
              • TwoWays
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-24-10
                • 13145

                #8
                Good info RubberKettle. Thanks for the picks as well.
                Comment
                • Powderguy
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-18-09
                  • 6939

                  #9
                  Nice writeups man, that first game Shakhter just allowed a late goal to tie it up
                  Comment
                  • RubberKettle
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 12-28-09
                    • 6421

                    #10
                    2-1 awesome
                    Comment
                    • RubberKettle
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 12-28-09
                      • 6421

                      #11
                      I would avoid playing these two 11:30 est games

                      KS Flamurtari Vlorë FK Baumit Jablonec

                      The Czech team (Jablonec) are favorites here, but Flamurtari are no pushovers. Wins over Motherwell and Montenegro side Buducnost prove their quality.

                      KuPS vs Gaz Metan Medias

                      Kups are in big troubkle and may be relegated. it is very difficult to say how they will take this game. Metan Medias is a quality side from Romania that will be playing on artificial turf for the very 1st time. This is also their 1st game of the season. Stay away.
                      Comment
                      • PickApprentice
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-20-10
                        • 1895

                        #12
                        Great info, RK. Keep up the good work!
                        Comment
                        • RubberKettle
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-28-09
                          • 6421

                          #13
                          Alright the Bookies will give us the next play.

                          Taurus vs ADO Den Haag

                          Taurus (Lithuania) are coming off a 6-0 win, but this was against a team that is bottom of the table with 7 points from 17 games and a -51 goal difference. ADO Den Haag is looking to get ready for the upcoming Erdivisie. Bookies have the total @ 3 with juice on the over. I'm looking at playing ADO -1.5. Even with some young players the 4-3-3 look of ADO is quick and effective vs such inferior opposition.
                          Comment
                          • waco66
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-14-09
                            • 1645

                            #14
                            already on ado den haag...good luck
                            Comment
                            • RubberKettle
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-28-09
                              • 6421

                              #15
                              ADO are disappointing so far. They missed 3 really good chances in the early stages and slowly Taurus have been building a foothold in the game. ADO have time and I hope they can finish better.

                              Metalurg Skopje vs Lokomotiv Sofia

                              Lokomotiv Sofia sold their two best players - Asamoah and Genkov last winter, and after that the team started to struggle in front of the goal especially away from home. They have scored only 16 goals in 15 away league matches this term. Their most creative attacking player, Dafchev, will be missing for tonight's game.

                              Metalurg have played 3 friendlies this summer, and won all of them, scoring 7 goals. At home their playing quite solid with 7 wins and 4 draws in their last 11 home matches. They got 7 clean sheets over this period as well.

                              Under 2.5 goals (-150) or less juice can be played through Under 2,2.5 (-110)

                              I do not think we will see 3 goals in this match with Lokomotiv's problems away from home and injuries.
                              Comment
                              • RubberKettle
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-28-09
                                • 6421

                                #16
                                So much for Den Haag, cant win em all.

                                What terrible officiating though.
                                Comment
                                • TwoWays
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-24-10
                                  • 13145

                                  #17
                                  Hey, 3 out of 4 is excellent. Nice going today.
                                  Comment
                                  • RubberKettle
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 12-28-09
                                    • 6421

                                    #18
                                    Thanks guys, hope you all did well today

                                    Pretty crazy game with ADO Den Haag. They would of won by two easily if the refree had a brain. He gave a penalty and sent this player off for a nothing challenge. Absolute shame he had to wreck the match. Den Haag still went on to score 3 and win after the red card, but they were always behind the 8 ball.
                                    Comment
                                    • waco66
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-14-09
                                      • 1645

                                      #19
                                      yea..that was an insane game. I took -1, -1.5 so only lost half my bet. Still..great day for you RK
                                      Comment
                                      • OneTipster
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 06-02-11
                                        • 849

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by OneTipster
                                        I'm on Shakhtyor Karagandy & Metalurg or Draw & Ferencvaros.
                                        All green.
                                        Comment
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