PickApprentice's Plays

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  • PickApprentice
    SBR MVP
    • 07-20-10
    • 1895

    #1
    PickApprentice's Plays
    Going to start off with 100 units and see how far I can get. This is just a trial run for the next season, and don't tail if you want to lose money.

    #1 Switzerland U21 vs Spain U21 under 2.5 @1.7 7 units

    #2 Czech U21 vs Belarus U21 over 2.5 2.05 5 units

    #3 Switzerland U21 vs Spain U21 HT Draw @ 2.15 2 unit

    #4 Aalesund vs Lillestrøm HW @ 1.9 2 units

    #5 San Jose vs Los Angeles Draw @ 3.4 2 units
    History favoures the home team. Two teams on relatively good form. LA will be without Donovan and Beckham is a doubt. I am going for a draw as I expect LA to retain the unbeaten record.


    Good luck!
  • PickApprentice
    SBR MVP
    • 07-20-10
    • 1895

    #2
    # 7 USA vs Mexico AW @ 2.3 5 units

    It is definitely not going to be a 5-0 again. Mexico only scored in the 2nd half after the round plays. No draws between the two teams head to head. USA playing at "home", but expect the stadium to fill with Mexicans supporters which may be a deciding factor in these clashes. USA is playing with a young striker upfront. Their defense is a bit shaky as shown against Jamaica, but they weren't really punished for it. It is a matter of which team wants the game more. For me, I see Mexico will take this in a relatively tight game plus they received a wake up call in the last game. Mexico is very good at set piece so watch out for that USA in the first half.

    Good luck, will update the results after everything is completed.
    Comment
    • PickApprentice
      SBR MVP
      • 07-20-10
      • 1895

      #3
      # 8 Viking v Rosenborg Draw @ 3.4 1 unit

      Both teams on good momentum and won their last two league games. A good quality game for a draw.
      Comment
      • PickApprentice
        SBR MVP
        • 07-20-10
        • 1895

        #4
        #1 Switzerland U21 vs Spain U21 under 2.5 @1.7 7 units

        #2 Czech U21 vs Belarus U21 over 2.5 2.05 5 units

        #3 Switzerland U21 vs Spain U21 HT Draw @ 2.15 2 unit

        #4 Aalesund vs Lillestrøm HW @ 1.9 2 units

        #5 San Jose vs Los Angeles Draw @ 3.4 2 units

        # 7 USA vs Mexico AW @ 2.3 5 units


        4-2 +11 units

        Was consider USA over 2.5 at over even odd, but just didn't have the balls to. Still good profit from Mexico win. I rely too much on stats for the Czech game, as 3rd and 4th place playoffs tend to go over 2.5. Anyway, a good start to the week.

        Good luck!!!
        Comment
        • PickApprentice
          SBR MVP
          • 07-20-10
          • 1895

          #5
          #9 Halmstad vs Helsingborg under 2.5 @ 1.74 3 units

          The home team likes to keep it tight at home with 83% of the match going under. Looks good as Helsingborg doesn't score a lot away from home.

          Good luck, match is on Monday!
          Comment
          • PickApprentice
            SBR MVP
            • 07-20-10
            • 1895

            #6
            #10 France v Nigeria HW @ 1.66 2 units

            Watching the game at the moment. I think France is going to take it.

            Good luck!
            Comment
            • PickApprentice
              SBR MVP
              • 07-20-10
              • 1895

              #7
              Originally posted by pickapprentice
              #10 france v nigeria hw @ 1.66 2 units

              Watching the game at the moment. I think france is going to take it.

              Good luck!
              5-2 + 12.32
              Comment
              • The Special One
                Restricted User
                • 01-08-11
                • 3972

                #8
                good stuff buddy!!
                Comment
                • PickApprentice
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-20-10
                  • 1895

                  #9
                  TSO, Long time! Are you still capping during the off season?

                  #11 Germany vs Canada Live under 4.5 goals 1.8 @ 1 unit

                  Don't see a repeat of the 5-0 friendly at the moment. Expecting a tighter game in the 2nd half.

                  Good luck!
                  Comment
                  • The Special One
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-08-11
                    • 3972

                    #10
                    Originally posted by PickApprentice
                    TSO, Long time! Are you still capping during the off season?
                    just a bit, waiting for Copa America..
                    Comment
                    • PickApprentice
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-20-10
                      • 1895

                      #11
                      Odd drops to 1.57. Seems like a lot of people share the same view.
                      Comment
                      • PickApprentice
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-20-10
                        • 1895

                        #12
                        #12 Germany vs Canada Live under 3.5 goals 1.83 @ 5 units

                        Let's get this! Canada hold tight!
                        Comment
                        • PickApprentice
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-20-10
                          • 1895

                          #13
                          Reason is that Germany took their two starting attackers off now. Looks like they are really happy about the score line.
                          Comment
                          • PickApprentice
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-20-10
                            • 1895

                            #14
                            Originally posted by pickapprentice
                            #12 germany vs canada live under 3.5 goals 1.83 @ 5 units

                            Let's get this! Canada hold tight!
                            Originally posted by pickapprentice
                            tso, long time! Are you still capping during the off season?

                            #11 germany vs canada live under 4.5 goals 1.8 @ 1 unit

                            Don't see a repeat of the 5-0 friendly at the moment. Expecting a tighter game in the 2nd half.

                            Good luck!
                            7-2 + 17.27
                            Comment
                            • PickApprentice
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-20-10
                              • 1895

                              #15
                              #13 River Plate vs Belgrano Córdoba HW @1.5 2 units

                              Good luck!!! Have my reason in the other thread!
                              Comment
                              • PickApprentice
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-20-10
                                • 1895

                                #16
                                Originally posted by PickApprentice
                                # 8 Viking v Rosenborg Draw @ 3.4 1 unit

                                Both teams on good momentum and won their last two league games. A good quality game for a draw.
                                Originally posted by PickApprentice
                                #13 River Plate vs Belgrano Córdoba HW @1.5 2 units

                                Good luck!!! Have my reason in the other thread!
                                8-3 + 17.67

                                Great Weekend!
                                Comment
                                • The Special One
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 01-08-11
                                  • 3972

                                  #17
                                  fantastic start!!
                                  Comment
                                  • PickApprentice
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-20-10
                                    • 1895

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by PickApprentice
                                    #9 Halmstad vs Helsingborg under 2.5 @ 1.74 3 units

                                    The home team likes to keep it tight at home with 83% of the match going under. Looks good as Helsingborg doesn't score a lot away from home.

                                    Good luck, match is on Monday!
                                    Final score 2-1. A goal in the 93rd minute killed the play.

                                    8-4 + 14.67
                                    Comment
                                    • PickApprentice
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-20-10
                                      • 1895

                                      #19
                                      #14 Lillestrom vs Start HW @1.8 2 units

                                      Start is 1-0-5 away from home and they recently fired their manager.

                                      #15 Fredrikstad vs Haugesund HW @1.8 4 units

                                      Another team with a poor away record 1-0-5 with only 3 goals scored in 6 games away from home.

                                      Good luck! Both games are on Wednesday.
                                      Comment
                                      • PickApprentice
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-20-10
                                        • 1895

                                        #20
                                        # 16 USA vs Korea DPR Live USA @ 1.83 2.5 units

                                        USA is attacking well. It is a matter of time before the first goal will come. More units will be placed if score stays 0-0

                                        Good luck!
                                        Comment
                                        • PickApprentice
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-20-10
                                          • 1895

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by pickapprentice
                                          # 16 usa vs korea dpr live usa @ 1.83 2.5 units

                                          Usa is attacking well. It is a matter of time before the first goal will come. More units will be placed if score stays 0-0

                                          good luck!
                                          9-4 + 16.75
                                          Comment
                                          • pellibr
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 05-09-11
                                            • 105

                                            #22
                                            Nice work man!!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • PickApprentice
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-20-10
                                              • 1895

                                              #23
                                              This play is not soccer, it is the super 15 rugby outright play.

                                              I am pretty confident about this play and have done a lot of back dating research on the winners of the past. I have no experience in betting in these situation so this might be a down side, but I am willing to risk really big on this. Probably 50% of my savings and that is how confident I am with this bet.

                                              Semi finals this weekend, games are Stormers v Crusaders and Reds v Blues. Reds finish top of the log with stormers 2nd, so they have home games. This is the history of the finals. The number indicates the log position of the teams with the lowest number always playing at home and the first number winning the match.

                                              2010 1 v 2
                                              2009 1 v 2
                                              2008 1 v 2
                                              2007 2 v 1 win by 1 point
                                              2006 1 v 2
                                              2005 1 v 2
                                              2004 1 v 2
                                              2003 1 v 2
                                              2002 1 v 3
                                              2001 1 v 2
                                              2000 2 v 1 win by 1
                                              1999 4 v 3 interestingly, stormers and reds played at home
                                              1998 2 v 1
                                              1997 1 v 2
                                              1996 2 v 4

                                              As you can see the final tends to be 1 v 2, so it is likely to be Reds v Stormers. I am very confident about Reds beating Blues. The stats also suggest this. The stormers match is hard to call, but if you follow super 15, you would know that Crusaders beat Stormers at Newlands during the season when stormers was on a high. Saders had half of the backline went off by half time and they still manage to win the game. I am not saying they are going to win it comfortably again this time. If the Stormers win on Sat, they will most likely face the Reds away. I don't see Stormers beating the Reds away as again the Reds managed to beat stormers comfortably at Newsland during the season when stormers was on a high as well. The only team that is capable of beating the reds is the crusaders due to their talent. So even if stormers wins on sat, I don't think they will win the final.

                                              My plays are :
                                              Reds outright to win the super 15 @ 3.2 50 units
                                              Crusaders outright to win the super 15 @ 3 50 units
                                              Crusader ML (v Stormers) @2 50 units

                                              Good luck!
                                              Comment
                                              • PickApprentice
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-20-10
                                                • 1895

                                                #24
                                                #17 Norway vs E. Guinea Draw @ 2.4 3 units

                                                Good luck, it looks like a draw game. Both teams are not scoring.
                                                Comment
                                                • PickApprentice
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-20-10
                                                  • 1895

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by pickapprentice
                                                  #17 norway vs e. Guinea draw @ 2.4 3 units

                                                  good luck, it looks like a draw game. Both teams are not scoring.
                                                  9-5 +13.75
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PickApprentice
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-20-10
                                                    • 1895

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by pickapprentice
                                                    #14 lillestrom vs start hw @1.8 2 units

                                                    Start is 1-0-5 away from home and they recently fired their manager.

                                                    #15 fredrikstad vs haugesund hw @1.8 4 units

                                                    Another team with a poor away record 1-0-5 with only 3 goals scored in 6 games away from home.

                                                    Good luck! Both games are on wednesday.
                                                    11-5 + 18.55
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PickApprentice
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 07-20-10
                                                      • 1895

                                                      #27
                                                      #18 Uzbekistan U17 - Australia U17 AW @ 2.4 1 unit

                                                      #19 Brazil U17 - Ecuador U17 HW @ 1.33 3 units

                                                      #20 Olafsvik - KA Akureyri HW @ 1.9 2.5 units

                                                      The weighting is the confidence level.

                                                      Good luck!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • PickApprentice
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-20-10
                                                        • 1895

                                                        #28
                                                        [B]#21 Bahia v Corinthians AW @2.05 2.5 units
                                                        @1.95 2.5 units
                                                        @1.95 2.5 units

                                                        Total is 7.5 units

                                                        There was a price movement after I placed my 2nd bet.

                                                        Good luck!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • PickApprentice
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-20-10
                                                          • 1895

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by PickApprentice
                                                          #18 Uzbekistan U17 - Australia U17 AW @ 2.4 1 unit

                                                          #19 Brazil U17 - Ecuador U17 HW @ 1.33 3 units

                                                          #20 Olafsvik - KA Akureyri HW @ 1.9 2.5 units

                                                          The weighting is the confidence level.

                                                          Good luck!
                                                          The Australia game is just disappointing. Glad didn't put in big on it.

                                                          13-6 +20.79
                                                          Comment
                                                          • PickApprentice
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-20-10
                                                            • 1895

                                                            #30
                                                            #22 Sao Paulo - Botafogo RJ over 2.5 @1.77 1 unit
                                                            #23 Sao Paulo - Botafogo RJ HW @ 1.75 1 unit


                                                            Good luck! That is it for the night, hopefully a profitable morning for all!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • PickApprentice
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-20-10
                                                              • 1895

                                                              #31
                                                              #24 Brann - O. Grenland under 2.5 @ 2 1 unit

                                                              Really like the odd here, have good reason to back the price.

                                                              Good luck!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • PickApprentice
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-20-10
                                                                • 1895

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by pickapprentice
                                                                [b]#21 bahia v corinthians aw @2.05 2.5 units
                                                                @1.95 2.5 units
                                                                @1.95 2.5 units

                                                                Total is 7.5 units

                                                                there was a price movement after i placed my 2nd bet.

                                                                Good luck!
                                                                Originally posted by pickapprentice
                                                                #22 sao paulo - botafogo rj over 2.5 @1.77 1 unit
                                                                #23 sao paulo - botafogo rj hw @ 1.75 1 unit


                                                                good luck! That is it for the night, hopefully a profitable morning for all!
                                                                14-8 +26.165
                                                                Comment
                                                                • PickApprentice
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-20-10
                                                                  • 1895

                                                                  #33
                                                                  #25 DPR vs Sweden AW Live @ 2.5 10 units

                                                                  #26 DPR vs Sweden Draw Live @ 2.37 10 units


                                                                  Good luck!!!

                                                                  Sweden hasn't conceded a goal yet.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • PickApprentice
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 07-20-10
                                                                    • 1895

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by pickapprentice
                                                                    #24 brann - o. Grenland under 2.5 @ 2 1 unit

                                                                    really like the odd here, have good reason to back the price.

                                                                    Good luck!
                                                                    Originally posted by pickapprentice
                                                                    #25 dpr vs sweden aw live @ 2.5 10 units

                                                                    #26 dpr vs sweden draw live @ 2.37 10 units


                                                                    good luck!!!

                                                                    Sweden hasn't conceded a goal yet.
                                                                    15-9 +28.665
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • PickApprentice
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 07-20-10
                                                                      • 1895

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by PickApprentice
                                                                      This play is not soccer, it is the super 15 rugby outright play.

                                                                      I am pretty confident about this play and have done a lot of back dating research on the winners of the past. I have no experience in betting in these situation so this might be a down side, but I am willing to risk really big on this. Probably 50% of my savings and that is how confident I am with this bet.

                                                                      Semi finals this weekend, games are Stormers v Crusaders and Reds v Blues. Reds finish top of the log with stormers 2nd, so they have home games. This is the history of the finals. The number indicates the log position of the teams with the lowest number always playing at home and the first number winning the match.

                                                                      2010 1 v 2
                                                                      2009 1 v 2
                                                                      2008 1 v 2
                                                                      2007 2 v 1 win by 1 point
                                                                      2006 1 v 2
                                                                      2005 1 v 2
                                                                      2004 1 v 2
                                                                      2003 1 v 2
                                                                      2002 1 v 3
                                                                      2001 1 v 2
                                                                      2000 2 v 1 win by 1
                                                                      1999 4 v 3 interestingly, stormers and reds played at home
                                                                      1998 2 v 1
                                                                      1997 1 v 2
                                                                      1996 2 v 4

                                                                      As you can see the final tends to be 1 v 2, so it is likely to be Reds v Stormers. I am very confident about Reds beating Blues. The stats also suggest this. The stormers match is hard to call, but if you follow super 15, you would know that Crusaders beat Stormers at Newlands during the season when stormers was on a high. Saders had half of the backline went off by half time and they still manage to win the game. I am not saying they are going to win it comfortably again this time. If the Stormers win on Sat, they will most likely face the Reds away. I don't see Stormers beating the Reds away as again the Reds managed to beat stormers comfortably at Newsland during the season when stormers was on a high as well. The only team that is capable of beating the reds is the crusaders due to their talent. So even if stormers wins on sat, I don't think they will win the final.

                                                                      My plays are :
                                                                      Reds outright to win the super 15 @ 3.2 50 units
                                                                      Crusaders outright to win the super 15 @ 3 50 units
                                                                      Crusader ML (v Stormers) @2 50 units

                                                                      Good luck!
                                                                      Already 50 units up with crusaders winning today!
                                                                      Comment
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