Originally posted by Enkhbat
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It's not a actually a system...I have a few formulas with different weight put on defense, offense etc, that gives a percentage likelihood of a home, away or draw outcome. What I do when I tweak it is how much weight to put on the different numbers. It's quite complicated to explain. But it's actually formulas I have modified from baseball and hockey and I have used them for years with a decent amount of success there...just need to find the best way to apply it to soccer.
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30th of April
Stoke +188 $100 to win $188 LOSS -$100
Everton +165 $100 to win $165 LOSS -$100
Reading +125 $100 to win $125 LOSS -$100
Hull -114 $114 to win $100 LOSS -$114
Watford v QPR DRAW +241 $100 to win $241 LOSS -$100
Sheffield Wed +204 $100 to win $204 LOSS -$100
Dagenham & Red v Carlisle DRAW +275 $100 to win $275 LOSS -$100
Aldershot v Rotherham DRAW +254 $100 to win $254 WON +$254
Bury v Wycombe DRAW +276 $100 to win $276 LOSS -$100
Shrewsbury -110 $110 to win $100 WON +$100
Oxford Utd +110 $100 to win $110 WON +$110
Southend +125 $100 to win $125 LOSS -$100
Motherwell v Rangers DRAW +345 $100 to win $345 LOSS -$100
Kilmarnock v Hearts DRAW +240 $100 to win $240 WON +$240
Albinoleffe v Reggina DRAW +114 $100 to win $114
Portogruaro v Pescara DRAW +244 $100 to win $244 LOSS -$100
Varese +135 $100 to win $135 LOSS -$100
Elche +224 $100 to win $224 LOSS -$100
Hoffenheim - VfB Stuttgart DRAW +260 $100 to win $260 LOSS -$100
Bayer Leverkusen -111 $111 to win $100 LOSS -$111
Atl. Madrid +125 $100 to win $125 WON +$125
Xerez +149 $100 to win $149 WON +$149
Today
6-15 -$547
Record to date
1x2 Record : 58 - 59 +$2446
Correct Score Record : 0-2 -$20
Over/Under Record : 0-1 -$32.40
Parlays: 0-2 -$100
Hmm...
Edit : The striked out game was not a win...the game was suspended, so the bet was canceled.Comment -
1st of May
Sevilla +100 $100 to win $100
Villarreal -118 $118 to win 100
Montpellier v Brest DRAW +235 $100 to win $235
Lyon +129 $100 to win $129
Benfica -109 $109 to win $100
Lot less plays today, as I modified the formula a little...but it also eliminated the high value plays as well. We'll see how it goes...
GL today guys
Comment -
1st of May
Sevilla +100 $100 to win $100 WON +$100
Villarreal -118 $118 to win 100 WON +$100
Montpellier v Brest DRAW +235 $100 to win $235 WON +$235
Lyon +129 $100 to win $129 LOSS -$100
Benfica -109 $109 to win $100 LOSS -$109
What could have been a great night became only a good night when Benfica managed to only make draw with an overtime goal against...and you know I hate bad beats :P
Today
3-2 +$226
Record to date
1x2 Record : 61 - 61 +$2672
Correct Score Record : 0-2 -$20
Over/Under Record : 0-1 -$32.40
Parlays: 0-2 -$100Comment -
2nd of May
Norwich -106 $106 to win $100
Espanyol v Ath bilbao DRAW +256 $100 to win $256
That's it...Comment -
Norwich -106 $106 to win $100 WON +$100
Espanyol v Ath bilbao DRAW +256 $100 to win $256 LOSS -$100
Lost the draw to a late scoring by Espanyol...too bad really. Looked quite good there for a moment...
Today
1-1 +-$0
Record to date
1x2 Record : 62 - 62 +$2672
Correct Score Record : 0-2 -$20
Over/Under Record : 0-1 -$32.40
Parlays: 0-2 -$100Comment -
btw...I won't have any plays tomorrow, as I don't have enough data on the leagues playing, and that CL game I won't touch if my life depended on it. Too much outside influence...Comment -
Just one play for today...
Roskilde v Fredericia DRAW +261 $100 to win $261Comment -
4th of May
Roskilde v Fredericia DRAW +261 $100 to win $261 WON +$261
Today
1-0 +$261
Record to date
1x2 Record : 63 - 62 +$2933
Correct Score Record : 0-2 -$20
Over/Under Record : 0-1 -$32.40
Parlays: 0-2 -$100Comment -
5th of May
No Plays...Comment -
6th of May
Angers -110 $110 to win $100
Boulogne v Ajaccio DRAW +211 $100 to win $221
Evian Thonon Gaillard +125 $100 to win $125
Le Havre +114 $100 to win $114
Nimes v Reims DRAW +225 $100 to win $225
Sedan -105 $105 to win $100
Best of luck to everyone today...
Comment -
6th of May
Angers -110 $110 to win $100 WON +$100
Boulogne v Ajaccio DRAW +211 $100 to win $221 LOSS -$100
Evian Thonon Gaillard +125 $100 to win $125 LOSS -$100
Le Havre +114 $100 to win $114 LOSS -$100
Nimes v Reims DRAW +225 $100 to win $225 WON +$225
Sedan -105 $105 to win $100 WON +$100
Today
3-3 +$125
Record to date
1x2 Record : 66 - 65 +$3058
Correct Score Record : 0-2 -$20
Over/Under Record : 0-1 -$32.40
Parlays: 0-2 -$100Comment -
7th of May
Bolton -125 $125 to win $100
Barnsley v Millwall DRAW +240 $100 to win $240
Hull City +210 $100 to win $210
Watford +170 $100 to win $170
QPR -105 $105 to win $100
Morecambe v Northampton DRAW +260 $100 to win $260
Ross County v Cowdenbeath DRAW +309 $100 to win $309
Comment -
I'm starting to hate Saturdays...Comment -
:facepalm:
0-7 for the day....awsomeComment -
0-7 -$730
Record to date
1x2 Record : 66 - 72 +$2328
Correct Score Record : 0-2 -$20
Over/Under Record : 0-1 -$32.40
Parlays: 0-2 -$100
I'm not going to post pics for a while...I'm going to look into other soccer strategies, and maybe start looking into the Asian Handicap as a viable option. Right now I do well in baseball, so I might start to share those...
GL guys...Comment -
what strategy do you use in baseball? sounds interestingComment -
I do them mostly the same way I do soccer...some formulas that gives me a result, and a chance of win on both sides. But I still like soccer too much to just give up on it. The draw is great for profit...if you only bet draws, you would only need to hit about a third of your bets to make a profit.Comment