Modena vs Atalanta fixed?

[Kraghen]

odds for the draw in this game is only 1.60, it's incredibly low comparing to usual draw odds, don't you think so?
Even thought it's low, it's still interesting enought to make profit as it's above 1.5...

[nyplayer33]

gonna check on betfair and see how much money is wagered on each side..

[JOHON8]

I'm playing it live.

1. you can see whats going on for yourself
2. you can get a better price

[zlate22]

good idea johon but where to watch this game?

[JOHON8]

good idea johon but where to watch this game?

wait for when the match starts, then find it here: http://www.myp2p.eu/broadcast.php?ma...19&part=sports

[pouroupoupou]

odds on the draw between 2.00 and 2.30
Grosseto - Reggina 2:2 3.32 2.01 3.27 23.05.2010

Albinoleffe - Torino 1:2 3.67 2.30 2.44 09.04.2011

Padova - Portogruaro 3:1 2.14 2.11 5.53 09.04.2011

Cittadella - Varese 2:2 3.00 2.23 3.11 02.04.2011

Sassuolo - Albinoleffe 1:0 2.24 2.06 6.08 02.04.2011

Crotone - Ascoli 1:0 2.36 2.14 4.84 05.04.2011

Empoli - Albinoleffe 1:3 2.14 2.18 5.34 15.05.2010

Ascoli - Lecce 1:2 3.63 2.19 2.72 08.05.2010

Ancona - Grosseto 1:1 3.25 2.06 3.48 30.04.2010

Ascoli - Piacenza 1:1 2.46 2.01 4.92 24.04.2010

Grosseto - Lecce 0:3 3.23 2.15 3.08 24.04.2010

Piacenza - Sassuolo 1:3 2.82 2.30 3.11 19.04.2010

Albinoleffe - Grosseto 1:1 2.59 2.27 3.57 13.04.2010

Lecce - Torino 2:1 2.63 2.17 3.94 10.04.2010

Modena - Sassuolo 1:1 3.12 2.03 3.33 10.04.2010

Albinoleffe - Cesena 1:2 2.99 2.03 3.63 10.04.2010

Piacenza - Crotone 1:0 2.49 2.14 4.34 02.04.2010

Vicenza - Modena 1:1 2.30 2.21 4.75 02.04.2010

Triestina - Padova 2:1 2.40 2.14 4.72 27.03.2010

Ascoli - Livorno 2:3 4.08 2.18 2.51 30.05.2009

Ascoli - Salernitana 0:2 2.80 2.21 3.43 16.05.2009

Chievo - Bari 2:2 2.07 2.20 6.48 01.06.2008

Modena - Brescia 0:3 2.93 2.19 3.04 03.05.2008

Triestina - Modena 3:1 2.64 2.24 3.40 19.04.2008

Ascoli - Grosseto 3:5 2.40 2.23 3.89 19.04.2008

Frosinone - Ascoli 3:3 2.29 2.23 4.24 12.04.2008

Grosseto - Triestina 1:2 2.17 2.31 4.40 12.04.2008

Parma - Empoli 3:1 1.76 2.11 12.96 27.05.2007

Atalanta - Siena 3:1 2.77 2.29 3.25 06.05.2007

Livorno - Palermo 1:2 3.19 2.16 3.02 29.04.2007

Torino - AC Milan 0:1 4.63 2.22 2.31 28.04.2007

[pouroupoupou]

Some stats about low odds draws in Serie B
In the last 5 season(current season included) there were 54 games with odds on the draw lower than 2.30
23 of them had odds lower than 2.00 and 16 of them confirmed the draw.
31 of them had odds between 2.00 and 2.30 but only 9 of them ended draws.

here is the list of the games:
odds on draw below 2.00
Piacenza - Pescara 0:2 2.35 1.94 5.33 09.04.2011

Empoli - Novara 0:0 2.97 1.96 3.67 08.04.2011

Empoli - Padova 2:2 2.73 1.78 6.24 02.04.2011

Pescara - Crotone 1:0 2.59 1.99 5.24 02.04.2011

Padova - Atalanta 1:1 4.92 1.98 3.02 26.03.2011

Empoli - Grosseto 2:2 2.49 1.89 6.72 30.05.2010

Frosinone - Triestina 2:2 3.40 1.98 3.16 30.05.2010

Lecce - Sassuolo 0:0 4.71 1.18 22.96 30.05.2010

Vicenza - Lecce 0:0 7.72 1.40 3.78 23.05.2010

Piacenza - Triestina 0:0 3.86 1.56 4.68 15.05.2010

Lecce - Cesena 1:2 3.17 1.60 6.18 14.05.2010

Piacenza - Vicenza 1:1 2.77 1.74 5.31 01.05.2010

Modena - Albinoleffe 1:1 2.68 1.89 4.70 17.04.2010

Crotone - Modena 4:2 2.72 1.68 6.42 13.04.2010

Modena - Piacenza 0:1 2.76 1.94 4.35 27.03.2010

Mantova - Salernitana 1:1 7.81 1.24 6.33 30.05.2009

Treviso - Ascoli 1:1 10.80 1.87 2.89 23.05.2009

Frosinone - Cittadella 1:0 3.19 1.55 6.40 23.05.2009

Bari - Modena 4:1 2.70 1.98 4.38 16.05.2009

Cittadella - Parma 2:2 3.36 1.79 3.99 16.05.2009

Piacenza - Bari 2:2 4.32 1.70 3.62 09.05.2009

Grosseto - Chievo 1:1 7.59 1.58 2.88 25.05.2008

Torino - Livorno 0:0 3.09 1.44 9.23 20.05.2007

[Kraghen]

Thanks for the stats Pouroupoupou!

[JOHON8]

thanks for those stats, shows us that they don't hit 100% something like 80-90%

[Kraghen]

thanks for those stats, shows us that they don't hit 100% something like 80-90%

how can we know if the book is cheating us or not? Some games are over juiced...

[JOHON8]

Right now the odds went from 1.6 to 1.8 in a couple minutes.

[JOHON8]

This looks like a waste of time right now, both trying hard to score. I'm gonna return and watch the end of the 2nd half.

[OGUCCI-SBR]

Atalanta scored a super badass goal.

[JOHON8]

Atalanta scored a super badass goal.

in what way was it scored?

[OGUCCI-SBR]

in what way was it scored?

Similar to this one




But he didn't make that dive and the ball also bounced against the bar.
Lovely goal.

[Hory]

And there we go 1-1

[JOHON8]

****ing Italians.

[OGUCCI-SBR]

1-2 Atalanta in the 89th

[JOHON8]

Atalanta scored 2-1, 2 minutes to go. Should be interesting what happens now.

[Hory]

doh, bad keeping there and its 2-1, someone's getting a horse head in their bed tonight

[JOHON8]

doh, bad keeping there and its 2-1, someone's getting a horse head in their bed tonight

nice one.

[JOHON8]

Free kick for Modena in a nice spot, referee to the mobsters rescue.

[OGUCCI-SBR]

Modena hit the bar

[JOHON8]

Almost a goal from that free kick, I don't think Atalanta got the memo they are making some heroic saves.

[JOHON8]

wtf, 93rd minute with 3 minutes extra time. Ref is letting them play on.

[OGUCCI-SBR]

To answer OP's question:

No, not fixed.

[JOHON8]

95'

looks like the ref has his house on this game.

[JOHON8]

To answer OP's question:

No, not fixed.

You can't say it wasn't fixed. There are plenty of games where a fix goes wrong. It's not like every player is in on it. It could be just the ref, the goalie or a couple players.

[Kraghen]

You can't say it wasn't fixed. There are plenty of games where a fix goes wrong. It's not like every player is in on it. It could be just the ref, the goalie or a couple players.

That's exactly what I try to explain to people...

[OGUCCI-SBR]

You can't say it wasn't fixed. There are plenty of games where a fix goes wrong. It's not like every player is in on it. It could be just the ref, the goalie or a couple players.

not tryin to be a smartass nor relating to the score, just didn't seem fixed to me.

[jw]

Some stats about low odds draws in Serie B
In the last 5 season(current season included) there were 54 games with odds on the draw lower than 2.30
23 of them had odds lower than 2.00 and 16 of them confirmed the draw.
31 of them had odds between 2.00 and 2.30 but only 9 of them ended draws.

So 54 games with average odds of around 2.0 ... and 25 of them (about half) did indeed draw .. and the games with the lower odds - showed a higher percentage of winning "draw" bets being correct ... nothing at all there to say that low odds = more chance of a fixed game ... the results reflect the odds ... the lower the odds on the draw .. the more chance there was that the draw happened .... am I missing something ... isn't that how its supposed to work ?

[ararat2010]

Well, Im gonna back to Italia )))