Potentially Fixed Games

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  • JOHON8
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-28-10
    • 7712

    #1
    Potentially Fixed Games
    As always nothing is certain. I'm just going to keep record of what I see in the market.

    Macedonia:

    Metalurg Skopje - FK Skopje
    48% drop in FK ML from 8.00 to 4.00
  • JOHON8
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-28-10
    • 7712

    #2
    Italy
    Cagliari - Brescia
    300k on the draw at BetFair. Lines closing in various books.
    Comment
    • PickApprentice
      SBR MVP
      • 07-20-10
      • 1895

      #3
      Thanks Johon8!
      Comment
      • shari91
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 02-23-10
        • 32661

        #4
        Originally posted by JOHON8
        As always nothing is certain. I'm just going to keep record of what I see in the market.

        Macedonia:

        Metalurg Skopje - FK Skopje
        48% drop in FK ML from 8.00 to 4.00
        Someone sent me a msg about this match awhile ago. It's still sitting at $7.50 at an Aussie book so I put $10 on it.
        Comment
        • JOHON8
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-28-10
          • 7712

          #5
          Ascoli - Sassuolo

          There was about 40k on Ascoli ML an hour ago, about 200k on it right now. Again I have no idea why this is happening, just following the market.
          Comment
          • Sanka
            SBR MVP
            • 03-29-10
            • 2641

            #6
            Originally posted by JOHON8
            Ascoli - Sassuolo

            There was about 40k on Ascoli ML an hour ago, about 200k on it right now. Again I have no idea why this is happening, just following the market.
            Was just about to post this, seems fishy.
            Comment
            • Sanka
              SBR MVP
              • 03-29-10
              • 2641

              #7
              Ascoli game taken off the board by many books now
              Comment
              • Brazilian soccer
                SBR MVP
                • 07-04-10
                • 1589

                #8
                Originally posted by JOHON8
                Ascoli - Sassuolo There was about 40k on Ascoli ML an hour ago, about 200k on it right now. Again I have no idea why this is happening, just following the market.
                Originally posted by Sanka
                Was just about to post this, seems fishy.
                Originally posted by Sanka
                Ascoli game taken off the board by many books now
                Thanks for posting my friend.
                I had noticed movement in this game and really ascoli are pulling too many books.
                I will also follow the market just for fun.

                I also can not find the game of macedonia.
                Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                Balance:
                Comment
                • Brazilian soccer
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-04-10
                  • 1589

                  #9
                  Johon; just forgot to say that I admire your work.

                  Sanka Too... I admire your work.
                  Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                  http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                  Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                  0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                  Balance:
                  Comment
                  • JOHON8
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-28-10
                    • 7712

                    #10
                    There is no way I'm putting any money on these game before they start.

                    I'm going to look at some of them live and look for the obvious signs. If anyone is going to watch one of these report back in this thread if you want to help out.
                    Comment
                    • nyplayer33
                      Restricted User
                      • 09-27-06
                      • 8303

                      #11
                      draw at cagliardi/brescia is +125 at a book I use
                      Comment
                      • nyplayer33
                        Restricted User
                        • 09-27-06
                        • 8303

                        #12
                        very well done
                        Comment
                        • Brazilian soccer
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-04-10
                          • 1589

                          #13
                          Originally posted by JOHON8
                          There is no way I'm putting any money on these game before they start. I'm going to look at some of them live and look for the obvious signs. If anyone is going to watch one of these report back in this thread if you want to help out.
                          Let's make trading similar to that game got odd@ 30,00

                          you remember?
                          Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                          http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                          Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                          0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                          Balance:
                          Comment
                          • Sanka
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-29-10
                            • 2641

                            #14
                            Originally posted by nyplayer33
                            draw at cagliardi/brescia is +125 at a book I use
                            Odds on Brescia ML have dropped pretty hard there and odds on the draw are actually rising.
                            Comment
                            • nyplayer33
                              Restricted User
                              • 09-27-06
                              • 8303

                              #15
                              Brescia +187, Cagliardi +200 draw +125.......so the fav is the draw
                              Comment
                              • PickApprentice
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-20-10
                                • 1895

                                #16
                                Can anyone confirm this as a draw? Give me a percentage confidence level
                                Comment
                                • Sanka
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-29-10
                                  • 2641

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by nyplayer33
                                  Brescia +187, Cagliardi +200 draw +125.......so the fav is the draw
                                  Odds on draw have risen to +150/+155 at several places (starting from -125), odds on Brescia ML have dropped from +300 to +170. Check back in a few hours and tell me who the favourite is then
                                  Comment
                                  • nyplayer33
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 09-27-06
                                    • 8303

                                    #18
                                    palm to forehead..LOL
                                    Comment
                                    • nyplayer33
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 09-27-06
                                      • 8303

                                      #19
                                      Betfair, 309,000 on draw, 162,000 Brescia, Cagliardi 34,000
                                      Comment
                                      • tullamore21
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-12-09
                                        • 1929

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by JOHON8
                                        As always nothing is certain. I'm just going to keep record of what I see in the market.

                                        Macedonia:

                                        Metalurg Skopje - FK Skopje
                                        48% drop in FK ML from 8.00 to 4.00
                                        ahahaha Macedonia...
                                        Comment
                                        • GMilst
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 02-01-11
                                          • 279

                                          #21
                                          As i asked Sanka earlier, what do you guys think about Piacenza - Pescara? Yesterday the draw was @2,2, today 15 minutes in, its @1,5 and dropping, looks fishy to me.
                                          Comment
                                          • PickApprentice
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-20-10
                                            • 1895

                                            #22
                                            Ascoli - Sassuolo 0-0, guess it's a fixed draw.
                                            Comment
                                            • hedgejob
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-21-09
                                              • 2561

                                              #23
                                              Crapshoot
                                              Comment
                                              • hedgejob
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-21-09
                                                • 2561

                                                #24
                                                BTW, there's one adage you should never forget in life: if it sounds too good to be true...
                                                Comment
                                                • JOHON8
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-28-10
                                                  • 7712

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by hedgejob
                                                  BTW, there's one adage you should never forget in life: if it sounds too good to be true...
                                                  Anyone who bets these games before they start is not doing it right, so I don't know who you're talking about. Watching the Ascoli game live I dropped a little on the under because I saw what was going on, that's what you have to do with these games.

                                                  And yes, all of the games I mentioned were fixed.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • nyplayer33
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 09-27-06
                                                    • 8303

                                                    #26
                                                    had this draw...thanks Johon8
                                                    Comment
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