Live Betting 2011 - It's all about timing

[OGUCCI-SBR]

SOCCER RECORD 246-0-160



Woo! Both plays are hits.


FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS
and
CLEAN SHEET FOR BRAY WANDERERS - NO

after just 6 minutes Bohemians score a goal and the BIG play hits too.

[corst]

Good

[pellibr]

man!! First day I bet with you, I got a 3-0 including a big stake bet!



Thanks a lot and good luck!!

[andywend]

246 wins and 160 losses equals approximately a 60% win rate over a 406 game sample which is statistically large enough to say that your original 75% win estimate is NOT REALISTIC.

To break even, your average odds would need to be about -150 (1.67 European) and your average wager price has been lower than 1.67 (more of a favorite).

Not trying to knock you here but either you have gone on an extended bad luck streak or your handicapping isn't as good as you think it is.

[OGUCCI-SBR]

246 wins and 160 losses equals approximately a 60% win rate over a 406 game sample which is statistically large enough to say that your original 75% win estimate is NOT REALISTIC.

To break even, your average odds would need to be about -150 (1.67 European) and your average wager price has been lower than 1.67 (more of a favorite).

Not trying to knock you here but either you have gone on an extended bad luck streak or your handicapping isn't as good as you think it is.

Oh yes it is good. Lemme tell you something... you only checked the original post of the thread, then went through some five or six pages and knocked off this nonsense.
Yes, my basal ambition was to hit 75% but with odds no lower than 1.50! Then I asked to change it to 1.60 or smth... read at the bottom of the OP:

Last edited by shari91; 04-27-11 at 12:41 PM.. Reason: edited at poster's request

Then, if you checked more closely, around the 8th, 9th page I increased it to ''your 1.67''. Most of them were 1.60+ smth and some of them were 1.80, 2.00 and even higher.
Then around my 220th bet and on... increased it to a minimum of 1.70 and up.
And now at my 406th mark I'm around 66w/40L in my last 105~ bets @ 1.80~av. odds

I'm not saying (never actually did) it's the most profiting thread in the forum and everyone should follow me but don't tell me I'm in red and far from EVEN

As I mentioned earlier, it's more for my followers than me, this betting... I don't play them all and I play a lot outside the forum. The ones that follow me, they'll catch the bet only a minute or two after I posted it (at best) which increases the odds for them even more. I have seen only ''happy and beholden faces'' here which means they're doing just fine...and if you're bothered about me and my numbers - don't be.

Understand this - I aint praisin or promulgating this thread or anything. I simply post My picks here and if people want - they follow me and get that money... if not, they are free to leave it. There's no need and time for this empty talk.
Good luck.

man!! First day I bet with you, I got a 3-0 including a big stake bet!



Thanks a lot and good luck!!

Glad you cashed

[OGUCCI-SBR]

SOCCER PLAY No407

RUSSIA - PREMIER LEAGUE RESERVES
TOM TOMSK (R) - FK ROSTOV (R)

11' minute 0-0
FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

Odds: 1.75

Book: bet365, 188BET

[OGUCCI-SBR]

SOCCER RECORD 247-0-160


Winner

1-1 at HT

[OGUCCI-SBR]

SOCCER PLAY No408

RUSSIA - PREMIER LEAGUE RESERVES
SPARTAK MOSCOW (R) - DINAMO MOSCOW (R)

16' minute 0-0
FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

Odds: 1.75

Book: bet365, 188BET

[OGUCCI-SBR]

SOCCER RECORD 248-0-160



Another winner

after just 3 minutes Dinamo Moscow 0-1.



14 WINS / 2 LOSSES in last sixteen bets

[OGUCCI-SBR]

SOCCER PLAY No409

ARMENIA - FIRST LEAGUE
IMPULS DILIJAN II - FC MIKA II

10' minute 0-0
FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

Odds: 1.80

Book: bet365, 188BET

[OGUCCI-SBR]

SOCCER PLAY No410

RUSSIA - PREMIER LEAGUE RESERVES
CSKA MOSCOW (R) - LOKOMOTIV MOSCOW (R)

15' minute 0-0
FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

Odds: 1.72

Book: bet365, 188BET

[OGUCCI-SBR]

SOCCER PLAY No411

SWEDEN - FOLKSAM U21
DJURGARDENS U21 - GEFLE IF U21

35' minute 0-0
FIRST HALF UNDER 0.5 GOALS

Odds: 1.70

Book: bet365, 188BET

[thespeculator]

you record is very impressive ,but i took the under in the game above

[thespeculator]

for the game,so we could both win

[OGUCCI-SBR]

you record is very impressive ,but i took the under in the game above

for the game,so we could both win

Thanks, let's hope it stays 0-0 at HalfTime

[thespeculator]

SOCCER PLAY No411

SWEDEN - FOLKSAM U21
DJURGARDENS U21 - GEFLE IF U21

35' minute 0-0
FIRST HALF UNDER 0.5 GOALS

Odds: 1.70

Book: bet365, 188BET

i am playing at betfair right now , bet365 is amazing for live action, but there are some many options they overwhelm your senses

[thespeculator]

nice hit bro

[escou]

nice picks lately, tough luck I have not been able to follow

[OGUCCI-SBR]

SOCCER PLAY No412

ESTONIA - MEISTRILIIGA
FC KURESSAARE - JK TRANS NARVA

21' minute 0-0
HALFTIME RESULT - JK TRANS NARVA

Odds: 1.95

Book: bet365, 188BET

Trans to lead after first 45.

[OGUCCI-SBR]

SOCCER RECORD 250-0-161

i am playing at betfair right now , bet365 is amazing for live action, but there are some many options they overwhelm your senses

Haha, true. They can mess up your brain... many times it had lead to choosing the wrong one.

nice picks lately, tough luck I have not been able to follow

nice hit bro

Thanks
No worries. Still tons of winners out there.

[thespeculator]

took wadi degla under 1.5 at the 20minute mark looks ok, but someone just scored

i think someone scored, but it hasn't showed up yet

[thespeculator]

don't know what is going on it says goal, but still saying nil

[thespeculator]

ok , goal confirmed, but no more

[0tuks0]

where did you saw that goal before it was confirmed? because on bet365 it was "1st half over 0.5@6" when you first posted and lasted for few minutes

[thespeculator]

yes i had under 1.5 at betfair, but the score is 1-0,

[thespeculator]

you have one post and 100points, pretty impressive

[OGUCCI-SBR]

SOCCER PLAY No413

ESTONIA - MEISTRILIIGA
FC KURESSAARE - JK TRANS NARVA

60' minute 0-0
FULL TIME RESULT - JK TRANS NARVA

Odds: 1.72

Book: bet365, 188BET

[thespeculator]

just went narva trans under 2.5 at betfair

[thespeculator]

SOCCER PLAY No413

ESTONIA - MEISTRILIIGA
FC KURESSAARE - JK TRANS NARVA

60' minute 0-0
FULL TIME RESULT - JK TRANS NARVA

Odds: 1.72

Book: bet365, 188BET

man , you are good 2-0

[OGUCCI-SBR]

SOCCER PLAY No414

ALGERIA - DIVISON 1
ES SETIF - JS KABYLIE

10' minute 0-0
FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

Odds: 1.90

Book: bet365, 188BET

[OGUCCI-SBR]

SOCCER RECORD 252-0-162



Last two are both Winners

1-0 Setif in the 24th minute.

just went narva trans under 2.5 at betfair

man , you are good 2-0

Congrats and thanks

[OGUCCI-SBR]

SOCCER PLAY No415

EGYPT - DIVISION 1
ENPPI CAIRO - AL AHLY CAIRO

11' minute 0-0
FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

Odds: 1.90

Book: bet365, 188BET

[Dad]

Nice work in here!

[thespeculator]

i am sweating it , got hauker under 19 at under 3.5, love your thread , wish i had seen it earlier

[OGUCCI-SBR]

SOCCER RECORD 253-0-162


19 wins / 4 losses in last 23 bets !

Nice work in here!

Thanks Dad, waitin for some new picks/chicks

i am sweating it , got hauker under 19 at under 3.5, love your thread , wish i had seen it earlier

BOL, it must stay Under
Thanks, Well it's been here for only like 2 and a half months.