Live Betting 2011 - It's all about timing

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  • Daveyboy
    SBR MVP
    • 05-12-10
    • 1317

    #36
    Yeah I try my best to get on the computer at 3pm on Saturdays too for some live betting! Its the way forward I think. I try to follow this guy for live betting updates on Twitter - whenever he posts his they seem to come in (plus Ive bookmarked his blog which is a worthwhile read)
    Comment
    • OGUCCI-SBR
      SBR MVP
      • 10-11-10
      • 4663

      #37
      Winner in the last minute of first half

      BET No8 - Viborg FF (R) vs Sonderjyske (R) / 20' minute 0-0 / FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 goals / Odds: 1.61 - WON



      RECORD 4-0-4


      Originally posted by Daveyboy
      Yeah I try my best to get on the computer at 3pm on Saturdays too for some live betting! Its the way forward I think. I try to follow this guy for live betting updates on Twitter - whenever he posts his they seem to come in (plus Ive bookmarked his blog which is a worthwhile read)
      Good to see so many live-bettors. Yes, it is definitely the way forward.
      Comment
      • OGUCCI-SBR
        SBR MVP
        • 10-11-10
        • 4663

        #38
        PLAY No9

        DENMARK RESERVES LEAGUE
        HB KOGE RESERVES - AB RESERVES

        74' minute 0-0
        OVER 0.5 GOALS

        Odds: 1.85
        Book: bet365
        Comment
        • f0rdead
          SBR Rookie
          • 11-04-10
          • 29

          #39
          you got it. Just 2 minute after
          Comment
          • fbragasilva
            SBR Hustler
            • 03-28-11
            • 75

            #40
            Nice one man, keep it up!
            Comment
            • thekid667
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-09-10
              • 468

              #41
              Originally posted by Blue_Chips
              Are you doing any FG? We don't have live betting on soccer in the U.S.

              Good luck to you.
              Live betting is offered for Americans through Intertops.com and Sportsinteraction.com
              Comment
              • OGUCCI-SBR
                SBR MVP
                • 10-11-10
                • 4663

                #42
                BET No8 - HB Koge (R) vs AB (R) / 74' minute 0-0 / OVER 0.5 goals / Odds: 1.85 - WON



                RECORD 5-0-4


                Yeh, an easy one. Hope you guys tailed on that one.
                Comment
                • vincanity15
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-31-11
                  • 762

                  #43
                  Didnt get that one in time nice one though
                  Comment
                  • Glada Tartan
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-06-09
                    • 2820

                    #44
                    Good plays.. keep it up!
                    Comment
                    • OGUCCI-SBR
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-11-10
                      • 4663

                      #45
                      PLAY No10

                      INTERNATIONAL U21 FRIENDLY
                      SPAIN U21 - BELARUS U21

                      19' minute 0-0
                      FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

                      Odds: 1.63
                      Book: bet365 and others


                      Appreciate it, guys.
                      Comment
                      • OGUCCI-SBR
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-11-10
                        • 4663

                        #46
                        Pathetic 45 minutes. Fukin pathetic.
                        No shots on goal after the 25th.
                        Comment
                        • moseholm
                          Restricted User
                          • 02-25-11
                          • 70

                          #47
                          Are spain able to win the game?
                          Comment
                          • fbragasilva
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 03-28-11
                            • 75

                            #48
                            Maybe a Draw i guess..
                            Comment
                            • Rolo1984
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 02-16-11
                              • 204

                              #49
                              are u watching all these games? Cant really see you watching a match of a reserve team

                              Additionally, dont take it as a offence. But betting with sites other than trading based sites is pretty much burning monnies. The vig live betting sites take is absolutely insane.

                              If you are serious you would do live betting with a site like betfair etc.
                              Comment
                              • OGUCCI-SBR
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-11-10
                                • 4663

                                #50
                                Originally posted by fbragasilva
                                Maybe a Draw i guess..
                                And a draw it was.

                                Originally posted by Rolo1984
                                are u watching all these games? Cant really see you watching a match of a reserve team

                                Additionally, dont take it as a offence. But betting with sites other than trading based sites is pretty much burning monnies. The vig live betting sites take is absolutely insane.

                                If you are serious you would do live betting with a site like betfair etc.
                                No, not all. Some of them are just based on plain statistics.
                                I didn't get you. Why exactly is betfair better than bet365 etc ?
                                Comment
                                • Rolo1984
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 02-16-11
                                  • 204

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by OGUCCI-SBR
                                  And a draw it was.



                                  No, not all. Some of them are just based on plain statistics.
                                  I didn't get you. Why exactly is betfair better than bet365 etc ?

                                  Ok, the statistics part i get. Only i wonder how you compute the 'right number' that soon

                                  Betfair is better because it is a trading site. You are not playing against the site but playing against people who match your bet. Thus, you have an 100% efficient market. The only downside is that you pay 5% commission when you win. However, the more bets commission you pay the lower it gets. The minimum is 2.2%

                                  Other sites ask for a sick VIG. Just calculate it but i would guess it is between 5-10%. bet 365 already uses a 5% vig pregame. Since in game offering odds is more difficult i am pretty sure they add up some vig. The action seeking junkies dont really see the vig and just bet.

                                  For sites it is like printing monnies
                                  Comment
                                  • Rolo1984
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 02-16-11
                                    • 204

                                    #52
                                    one extra remark is the fact that the live betting market on betfair is not always very liquid (not much money being bet) and they do not offer markets like over 0.5 first half etc.
                                    Comment
                                    • danny901225
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 03-01-11
                                      • 65

                                      #53
                                      nice! thanks!
                                      Comment
                                      • OGUCCI-SBR
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-11-10
                                        • 4663

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by Rolo1984
                                        one extra remark is the fact that the live betting market on betfair is not always very liquid (not much money being bet) and they do not offer markets like over 0.5 first half etc.
                                        I got you. Well that's why most of the times I use bet365. I like to bet on those ''special bets''
                                        A team to score, B team to score in the 1st half, Clean sheet for A team, Number of corners in next ten minutes, number of goals in next 15 minutes etc etc. They have a very diverse market.

                                        As to BetFair - can't really comment on it and their VIG philosophy... I actually have an account there but somehow I cannot remember using it, although I'm certain I mos def have. The thing is, I don't have that much sports-betting time every month. There are periods when I can freely and thoroughly dive into watching matches or statistics so that's why I don't pay that much attention to VIG (albeit I understand it really can be and is important to majority of bettors) The thing is I bet a decent amount of money on my bets so it goes like this - either I lose big or I win big, that so called comisson money takes a minor importance.

                                        No offence is taken, man. On the contrary I really might keep that in mind.
                                        Comment
                                        • OGUCCI-SBR
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-11-10
                                          • 4663

                                          #55
                                          PLAY No11

                                          SOUTH AMERICA U17 CHAMPIONSHIPS
                                          ECUADOR U17 - COLOMBIA U17

                                          54' minute 0-0
                                          OVER 0.5 GOALS

                                          Odds: 1.50
                                          Book: bet365


                                          This one should be easy as fukk !
                                          Comment
                                          • Brazilian soccer
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-04-10
                                            • 1589

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by OGUCCI-SBR
                                            PLAY No11
                                            SOUTH AMERICA U17 CHAMPIONSHIPS ECUADOR U17 - COLOMBIA U17 54' minute 0-0 OVER 0.5 GOALS Odds: 1.50 Book: bet365
                                            This one should be easy as fukk !
                                            I also picked this game.
                                            But the odds on 62 minutes with odds 1.70.

                                            GL
                                            Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                                            http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                                            Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                                            0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                                            Balance:
                                            Comment
                                            • OGUCCI-SBR
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-11-10
                                              • 4663

                                              #57
                                              fuk it. Im done with this bullshit, almost every one I've lost is posted here. It's like they're cursed or something.
                                              Not posting here anymore.

                                              Made a Twitter account for anyone who believes in my plays




                                              BOL to everyone.

                                              Comment
                                              • OGUCCI-SBR
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-11-10
                                                • 4663

                                                #58
                                                PLAY No12

                                                SINGAPORE S LEAGUE
                                                TANJONG PAGAR UNITED - YOUNG LIONS

                                                74' minute 0-0
                                                UNDER 0.5 GOALS

                                                Odds: 1.90
                                                Book: bet365
                                                Comment
                                                • OGUCCI-SBR
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-11-10
                                                  • 4663

                                                  #59
                                                  BET No12 - Tanjong Pagar United vs Young Lions / 74' minute 0-0 / UNDER 0.5 goals / Odds: 1.90 - WON



                                                  RECORD 6-0-6
                                                  Comment
                                                  • OGUCCI-SBR
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-11-10
                                                    • 4663

                                                    #60
                                                    PLAY No13

                                                    ROMANIA LIGA II
                                                    CEAHLAUL PIATRA NEAMT - VIITORUL CONSTANTA

                                                    69' minute 1-0
                                                    OVER 1.5 GOALS

                                                    Odds: 1.72
                                                    Book: bet365
                                                    Comment
                                                    • OGUCCI-SBR
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-11-10
                                                      • 4663

                                                      #61
                                                      BET No13 - Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt vs Viitorul Constanta / 69' minute 1-0 / OVER 1.5 goals / Odds: 1.72 - LOST



                                                      RECORD 6-0-7



                                                      ---

                                                      PLAY No13

                                                      VOLLEYBALL - RUSSIA SUPERLEAGUE
                                                      ZENIT KAZAN - YAROSLAVICH YAROSLAVL

                                                      2-2 After 4 sets INTERMISSION
                                                      5th set handicap
                                                      -2.5 points Zenit Kazan


                                                      Odds: 2.10
                                                      Book: bet365
                                                      Comment
                                                      • OGUCCI-SBR
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-11-10
                                                        • 4663

                                                        #62
                                                        PLAY No14

                                                        VOLLEYBALL - RUSSIA SUPERLEAGUE
                                                        ISKRA ODINTSOVO - DINAMO KRASNODAR

                                                        1ST SET TOTAL POINTS
                                                        UNDER 45.5 POINTS

                                                        Odds: 1.65
                                                        Book: bet365
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Daveyboy
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-12-10
                                                          • 1317

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by Rolo1984
                                                          are u watching all these games? Cant really see you watching a match of a reserve team

                                                          Additionally, dont take it as a offence. But betting with sites other than trading based sites is pretty much burning monnies. The vig live betting sites take is absolutely insane.

                                                          If you are serious you would do live betting with a site like betfair etc.
                                                          For in-play under/overs I prefer bet365 For everything else there's betfair
                                                          Comment
                                                          • OGUCCI-SBR
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-11-10
                                                            • 4663

                                                            #64
                                                            wow, this is seriously gettin bizarre.

                                                            Zenit for the first time loses at home to Yaroslavich at home.


                                                            Other match.
                                                            Then The under 45.5 goes over even when a team is in front by SEVEN points. After blowing the big lead they kept the it to 20-24 and a converted 1st matchpoint would've done it for them and under 45.5. But no, the other team got 4 points in a row to make it 24-24 and the set ended 29-27


                                                            The best thing to do at the moment is to fade me til I get back on the track with this shit. Tomorrow the seriously NORMAL Soccer starts again cause I actually looked at my lost bets, every single one of them was a WTF torunament I would never touch on any other given day. But then again, Brazilian guy on the other hand is killing them, guess these tournaments are not for me. So follow Brazilian while you can cause he's on fire atm.
                                                            Starting this week-end we both will be rollin this baby together.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • OGUCCI-SBR
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-11-10
                                                              • 4663

                                                              #65
                                                              PLAY No15

                                                              CHILE APERTURA
                                                              UNION ESPANOLA - UNION LA CALERA

                                                              12' minute 0-0
                                                              FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

                                                              Odds: 1.53
                                                              Book: bet365
                                                              Comment
                                                              • OGUCCI-SBR
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-11-10
                                                                • 4663

                                                                #66
                                                                BET No14 - Union Espanola vs Union La Clara / 12' minute 0-0 / FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 goals / Odds: 1.53 - WON



                                                                RECORD 7-0-7

                                                                1-1 AT HALFTIME.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • fbragasilva
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 03-28-11
                                                                  • 75

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Gj!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • iMpega
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 04-26-10
                                                                    • 189

                                                                    #68
                                                                    fck shit, had Union Espanola at HT
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • OGUCCI-SBR
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-11-10
                                                                      • 4663

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by fbragasilva
                                                                      Gj!
                                                                      Thanks bro.

                                                                      Originally posted by iMpega
                                                                      fck shit, had Union Espanola at HT
                                                                      Yeh, unlucky deflection. And a late one. Espanola missed tons of chances.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JOHON8
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 01-28-10
                                                                        • 7712

                                                                        #70
                                                                        GJ you'll grind back, you just went through a bad spell before.
                                                                        Comment
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