Live Betting 2011 - It's all about timing

OGUCCI-SBR · 06-02-12, 06:44 AM

SOCCER RECORD 956-0-708

Winner !

0:1 Daugava II in the 40th minute !

OGUCCI-SBR · 06-06-12, 06:05 AM

SOCCER PLAY No1665

VS

AUSTRALIA - BRISBANE PREMIER LEAGUE
BRISBANE OLYMPIC FC - QUEENSLAND LIONS

28' minute 0-0
FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

Odds: 1.95

Book: Bet365, 188BET

OGUCCI-SBR · 06-08-12, 10:29 AM

SOCCER PLAY No1666

VS

LATVIA - 1 LIGA
ILUKSTE BJSS - VENTSPILS II

75' minute 2-1
OVER 3.5 GOALS

Odds: 1.90

Book: Bet365, 188BET

KX · 06-08-12, 10:43 AM

Wow... 3-1 nice! thx..

OGUCCI-SBR · 06-08-12, 11:57 AM

SOCCER RECORD 957-0-709

Winner !
3:1 Ilukste in the 90th minute !

Originally posted by KX

Wow... 3-1 nice! thx..

JC2008 · 06-30-12, 01:48 PM

Gucci, anything today?

hotelis · 06-30-12, 02:40 PM

Originally posted by OGUCCI-SBR

SOCCER RECORD 956-0-708

Winner !

0:1 Daugava II in the 40th minute !

haha latvian soccer

..*

OGUCCI-SBR · 06-30-12, 02:46 PM

Originally posted by JC2008

Gucci, anything today?

No man, sorry

Originally posted by hotelis

haha latvian soccer

..*

Pirmā līga pie tam

hotelis · 06-30-12, 03:13 PM

*jauki redzēt ka neesmu te tāds vienīgais*

buus tev jaapaseko.

JC2008 · 07-02-12, 12:47 PM

Long live this thread!

swordsandtequila · 07-02-12, 05:30 PM

Gucci, you done with your other soccer thread? Haven't seen you around lately.

JC2008 · 07-21-12, 12:13 AM

bump

OGUCCI-SBR · 07-23-12, 01:35 PM

SOCCER PLAY No1667

VS

SWEDEN - ALLSVENSKAN
IFK NORRKOPING - DJURGARDENS IF

72' minute 0-1
OVER 1.5 GOALS

Odds: 1.95

Book: Bet365, 188BET

zizoudane10 · 07-23-12, 01:43 PM

Great call again my friend!

Keep up the great work!

OGUCCI-SBR · 07-23-12, 01:45 PM

SOCCER RECORD 958-0-709

Winner ! 1:1 Norrkoping in the 80th minute !

Originally posted by zizoudane10

Great call again my friend!

Keep up the great work!

Thanks man

Lucky deflection from Khalili's head but I'll take it.

Komhs · 07-23-12, 07:43 PM

Originally posted by OGUCCI-SBR

SOCCER RECORD 958-0-709

Winner ! 1:1 Norrkoping in the 80th minute !

Thanks man

Lucky deflection from Khalili's head but I'll take it.

I am new here and I have read most of your picks. I have made some calculations and the result was amazing. If the average odds of your winning bets are close to 1.95 that means that you have already a profit of 20.000$ with stake of 100$ per bet? In order to adjust this performance to other systems with complex calculations (exponentially, for example) have you ever counted your consecutive records for lost and winning bets?
Thanks in advance

showmdamoney · 07-24-12, 01:10 PM

Nice to see you back Gucci, good luck going forward.

zizoudane10 · 07-24-12, 02:05 PM

Gucci definitly is one of the best punters here when it comes to football. The guy knows what he's doing and his record speaks for itself. Seeing this thread back to action again brings a lot of quality back in this forum. He has my respect for sure.

JC2008 · 07-25-12, 07:00 PM

Of course I miss the one pick in ages haha! Great job, Gucci.

OGUCCI-SBR · 07-29-12, 11:30 AM

SOCCER PLAY No1668

VS

CHILE - PRIMERA B DIVISION
BARNECHEA - EVERTON DE VINA

28' minute 0-0
FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

Odds: 2.50

Book: Bet365, 188BET

OGUCCI-SBR · 08-04-12, 06:11 AM

SOCCER RECORD 958-0-710

Originally posted by Komhs

I am new here and I have read most of your picks. I have made some calculations and the result was amazing. If the average odds of your winning bets are close to 1.95 that means that you have already a profit of 20.000$ with stake of 100$ per bet? In order to adjust this performance to other systems with complex calculations (exponentially, for example) have you ever counted your consecutive records for lost and winning bets?
Thanks in advance

It's really hard to calculate the exact winnings since I've really been doin this shit for so long now

Anyway, thanks for the input

Originally posted by showmdamoney

Nice to see you back Gucci, good luck going forward.

Originally posted by JC2008

Of course I miss the one pick in ages haha! Great job, Gucci.

You'll get em next time

Originally posted by zizoudane10

Gucci definitly is one of the best punters here when it comes to football. The guy knows what he's doing and his record speaks for itself. Seeing this thread back to action again brings a lot of quality back in this forum. He has my respect for sure.

Thanks man, appreciate it

Saturday today ! Gonna have some bets coming in soon. Pre-match ones too.

swordsandtequila · 08-04-12, 09:29 AM

Hey Gucci, you going to resurrect your prematch thread once the big leagues start up? Appreciate your insight.

OGUCCI-SBR · 08-07-12, 05:46 AM

Originally posted by swordsandtequila

Hey Gucci, you going to resurrect your prematch thread once the big leagues start up? Appreciate your insight.

Yeah, man. Most definitely.
This is what I'm waiting for

OGUCCI-SBR · 08-07-12, 05:53 AM

SOCCER PLAY No1669

VS

INTERNATIONAL - CLUB FRIENDLY
BENTLEIGH GREENS - MELBOURNE VICTORY FC

66' minute 0-1
OVER 1.5 GOALS

Odds: 1.95

Book: Bet365, 188BET

Mind that it's a 2x40 mins play. So around 15~ mins left.
Match is on bWin

PuffPaffy · 08-07-12, 06:10 AM

i see your record is :958-0-710

by what avg odd i may ask?

OGUCCI-SBR · 08-07-12, 06:15 AM

Originally posted by PuffPaffy

i see your record is :958-0-710

by what avg odd i may ask?

Hard to tell, I started off smaller but all in all should be around 1.8 or 1.9

SOCCER RECORD 958-0-711

Well this one's a loser.

0-1 FT

PuffPaffy · 08-07-12, 09:03 AM

how can it be hard to tell? its simple math no? and its kinda important if i pick only 1.5 favs i will obv have like a 60% winrate....

OGUCCI-SBR · 08-07-12, 09:04 AM

GOING BIG HERE !!!

VOLLEYBALL PLAY

VS

OLYMPICS 2012 LONDON - VOLLEYBALL
JAPAN WOMEN - CHINA WOMEN

SCORE 2:2 IN SETS WON
BET ON UNDER 27.5 POINTS IN THE 5TH FINAL SET

Odds: 1.70

Book: Bet365, bWin

LIVE ON BET365 OR BWIN and probably some others too.
Under 27.5 points 5th set.

*The first team to 15 points are the rules in the 5th deciding set.
Means we need (no matter which team) to win 15:12 or 15:11 15:10 or lower...

OGUCCI-SBR · 08-07-12, 09:25 AM

Well, I hope no one got that volley bet on time cause it ended up a fukkup.
No love in Live betting today.

Originally posted by PuffPaffy

how can it be hard to tell? its simple math no? and its kinda important if i pick only 1.5 favs i will obv have like a 60% winrate....

Well, I started it off more as an experiment, first 100-200 bets were around 1.55-1.65, then starting from 300 up to now it's somewhere around 1.70 - 2.00

OGUCCI-SBR · 08-08-12, 11:35 AM

SOCCER PLAY No1670

VS

EUROPE - CLUB FRIENDLY
ENOSIS PARALIMNI - DOXA KATOKOPIA

28' minute 0-0
OVER 1.5 match GOALS

Odds: 2.10

Book: Bet365, 188BET

OGUCCI-SBR · 08-08-12, 12:34 PM

0:1 Doxa Katokopia in the 68th minute

25~ minutes left to get the 2nd goal !

silvap · 08-08-12, 12:52 PM

Doxa missed a penalty kick at the 86th minute mark, dear lord we have not been lucky lately...

OGUCCI-SBR · 08-09-12, 06:30 AM

SOCCER RECORD 958-0-712

Originally posted by silvap

Doxa missed a penalty kick at the 86th minute mark, dear lord we have not been lucky lately...

Yeah, no lie. Shhit happens ! But theres always gonna be a comeback

OGUCCI-SBR · 08-09-12, 09:33 AM

TWO VERY LATE PLAYS, I SUGGEST PLAYING BOTH. IF ONE HITS, ITS A DECENT PROFIT.
IF BOTH, IT'S BIG.

SOCCER PLAY No1671

VS

RUSSIA - DIVISION 2
FK ASTRAKHAN - KAVKAZTRANSGAZ 2005

30' minute 0-0
FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

Odds: 2.60

Book: Bet365, 188BET

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

SOCCER PLAY No1672

VS

UKRAINE - RESERVES LEAGUE
TAVRIYA SIMFEROPOL RES - METALLURG ZAPOROZHIYA RES

34' minute 0-0
FIRST HALF OVER 0.5 GOALS

Odds: 3.10

Book: Bet365, 188BET

OGUCCI-SBR · 08-09-12, 09:39 AM

SOCCER RECORD 959-0-712

Metallurg Zap. scores in the 37th minute!
Alright, the big one with odds @3.10 is a Hit !

Profit guaranteed.

Now 10+ minutes left in the Astrakhan 1st half to get the big fish.