Live games. Minimum of 30% by 1 goal. Version 2

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  • Brazilian soccer
    SBR MVP
    • 07-04-10
    • 1589

    #1
    Live games. Minimum of 30% by 1 goal. Version 2
    First I ask you to excuse me for failing early in the first version and I promise I'll have much more discipline to this second version.
    It will be similar to the previous project. But with small changes in criteria for choosing games:

    Description: It consists in betting only on games that offer live odds above 1.34 at the event chosen.
    Initially I think the market bet on Over 0.5 goals.
    Example:
    HT: Milan Udinese 0 X 0
    Over 0.5 is offering odds@ 1.40.

    However, I can choose other markets that offer the minimum odds.
    Example:
    HT:
    Milan1 X 0 Udinese
    Over 1.5 @ 1.44
    All this will depend on the game that I choose and in any case, I need on a goal to win the bet.

    Goal: 70% success rate with minimal odds or take some profits hitting less than 70%, but with odds higher than the minimum odds.

    Rules:
    Games:
    Betting only in live games.

    Markets: Only markets involving Over/Under with minimal odds of 1.34.

    Sports books used: Bet 365, Betboo and BetFair. I chose these three books because they are the ones that offer options for live games in various leagues.

    Started Bank: $ 2,000.00. Initially divided as follows:
    Betfair: $ 800
    Bet365 $ 600
    Betboo $ 600

    *During the project I can withdraw any amount from a book, to deposit into another book if necessary. Since this value belongs to the amount originally deposited or part of the profit achieved so far.

    Stake: Not defined. A lot depends on the individual games that I'm watching.
    Example: I can only bet $ 25 on a game or simply to bet everything on a certain game that I find interesting.

    Number of games you play per day: Indifferent.

    Please if you do not like this topic, simply ignore the topic or do not read. Just do not make personal insults or something similar.

    Also thank you to everyone who sent messages about this project and continue to send suggestions. You may be sure that all messages are added into improvements for future projects.
    Thank you all again.

    Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
    http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

    Brazilian Championship 2011 :
    0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
    Balance:
  • Brazilian soccer
    SBR MVP
    • 07-04-10
    • 1589

    #2
    50' LKS-Lodz 0 vs 0 Warta-Poznan: Over 0,5@ 1,40 X $100,00
    Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
    http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

    Brazilian Championship 2011 :
    0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
    Balance:
    Comment
    • Brazilian soccer
      SBR MVP
      • 07-04-10
      • 1589

      #3
      52' Neath-Athletic 0 vs 1 The-New-Saints: Over 1,5@ 1,35 X $200,00
      HT: Slovenia 0 vs 0 Italy: Over 0,5@ 1,40 X $ 150,00
      HT: Bohemians-FC 0 vs 0 Galway-United: Over 0,5@ 1,40 X $ 200,00
      HT: Derry-City 0 vs 0 Shamrock-Rovers: Over 0,5@ 1,40 X $ 200,00
      Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
      http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

      Brazilian Championship 2011 :
      0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
      Balance:
      Comment
      • vincanity15
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-31-11
        • 762

        #4
        gl this time, lets get paid on this one
        Comment
        • Brazilian soccer
          SBR MVP
          • 07-04-10
          • 1589

          #5
          53' Waterford-United 0 vs 0 Finn-Harps: Over 0,5@ 1,50 X $200,00
          Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
          http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

          Brazilian Championship 2011 :
          0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
          Balance:
          Comment
          • Brazilian soccer
            SBR MVP
            • 07-04-10
            • 1589

            #6
            59' Spain 0 vs 1 Czech-Rep: Over 1,5@ 1,40 X $600,00
            Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
            http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

            Brazilian Championship 2011 :
            0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
            Balance:
            Comment
            • Brazilian soccer
              SBR MVP
              • 07-04-10
              • 1589

              #7
              Originally posted by Brazilian soccer
              50' LKS-Lodz 0 vs 0 Warta-Poznan: Over 0,5@ 1,40 X $100,00 LOSS
              Originally posted by Brazilian soccer
              52' Neath-Athletic 0 vs 1 The-New-Saints: Over 1,5@ 1,35 X $200,00 WIN
              HT: Slovenia 0 vs 0 Italy: Over 0,5@ 1,40 X $ 150,00 WIN
              HT: Bohemians-FC 0 vs 0 Galway-United: Over 0,5@ 1,40 X $ 200,00 WIN
              HT: Derry-City 0 vs 0 Shamrock-Rovers: Over 0,5@ 1,40 X $ 200,00 LOSS
              Originally posted by Brazilian soccer
              53' Waterford-United 0 vs 0 Finn-Harps: Over 0,5@ 1,50 X $200,00 WIN
              Originally posted by Brazilian soccer
              59' Spain 0 vs 1 Czech-Rep: Over 1,5@ 1,40 X $600,00 WIN
              FT:
              LKS-Lodz 0 vs 0 Warta-Poznan
              Neath-Athletic 2 vs 2 The-New-Saints
              Slovenia 0 vs 1 Italy
              Bohemians-FC 0 vs 1 Galway-United
              Derry-City 0 vs 0 Shamrock-Rovers
              Waterford-United 1 vs 0 Finn-Harps
              Spain 2 vs 1 Czech-Rep





              Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
              http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

              Brazilian Championship 2011 :
              0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
              Balance:
              Comment
              • vincanity15
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-31-11
                • 762

                #8
                good one today, see ya tomorrow for more games
                Comment
                • Bluedragon
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-30-10
                  • 3484

                  #9
                  Lol I love this idea! Live betting is fukin crack. Good luck homie
                  Comment
                  • OGUCCI-SBR
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-11-10
                    • 4663

                    #10
                    been doing exactly the same thing for years. But usually trying to get odds no lower than 1.6
                    not to brag but I hit somewhere around 75-80%

                    bol
                    Comment
                    • Blue_Chips
                      Restricted User
                      • 08-20-10
                      • 1775

                      #11
                      Originally posted by OGUCCI-SBR
                      been doing exactly the same thing for years. But usually trying to get odds no lower than 1.6
                      not to brag but I hit somewhere around 75-80%

                      bol
                      Are you posting any FG totals for tomorrow?
                      Comment
                      • OGUCCI-SBR
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-11-10
                        • 4663

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Blue_Chips
                        Are you posting any FG totals for tomorrow?
                        I might play some live action this weekend.
                        Comment
                        • vincanity15
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-31-11
                          • 762

                          #13
                          Originally posted by OGUCCI-SBR
                          I might play some live action this weekend.
                          Why not make a thread and post some picks.

                          These do seem to hit at quite a high rate.
                          Comment
                          • Brazilian soccer
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-04-10
                            • 1589

                            #14
                            Originally posted by vincanity15
                            good one today, see ya tomorrow for more games
                            Thanks
                            Let's try some profit today.

                            Originally posted by Bluedragon
                            Lol I love this idea! Live betting is fukin crack. Good luck homie
                            Thanks

                            Originally posted by OGUCCI-SBR
                            been doing exactly the same thing for years. But usually trying to get odds no lower than 1.6 not to brag but I hit somewhere around 75-80% bol
                            Yes, I believe it is possible to get this percentage with a good choice of games.

                            Today there are many games and I'm doing a pre-selection of games for today.
                            I am writing games in a text file to the goal if not happen until half-time, or happen only one goal in a game that I think will happen a lot of goals and the odds are higher than the minimal odds of this project, I just post here as soon as possible.

                            I think so I can save time, not lose the opportunity to hit a few games where goals happen just when I'm writing one post with the games chosen (yes! This happened many times! I have been writing a post with a game chosen and before you finish writing the post, a goal in the game happen !!!).
                            And I think also serve indirectly to not post games that are not in my plans. That will help me have a little more discipline too.
                            Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                            http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                            Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                            0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                            Balance:
                            Comment
                            • vincanity15
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 01-31-11
                              • 762

                              #15
                              Good plan Brazilian lets get paid today
                              Comment
                              • OGUCCI-SBR
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-11-10
                                • 4663

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Brazilian soccer
                                Yes, I believe it is possible to get this percentage with a good choice of games.

                                Today there are many games and I'm doing a pre-selection of games for today.
                                I am writing games in a text file to the goal if not happen until half-time, or happen only one goal in a game that I think will happen a lot of goals and the odds are higher than the minimal odds of this project, I just post here as soon as possible.

                                I think so I can save time, not lose the opportunity to hit a few games where goals happen just when I'm writing one post with the games chosen (yes! This happened many times! I have been writing a post with a game chosen and before you finish writing the post, a goal in the game happen !!!).
                                And I think also serve indirectly to not post games that are not in my plans. That will help me have a little more discipline too.
                                Haha, man I was reading the most part of your post with a smile on my face. No homo.
                                I pretty much use the same logic, system: a Notepad document for live matches with a little write-up apiece etc
                                And the one about goals coming in while writing bets - happens a lot. Guess it's the nature of live-betting.

                                Originally posted by vincanity15
                                Why not make a thread and post some picks.

                                These do seem to hit at quite a high rate.
                                I'll probably post some here (if the owner of thread tolerates).
                                Came back from operation yesterday so Imma have some spare time for football for a few days now.
                                Comment
                                • Brazilian soccer
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 07-04-10
                                  • 1589

                                  #17
                                  Saturday 03/26

                                  64' Perth-SC 1 vs 0 NTC-Football-West: Over 1,5@ 1,35 X $ 150,00
                                  68' Bayswater-City 0 vs 2 ECU-Joondalup: Over 2,5@ 1,40 X 150,00
                                  63' Western-Knights 0 vs 0 Stirling-Lions: Over 0,5@ 1,40 X $150,00
                                  Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                                  http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                                  Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                                  0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                                  Balance:
                                  Comment
                                  • Brazilian soccer
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-04-10
                                    • 1589

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Brazilian soccer
                                    64' Perth-SC 1 vs 0 NTC-Football-West: Over 1,5@ 1,35 X $ 150,00 WIN
                                    68' Bayswater-City 0 vs 2 ECU-Joondalup: Over 2,5@ 1,40 X 150,00 WIN
                                    63' Western-Knights 0 vs 0 Stirling-Lions: Over 0,5@ 1,40 X $150,00 LOSS
                                    FT:
                                    Perth-SC 2 vs 0 NTC-Football-West
                                    Bayswater-City 2 vs 3 ECU-Joondalup
                                    Western-Knights 0 vs 0 Stirling-Lions


                                    20 corners in Western-Knights 0 vs 0 Stirling-Lions and none Goal.
                                    *One team has a percentage of 62% to Over 2.5 and the other team more than 75%.
                                    *None 0 X 0 in the last 12 games for each team.
                                    *None 0 X 0 between these teams.
                                    *In the last 12 games of each team ever happened 2 or more goals.

                                    This is further proof that I exist to counter and break down the stats?
                                    Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                                    http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                                    Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                                    0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                                    Balance:
                                    Comment
                                    • OGUCCI-SBR
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-11-10
                                      • 4663

                                      #19
                                      I like

                                      ROMANIA Liga II - Group 1
                                      FC Botosani vs FC Astra Giurgiu

                                      FIRST HALF GOALS OVER 0.5
                                      ODDS - 1.61

                                      13' minute - bet365
                                      Comment
                                      • Brazilian soccer
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-04-10
                                        • 1589

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by OGUCCI-SBR
                                        Haha, man I was reading the most part of your post with a smile on my face. No homo. I pretty much use the same logic, system: a Notepad document for live matches with a little write-up apiece etc And the one about goals coming in while writing bets - happens a lot. Guess it's the nature of live-betting. I'll probably post some here (if the owner of thread tolerates). Came back from operation yesterday so Imma have some spare time for football for a few days now.
                                        Would have no problem in you post here. But a few days ago, a friend also asked to post his choices in my topic of the previous project and I said I wish he posted on another topic and I explained why I thought it better that way.

                                        Well, I think it would be unfair of me to let you post here.
                                        Look, it's nothing personal against you. But, for example: What does the other person asked to post here and had no authorization may think

                                        Or another example: What would you think if it was unlike the same situation

                                        Well, what I mean is I don't create a bad relationship with no user forum here. Just would like you to understand that and not think it's something personal.

                                        Or you can see I'm telling the truth when looking at my first topic, the previous project, where this friend makes the same request. See post number: http://forum.sbrforum.com/soccer-han...30-1-goal.html

                                        I just want to have a good relationship and coexistence with all fellow forum and learn a lot from you. Also, make sure that if you open a new topic, I'll be one of the most frequent readers.

                                        I made this post trying to explain a great way for you not think it's something personal. Not sure if I could explain why my English is horrible.

                                        I sincerely hope you do not get upset.
                                        And now what do I do?
                                        Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                                        http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                                        Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                                        0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                                        Balance:
                                        Comment
                                        • Brazilian soccer
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-04-10
                                          • 1589

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by OGUCCI-SBR
                                          I like
                                          ROMANIA Liga II - Group 1 FC Botosani vs FC Astra Giurgiu FIRST HALF GOALS OVER 0.5 ODDS - 1.61 13' minute - bet365
                                          No problem, you can continue posting here.
                                          I'll send a message to him and explained that it also can post here also if he wants. It is a way of not staying with my image (personality or character) bad for you, he and forum.

                                          I really hope you have understood that it's nothing personal. Just using the same parameter for all.
                                          Well, anyway, if you have not understood the way I wanted to explain, you can send me to hell because I deserve it.
                                          I know bad speak and write English properly! how do I want others to understand what I write.
                                          Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                                          http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                                          Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                                          0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                                          Balance:
                                          Comment
                                          • Brazilian soccer
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-04-10
                                            • 1589

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by OGUCCI-SBR
                                            I like
                                            ROMANIA Liga II - Group 1 FC Botosani vs FC Astra Giurgiu FIRST HALF GOALS OVER 0.5 ODDS - 1.61 13' minute - bet365
                                            40' Goal FC Astra Giurgiu !!

                                            Congratz !!
                                            Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                                            http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                                            Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                                            0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                                            Balance:
                                            Comment
                                            • Brazilian soccer
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-04-10
                                              • 1589

                                              #23
                                              52' Juventus-Bucuresti 0 vs 0 FC-Snagov: Over 0,5@ 1,40 X $250,00
                                              Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                                              http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                                              Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                                              0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                                              Balance:
                                              Comment
                                              • vincanity15
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-31-11
                                                • 762

                                                #24
                                                fk they scored already missed it
                                                Comment
                                                • Brazilian soccer
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-04-10
                                                  • 1589

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by vincanity15
                                                  fk they scored already missed it
                                                  I almost did not post because I was also posting on another forum area.
                                                  Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                                                  http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                                                  Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                                                  0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                                                  Balance:
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Brazilian soccer
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-04-10
                                                    • 1589

                                                    #26
                                                    vincanity15;
                                                    Another game was Dunarea-Galati vs Delta-Tulcea , but gave no time to post. The next game is Sparta-Praha-B vs Banik-Sokolov if the odds to reach the minimum value of 1.40.


                                                    EDIT: 50' and Goal Banik-Sokolov !! Also there was not time to post.
                                                    Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                                                    http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                                                    Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                                                    0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                                                    Balance:
                                                    Comment
                                                    • vincanity15
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 01-31-11
                                                      • 762

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Brazilian soccer
                                                      vincanity15;
                                                      Another game was Dunarea-Galati vs Delta-Tulcea , but gave no time to post. The next game is Sparta-Praha-B vs Banik-Sokolov if the odds to reach the minimum value of 1.40.
                                                      goal in that game aswell, it would be nice if they would give me a minute to make the bet before they score lol
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Brazilian soccer
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-04-10
                                                        • 1589

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Brazilian soccer
                                                        52' Juventus-Bucuresti 0 vs 0 FC-Snagov: Over 0,5@ 1,40 X $250,00 WIN
                                                        FT:
                                                        Juventus-Bucuresti 0 vs 2 FC-Snagov


                                                        The spreadsheet are updated until this game.

                                                        Soon start many games. I'll post the games during the day and will update the spreadsheet at the end of the day.
                                                        Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                                                        http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                                                        Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                                                        0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                                                        Balance:
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Brazilian soccer
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-04-10
                                                          • 1589

                                                          #29
                                                          55' Orduspor 0 vs 0 Boluspor: Over 0,5@ 1,50 X $ 150,00
                                                          Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                                                          http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                                                          Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                                                          0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                                                          Balance:
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Brazilian soccer
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-04-10
                                                            • 1589

                                                            #30
                                                            55 ' Port-Vale 0 vs 0 Bury-FC: Over 0,5@1,50 X $200,00
                                                            Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                                                            http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                                                            Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                                                            0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                                                            Balance:
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Brazilian soccer
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-04-10
                                                              • 1589

                                                              #31
                                                              61' Dagenham-Red 0 vs 1 Sheffield-Wed: Over 1,5@ 1,50 X $200,00
                                                              Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                                                              http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                                                              Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                                                              0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                                                              Balance:
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Hebodk
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 01-06-10
                                                                • 321

                                                                #32
                                                                I will try something similar - just with much lower stakes
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Brazilian soccer
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-04-10
                                                                  • 1589

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Hebodk
                                                                  I will try something similar - just with much lower stakes
                                                                  GL
                                                                  Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                                                                  http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                                                                  Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                                                                  0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                                                                  Balance:
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Brazilian soccer
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 07-04-10
                                                                    • 1589

                                                                    #34
                                                                    61' Hobro-IK 0 vs 0 FC-Fyn: Over 0,5@ 1,50 X $250,00
                                                                    61' Brnshj-BK 1 vs 2 Naestved-BK: Over 3,5@ 1,50 $150,00
                                                                    Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                                                                    http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                                                                    Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                                                                    0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                                                                    Balance:
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • OGUCCI-SBR
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-11-10
                                                                      • 4663

                                                                      #35
                                                                      haha, I got you mate. Don't get it twisted
                                                                      Will probably make a LIVE thread later.
                                                                      Good luck on your bets.
                                                                      Comment
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