-- Take these 4 DRAWs for EL --

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  • The Special One
    Restricted User
    • 01-08-11
    • 3972

    #1
    -- Take these 4 DRAWs for EL --
    I suggest to make the following bets in order to earn a small-to-decent profit...

    1) CSKA DRAW @ 3.1 [$100] & Porto DNB/PK @ 2 [$150] (second one is to cover DRAW - CSKA wont win)

    2) KIEV DRAW @ 3.1 [$100]

    3) BRAGA DRAW @ 3.0 [$100]

    4) ZENIT DRAW @ 3.1 [$100]


    total stake = $550 ($400 on DRAWs)

    profit if 2 DRAW (#1 & #2-4) = ~$220 - likely
    profit if 2 DRAW and Porto wins = ~$370 - likely

    profit if 3 DRAW (#1 & #2-4) = ~$520 - unlikely
    profit if 3 DRAW and Porto wins = ~$670 - unlikely


    lets hope this works and not a complete disaster... you could tail with reduced wagers if you dont want to put up $550 but I suggest to try this and experience it.

    good luck to everyone
  • sjm5122
    SBR MVP
    • 09-22-08
    • 4213

    #2
    I like 3, as a liverpool fan I just don't see them winning. Draw or Braga +.25
    Comment
    • The Special One
      Restricted User
      • 01-08-11
      • 3972

      #3
      Originally posted by sjm5122
      I like 3, as a liverpool fan I just don't see them winning. Draw or Braga +.25
      do you think Braga can win this game, or more likely than not it will DRAW...?
      Comment
      • dreamlanding
        SBR Sharp
        • 02-22-11
        • 316

        #4
        I'm thinking of playing your whole series here (w/ reduced wagers of course, bankroll not big enough to comfortably put $550 in play just yet), OR just putting a fairly large wager on Porto PK.

        Which would you suggest?
        Comment
        • The Special One
          Restricted User
          • 01-08-11
          • 3972

          #5
          Depends on how much you have but put... 5% Of bank on #2,3,4 and 30% on Porto PK - that way if Porto draws, you can make some money with the draws...
          Comment
          • dreamlanding
            SBR Sharp
            • 02-22-11
            • 316

            #6
            I think I'm going 1x Porto ML, 1x Porto DRAW, 0.5x on each of the three other draws.

            Less profit than a straight PK if Porto win, but guaranteed cash as long as CSKA don't win. Now I just have to further convince myself that a CSKA home win is extremely unlikely. Pretty sure I agree w/ your other analysis and it is very unlikely.
            Comment
            • The Special One
              Restricted User
              • 01-08-11
              • 3972

              #7
              Good luck...
              Comment
              • alon7777777
                SBR MVP
                • 05-11-10
                • 1864

                #8
                Braga(0) odds 2.050 in 5 visits to Portugal Liverpool never won
                Comment
                • sjm5122
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-22-08
                  • 4213

                  #9
                  Braga bet looking good, hopefully liverpool puts one in late to give you the draw.
                  Comment
                  • hitman09
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-25-11
                    • 1157

                    #10
                    Very nice tactic to make profit...book gets buried by this one.
                    Comment
                    • The Special One
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-08-11
                      • 3972

                      #11
                      wow, I got killed by playing DRAWs today - sorry guys...
                      Comment
                      • nyplayer33
                        Restricted User
                        • 09-27-06
                        • 8303

                        #12
                        Yeah, let's continue wioth a long term plan..what u like today
                        Comment
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