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  • VegasInsider
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-12-10
    • 14593

    #1
    Monday
    I received some PM's today to keep posting my plays in the soccer thread, so I'll continue to do so. I will keep one continuous thread going in Players Talk with all my plays and I'll update throughout the day. Also, I'll copy and paste my soccer plays and start a new thread for each day. Hope this helps everyone and goodluck if you choose to follow!


    Monday 02/21/11

    Portugal Liga

    4* Sporting Lisboa/Benefica OVER 2.5 (+118)

    France Ligue 2

    3* Boulogne/Le Mans OVER 2 (+111)

    Switzerland Challenge League

    2* Lugano/Vaduz OVER 3 (+103)

    Turkey Super League

    1* Manisaspor/Trabzonspor OVER 2.5 (-143)


    A lot of value plays on Monday, some good +EV odds. Could pick up some real nice profits with a 3-1 day. Goodluck everyone!
  • Blue_Chips
    Restricted User
    • 08-20-10
    • 1775

    #2
    Any reason why the Turkey play is only 1 unit?
    Good luck tomorrow!
    Comment
    • eSTOXX
      SBR MVP
      • 11-25-08
      • 1866

      #3
      Sporting Lisboa/Benefica OVER 2.5 (+118) and Benfica win
      Boulogne/Le Mans OVER 2 (+111) and Boulogne win
      Comment
      • arsenal11
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-26-11
        • 708

        #4
        boulogne vs le mens is a draw game.
        Comment
        • arsenal11
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-26-11
          • 708

          #5
          sporting lisbon benfica is also draw game
          Comment
          • Gracchus
            Restricted User
            • 01-28-10
            • 523

            #6
            Benfica should win this, sporting is in an organizational mess right now and Benfica is humming.
            Comment
            • Sawyer
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-01-09
              • 7761

              #7
              Agreed about Manisa-Trabzon Over but Boulogne-Lemans should be a low scoring affair.Good luck today!
              Also have a look at Herta-Cottubus. I'm expecting Over 3 in this one.
              Comment
              • VegasInsider
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-12-10
                • 14593

                #8
                Originally posted by Blue_Chips
                Any reason why the Turkey play is only 1 unit?
                Good luck tomorrow!
                Only one unit because of the odds.
                Comment
                • VegasInsider
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-12-10
                  • 14593

                  #9
                  Originally posted by arsenal11
                  boulogne vs le mens is a draw game.
                  What's wrong with a Draw here? I'll take a push on a +EV play
                  Comment
                  • Kraghen
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-08-10
                    • 2509

                    #10
                    Le mans and Boulogne is very likely to end as a draw... that's why the odd is low..
                    Comment
                    • Romanov
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-08-10
                      • 4137

                      #11
                      Originally posted by VegasInsider
                      What's wrong with a Draw here? I'll take a push on a +EV play
                      Do you know what +EV is?
                      Comment
                      • VegasInsider
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-12-10
                        • 14593

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Romanov
                        Do you know what +EV is?
                        Yes, it mean's 'Expected Value' in terms of statistics.
                        Comment
                        • Romanov
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-08-10
                          • 4137

                          #13
                          Originally posted by VegasInsider
                          Yes, it mean's 'Expected Value' in terms of statistics.
                          Phew! I thought you believed it meant anything better than +100
                          Comment
                          • biff
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-10-10
                            • 1806

                            #14
                            Sporting Lisboa/Benefica OVER 2 2.5

                            that is what i got line at with some nice juice. let's get this!
                            Comment
                            • biff
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-10-10
                              • 1806

                              #15
                              Insider, i am what you would call a mush correct if this big unit bet loses? way too early and hope it is not the case but i am sure you noticed that trend.
                              Comment
                              • Blue_Chips
                                Restricted User
                                • 08-20-10
                                • 1775

                                #16
                                Good call in Turkey!

                                Comment
                                • VegasInsider
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-12-10
                                  • 14593

                                  #17
                                  Thanks...adding one more for today, I overlooked it last night

                                  Argentina (5pm ET)

                                  4* Tigre/Arsenal OVER 2 (-131)
                                  Comment
                                  • Blue_Chips
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 08-20-10
                                    • 1775

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by VegasInsider
                                    Thanks...adding one more for today, I overlooked it last night

                                    Argentina (5pm ET)

                                    4* Tigre/Arsenal OVER 2 (-131)

                                    I like that one too! I am already on the 1st half over 0.5, 1. The last five times these two teams have met, there has been at least 1 goal in the first half.

                                    Good luck!

                                    Comment
                                    • VegasInsider
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-12-10
                                      • 14593

                                      #19
                                      Good play Blue_Chips, that looks VERY nice.
                                      Comment
                                      • biff
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-10-10
                                        • 1806

                                        #20
                                        1 more goal. and 2 pts heading your way with a win! it's funny how threads are quite when people win. some can not take the shit but i am glad you can Insider.
                                        Comment
                                        • Giroux
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-16-10
                                          • 1438

                                          #21
                                          Come on Lisbon, get us a late goal with a man up!
                                          Comment
                                          • biff
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-10-10
                                            • 1806

                                            #22
                                            well, that's not good. 2-0 as no way another goal now. no way.
                                            Comment
                                            • biff
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-10-10
                                              • 1806

                                              #23
                                              6 min stoppage time? what the hell?
                                              Comment
                                              • Giroux
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-16-10
                                                • 1438

                                                #24
                                                Half the game with a man up, and they cannot get one goal.
                                                Comment
                                                • Giroux
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-16-10
                                                  • 1438

                                                  #25
                                                  And pretty sure Benefica nets us 3 on their own with an even field for 90 minutes. Good pick still IMO.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Giroux
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-16-10
                                                    • 1438

                                                    #26
                                                    Nice early one from Arsenal.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • biff
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-10-10
                                                      • 1806

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Giroux
                                                      Half the game with a man up, and they cannot get one goal.
                                                      nope... seems that is usually how it works though. stick a fork in this bet: it's done
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Cuse0323
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-09-09
                                                        • 30169

                                                        #28
                                                        so many great chances for arsenal, they should have cashed the over themselves already.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • VegasInsider
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-12-10
                                                          • 14593

                                                          #29
                                                          Yeah, that was tough. Can't decide if we were unlucky or lucky there. A push is a win and we'll live to fight another day.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JOHON8
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-28-10
                                                            • 7712

                                                            #30
                                                            You can make a lot of money betting unders as well, overs is the famous way to go and books make heaps of money off of it. Especially in games that there looks to be a lot of goals take advantage of the under price since the books purposely juice the over knowing it is where all the money is going.

                                                            GL tomorrow.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • biff
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-10-10
                                                              • 1806

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by JOHON8
                                                              You can make a lot of money betting unders as well, overs is the famous way to go and books make heaps of money off of it. Especially in games that there looks to be a lot of goals take advantage of the under price since the books purposely juice the over knowing it is where all the money is going.

                                                              GL tomorrow.
                                                              all valid points. i just hate unders as i can not enjoy the game i am watching. games seem to take a lifetime sweating it out and hoping for no goals. plus got to love those stoppage time goals to screw you over.

                                                              i do this as more of a hobby but if you want to make a living off this it would be wise to throw some unders in to the mix.
                                                              Comment
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