Dortmund/Schalke UNDER 2.5

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  • Wilforth
    Restricted User
    • 05-10-08
    • 16309

    #1
    Dortmund/Schalke UNDER 2.5
    Dortmund/Schalke UNDER 2.5 (-110)

    When I initially looked at this game, I thought OVER was the play, but the Under actually looks excellent. Some notes:

    1) Dortmund have allowed a grand total of 5 goals in their last 9 home games. If you consider that they allowed 2 goals against Leverkusen in their first home game, then they have actually allowed only 3 goals in their last 8 home games.

    2) Schalke's defense has peaked of recent as they've allowed only 2 goals in their last 6 games and have amassed an amazing 4 shutouts in that span (including shutting out the mighty Bayern Munich).

    3) The Under is 5-1 in Dortmund's last 6 home games.

    3) The Under is 5-1 in Schalke's last 6 games.

  • OGUCCI-SBR
    SBR MVP
    • 10-11-10
    • 4663

    #2
    Well, I'm on the OVER.
    Comment
    • Wilforth
      Restricted User
      • 05-10-08
      • 16309

      #3
      Originally posted by OGUCCI-SBR
      Well, I'm on the OVER.
      Like I said, I initially liked the Over but when I wanted to play it, I decided to look more into the records of both teams. I know the last meeting was a 4-goal affair but I like the Under today for the reasons I enumerated in the first post.
      Comment
      • FindTheLock
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-27-10
        • 7194

        #4
        You may be right. That's why i prefer to lay off the total and just take dortmund -1. The total could venture either way depending on the 1H. I think like most games the 1H will establish the pace of the play on the pitch. If an early goal is scored then the over will hit, but if it is a defensive 1H then your under will be good.
        Comment
        • OGUCCI-SBR
          SBR MVP
          • 10-11-10
          • 4663

          #5
          Originally posted by Wilforth
          Like I said, I initially liked the Over but when I wanted to play it, I decided to look more into the records of both teams. I know the last meeting was a 4-goal affair but I like the Under today for the reasons I enumerated in the first post.
          I hear you.

          Very Good insight as well. Imo this is one of those games were the OVER/UNDER depends on who scores the 1st goal. I mean if it's the favorite home team (BVB) then it's most probably a 2-0 1-0 win.
          But we'll see.
          Comment
          • mygooglik
            SBR High Roller
            • 03-19-10
            • 133

            #6
            thanks for info Wil, goin Under. BOL! )
            Comment
            • thekid667
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-09-10
              • 468

              #7
              Originally posted by FindTheLock
              You may be right. That's why i prefer to lay off the total and just take dortmund -1. The total could venture either way depending on the 1H. I think like most games the 1H will establish the pace of the play on the pitch. If an early goal is scored then the over will hit, but if it is a defensive 1H then your under will be good.



              Very Insightful!
              Comment
              • fixxer
                SBR MVP
                • 09-13-05
                • 1877

                #8
                Fast start for the game, Dortmund missed 4 chances in 10 minutes
                Comment
                • FindTheLock
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-27-10
                  • 7194

                  #9
                  yeah, with this pace i def wouldn't want to be on the under
                  Comment
                  • Wilforth
                    Restricted User
                    • 05-10-08
                    • 16309

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Wilforth
                    Dortmund/Schalke UNDER 2.5 (-110) WIN
                    Easy winner!!!
                    Comment
                    • Mexes
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-27-09
                      • 691

                      #11
                      great pick
                      Comment
                      • Ace_of_Spades
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-14-09
                        • 13518

                        #12
                        Curse of the fridays unders
                        Comment
                        • vgvarad
                          Restricted User
                          • 03-25-10
                          • 162

                          #13
                          Congrats. That was nice! ))
                          Comment
                          • JOHON8
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-28-10
                            • 7712

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Ace_of_Spades
                            Curse of the fridays unders
                            It has more to do with the weather I think. A couple months ago Fridays were one of the best times to bet the over.
                            Comment
                            • Puda
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-26-10
                              • 1798

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Wilforth
                              Easy winner!!!

                              come on. thats pretty funny. Dortmund should of won 4-0....

                              well played, but luck was on your side.
                              Comment
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