Bob's football thread

BobW · 01-18-11, 08:07 PM

First play:

Ajax - Feyenoord, wednesday at 8:45 PM GMT +1
Ajax is the big favourite here, they have a new manager for a month now and since the change they played well. On the other hand, Feyenoord doesn't play well the whole season. Anyway, Ajax has to play without their great strikers Suarez and El Hamdaoui. Suarez is suspended for this match and El Hamdaoui injured. These two players score the most goals for Ajax and they haven't many players who can easily score. So I think Ajax will not score many goals.

With the new manager, Ajax played these games:
Galatasaray - Ajax 0-0 (without El Hamdaoui, second half with Suarez)
HSV - Ajax 4-2 (with Suarez who scored twice)
Ajax - AZ 1-0 (without Suarez and El Hamdaoui)
Vitesse - Ajax 0-1 (without Suarez and El Hamdaoui)
AC Milan - Ajax 0-2 (without El Hamdaoui)

You see, Ajax does not score very much and probably Siem de Jong will play on the front tomorrow. He is an attacking midfielder but not a great striker. Then Feyenoord, they scored only 23 goals in 18 league matches this season. They don't have a great striker and as you can see, they don't score easily. Also has Ajax a decent defense and a great goalkeeper, Maarten Stekelenburg.

I expect here Ajax to win 1-0, maybe 2-0.

Plays:
5 units Under 2.5 goals @ 2.75
5 units Feyenoord not to score @ 2.10

The odds are just too high

BobW · 01-19-11, 04:51 PM

Final score: 2-0, easy winner

10 units staked, 24.25 returned, 14.25 units profit

Progress: 2-0 +14.25

The Special One · 01-19-11, 04:52 PM

Originally posted by BobW

Final score: 2-0, easy winner

10 units staked, 24.25 returned, 14.25 units profit

Progress: 2-0 +14.25

great picks, keep them coming

amonsot · 01-19-11, 06:00 PM

wow couldnt have gone better

i am now watching this thread. !

BobW · 01-21-11, 06:45 PM

Match: Dutch League: NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda, Saturday 7:45 PM GMT+1

For NEC is it the first match after the winter break but NAC Breda played already this week for the national cup. NAC are terrible this season away. In their 8 away games this season, they lost 6 of them, tied once and won once. They are 10th in the league, only because of their great home matches, but away, they're just terrible. Also is NAC Breda known as a defensive team. They have a decent defense and does not attack much and I expect them to defend the whole match tomorrow. NEC is a solid home team, so I will back them and also the Under 2.5 because when NEC is leading, they won't take many risk because it is an important match for both because they are close in the league.

3 units NEC to win @ 1.85
2 units Under 2.5 @ 2.20

Match: Dutch League: Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar, Saturday 6:45 PM GMT +1
Heracles 14th in league
AZ 5th in league

AZ has a good position in the league, but they started not well this season. They only got 3 points in the first 5 matches. After these matches, AZ played much better and before the winter break, they had some great results. For example, AZ won against Twente and Ajax. AZ played wednesday 2-2 against NEC Nijmegen, but they were a bit unlucky that NEC scored 2-2, AZ had to win that match. Now they play against Heracles Almelo. Heracles played wednesday against FC Twente and lost 5-0, they played very poorly. The odd for AZ is just too high, so I will back them

3 units AZ to win @ 2.23

Match: Dutch League: Feyenoord - De Graafschap, Saturday 8:45 PM GMT +1

Short write up here:
Feyenoord are very bad this poorly and they have a problem with their offense which I early mentioned at the match against Ajax. They play at home so De Graafschap, which are not a high scoring team aswell, will defend. Feyenoord has to play for the win but it is hard for them to score goals so I expected an Under 2.5 line around Evens but because it is more, it is definitely value.

3 units Under 2.5 @ 2.30

Good luck all!

BobW · 01-22-11, 07:07 AM

NAC Breda is missing tonight a lot of players. They have to play without their two central defenders, two strikers and a midfielder. NEC Nijmegen has almost all their players so I will put some extra units on them.

Adding:
2 units NEC Nijmegen to Win @ 1.80
1 unit NAC Breda Not To Score @ 3.00

zpapalash · 01-22-11, 08:06 AM

Very Solid plays.. Thank you very much! )) BOL!

amonsot · 01-22-11, 02:17 PM

Originally posted by BobW

Match: Dutch League: Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar, Saturday 6:45 PM GMT +1
Heracles 14th in league
AZ 5th in league

AZ has a good position in the league, but they started not well this season. They only got 3 points in the first 5 matches. After these matches, AZ played much better and before the winter break, they had some great results. For example, AZ won against Twente and Ajax. AZ played wednesday 2-2 against NEC Nijmegen, but they were a bit unlucky that NEC scored 2-2, AZ had to win that match. Now they play against Heracles Almelo. Heracles played wednesday against FC Twente and lost 5-0, they played very poorly. The odd for AZ is just too high, so I will back them

3 units AZ to win @ 2.23

after watching the first 15 minutes i dutched low scoring results. and ive traded out my 3 units on the AZ win, so should get 2 or 3 units of my correct score pick 100%. thanks for the tip in the game.

amonsot · 01-22-11, 04:05 PM

Originally posted by BobW

Match: Dutch League: NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda, Saturday 7:45 PM GMT+1

For NEC is it the first match after the winter break but NAC Breda played already this week for the national cup. NAC are terrible this season away. In their 8 away games this season, they lost 6 of them, tied once and won once. They are 10th in the league, only because of their great home matches, but away, they're just terrible. Also is NAC Breda known as a defensive team. They have a decent defense and does not attack much and I expect them to defend the whole match tomorrow. NEC is a solid home team, so I will back them and also the Under 2.5 because when NEC is leading, they won't take many risk because it is an important match for both because they are close in the league.

3 units NEC to win @ 1.85
2 units Under 2.5 @ 2.20

NAC Breda is missing tonight a lot of players. They have to play without their two central defenders, two strikers and a midfielder. NEC Nijmegen has almost all their players so I will put some extra units on them.

Adding:
2 units NEC Nijmegen to Win @ 1.80
1 unit NAC Breda Not To Score @ 3.00

-10units

left it at half time thinking it was in the bag, came back dropping more units for what i thought was a certain win....injury time goal.

dutched up early on feynerood game, should recover near all if not all my units on that game. keep them coming.

BobW · 01-25-11, 12:02 PM

Pff, unlucky weekend. NEC had to win and were 2-1 leading but then came the injury time of 4 minutes. We were safe until 3 minutes and 55 seconds. NAC scored this goal: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FyV5AeXGMZc
What a lucky own goal....

But that happens...

3 units NEC to win @ 1.85 LOST -3
2 units NEC - NAC Under 2.5 @ 2.20 LOST -2
2 units NEC Nijmegen to Win @ 1.80 LOST -2
1 unit NAC Breda Not To Score @ 3.00 LOST -1

3 units AZ to win @ 2.23 LOST -3

3 units Feyenoord - De Graafschap Under 2.5 @ 2.30 WON +3.9

Profit weekend: -7.10

Progress: 3-4 +7.15 (14.25-7.15)

Many plays upcoming this weekend. There is a midweek cup schedule in Holland but I don't like betting on Cup match

BobW · 01-25-11, 05:00 PM

On these matches I bet for this weekend: (all GMT+1)

Eredivisie 29 January 2011
18:45 Vitesse Arnhem - Roda JC
7 units: Roda JC (-0.25) @ 1.97
19:45 De Graafschap - FC Utrecht
3 units: FC Utrecht (+0/Draw No Bet) @ 1.80
20:45 PSV Eindhoven - Willem II
3 units: Willem II NOT to score @ 1.85

30 January
12:30 Excelsior - ADO Den Haag
3 units: ADO Den Haag (+0/Draw No Bet) @ 1.85
14:30 SC Heerenveen - FC Groningen
1.5 unit: FC Groningen (+0.25) @ 2.26
1.5 unit: FC Groningen draw or win @ 1.74
14:30 FC Twente - Feyenoord
4 units: FC Twente (-1.5) @ 1.85
3 units: Feyenoord NOT to score @ 2.30

Maybe I will post a write-up later if you are interested

BobW · 01-27-11, 11:13 AM

Adding a play for tonight, 8:45 PM GMT +1 so be fast!

Cup match: Ajax Amsterdam - NAC Breda

Same write up as in previous plays:
Ajax is still missing El Hamdaoui en Suarez and that results in that Ajax doesn't score easily at all. NAC miss their best striker Amoah and also Boussaboun. I see Ajax here winning 1-0 or 2-0. That's why I am backing the Under(s), there is a lot of value in it.

1 unit Under 2.5 @ 2.80
2 units Under 3.0 @ 2.33
3 units Under 3.5 @ 1.82

tcarn01 · 01-27-11, 12:05 PM

BOL to you. i am tailing under 3 + 115 ..

Dad · 01-27-11, 12:30 PM

Good luck, Bob.

startm · 01-27-11, 04:59 PM

Ajax Amsterdam 4 - 1 NAC Breda - all over

BobW · 01-29-11, 11:15 AM

Originally posted by BobW

On these matches I bet for this weekend: (all GMT+1)

Eredivisie 29 January 2011
18:45 Vitesse Arnhem - Roda JC
7 units: Roda JC (-0.25) @ 1.97
19:45 De Graafschap - FC Utrecht
3 units: FC Utrecht (+0/Draw No Bet) @ 1.80
20:45 PSV Eindhoven - Willem II
3 units: Willem II NOT to score @ 1.85

30 January
12:30 Excelsior - ADO Den Haag
3 units: ADO Den Haag (+0/Draw No Bet) @ 1.85
14:30 SC Heerenveen - FC Groningen
1.5 unit: FC Groningen (+0.25) @ 2.26
1.5 unit: FC Groningen draw or win @ 1.74
14:30 FC Twente - Feyenoord
4 units: FC Twente (-1.5) @ 1.85
3 units: Feyenoord NOT to score @ 2.30

Maybe I will post a write-up later if you are interested

Adding: 3 units: RODA JC (+0/Draw No Bet) @ 2.05

Yeah, you are seeing it right, this odd is higher than the -0.25 one. Not smart of me that I took Roda very early because the odd is now a lot higher.

If you haven't bet yet, I can really recommend Roda +0 or -0.25! Great value

sports757 · 02-13-11, 06:40 PM

Originally posted by BobW

Hi SBRWhere you are mostly betting on Basketball, Hockey, Baseball and American Football, I mostly bet on 'our football', for you better known as soccer.I am from the Netherlands so I will post here my plays from the Dutch League but also sometimes plays from other European leagues or the big cups.Hopefully we can make some nice profit here, BOL!Bob

hey bob