January Soccer Picks

[Alexgurv]

English Soccer 2010-2011 23W-14L-8P +7.40 units (62.62%)

Newcastle pick +121 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

I was gonna go with Wigan but decided to take a shot at this at + odds. Wigan coming off a big "draw" against Arsenal. The last game was a 2-2 draw back in October. I think this will probably be a draw again...but like I said + odds, it seems to be worth a shot and I think at worst I just get a bet voided. The truth is, this team is fighting relegation and has the worst GD in the league.

[donsirlisir]

best of luck

[Alexgurv]

English Soccer 2010-2011 24W-14L-8P +8.61 units (63.15%)

Fulham +122 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

Fulham has not played well this year, but the last 2 games IMO they have played a lot better. They won a tough game against Stoke City and they played decently well against Tottenham. They have been a good home side in the past and I think they turn the corner here.

[Alexgurv]

English Soccer 2010-2011 25W-14L-8P +9.83 units (64.10%)

Man City +0.5 (+102) to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

Been playing a lot better on the road this year, will take my chances against this seemingly inconsistent at times Arsenal team.

[Alexgurv]

Italian Soccer 2010-2011 13W-2L-5P +10.97 units (86.67%)

Fiorentina pick -119 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

I think the value is there. I see Fiorentina at least getting a point out of this game. Bologna has played better at home, but most of the teams they have beaten have been at the bottom of the league. Yes Fiorentina is in the last fourth of the league right now but you should see this turn around IMO...

[Alexgurv]

Italian Soccer 2010-2011 13W-2L-6P +10.97 units (86.67%)

Genoa pick -130 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

Genoa has 2 wins and 1 draw in there last 3 away from home. They've played some pretty easy competition and it looks like not a lot is gonna change with a 17th place Cesena team. I think they get away from this one with at least a point, but probably a win.

[Alexgurv]

English Soccer 2010-2011 26W-14L-8P +10.85 units (65.00%)

Blackpool +0.5 (-111) to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

I hope I don't regret this. Liverpool been terrible away from home in every way. No Gerrard. New manager. Go blackpool!

[The Special One]

I also hope blackpool doesn't **** up... GL

[Alexgurv]

German Soccer 2010-2011 8W-6L-2P +1.62 units (57.14%)

Bayer Leverkusen pick -133 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

Playing pretty good offensively this season, but been struggling a bit defensively. Dortmund has played well on the road this year, but this will be there biggest defensive challenge thus far.

[Daveyboy]

If Leverkusen struggling defensively, do you really expect them to beat the runaway leaders?!?

[Alexgurv]

Was a dumb bet

English Soccer 2010-2011 27W-14L-8P +11.85 units (65.85%)

West Brom -133 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

Odd line. I think this is a good bounce back win for West Brom to get at home, where they have lost 4 of the last 5. I also think that Blackpool just coming off a short break after winning a big game just a few days ago will have an affect on them


French Soccer 2010-2011 11W-6L-5P +4.78 units (64.70%)

Brest -101 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

Had a tough run with Ligue 1 going into the holidays. Caen had a great start to the year but have slowly but surely gone into the relegation zone. They haven't won a game since September on the road. Brest is currently in great shape defensively at home, giving up .3 goals a game. While Caen is giving up a 1.5 goals a game. Brest should win this game by a couple goals IMO...

[joanapoker]

nice work Alex!

will definitely follow ur thread.

cheers mate!

[Alexgurv]

thanks Joana, GL

English Soccer 2010-2011 28W-14L-8P +12.85 units (65.85%)

Tottenham pick +110 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

Seems like pretty solid value considering Spurs have lost 1 game at WHL this year and Man United have won just 2 games away from home this year....


Italian Soccer 2010-2011 13W-2L-7P +10.97 units (86.67%)

Udinese pick +124 to bet 1 unit

Somewhat of a value pick. Udinese biggest struggles seems to be on defense (well one of the main factors). Genoa has been held scoreless in there last 3 at home. Udinese just scored 4 against AC Milan in the San Siro(ended a draw).

[joanapoker]

will tail the Udini pick!

GL

[joanapoker]

thx for the udinese pick

[Alexgurv]

thx for the udinese pick

Lets just hope Tottenham can get one in

[joanapoker]

almost pulled the trigger at the draw on the spurs x red devils game! damn it!

[Alexgurv]

French Soccer 2010-2011 11W-7L-5P +3.77 units (61.11%)

Nancy +1 (+142) to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes


Italian Soccer 2010-2011 14W-2L-7P +12.21 units (87.50%)

Cesena +1.5 (+119) to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

Just going for the underdogs here..not a lot of time

[serc]

I like the nancy pick. I have them +1/2 first half

[Alexgurv]

good bet on the 1H, bad bet for me...lol

[Wilforth]

Cesena +1.5 (+119) to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

Just going for the underdogs here..not a lot of time

[The Special One]

close call...

[Alexgurv]

close call...

to say the least..lol

German Soccer 2010-2011 8W-7L-2P +0.29 units (53.33%)

Eintracht Frankfurt +0.5 (+147) to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

Seems like good value to me ATM.

[shantystar]

frankfurt looks sensible pick

[Blue_Chips]

Good luck today!

[Wilforth]

to say the least..lol

Eintracht Frankfurt +0.5 (+147) to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

Seems like good value to me ATM.

One's worry here is Frankfurt are missing 2 or 3 defenders. But BOL.

[Alexgurv]

English Soccer 2010-2011 28W-14L-9P +12.85 units (65.85%)

Blackpool -129 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

Don't really trust this Sunderland team on the road. Blackpool has scored at least a goal in every game at home this year.


French Soccer 2010-2011 11W-8L-5P +2.77 units (57.80%)

Caen +0.5 (-132) to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

Lets try to turn this France run around. Both teams are terrible, but Caen played pretty well against Brest. They scored 2 goals even while a man down. Lens has just won 4 games all year. Two evenly matched teams. I don't see either of these teams winning...but just in case...

[JOHON8]

to say the least..lol

German Soccer 2010-2011 8W-7L-2P +0.29 units (53.33%)

Eintracht Frankfurt +0.5 (+147) to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

Seems like good value to me ATM.

You gotta concentrate on team news rather than 'value'. I understand why you would find value in the +0.5 but there was a very good reason for that written on their website with crucial defenders missing.

GL

[joanapoker]

Alex,

U got Blackpool at -129??? Did u mistyped? I'm seeing Blackpool @+140

[Alexgurv]

Johon - yeah I knew about the defenders before I made the bet...was just taking a shot. Didn't see the game but from what I understand they should have lost by a lot more then they did. I am making some dumbass bets right now

Joana - typo by me, it was Blackpool PICK -129. Another retarded bet by me. In hindsight I should have taken Sunderland and I usually would have. As johon has basically pointed out, I'm being lazy right now...

English Soccer 2010-2011 28W-15L-9P +11.56 units (65.11%)

Blackburn pick -164 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

High odds for a DNB, but I've been in a bet of a slump (in overall betting) so I'm willing to take the risk right now. West Brom has won just 2 games away from home this year. A draw is conceivable. But Blackburn is a very good home team, averaging 1.5 goals at home so far this year.


Italian Soccer 2010-2011 15W-2L-7P +13.40 units (88.23%)

Got lucky as hell with that Cesena win the other day

Lazio pick -128 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

Seems like a good game for Lazio to bounce back from there road woes. They haven't won a game away from home since October. They hold a competitive advantage over Bologna. In the last 10 games they are 7-1-3 against them. I can't see Lazio walking away from this game without at least a point, hopefully a win.

[JOHON8]

I'm liking the Blackburn bet a lot, they tore apart Liverpool 3-0, West Brom should get the same treatment.

[Alexgurv]

English Soccer 2010-2011 29W-15L-9P +12.56 units (65.90%)

Chelsea -142 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

Ok i'll bite on this Chelsea game. They've played horribly, but there last game, just a few weeks back Chelsea clearly had the edge. They only won 1-0 but came up short on just a few chances. In the 2H they looked like they were ready to just take off. This might be a close game, hence why I'm taking the ML not the -1. But Chelsea hasn't lost to Bolton in forever, even with there road woes, I see Chelsea winning this one 1-0

[Alexgurv]

English Soccer 2010-2011 30W-15L-9P +13.56 units (66.66%)

Wigan pick +135 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

For me, its tough to justify this line with how Villa has been performing on the road this year. Just 1 win, 3 draw and the rest loses. Wigan really has there back against the wall type mentality and need at least a point out of this game

[nyplayer33]

Any opinins on the manchester game or total..

[Alexgurv]

Man U hasn't been great on the road this year, but Blackpool games have cashed a lot of overs this year