German Bundesliga Week 17

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  • Lars_Germany
    SBR Rookie
    • 12-16-10
    • 21

    #1
    German Bundesliga Week 17
    Week 17 - German Bundesliga

    Please check the weather forecast for all games as we expect heavy snow over the weekend in parts of Germany. If you play the Schalke game - dont worry, they will play in their dome!

    Moenchengladbach vs. Hamburger SV - Friday 08.30 PM German time

    This match on Friday night will be a tough one to predict. The home team has a record of 0-3-5 in 8 home games, the visitors are 2-1-5 in 8 away games. It seems to be very obvious that this is the final game for Gladbach headcoach Michael Frontzeck. He will be fired if his team will not win this home match. The visiting team from Hamburg is one of the underachieving teams in the Bundesliga. They have a good team but they are not able to perform. They have a lot of players on the injury list but they still got talent in their starting line-up.
    Gladbach 75% of all home games OVER 2.5, Hamburg 50% of all away games OVER 2.5.
    If you like to be involved the OVER 2.5 might be an idea. Both teams to score is an alternative.

    FC Schalke 04 vs. 1.FC Koeln - Saturday 03.30 PM German time

    Another underachieving team with Schalke to be expected in the top 5 - now ranked 10th in the table. Last home game was a 2-0 against Bayern and Schalke will be a strong favourite against Koeln. Koeln is ranked 16th at the moment and they will miss their top strikers Podolski and Novakovic due to injuries for this game. Schalke 75% OVER 2.5 in home games, Koeln 62.5 % OVER 2.5 in away games.
    Pick Schalke 04 to win / OVER 2.5 goals

    Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern - Saturday 03.30 PM German time

    Werder Bremen is the biggest upset of this season. They lost Mesut Oezil before the season and they never became the team that we know for years - high scoring offense and weak defense. This year they struggle to score and they are still weak on defense so this results in place 12 of the table. Kaiserslautern promoted to Budesliga in the summer and they perform as expected. Solid team, very strong at home, weak on the road. Werder 71,4% OVER 2.5 in home games, Kaiserslautern 87.5% OVER 2.5 in away games. Normally this could end in a win for Werder but they are always hard to predict. If you want to bet here, maybe take the OVER 2.5 without any guarantee!

    Vfl Wolfsburg - TSG Hoffenheim - Saturday 03.30 PM German time

    Another upset team - Wolfsburg - the Volkswagen team invested a lot of money and hired a new coach to establish the team in the Championsleague - now they are ranked 14th in the table. Hoffenheim back on track after a weaker year 2009/2010. A lot of talent in the team, very balanced home and away. Wolfsburg 57% OVER 2.5 in home games, Hoffenheim 50% OVER in away games. This looks like an open game with less indications for OVER/UNDER predictions. If you really want to bet on it - maybe go for a draw

    Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund - Saturday 03.30 PM German time

    The home team plays a very nice season until now but they have huge problems as many key players are injured. The league top scorer Gekas plays for Frankfurt and he is always worth to be considered in a goal bet like 1st scorer / anytime scorer.
    Dortmund draws at Sevilla on Wednesday and will now concentrate 100% on the Bundesliga. They have a wonderful young team that works hard and is always ready to perform. They won all 8 away games this season and they scored 21:5 goals in those 8 games. So the pick is obvious - Double chance Eintracht Frankfurt!
    Why - because every streak will end sometime someday. Frankfurt is 3-1-3 in 7 home games with 8:10 goals so I expect a low scoring game and maybe they will be the team who stops Borussia.

    1. FC Nuernberg vs. Hannover 96 - Saturday 03.30 PM German time

    Nuernberg ranked 11th in the table with a home record of 4-0-3 11:11 goals this season. Hannover 96 ranked 3rd (the biggest surprise of the all - even bigger than Dortmunds top performance this year!) with an away record of 4-0-3 6:11 goals. Hannover won the last 5 games (all time record!) but they lost their top scorer Ya Konan due to injury. 2nd best striker Abdellaoue returns from injury and is likely to play.
    Very tricky one to predict as both teams are average in their home/away record. Looks like a draw. Nuernberg 87,5% OVER 2.5 in home games, Hannover 57,1% OVER 2.5 in away games.

    St. Pauli vs. Mainz 05 - Saturday 06.30 PM German time

    St. Pauli ranked 15th in the table won their last home match against Kaiserslautern. It was their first home win since March this year. Mainz performed very strong the first weeks of the season and now downgrade a bit but still 4th place in the table. Mainz is a team loaded with talent and they are able to dominate an opponent like St. Pauli even as the away team. I would pick this as a WIN for Mainz 05.

    Bayer Leverkusen vs. SC Freiburg - Sunday 03.30 PM German time

    Bayer Leverkusen will be the strong favourite in this game but Freiburg is a dangerous team in away matches. They won at Hoffenheim, Nuernberg and Frankfurt (all teams are not too bad at home) so they have the potential to get at least a draw in this game. Bayer is loaded with talent and if they play their game they will win this one. PICK Leverkusen to win

    VFB Stuttgart vs. Bayern Muenchen - Sunday 05.30 PM German time

    I will not predict this one as Stuttgart just changed the head coach and you never know what will happen. Stuttgart won 5-1 against Odense tonight but this was any easy win over a weak team from Denmark. Bayern will be hot to win the first of 2 meeting in 3 days (Cup match will take place on Wednesday 22nd December).

    I hope that you like it!
  • JOHON8
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-28-10
    • 7712

    #2
    Nice write ups Lars

    I think Schalke might be a big bet for me, gotta look more into it. GL
    Comment
    • latinrus
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-01-10
      • 11188

      #3
      Originally posted by JOHON8
      Nice write ups Lars

      I think Schalke might be a big bet for me, gotta look more into it. GL
      I agree Schalke looks good especially against crappy Koln
      Comment
      • minet123
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-17-07
        • 10280

        #4
        great info
        May tail on a few
        Comment
        • Wilforth
          Restricted User
          • 05-10-08
          • 16309

          #5
          Originally posted by latinrus
          I agree Schalke looks good especially against crappy Koln
          Comment
          • pouroupoupou
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 03-13-10
            • 971

            #6
            Thank's for the previews Lars.
            Moenchengladbach Over 2.5 goals
            Werder Bremen over 2.5 goals
            Nurernberg Over 2.5 goals
            3-team parlay for me @ +350
            Comment
            • samm29
              SBR Hustler
              • 11-17-10
              • 53

              #7
              I also think schalke will win and over 2,5
              Comment
              • phenomenon
                SBR MVP
                • 03-11-10
                • 3227

                #8
                will be on shalke -1
                Comment
                • Greekbet
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 10-05-10
                  • 125

                  #9
                  Thanks for the info.For tonight game over is good.
                  Comment
                  • Hebodk
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 01-06-10
                    • 321

                    #10
                    Thanks Lars, great write-up for the German games. Frohe Weihnacten!
                    Comment
                    • Lars_Germany
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 12-16-10
                      • 21

                      #11
                      Review of Moenchengladbach vs. Hamburger SV

                      The game was very weak in first half, Gladbach had some chances to score but nothing serious. Hamburg started slow and was not able to get into the game. Second half started with 2 early goals - Hamburg took the lead, Gladbach scored just a few seconds later. The game was decided by a free kick from Trochowski. The ball passed all players and went untouched into the goal. So the game went OVER 2.5 goals and both teams scored.
                      Comment
                      • Brazilian soccer
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-04-10
                        • 1589

                        #12
                        Nice write ups Lars, and good lucky!
                        Brazilian Soccer 2011 (Live Over 0,5):
                        http://braziliansoccer.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

                        Brazilian Championship 2011 :
                        0 WIN 0 LOSS 0 PUSH
                        Balance:
                        Comment
                        • mygooglik
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 03-19-10
                          • 133

                          #13
                          only 1 Kaisers' goal after 30 minutes in total Bundesliga - what's going on? weather?
                          Comment
                          • jordigs
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 11-19-10
                            • 297

                            #14
                            I'm with Shalke. GL
                            Comment
                            • turnip
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-03-06
                              • 940

                              #15
                              Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund - Saturday 03.30 PM German time

                              The home team plays a very nice season until now but they have huge problems as many key players are injured. The league top scorer Gekas plays for Frankfurt and he is always worth to be considered in a goal bet like 1st scorer / anytime scorer.
                              Dortmund draws at Sevilla on Wednesday and will now concentrate 100% on the Bundesliga. They have a wonderful young team that works hard and is always ready to perform. They won all 8 away games this season and they scored 21:5 goals in those 8 games. So the pick is obvious - Double chance Eintracht Frankfurt!
                              Why - because every streak will end sometime someday. Frankfurt is 3-1-3 in 7 home games with 8:10 goals so I expect a low scoring game and maybe they will be the team who stops Borussia.
                              Been watching this match and your preview was spot on. Always looked low-scoring, and now Gekas has given the late go-ahead goal for frankfurt
                              Comment
                              • rojeroni
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 12-01-09
                                • 29

                                #16
                                Nice pick on Eintracht Frankfurt, Lars.
                                Comment
                                • Lars_Germany
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 12-16-10
                                  • 21

                                  #17
                                  Match review of Bundesliga games on Saturday afternoon:

                                  Schalke 04 - 1.FC Koeln 3:0
                                  Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 2:2
                                  Nuernberg - Hannover 3:1
                                  Frankfurt - Dortmund 1:0
                                  Bremen - Kaiserslautern 1:2

                                  I guess I made some good picks this round!
                                  Comment
                                  • rojeroni
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 12-01-09
                                    • 29

                                    #18
                                    I guess you did make some good picks! I'm 6-0 on you this week. Good call on Mainz ML at +160. I'll be tailing you on Sunday Bundesliga with Bayer Leverkusen.
                                    And if this keeps up I'm thinking of naming my next male child Lars.
                                    Comment
                                    • Lars_Germany
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 12-16-10
                                      • 21

                                      #19
                                      Udate for Saturday evening match

                                      St. Pauli - Mainz 05 2:4

                                      Mainz was the dominant team over 90 minutes and a clear winner over a hard working but unlucky St. Pauli team. Again the game went OVER 2.5 which seems to be normal in Bundesliga at the moment.

                                      Lets see what Sunday games will bring!
                                      Comment
                                      • Lars_Germany
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 12-16-10
                                        • 21

                                        #20
                                        Update on Sunday matches:

                                        Leverkusen - Freiburg 2:2
                                        Stuttgart - Bayern Muenchen 3:5
                                        Comment
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