Sevilla v Dortmund. Who you should take and why.

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  • decado
    SBR MVP
    • 08-23-10
    • 2392

    #1
    Sevilla v Dortmund. Who you should take and why.
    Sevilla v Dortmund

    First leg: Dortmund 0-1 Sevilla. This match was very unlucky for Dortmund as they dominated the game. There were mysterious calls (Dortmund's red card), not given hand-plays and a goal that happened 5 minutes after inury time in the first(!) half.

    What's on stake? Only the winner will advance. In case of a tie, Sevilla will advance. So it is an all-or-nothing game for Dortmund. Revenge Angle is also here after losing 0-1 at home, Dortmund will come out hot.
    "I am absolutely convinced that we will win in Sevilla and go through," Mats Hummels told Kicker magazine.
    "We wanted this final and we now have it. Our home game against Sevilla was one of our best games of the season, but that did not come through with the result."

    Sevilla lost their last 5 games (3 at home) getting 13 goals against, Always earned a goal against in their last 7 games but they score regularly too since October (apart from against Villareal 0-1 last week).

    Dortmund did not lose more than 10 games and earning only 2 goals against, including 7 wins in a row in the Bundesliga (and 8 wins in a row playing abroad).
    Totaling 14 wins, only one tie and one loss in the Bundesliga, scoring 39 goals. I doubt there is another team that can put up the same statistics this season.

    This team has been hot, breaking records in Germany and if anyone watched them play, will know that they are funcitoning quite perfectly at the moment. And what's better than to crown the year with an advance in Europa League?


    As for the squads, Dortmund will present completely in their full squad while Sevilla has a lot struggles with injuries. (Lineups are not official yet but expected to be similar)

    Sevilla: Palop - Dabo, Ceceres, Alexis, Fernando Navarro - Jose Carlos, Zokora, Renato, Capel - Negredo, Kanoute.

    Dortmund: Weidenfeller - Piszczek, Subotic, Hummels, Schmelzer - Sahin, Bender - Blaszczykowski, Kagawa, Götze - Barrios.



    What's to say Dortmund will lose? Streaks will change next year, not today.

    Dortmund to win (-0.5) @2.5
    Dortmund to win (-1.0) @4.1
    Sevilla/Dortmund Goals over 2.5 @1.8


    Fade away, guys! You are welcome to discuss too..
  • Tommy_de1st
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-23-10
    • 8397

    #2
    i definitely like Dortmund
    Comment
    • cappinthepigs
      SBR MVP
      • 10-07-09
      • 1864

      #3
      Everyone does, that's why it's a loser
      Comment
      • Kraghen
        SBR MVP
        • 07-08-10
        • 2509

        #4
        Originally posted by cappinthepigs
        Everyone does, that's why it's a loser
        I don't think it's a bad pick, maybe Dortmund first half sound good.
        Comment
        • goblinburner
          Restricted User
          • 11-28-10
          • 621

          #5
          dortmund but i think it goes under
          Comment
          • bostonbruins
            SBR MVP
            • 04-02-08
            • 3272

            #6
            Was thinking 1-0 Dortmund or 1-1
            Comment
            • cappinthepigs
              SBR MVP
              • 10-07-09
              • 1864

              #7
              I just HATE the bet everyone else is on... It turns out bad more often than not
              Comment
              • decado
                SBR MVP
                • 08-23-10
                • 2392

                #8
                Originally posted by cappinthepigs
                I just HATE the bet everyone else is on... It turns out bad more often than not
                no offense, but i think you are wrong. more people are on sevilla and big money is coming in for sevilla.
                either way, fading a line because many people are on it, is not a valid argument as well.
                i wish you good luck though.
                Comment
                • Tony Cash
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 09-25-10
                  • 148

                  #9
                  I think best play here is over 2,5.

                  If I must bet - Sevilla.
                  Comment
                  • ink
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 07-25-10
                    • 718

                    #10
                    under 2.5 is my play
                    Comment
                    • swiss88
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-07-10
                      • 906

                      #11
                      Taking Dortmund pk -111, good luck
                      Comment
                      • RubberKettle
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-28-09
                        • 6421

                        #12
                        Decado where do you get these graphs?

                        Like your thoughts on the game. Should be a hotly contested affair with either 1 goal or many goals. Still tryin to figure out this total.
                        Comment
                        • Glada Tartan
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-06-09
                          • 2820

                          #13
                          Got Dortmund PK @ 1,83... expecting 0-1...
                          Comment
                          • Kraghen
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-08-10
                            • 2509

                            #14
                            I think Dortmund is in much better form, plus they are motivated to go to the next stage, they are in good position in Bundesliga so they won't worry about next game, that's why I think they can win in Sevilla, plus Sevilla isn't good at home lately! I'm going very big on Dortmund
                            Comment
                            • dfberger23
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-08-10
                              • 5069

                              #15
                              Originally posted by cappinthepigs
                              I just HATE the bet everyone else is on... It turns out bad more often than not
                              Public betting numbers are useful, but they are not THAT important.
                              Comment
                              • rfr3sh
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-07-09
                                • 10229

                                #16
                                I am betting over 2.5 for this one
                                Comment
                                • JOHON8
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-28-10
                                  • 7712

                                  #17
                                  The best situation is this:

                                  Sevilla scores first goal, the odds for Dortmund skyrocket to like 6.00

                                  I don't know if Dortmund wins both halves, so betting on them before the game start might be losing value.... unless you think they dominate Sevilla.
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #18
                                    Tough call here. Sevilla's sanctuary has been the Europa League because they suck in La Liga, but Dortmund is just nasty. Hard to take a Sevilla side that has dropped three straight at home and five straight overall. Dortmund PK would be my bet.
                                    Comment
                                    • Tommy_de1st
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-23-10
                                      • 8397

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by JOHON8
                                      The best situation is this: Sevilla scores first goal, the odds for Dortmund skyrocket to like 6.00 I don't know if Dortmund wins both halves, so betting on them before the game start might be losing value.... unless you think they dominate Sevilla.
                                      Was thinking same thing but you know what? I wanted to go big on Manchester United and was waiting for either Arsenal 1-0 or 0-0 at half time. Park scored 41mins
                                      Comment
                                      • RubberKettle
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 12-28-09
                                        • 6421

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Tommy_de1st
                                        Was thinking same thing but you know what? I wanted to go big on Manchester United and was waiting for either Arsenal 1-0 or 0-0 at half time. Park scored 41mins

                                        Was thinking of doing the same thing during the United game.
                                        Thought if Arsenal scored first it would be 2-1 United and and if it was 0-0 I was gonna play 1-0 United.
                                        Comment
                                        • RubberKettle
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-28-09
                                          • 6421

                                          #21
                                          Brillant goal by Kagawa. Dortmund in front early on!!!!!!!!
                                          Comment
                                          • Tommy_de1st
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-23-10
                                            • 8397

                                            #22
                                            You see. It's too late now
                                            Comment
                                            • philliesfinest
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-13-09
                                              • 1557

                                              #23
                                              b.d. did not like the late money on sevilla
                                              Comment
                                              • JOHON8
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-28-10
                                                • 7712

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by JOHON8
                                                The best situation is this:

                                                Sevilla scores first goal, the odds for Dortmund skyrocket to like 6.00

                                                I don't know if Dortmund wins both halves, so betting on them before the game start might be losing value.... unless you think they dominate Sevilla.
                                                Dortmund ML even better, 9.00
                                                Comment
                                                • latinrus
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-01-10
                                                  • 11188

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by JOHON8

                                                  Dortmund ML even better, 9.00
                                                  What are u doing to do JOHON? Back Dortmund?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JOHON8
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-28-10
                                                    • 7712

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by latinrus
                                                    What are u doing to do JOHON? Back Dortmund?
                                                    I predicted Sevilla would be 1 goal up at half time, so I promise myself I would take Dortmund no matter what if this happened.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • irlandais_noir
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 12-02-10
                                                      • 812

                                                      #27
                                                      2-2
                                                      Comment
                                                      • latinrus
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-01-10
                                                        • 11188

                                                        #28
                                                        Equalizer JOHON!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JOHON8
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-28-10
                                                          • 7712

                                                          #29
                                                          every attack by both teams looks like a good goal scoring chance, I feel dumb for not taking the over in this one.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 905prodigy
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 11-08-09
                                                            • 247

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by rfr3sh
                                                            I am betting over 2.5 for this one
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JOHON8
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-28-10
                                                              • 7712

                                                              #31
                                                              too many long balls by Dortmund these kids are rushing to win the game
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JOHON8
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-28-10
                                                                • 7712

                                                                #32
                                                                time wasting tactics by Sevilla, they are tired of getting pounded
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JOHON8
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-28-10
                                                                  • 7712

                                                                  #33
                                                                  should be at least 10+ minutes added no joke.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Tommy_de1st
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-23-10
                                                                    • 8397

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by JOHON8
                                                                    every attack by both teams looks like a good goal scoring chance, I feel dumb for not taking the over in this one.
                                                                    me too
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JOHON8
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-28-10
                                                                      • 7712

                                                                      #35
                                                                      someone give me the phone numbers of these refs wanna ask them how much money they got in the mail last night.
                                                                      Comment
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