Play Fluminense regardless of what the line is against Palmeiras this weekend.

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  • Pauulzcappin
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-23-10
    • 20295

    #1
    Play Fluminense regardless of what the line is against Palmeiras this weekend.
    Brazilian Serie A

    I don't like to use the terms lock, GOY and this kind of shit, but this is a great opportunity.

    I'm laying at least 1k on this and I dare anyone to fade me, I've never been more confident in a play like this.

    Corinthians is fighting for the Brazilian title and his two rivals (Sao Paulo and Palmeiras) are playing b2b against Fluminense, who's the current leader.

    Felipao that is Palmeiras' coach already said that will use a lot of kids from the younger teams and probably 3 starters tops.

    Id say Fluminense on the ML is one of the safest bets you'll find on soccer this year.

    If you fade this, good luck. Cause you are gonna need it.
  • danller
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 04-05-10
    • 734

    #2
    What do you think the line will be Paul?
    Comment
    • Pauulzcappin
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 04-23-10
      • 20295

      #3
      Probably -125
      Comment
      • danller
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 04-05-10
        • 734

        #4
        okay, interesting.. Def gonna check this game out thanks!
        Comment
        • Sanka
          SBR MVP
          • 03-29-10
          • 2641

          #5
          So far only Unibet has a line up, they have Fluminense at -200
          Comment
          • Pauulzcappin
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-23-10
            • 20295

            #6
            Originally posted by Sanka
            So far only Unibet has a line up, they have Fluminense at -200
            I had this capped at -250ish, so they decided to set it this high? Didn't expect it from books.
            Comment
            • Pauulzcappin
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-23-10
              • 20295

              #7
              I'm gonna take the -1 probably to avoid all the extra chalk.
              Comment
              • zlate22
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-15-10
                • 511

                #8
                when they r playing?
                Comment
                • nobull
                  Restricted User
                  • 11-24-09
                  • 830

                  #9
                  gotcha buddy............trap game it shall be and good luck
                  Comment
                  • danller
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 04-05-10
                    • 734

                    #10
                    this isnt a trap..
                    Comment
                    • Pauulzcappin
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-23-10
                      • 20295

                      #11
                      They are playing on Sunday.
                      Comment
                      • Pauulzcappin
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-23-10
                        • 20295

                        #12
                        I'm checking Pinnacle daily on the opening line, if anyone sees the line opened please drop a pm
                        Comment
                        • JOHON8
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-28-10
                          • 7712

                          #13
                          My book still only has it at -200.

                          by the way good job searching out this info, I wouldn't have found it until the day of probably.
                          Comment
                          • TT22
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 09-02-09
                            • 409

                            #14
                            Line will be low, but you might get around -150
                            Comment
                            • danller
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 04-05-10
                              • 734

                              #15
                              Paul, what do you think about Palmeiras - Goias.. Seems like Felipao is very focused on this match..
                              Comment
                              • Pauulzcappin
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 04-23-10
                                • 20295

                                #16
                                Originally posted by danller
                                Paul, what do you think about Palmeiras - Goias.. Seems like Felipao is very focused on this match..
                                Great shot to win it but he might set for the draw late in the game, it's just his style. Gonna be a good one for a fanboy like me.
                                Comment
                                • danller
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 04-05-10
                                  • 734

                                  #17
                                  okay, maybe I`ll just stay away from it then... Thanks for sharing
                                  Comment
                                  • Pauulzcappin
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-23-10
                                    • 20295

                                    #18
                                    IF THERE'S ANYONE TAILING, WAIT UNTIL FRIDAY!

                                    The team was just eliminated from Copa Sudamericana, so not sure what they are going to do now.
                                    Comment
                                    • latinrus
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-01-10
                                      • 11188

                                      #19
                                      EPIC FAIL by Palmeiras! how the f\*\*k u lose that pathethic way?

                                      Only way to be out of Copa sudamericana was losing to Goias and they chocked that way? Unreal!

                                      No matter what I think Fluminense is going to f\*\*k them! Fluminense is looking for the tittle and they need this win IMO

                                      But in any case wont put money on this game Palmeiras somehow can f\*\*k people but hope Flumi will screw them on Sunday!
                                      Comment
                                      • minet123
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-17-07
                                        • 10280

                                        #20
                                        Sounds good to me
                                        Comment
                                        • Pauulzcappin
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 04-23-10
                                          • 20295

                                          #21
                                          Kinda afraid Palmeiras is gonna fukk this. We suck so bad in so many ways right now it's not even funny. Gonna watch the news tomorrow to see if it's still a play.
                                          Comment
                                          • Pauulzcappin
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 04-23-10
                                            • 20295

                                            #22
                                            A director of the club said they should just forfeit Sunday. I'm gonna pound this for 1k depending on what Felipao says.
                                            Comment
                                            • latinrus
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-01-10
                                              • 11188

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                              A director of the club said they should just forfeit Sunday. I'm gonna pound this for 1k depending on what Felipao says.
                                              Comment
                                              • Pauulzcappin
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 04-23-10
                                                • 20295

                                                #24
                                                Those fukks are gonna mail it in. I can feel it.
                                                Comment
                                                • Pauulzcappin
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 04-23-10
                                                  • 20295

                                                  #25
                                                  The line west from Flu -1 -123 to -1 -113

                                                  someone pounded the fukk outta it or is this a mind game?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Pauulzcappin
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 04-23-10
                                                    • 20295

                                                    #26
                                                    OK, guys...

                                                    Wish me luck.

                                                    Click image for larger version

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                                                    I moved this line 8 cents, then it jumped back up... pounded it again and it moved back.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Pauulzcappin
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 04-23-10
                                                      • 20295

                                                      #27
                                                      Anyway, I advise everyone to bet within its means on this game.

                                                      I have made enough this season on other sports to risk it on soccer, good luck.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • damien
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 10-17-10
                                                        • 327

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                                        Anyway, I advise everyone to bet within its means on this game.

                                                        I have made enough this season on other sports to risk it on soccer, good luck.
                                                        It is worth it to risk your money on teams that play a must win match. Fluminese will attack from the start, if they get an early goal, they will keep going to kill the game. GL
                                                        soccer
                                                        10-5-1
                                                        +5.03
                                                        Comment
                                                        • latinrus
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 08-01-10
                                                          • 11188

                                                          #29
                                                          Bad luck on the Pats! I took them on the whole game 2nd half they just killed the Lions!

                                                          Gotta love Brady and the Pats!

                                                          I will take Flumi -1 also! BOL!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Sanka
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-29-10
                                                            • 2641

                                                            #30
                                                            Fluminense's title hopes were given a huge boost today when it was revealed that Palmeiras might play a reserve team against them this weekend.

                                                            With two games to go in the season, Flu are one point ahead of Corinthians and could win the league if results go their way on Sunday.


                                                            Their job might be made easier by the fact that their next opponents Palmeiras have revealed they could field second-string players.


                                                            The Sao Paulo club were knocked out of the Copa Sudamericana during the week and have nothing left to play for this season.


                                                            Director of football, Wlademir Pescarmona, said that if it were up to him, the game wouldn't even be played on Sunday.


                                                            "Were it my choice, the game would be recorded as a walk-over and neither team would play the match. It is a problem for Felipe [Scolari, Palmeiras coach] though, he will resolve it,"
                                                            Globoesporte quote him as saying.

                                                            As well as Pescarmona, forward Kleber also has strong views about the rest of the season.


                                                            "It is time for vacations, but we are professionals and we have to comply - if we have to play, let's play," he said.


                                                            "In my opinion it is time for vacations, to get away from the pressure. I do not know if I will play, everybody has to focus on themselves. Corinthians are second and have to win. We are tenth and have nothing to play for. We're out, everybody should take care of themselves."


                                                            For his part, Scolari said that he is 'unsure' and will think about the defeat to Goias before he focuses on the next match.


                                                            Deola and Marcos Assuncao both assured that they are ready to play if chosen, although the latter admitted they are still hurting after their cup exit.


                                                            "We will rest, train on Friday and see what happens. If we are asked to play, we'll play. For now we are resting because it hurts, we wanted to go to the final. We must rest both our bodies and minds, because they are in pain," said Assuncao.


                                                            Scolari apparently still hasn't made up his mind yet, but even if he plays his strongest team they'll be highly demotivated.

                                                            Flu -1 seems like a solid bet and I'll probably play it myself, nowhere near as high as you though

                                                            BOL
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Pauulzcappin
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 04-23-10
                                                              • 20295

                                                              #31
                                                              Yeah, I read that earlier, Sanka.

                                                              I've been looking around on the kinds of bets that are being offered and books are sold this game is gonna be 2-0.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • latinrus
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-01-10
                                                                • 11188

                                                                #32
                                                                sounds good!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JOHON8
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-28-10
                                                                  • 7712

                                                                  #33
                                                                  My books too damn greedy on this game, only offering -1&-1.5 at 1.87. I don't like this line, I know Fluminense will be motivated to win, but Palmeiras don't have any other tournament to worry about anymore after that loss.

                                                                  I think Corinthians are a good bet too, they play at home and have the same motivation.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • latinrus
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-01-10
                                                                    • 11188

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Pinny already has -1 at 1.55 that's -180

                                                                    All the value has gone IMO
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • latinrus
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 08-01-10
                                                                      • 11188

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by JOHON8
                                                                      My books too damn greedy on this game, only offering -1&-1.5 at 1.87. I don't like this line, I know Fluminense will be motivated to win, but Palmeiras don't have any other tournament to worry about anymore after that loss.

                                                                      I think Corinthians are a good bet too, they play at home and have the same motivation.
                                                                      Pinny has 1.79!
                                                                      Comment
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