Premier League early pick

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  • PickApprentice
    SBR MVP
    • 07-20-10
    • 1895

    #1
    Premier League early pick
    I have just been looking at the games for the weekend to see any value bets.

    Stoke v Liverpool Under 2.5 @ 1.7 2 units
    Stoke v Liverpool Draw @ 3.4 2 units
    Hedge it against Stoke win @ 4 0.66 units

    The last two league games at Stoke ended 1-1 and 0-0. Liverpool only scored 4 goals away in 6 games and consider that 2 came against United. It is basically 2 in 5 games. Not a really good away record. People can say that Torres is back, but the thing is I don't see Liverpool scoring more than 1. Joe Cole and Jhonson are both out as well. Stoke has scored in every home game. 3 possible outcomes 1-0, 1-1 or 0-0. History supports this as well.

    Wigan v West Brom

    There has never been a draw between the two teams in the last few years. I fanct Wigan here as it is time for them to get a win. Wigan is winless in the last 5 league games. West Brom was fortunate to get a point at West Ham. They lost to Blackpool away 2-1 and City at home recently.

    I would fancy Wigan win @ 2.4 2 units and hedge this with a draw @ 3.3 0.8 units.

    Wolves v Bolton

    Wolves has played the top in the last four games and only conceded a max of 2 goals against the teams. They even managed to beat City at home 2-1. Bolton is not a great traveller with too many draws away from home. It is a tight game to call, last season, the game ended 2-1 to Wolves. Both teams are desperate of points, but Wolves will be more desperate and they havn't been playing badly recently.

    Wolves win @ 2.3 2 units and hedge this with a draw @ 3.2 0.44 units 0.91 units

    GL all, Please tell me what you think!
  • Ministar
    SBR Hustler
    • 06-11-09
    • 69

    #2
    I like Stoke - Liverpool under 2,5.
    Comment
    • Glada Tartan
      SBR MVP
      • 08-06-09
      • 2820

      #3
      Can see 1-1 here... hmm.. or maybe 2-1...
      Comment
      • rhinkoll
        SBR High Roller
        • 07-17-10
        • 211

        #4
        interesting write up. gl
        Comment
        • Czu81
          SBR MVP
          • 10-25-09
          • 1082

          #5
          Home win? 1-0? BOL!
          Comment
          • JOHON8
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-28-10
            • 7712

            #6
            I saw Stoke-Birmingham. Stoke let 2 goals in in the last 15 minutes, they never deserved to win that game, their 3rd goal was Birmingham keeper error. Liverpool will pound them like Birmingham did, I think they have a better chance to get a win vs Stoke. Also don't think of Stoke as an under team, they can get 1 or 2 goals on set pieces vs liverpool + how many liverpool scores.
            Comment
            • PickApprentice
              SBR MVP
              • 07-20-10
              • 1895

              #7
              Thanks for the advice!
              Comment
              • althelegend
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 07-28-06
                • 596

                #8
                All three matches look likely to be under 2.5 goals.
                Comment
                • hillandkimi
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 07-05-10
                  • 585

                  #9
                  Manchester C.? - ?Birmingham C. Birmingham lost
                  Comment
                  • Goldman
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 07-11-10
                    • 368

                    #10
                    I guess it ends as home win, 1-0 or draw 1-1. Stoke is solid.
                    Comment
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