November Soccer Picks

[Alexgurv]

English Soccer 2010-2011 11-8-4 +1.39 units (57.89%)

Blackpool pick +104 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

Ah, was hoping to get a bit more value then this, for example a +0.5. No dice there. Blackpool is having probably about the season you would expect while West Brom is flying high in 6th. They are a decent team but I think they are going to start evening out now to where most people expected them to be going into the season. Blackpool has won a grand total of 3 premier league games, but at home, they are yet to be shut out. West brom has lost 2 of there 4 road games, granted they did beat Arsenal and lost 6-0 to Chelsea. But the real nail in the coffin is they lost to Liverpool

[ararat2010]

Well, thanks for pick, think it'll cash with that value )) BOL!

[Alexgurv]

thanks, GL

[Alexgurv]

UEFA Competitions 2010-2011 12-12-3 -1.60 units (50.00%)

Tottenham pick -118 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

A little bit of bias here but IMO after the way Tottenham played Inter a couple weeks ago they should come back and win this game. They started out really poorly with Gomes getting the redcard and Inter opening up the 3-0 lead but came back real strong in the 2H. They've scored 8 goals in the two Champions League Games they've played this year at home (including Young Boys). They haven't scored any less then 2 goals so far either in CL play. Inter not nearly as good on the road overall this season as at home. Also there is the Rafa factor. I think Tottenham should expect a win but won't get any less then a draw.

Panathiakos +1 -116 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

Really going off a gut here but Rubin Kazan has been playing an inconsistent game of late. They seem to pour a lot of shots in at goal but can't get it done. They've done at least twice so far during there CL campaign. It also seems like they can only draw lately against teams they should be able to beat. Can't see this one finishing any worse then 1-0 with the way the game last week played out.

[Alexgurv]

UEFA Competitions 2010-2011 14-12-3 +0.40 units (53.84%)

Arsenal pick -118 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

Arsenal play at there top of there game right. They've had 3 clean sheets in a row in the EPL, with 2 of those being on the road. A couple of weeks ago Shakhtar lost to them 5-1 @ Emirates. I don't think a lot changes here. No Fabregas but I think they still play a good game. Worst case would be a draw IMO.


Real Madrid +136 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

Taking a shot with this one. Real Madrid hasn't played as well on the road but AC Milan hasn't played that well in some of these games even at home this season. I think Real Madrid at + money, even with a clear lead in the group is a good value bet. Just because AC Milan has something to prove to people doesn't mean there gonna do it. The way Ronaldo is playing, and the way Mourinho knows AC Milan and has owned them, I think Real Madrid wins this, probably even easily.

[Alexgurv]

German Soccer 2010-2011 4-4-2 -0.02 units (50.00%)

St Pauli +1 (-136) to win 1 unit @5dimes

Schalke has struggled to score goals this season surprisingly. There in 17th place in Bundesliga. Schalke has scored scored more then 1 goal in a game this season just twice. St Pauli is a good underdog, they can shock people at times and not only play well in a game but outright win. Knowing my luck lately, St Pauli loses this one 5-0

[Alexgurv]

English Soccer 2010-2011 12-8-4 +2.43 units (60.00%)

Bolton pick +117 to bet 1 unit @5dimes

I think it ends up a draw, too hard to ignore the injuries and the possibilities of a let down game.


French Soccer 2010-2011 8-2-3 +6.42 units (80.00%)

Arles pick +145 to bet 1 unit @5dimes

I this ends up a draw, as well. Arles has been playing terribly all season. Caen had a good start but there starting to suck too. Seems like a good value bet with these kind of odds here.

[Alexgurv]

Italian Soccer 2010-2011 7-1-3 +6.09 units (87.50%)

Roma pick +115 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

Big derby game. Could easily see a draw here. Lazio been playing great this year, but in a derby anything really goes. Roma is starting to pick up there play and playing better on offense. Lazio hasn't really played anyone that great so far this season so I think they look better then they actually are.


Spanish Soccer 2010-2011 5-4-1 +0.58 units (55.55%)

Atl Madrid +1.5 +114 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

Also a derby game. Anything can happen. Real Madrid not playing that well this season defensively IMO. Atletico has not scored in La Liga (or Primera now) in just one game so far this season. Real Madrid has dominated the rivalry, but they've only beaten them by more then 1 goal, two times since 2005. At + money, I think this seems like a good value bet.

[Alexgurv]

Spanish Soccer 2010-2011 5-5-1 -0.42 units (50.00%)

Sevilla +129 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

Sevilla been running good of late other then there 5-0 loss to Barcelona. Sevilla has scored 11 goals in there last 3 home games. Hopefully they will keep that pace. Valencia seems to be a kind of, on/off team. No consistency. Will glady take Sevilla at + money.

[Masu485]

will play sevilla -1/4,

they did play just this thursday though, valencia has had 2 extra days rest.

sevilla has been scoring like crazy recently though. i hope this isn't a mistake, i'm almost broke

[Masu485]

with more research, im liking sevilla a bit more than before. will play them on ML.

Good Luck!

[Ruff]

with more research, im liking sevilla a bit more than before. will play them on ML.

Good Luck!

I have a newbie question
what the difference ML? at +115 or goal line -.5 +105?
both bet lose if final score is tied.

[Masu485]

I have a newbie question
what the difference ML? at +115 or goal line -.5 +105?
both bet lose if final score is tied.

they are essentially the same. books like pinny often have both prices the same, but other books have a bit of a price difference. when that's the case, take the better price!

at 5D right now, i think sevilla was +129 ML and +126 for the -0.5. i went ahead and took the +129.

[Ruff]

they are essentially the same. books like pinny often have both prices the same, but other books have a bit of a price difference. when that's the case, take the better price!

at 5D right now, i think sevilla was +129 ML and +126 for the -0.5. i went ahead and took the +129.

Thanks for the response , I thought that was the the correct answer.

[Alexgurv]

GL guys, hopefully Sevilla comes thru

[nico1zuzu]

can you post year to date record, updating it? ty

[Alexgurv]

can you post year to date record, updating it? ty

I did post it , 5-5 -0.48 units for Spanish soccer, before the Sevilla game that is... now 6-5

[charley1]

thank's for the info... i'll consider that on my on picks!!

[Alexgurv]

what info? lol

English Soccer 2010-2011 13-8-4 +3.60 units (61.90%)

Birmingham +0.5 -123 to win 1 unit @5dimes

Two evenly matched teams. No one should be favored in this game and wouldn't shock me to see a draw but going the safe route here with +0.5. Stoke hasn't won a game in over a month, they haven't even gotten a point in over a month. No reason to believe they start winning games now.

[Alexgurv]

English Soccer 2010-2011 13-9-4 +2.37 units (59.09%)

Man United pick +112 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

Anytime I can take Man United at +0 , with + money I will probably grab it. This just has a lot value in it seems. Granted Man City usually plays well at home, and there struggles are more on the road. It seems like they just haven't really played well at all this year though. Man United seems to be picking it up and winning games (even if it's just barely at times). As everyone knows, anything can happen in a derby, but the experience Man United has on all levels I think gets them the win here.


Italian Soccer 2010-2011 8-1-3 +7.24 units (88.88%)

Napoli pick +100 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

Napoli playing pretty well this season. They've performed well o nthe road as well, with just 1 loss in Italian League play against Sampdoria in August. Cagliari only has 2 wins this season. Seems like some good value for a team thats playing well overall during the season.

[Alexgurv]

Italian Soccer 2010-2011 8-1-4 +7.24 units (88.88%)

Sampdoria +0.5 -153 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

It would be really hard for me to back Parma to win by a goal or more when they have won 1 game all year, and that was there first game of the year. It's true they've been decently good defensively, but they haven't been there offensively. They haven't scored a goal now in 3 games. Sampdoria's only lost 1 game all year, I expect this to be a tight game and hopefully they win, but a draw works just fine as well. No Cassano for Sampdoria, but I can see a 0-0 draw.

[Wilforth]

On paper, Sampdoria look like the better side and there's certainly more money on them. But this is Italy and it's the only Serie A game on Thursday. I think Parma will win this game by 2-1 so that all Sampdoria, draw and Under bets will end up on the losing side. Just my 2 cents.

[Alexgurv]

good call Wilforth on Parma

German Soccer 2010-2011 4-5-2 -1.38 units (44.44%)

Hamburg +0.5 +128 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

Two evenly matched teams, thank its a good value bet. Also, German Fridays always have strange results, maybe Hamburg wins outright. Then again I have been struggling in Germany of late.

[Alexgurv]

English Soccer 2010-2011 13-9-5 +2.37 units (59.09%)

Wolverhampton pick -136 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

It just seems like they are playing well, against the best teams in the league and just not getting any breaks. They've just played Arsenal,Man U, Man City, Man U and Chelsea in a 5 game stretch, and didn't play poorly either. I think they finally get 3 points out of this game.


French Soccer 2010-2011 9-2-3 +7.87 units (81.81%)

St Ettiene pick +139 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

Just really like the value here tbh. Valenciennes is having a fairly average season, St Ettiene was in first just a couple weeks ago. Could see this easily being a draw, but at + money I'll take my chances.y chances.

[Alexgurv]

English Soccer 2010-2011 13-10-5 +1.01 units (56.52%)

Arsenal pick -149 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

Everton hasn't lost in the EPL in nearly 2 months, but I will take my chances with a +0 bet on Arsenal. Everton hasn't really played anyone of consequence in that stretch other then Tottenham and who really ever knows with them. Despite Arsenal not really playing that well the last couple of weeks, I can't see them not getting at least a point out of this, but expect a win.


Italian Soccer 2010-2011 8-2-4 +5.71 units (80.00%)

AC Milan pick +109 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

This is really strictly a "anti-Rafa" bet in a big game. Inter's been weak of late, only winning 1 of there last 4 games and drawing the other 3. AC Milan is playing a lot better lately.

[Alexgurv]

English Soccer 2010-2011 14-10-5 +2.01 units (58.33%)

Bolton +122 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes

French Soccer 2010-2011 9-2-3 +7.87 units (81.81%)

OM pick -146 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

[Alexgurv]

English Soccer 2010-2011 15-10-5 +3.23 units (60.00%)

Man City pick -150 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

Man City just the overall better team. There scoreless in 2 in a row but I think they should bounce back. With Tottenham and Bolton winning there is some pressure on them winning. Fulham has won only one game in the last two months. Don't see Man City losing this one.


Italian Soccer 2010-2011 9-2-4 +6.80 units (81.81%)

Juventus pick -107 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

Juventus only has lost 2 games all year. They've gotten a lot of draws but Genoa has seemingly failed to win of late against decent opponents. They are playing well against the bottom feeders, but losing to teams in the top 10. I think Juventus should at least walk away with a draw. Genoa is decent at home, but nothing great.

[Alexgurv]

English Soccer 2010-2011 16-10-5 +4.23 units (61.53%)

Everton pick -102 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

Seems like a perfect let down situation for Sunderland. It looks like they have been playing great. Draw against Tottenham, but we all know how sporadic Tottenham can be at times. An easy win against Chelsea, but Chelsea look to be in some turmoil at the moment. It seems like the books agree, even after Sunderland's great run, they only make them a slight favorite against an Everton team not playing that well. Situational play.

[Blue_Chips]

Good luck tomorrow!

[Alexgurv]

Thank you good luck

[Blue_Chips]

You are one of a few people on Everton. Most people have Sunderland. Do you think both teams will score today?

[serc]

Everton sounds good!

[Alexgurv]

Sorry guys, I'm really at work most of the day and it's rare I can check back to answer anything

UEFA Competitions 2010-2011 14-14-3 -1.78 units (50.00%)

A considerably shitty European performance so far

Spartak pick -117 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

It seems this might be the square pick right now. OM is way too inconsistent for me to really back them. As mentioned, the RPL is coming to a close right now, this will be Spartak's last game. I think the weather might affect OM as well. In Moscow its already snowing, while Marseilles still has pretty mild weather. This might have some kind of affect on them.

Real Madrid pick -158 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

I will take them in a pick em no problem. Maybe this is a slight trap game for Real Madrid considering the Barcelona game this weekend. Will still take my chances with these odds and considering Ajax has only won 1 of there last 5. Worst case scenario I see a push

[Blue_Chips]

I may parlay those two. Good luck tomorrow!

[Wilforth]

Sorry guys, I'm really at work most of the day and it's rare I can check back to answer anything

UEFA Competitions 2010-2011 14-14-3 -1.78 units (50.00%)

A considerably shitty European performance so far

Spartak pick -117 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

It seems this might be the square pick right now. OM is way too inconsistent for me to really back them. As mentioned, the RPL is coming to a close right now, this will be Spartak's last game. I think the weather might affect OM as well. In Moscow its already snowing, while Marseilles still has pretty mild weather. This might have some kind of affect on them.