1 Dangerous Pick Monday

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  • Ace_of_Spades
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-14-09
    • 13518

    #1
    1 Dangerous Pick Monday
    Hard to go against Porto when they have been on fire and have gotten maximum points from their first 6 games. But, i'm feeling a draw and Porto may just let their guard down being ahead by 6 points over Benfica.

    My dangerous pick.

    Vitoria Guimaraes +1 -115

    Worse case scenario, a push/void.


    Good Luck!
  • protein
    SBR MVP
    • 12-20-09
    • 1231

    #2
    I´d like to see Porto loosing today (nothing against that team tho). good luck !
    Comment
    • Ace_of_Spades
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-14-09
      • 13518

      #3
      Cheers bro!
      Comment
      • infamousbacardi
        SBR MVP
        • 03-16-08
        • 4556

        #4
        "Worst case scenario a push"??? Haha...you're being optimistic Wilforth...worst case scenario is Porto wins 2-0 like they have every other game this year. Lol...but really, it's so hard to bet against Porto, they have literally won like 14 of 15 or something ridiculous like that against Vitoria in the past. Crazy H2H record in ANY sport, let alone soccer specifically. I kind of see value in the ML (currently at 1.68 on Bodog)...but, that's just my opinion...I think Vitoria at +1 certainly has about a 75% chance of pushing at worst case scenario...but Porto is classy when it comes to domestic games...and even more so this year. I think if I play this game I'll have to trust the Porto and go with a decent valued ML play.
        Comment
        • Wilforth
          Restricted User
          • 05-10-08
          • 16309

          #5
          Originally posted by infamousbacardi
          "Worst case scenario a push"??? Haha...you're being optimistic Wilforth...worst case scenario is Porto wins 2-0 like they have every other game this year. Lol...but really, it's so hard to bet against Porto, they have literally won like 14 of 15 or something ridiculous like that against Vitoria in the past. Crazy H2H record in ANY sport, let alone soccer specifically. I kind of see value in the ML (currently at 1.68 on Bodog)...but, that's just my opinion...I think Vitoria at +1 certainly has about a 75% chance of pushing at worst case scenario...but Porto is classy when it comes to domestic games...and even more so this year. I think if I play this game I'll have to trust the Porto and go with a decent valued ML play.
          What has this got to do with me?
          Comment
          • Wilforth
            Restricted User
            • 05-10-08
            • 16309

            #6
            AOS,

            It's not a dangerous pick! You couldn't have picked a better time for this play. Porto have a 6-point cushion at the top with a game in hand which makes them a very risky pick as a road favorite. Having lost the last 7 meetings at home against Porto, Guimaraes will have no better opportunity for some sort of revenge against Porto. I think this game will end in either an outright Guimaraes win or a draw.
            Comment
            • rb3b3
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-03-10
              • 962

              #7
              what league is this game in?
              Comment
              • jdocholiday
                SBR Rookie
                • 07-08-10
                • 7

                #8
                Portugal league
                Comment
                • zlate22
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-15-10
                  • 511

                  #9
                  i think its a draw
                  Comment
                  • macoeric
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 09-29-10
                    • 626

                    #10
                    Good luck
                    Comment
                    • bostonbruins
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-02-08
                      • 3272

                      #11
                      GL man , seems like a dead end , kinda hoping for a push
                      Comment
                      • mygooglik
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 03-19-10
                        • 133

                        #12
                        Like your contrarian pick! BOL! ))))
                        Comment
                        • mentorbh
                          Restricted User
                          • 08-27-10
                          • 479

                          #13
                          good luck
                          Comment
                          • infamousbacardi
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-16-08
                            • 4556

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Wilforth
                            What has this got to do with me?
                            My apologies Wil!!! Glanced and thought that was your avatar for a minute!! Haha...sorry, that would be "Ace of Spades" rather!!! Thanks for the correction! Sorry!

                            Comment
                            • protein
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-20-09
                              • 1231

                              #15
                              Off topic but I hope that Beira Mar will hold the last couple of minutes. Would do me a huge favor if Sporting does not win
                              Comment
                              • protein
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-20-09
                                • 1231

                                #16
                                Looking good again (Y)
                                Comment
                                • ukbsktbll
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-25-09
                                  • 2048

                                  #17
                                  Yep 1-1
                                  Comment
                                  • Wilforth
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 05-10-08
                                    • 16309

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Wilforth
                                    AOS,

                                    It's not a dangerous pick! You couldn't have picked a better time for this play. Porto have a 6-point cushion at the top with a game in hand which makes them a very risky pick as a road favorite. Having lost the last 7 meetings at home against Porto, Guimaraes will have no better opportunity for some sort of revenge against Porto. I think this game will end in either an outright Guimaraes win or a draw.
                                    AOS,

                                    You called it right. Wish you did the draw. But it's ok.
                                    Comment
                                    • NuNo
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 10-09-08
                                      • 257

                                      #19
                                      nice result
                                      Comment
                                      • ararat2010
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 12-16-09
                                        • 428

                                        #20
                                        yeah, it was really nice call ))
                                        Comment
                                        • hustla
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-20-09
                                          • 1235

                                          #21
                                          Comment
                                          • protein
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-20-09
                                            • 1231

                                            #22
                                            Ace, just from curiosity did You play big on that?
                                            Comment
                                            • Ace_of_Spades
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-14-09
                                              • 13518

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by protein
                                              Ace, just from curiosity did You play big on that?
                                              No, just 200 to make 170.
                                              Comment
                                              • Ace_of_Spades
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-14-09
                                                • 13518

                                                #24
                                                I almost ripped my hair out when Vitoria missed an absolute sitter in the 1st 25 minutes to take the lead. Nice low cross and the dude misses it.
                                                Comment
                                                • pinnerpsk
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-16-09
                                                  • 1687

                                                  #25
                                                  Good play here. Public was big on Porto.
                                                  Comment
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