The ultimate Dutch Soccer thread

[JOHON8]

Big change at Ajax. Coach Jol is out and Frank De Boer is in as coach. Ajax just completed one of the worst stretches of home games in club history. There has been a lot of turmoil at the club recently, but the time to fade Ajax may be coming to an end.

They play at AC Milan tonight in the CL. Milan is already in the next round and will not be fielding their best team. The coaching change could spark Ajax today, and at least get rid of the negative attitude on the pitch.

With Milan putting out a weak squad this could be a good chance for Ajax.

But Ajax isn't playing for anything, how hard will they fight if they go 1 or 2 goals down?

[Dark Horse]

They still play for third place and spot in the Europa League.

[Dark Horse]

Ajax at AC Milan, first game under new coach Frank De Boer (who played for Ajax when they beat Milan in the CL final in 1995): Ajax 2 - Milan 0.

[Sawyer]

I love Dutch League. Much better then big leagues like Premier, Bundesliga imo..in terms of betting.

GL with your plays buddy.

[pdc]

hey krypt how are you?????

im gonna unload big on one of these teams, heracles or NEC............which one do u like more???
theyre playing in home vs the worst teams on eredivise............let me know ur opinions my friend, take care.
Same question who plays worst football VVV or Willem

[Kryptonite]

hey krypt how are you?????

im gonna unload big on one of these teams, heracles or NEC............which one do u like more???
theyre playing in home vs the worst teams on eredivise............let me know ur opinions my friend, take care.
Same question who plays worst football VVV or Willem

I would be careful to unload big on pretty average teams like Heracles or NEC. NEC or Heracles at home around 1,40 (-250) in the league is always a no bet for me. They are favourites for sure, but I don´t think this kind of plays will make you money in the long run. Willem II and VVV are equally bad, but the difference with NEC and Heracles is not THAT big that I would play these odds.

This weekend I´m taking:

Saturday:
NAC- Utrecht
Pick: Utrecht DNB @ 2,13
In my opinion Utrecht should not be the dog here as I see them clearly as the better team. NAC at home is usually not bad, but this line might be inflated because of a bit lucky wins against Twente and PSV.

Sunday:
Vitesse-Ajax
Pick: Ajax -1,0 @1,92
Vitesse just lacks experience with each other, lots of new players, not a real team yet. Ajax played very good and trashed AC Milan 2-0 in the Champions League. They are motivated because of the new coach and this is a match they really should win.

Twente´s odd looks juicy (2,20 at Heerenveen), but I´m gonna decide on that later.

[Kryptonite]

My record of posted plays is 14-12-2 for a small profit. Let´s continue this week
Friday 20:45 CET
Utrecht - Heracles
There is an extremely big difference between Utrecht at home and Utrecht in away matches. They are really poor on the road winning just 3 of their 13 matches, playing crap against the worst teams in the league. At home however they are supported by a fanatic crowd and they are a completely different team winning 7 out of 10.
Heracles is a typical hometeam as well, winning 7 out of 12 at home and a terrible 0wins-2draws-10losses record on the road.
Utrecht last match was a bad 3-3 draw against the bottom ranked team and the coach criticized the mentality of the team. The problem with Utrecht is that they are very motivated against top teams (at home they recently beat Ajax 3-0 and played 1-1 against Twente) and against lower ranked teams they aren´t very motivated. Playing at home however, this is a match Utrecht really should win and I see some value in the -1,0 handicap @ 1,92.
Play: Utrecht -1,0 @ 1,92

Saturday 19:45 CET
Heerenveen - AZ
I really believed in Heerenveen for a long time, but now I must say this team just lacks chemistry. Their defense often looks shaky and their mentality isn´t that good either. AZ plays pretty good lately. They create lots of chances, but sometimes they have problems scoring. AZ lost their last match 4-0 against PSV, but this was just a crazy game where AZ dominated the whole game, created chances, but missed them all and PSV had 4 chances and scored 4 goals. I rank AZ definately higher than Heerenveen and I´m taking the DNB @ 2,10.
Play: AZ DNB @ 2,10

[GMilst]

Krypto what do you think about the over (currently @1,7) on the Utrecht game? It looks pretty good and im planning to bet on it, but it seems like you know a lot more than i do about dutch football

[Kryptonite]

Utrecht defense at home is pretty good, they only allowed 9 goals in their last 10 home matches. And Heracles is a pretty bad team, so there is a pretty good chance Heracles won´t score a goal. So if Heracles doesn´t score, Utrecht must score 3 goals.
I´m not saying the match will go under 2,5, but I think oddsmakers are right with their odd of 1,70, so the over is not special value in my opinion.