UEFA slew of matches today......245 ET

Fishhead · 09-15-10, 10:02 AM

Any leans?

jjgold · 09-15-10, 10:08 AM

No

Too busy for soccer right now

fsugolf · 09-15-10, 10:15 AM

the u23 1/2 looked good till they pulled it from the board

Fishhead · 09-15-10, 10:21 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

No

Too busy for soccer right now

Hear that, I'm swamped right now.

LostBankroll · 09-15-10, 10:41 AM

UEFA games are so damn unpredicable. Cashed yesterday on Inter/Twente Over which was my best play for yesterday. BOL today Fishherman.

polskboy · 09-15-10, 11:31 AM

fish Shakhtar Donetsk will win by 2 goals.

LostBankroll · 09-15-10, 11:36 AM

Originally posted by polskboy

fish Shakhtar Donetsk will win by 2 goals.

How sure are you on this? If you see a 2 goal margin then the ML would be the safe bet no?

birdmanweezy · 09-15-10, 11:37 AM

i have shaktar as well....shaktar.arsenal parlay

lakerboy · 09-15-10, 11:41 AM

bayern/roma over 2,5

decado · 09-15-10, 11:44 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

bayern/ajx over 2,5

ajax will play against real, not bayern

lakerboy · 09-15-10, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by decado

ajax will play against real, not bayern

actually roma

polskboy · 09-15-10, 11:47 AM

Originally posted by LostBankroll

How sure are you on this? If you see a 2 goal margin then the ML would be the safe bet no?

yes it would be.

Wilforth · 09-15-10, 12:04 PM

Bayern/Roma Over 2.5
Auxerre +1
Real/Ajax Under 3
Marseille ML

Cluj +175

decado · 09-15-10, 12:16 PM

Arsenal v Braga over 2.5,3 goals
Marseille v Spartak Moscow over 2.5 goals
Shaltar v Partizan 1

fun plays:
Bayern v Roma over 4.5 cards (not goals

)
M van Bommel (Bayern) yellow card (+230

)

LostBankroll · 09-15-10, 12:17 PM

Wilforth, which of these you feel strongest about? I see you correctly predicted the ManU/Rangers Draw. UEFA matches are soo tough to cap imo.

Pauulzcappin · 09-15-10, 12:22 PM

what the fvck do you see in marseille wil

Gio21 · 09-15-10, 12:27 PM

I have a alternate line 2.5/3 at -110 what does that mean? If they score 3 goals then I push instead of win?

decado · 09-15-10, 12:33 PM

Originally posted by Gio21

I have a alternate line 2.5/3 at -110 what does that mean? If they score 3 goals then I push instead of win?

just see it as two bets. your wager will be halved one is 2,5 and other is 3.
2-0 lose all
3-0 u win half and other half gets pushed.
4-0 win all

Gio21 · 09-15-10, 12:36 PM

Originally posted by decado

just see it as two bets. your wager will be halved one is 2,5 and other is 3.
2-0 lose all
3-0 u win half and other half gets pushed.
4-0 win all

Thanks

Joszan7 · 09-15-10, 12:43 PM

I'm liking the Bayern/Roma over.

nobull · 09-15-10, 12:45 PM

so many games to bet on and so little time for research b/c of busy day at work.

Wilforth · 09-15-10, 01:04 PM

Originally posted by LostBankroll

Wilforth, which of these you feel strongest about? I see you correctly predicted the ManU/Rangers Draw. UEFA matches are soo tough to cap imo.

Marseille ML.
It's good for Marseille that they've started the season slowly, which effectively eliminates the chance of them being over-confident against Spartak. The other thing is that Marseille aren't as bad as their overall record would suggest. Their struggles have actually been limited mostly to the road. Agreed, they're 1-1-1 in their L3 home games but that record should actually have been 2-0-1. They actually scored a winner in their last home game against Monaco which was canceled for no good reason. Even with the canceled goal, Marseille have now scored 5 goals in their L3 home games. What I like is the home-scoring progression. They scored 1 goal in their first home game of the season and have scored 2 each in their L2 home games and those goals were against defenses that aren't inferior to Spartak's defense, IMHO. So we actually have a right to expect 2 goals today from Marseille and I don't see Spartak equaling that. So we should expect a Marseille win with any of these scores: 2-0, 2-1, and 3-1.

The other pick I really like is:
CFR Cluj +175.
Here's another team that's being underrated because of their current league form and Basel's deceptive road record in their last UEFA games leading to this stage of the competition. This line totally ignores 3 things:
1) despite their seemingly poor record, Cluj hasn't lost any of its home games this season
2) Cluj has made recent offensive reinforcements
3) Cluj has scored in all their home games this season and have scored 2 goals in each of their L2 home games (and 8 goals over all in their L3 games).

I also think the Cluj game will go Over but I expect a "mass burial" in that game because the public have overestimated Basel's chances of winning, which has shut Cluj ML from +120 to +175. What folks don't know is that whatever information they have about Basel has already been used in the original line that installed Cluj as a +120 favorite.

LostBankroll · 09-15-10, 01:09 PM

Wil thanks as always for the in depth analysis.

LostBankroll · 09-15-10, 03:59 PM

Nice hit on the dog Cluj Wilforth. Fishhead you make any money on these matches today?