H-Bomb's soccer picks thread 2010/11 season

mlb · 12-13-10, 12:38 AM

I like Man united to win but I'm really hoping there isn't a 1-1 draw!

mlb · 12-13-10, 12:38 AM

Originally posted by Blue_Chips

I agree. What is puzzling me is that the books know this too. I was wondering why the total was not set at over 3. I see over 2.5 in the SBR book.

thinking the same thing ... this series is very high scoring which is odd that it stays at 2.5 ... hard to argue against the over just an interesting little tid bit

Blue_Chips · 12-13-10, 12:42 AM

8 of the last 10 times these two teams have met has gone over 2.5.

Here is what I found that stood out to me...

Only 3 of the last 10 times that these two teams have met at Old Trafford has the total gone over 2.5.

Blue_Chips · 12-13-10, 12:43 AM

Originally posted by mlb

I like Man united to win but I'm really hoping there isn't a 1-1 draw!

Me too! I hate those DRAWS. I could never bet a DRAW.

H-BOMB · 12-13-10, 12:48 AM

Line on the over has edged up a bit. I think people are being cautious that this might end up 1-1

Blue_Chips · 12-13-10, 12:53 AM

Originally posted by H-BOMB

Line on the over has edged up a bit. I think people are being cautious that this might end up 1-1

Ok. I'll just check back with you in the a.m. Thanks.

H-BOMB · 12-13-10, 12:54 AM

I'll be back in morning maybe talk myself more into taking over

EaglesPhan36 · 12-13-10, 01:31 AM

Originally posted by Blue_Chips

8 of the last 10 times these two teams have met has gone over 2.5. Here is what I found that stood out to me... Only 3 of the last 10 times that these two teams have met at Old Trafford has the total gone over 2.5.

I think people look too much at history. Different teams. Different years. What happened eight matches ago between two sides that are not the same as the sides meeting Monday has nothing to do with the present. Besides if you're going to focus on history, then why not say that 2 of the last 3 at Old Trafford DID go over? I think you just cap the match how you see fit and play it without screwing too much with the history angle. Good luck wherever you go ... I'm on the over.

Blue_Chips · 12-13-10, 01:49 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

I think people look too much at history. Different teams. Different years. What happened eight matches ago between two sides that are not the same as the sides meeting Monday has nothing to do with the present. Besides if you're going to focus on history, then why not say that 2 of the last 3 at Old Trafford DID go over? I think you just cap the match how you see fit and play it without screwing too much with the history angle. Good luck wherever you go ... I'm on the over.

First, let me say that I am honored to have you respond to one of my posts. I follow your plays.

Second, let me say...ARE YOU SERIOUS about not looking at past history? The past history does play a part in betting. It is something that I definitely look at.

Last, 2 of the last 3 between ManU and Arsenal at Old Trafford went under 2.5 goals.

I am an "overs bettor." So, believe me when I say that I am looking at playing the over 2.5 for this game tomorrow. I just don't know if I want to parlay it or play it straight. If the game was being played in Arsenal's house, I would be all over that over 2.5. Check the history.

Maybe you can tell us why the total is set at only 2.5?

EaglesPhan36 · 12-13-10, 09:38 AM

If I knew why books set lines where they set them, I'd be rich.

I think they rarely set meetings between the Big 4 at anything other than 2.5. Perhaps someone who has access to the history of lines between some of these teams can research that. I think sometimes people spend too much time trying to look inside a line rather than trusting their research and instincts. My own opinion is that it's a mistake to weigh too heavily on how matches turned out in the past. I do think that when betting a side, sure, there is something to putting a little weight behind a pick if say Arsenal hasn't won at Old Trafford in 20 meetings or something like that ... but totals I think aren't as predictable based on history because you've got different managers, different players, different formations that all may have been used compared to the current roster, system, etc. I just don't think what happened between Man U-Arsenal in 2005 has anything to do with 2010.

H-BOMB · 12-13-10, 01:09 PM

Monday's card

Spain

1. Valencia -1 -140 4 units

England

1. Manchester United -104 2 units

staying with this card for today. BOL everyone and enjoy the match

ATSFan2010 · 12-13-10, 01:38 PM

i got Man U -.5 -130

H-BOMB · 12-13-10, 01:49 PM

Originally posted by ATSFan2010

i got Man U -.5 -130

GL to both of us

H-BOMB · 12-13-10, 05:02 PM

Monday's card

Spain

1. Valencia -1 -140 4 units

England

1. Manchester United -104 2 units

Argentina
1. Tigre/Juniors Over 2/2.5 -117 4 units

bad loss by Valencia up 3-1

H-BOMB · 12-13-10, 05:18 PM

Monday's card

Spain

1. Valencia -1 -140 4 units

England

1. Manchester United -104 2 units

Argentina

1. Tigre/Juniors Over 2/2.5 -117 4 units

NFL

7pt teaser

Giants/Vikings Over 36.5
Ravens +4 -120 5 units

1. Baltimore -155 4 units

will be back with halftime picks later and update record after tonight's game finish

JOHON8 · 12-13-10, 05:20 PM

damn bro I thought you'd be up a little after that United win, tough luck with Valencia.

H-BOMB · 12-13-10, 05:41 PM

Originally posted by JOHON8

damn bro I thought you'd be up a little after that United win, tough luck with Valencia.

yea Valencia let me down...good Man U win but didn't risk too much on it

pinnerpsk · 12-13-10, 06:11 PM

Originally posted by H-BOMB

yea Valencia let me down...good Man U win but didn't risk too much on it

I can't believe Valencia shit the bed like that after being up 3-1

Blue_Chips · 12-13-10, 06:21 PM

Well, it's a good thing that we did not play that over 2.5 on the ManU game. I knew something was up with that line being set at 2.5 for two teams that could score. Once again the history repeats itself...ManU beats Arsenal and the game goes under @ Old Trafford.
Man! What was up with Valencia? They sure did mess my day up.

H-BOMB · 12-13-10, 08:41 PM

halftime pick coming up in Giants game....low scoring so far not good for the teaser

H-BOMB · 12-13-10, 08:56 PM

halftime

1. Giants -2 -116 3 units

H-BOMB · 12-13-10, 10:17 PM

halftime

Ravens/Texans Over 21 -145 3 units
Texans pk -120 3 units

H-BOMB · 12-14-10, 09:45 AM

will have picks and updates in a bit internet is slow for me today must be the freezing temperatures here

H-BOMB · 12-14-10, 11:30 AM

Tuesday's card

France

1. Evian -118 5 units

Soccer picks 2010/11 season: 302-220-24 -86.04 units

beeps220 · 12-14-10, 08:22 PM

Nice win

H-BOMB · 12-15-10, 10:50 AM

Originally posted by beeps220

Nice win

thanks

LostBankroll · 12-15-10, 10:53 AM

Anything for today?

H-BOMB · 12-15-10, 11:07 AM

Wednesday's card

UEFA Europa

1. Napoli/Bucharest Over 2.5 -121 3 units
2. Dynamo Kiev -1.5 -134 2 units

Parlay

Napoli -251
FC Porto -457
Dynamo Kiev -391
Liverpool -251 3 units to win 5.98 units

BOL everyone

Soccer picks 2010/11 season: 303-280-24 -81.04 units

ukbsktbll · 12-15-10, 11:41 AM

BOL let's hit these plays today

ukbsktbll · 12-15-10, 03:30 PM

Dynamo Kiev really screwed stuff up

H-bomb's fellow · 01-02-11, 12:04 AM

What happened to H? Haven't see him for a long time?