Sunday Mexico Apertura .Pumas UNAM v Toluca

[vitalyo]

Kick off @ 13:00

I am gonna go with a stats / streak. Pumas UNAM had never lost at home against Toluca . The odds are right to ride a streak .

31st Jan 10
Pumas UNAM v Toluca 0 - 0
10th Aug 08
Pumas UNAM v Toluca 2 - 1
20th Apr 08
Pumas UNAM v Toluca 0 - 0
23rd Nov 07
Pumas UNAM v Toluca 2 - 0
27th Aug 06
Pumas UNAM v Toluca 0 - 0


Total 10 previous encounters between this 2 clubs reads this way WinDrawLoss - All : 2-6-2 SF : Pumas Home 2-3-0

Under/Over 2.5 : 7-3 .

This is good enough for me to bet home win with a draw saver .Games between this 2 tend to be low scoring .Also seems to me they don't go out of hand with crazy scores . So I don't see home team losing here . Unless it's 0:1 visitor in the 87 min

Pumas UNAM v Toluca .Pumas UNAM +160betfair $600.00 $960.00

Pumas UNAM v Toluca .DRAW +235betfair $270.00 $634.50

Last 2 days i hit the losing streak NOTHING MAJOR . I am ok with this because i had 22 days winning streak and very profitable year . Yesterday i back down and lowered my bets and lost again . Kind of proud of my self that i didn't chase .

Cheers GL.

http://vitalyo.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

[vitalyo]

Money are coming on Unam odds are down to 2.38 just before the start of the game .

[Mr.Kitty]

BOL I hope you will win this one.

[vitalyo]

Interesting both games are scoreless

Live betfair

M Morelia v Atlas - Over/Under 2.5 goals

Matched: USD 4,997
Under 2.5 Goals
1.52




Over 2.5 Goals
2.72


Pumas UNAM v Toluca - Over/Under 2.5 goals


Matched: USD 63,501

Under 2.5 Goals
1.33




Over 2.5 Goals
3.65


Both games are scoreless on one game over 63K for an O/U and the other just 5 K .Doesn't look right .
Something is up.

[vitalyo]

Toluca just scored 29th min goal 0:1

[vitalyo]

Now this is a bull shit . I can't be wrong .Score is 1:1 now good thing i didn't take O/U . Look at the time of my post on O/U and goals been scored .

[vitalyo]

28'[0 - 1]
N. Calderon

30'[1 - 1]D. Novaretti (o.g.)

[vitalyo]

Pumas UNAM v Toluca .Pumas UNAM +160betfair $600.00 $960.00

Pumas UNAM v Toluca .DRAW +235betfair $270.00 $634.50 SAVER LOSS

http://vitalyo.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

FTU.N.A.M. (Pumas)2 - 1Toluca

Nice way to end 2 days losing streak . I like the way i beat them

http://vitalyo.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/


Cheers GL.

[Socrates]

I had Unam on this. They haven't lost to Toluca, and I rode that streak as well. Toluca aren't shit if it's not at their house.