Three for tomorrow

redmessi · 07-23-10, 07:03 PM

which book do you use? my book does have Korea-league.

lakerboy · 07-23-10, 07:57 PM

Originally posted by griffdog

Things might be dull for a lot of people, but this is one of my favorite times of the year. Action's about to kick off in the major leagues soon, and right now, there's a lot of money to be made in leagues around the world, from Asia, to Europe's smaller leagues, to South America. If you can't find something to bet on, then you aren't trying to.

Here are a few for tomorrow that I like. I expect all three to hit, but I wouldn't complain about going 2-1.

Gangwon FC vs. Jeonbuk Motors OVER 3: Nothing like a little early morning K-League action to start the day on a positive note. Currently -124 at BetPhoenix right now. Gangwon's defense is a sieve, Jeonbuk scoring goals by the bunch lately. Jeonbuk beat them 4-1 away in the K-League Cup on May 26, and each meeting that they've had has been a goalfest.

FC Midtjylland ML (-141 at BP) vs. Silkeborg IF: Glad to see the Danish league back in action, yes yes. Midtjylland (one of my favorite club names, by the way) started their season with a 2-0 road win over Horsens, while Silkeborg went down 4-1 on the road. Midtjylland won the last two meetings last season by multiple goals, and they've won the last two home meetings by multiple goals. The over 2 1/2 is worth a look as well, but the side is where it's really at in this one.

Sao Caetano vs. ASA OVER 3: Two over machines here, yet the total is at plus odds (+104 at BP right now). Hm. With six of Sao Caetano's nine league games and eight of ASA's nine league games hitting three goals-plus, I like my chances here. Both teams can find the back of the net with regularity and give up goals just as regularly too, so if this over doesn't hit, I'll be surprised.

That covers early morning, mid-morning, and mid-afternoon. Might have something for the games for noon and thereabouts and for the evening action as well sometime tonight or early tomorrow.

spartangreen · 07-23-10, 08:36 PM

I am all over Midtjylland, good luck

griffdog · 07-23-10, 09:38 PM

Thanks SG. I'm expecting a comfortable win for Midtjylland, so let's hope they deliver. Normally a little iffy when it comes to early season matchups, but this one is one I couldn't pass up.

I use the BP family of books for my soccer betting, since they're great about having lines for these leagues out well ahead of time...very important when there's often enough drastic line movement closer to game time. The earlier, the better...I think that Sao Caetano/ASA one will be moving come morning, so the plus is about as good as it gets right now. I go with Bookmaker here and there...juice is terrible, but it's worth it sometimes...throw down on an over 2.5 -150 or thereabouts there when you'd have to settle for a push for the same line at over 3 elsewhere.

Lining up my evening picks right now, will post those shortly.

griffdog · 07-23-10, 09:42 PM

LD Alajuelense ML & -1/2, -1 vs. CS Cartegines (Costa Rica Premier Division): In the last 16 meetings, Alajuelense are 10-2-4 (W-D-L), and they're 6-1-0 at home. Kicks off at 10 p.m. US ET.

griffdog · 07-23-10, 10:10 PM

FC Sion vs. FC Basel OVER 3 (Swiss Super League): Currently at -121 at BP. Each of their four meetings last season saw at least three goals, and Sion averaged more than two goals a game at home last season, while Basel averaged two goals a game away from home last season.

Last season's numbers aren't that relevant, but from the looks of it, it'll be same old, same old. Basel eked out a 3-2 win over Zurich in their season opener, and they were lucky to not have allowed at least a couple more (I watched most of the second half as I had money on Basel...Zurich got far too many great chances that they didn't capitalize on).

Sion scored two without reply at Bellinzona in their opener, and they could well put a couple in the back of the net tomorrow. They'll need to too - Basel have been blanked only four times in their last 55 competitive matches dating back to the start of last season...and have scored two or more goals 43 times in that span.

Kicks off at 11:45 am US ET.

ZXCVBNM · 07-23-10, 10:10 PM

Midtjylland looks really good, definite potential.

griffdog · 07-23-10, 10:12 PM

Had overlooked the Basel pick when I was checking out morning picks, so I had to add that one.

Will likely add something from Peru for tomorrow as well. That could be it, but we'll see.

onizuka · 07-23-10, 10:38 PM

over 3? wow not so sure but good luck with that

griffdog · 07-24-10, 07:10 AM

One win already in the books. Gangwon surprisingly went up 2-0, Jeonbuk scored three in the final 15 minutes for a 3-2 win. Very good start to the day, I say.

waco66 · 07-24-10, 08:30 AM

FC Midtjylland ML is what i am on aswell. Good luck with the Basel Over...i am on their ML.

griffdog · 07-24-10, 09:20 AM

FC Timisoara -1 vs. Gloria Bistrita: Line's shifted from -105 to -125. Liked it before, like it even better now. Timisoara were 8-0-4 at home last season, scoring 24 and conceding only 10, while Gloria Bistrita were woeful away from home, going 2-6-9, scoring 11 and conceding 29.

Oh, and Timisoara are 8-1-0 in nine home meetings with Gloria Bistrita, outscoring them 16-3 in the process. That only draw was in 2004...since then, Timisoara have reeled off seven straight home wins against them.

Kicks off at 1:30 pm US ET.

Am I ensuring that there's something good for almost every time slot possible? Perhaps, perhaps...

griffdog · 07-24-10, 09:34 AM

O'Higgins vs. La Serena OVER 2 1/2, 3 (Chile Premier Division): Another goal-friendly South American league here.

Seven of eight meetings have seen at least three goals. La Serena have been outscored 24-6 in seven away matches this season, and have allowed three or more goals five times in those seven matches.

The over 2 1/2, 3 is at -118 at BP right now, and Bookmaker has the over 3 at evens. Both are solid options, really.

Kicks off at 6:00 pm US ET.

griffdog · 07-24-10, 09:44 AM

CNI vs. Sporting Cristal OVER 2 1/2 (Peru Premier Division): The total has been over 2.5 in seven of Sporting Cristal's 12 away matches and in 14 of their 24 league matches this season.

For CNI, the numbers are the same, as 14 of their 24 league matches have gone over 2.5, including seven of their 12 home matches.

Their previous meeting this season was a 5-2 Sporting Cristal win.

BP has the over 2.5 at -115 right now, while Bookmaker's got it at -135.

Starts at 9:00 pm US ET.

FCMedina · 07-24-10, 10:38 AM

good luck with your plays today. also on midtjylland....hoping for a big day for all of us.

redmessi · 07-24-10, 11:21 AM

midtjylland 1-0 now, good everyone!

griffdog · 07-24-10, 11:39 AM

2-0! Headed for two wins in two picks. Sion and Basel are 1-1 at halftime, so that one's on the right track as well.

griffdog · 07-24-10, 02:33 PM

2-1-1 right now, not a bad start. Timisoara took an early lead, but in the end, they had to snatch an equalizer in the second half for a 2-2 draw. Can't win 'em all. Sao Caetano-ASA still early, three more on the board after that.

griffdog · 07-24-10, 05:11 PM

2-2-1. Liked the side for the Sao Caetano match more and more as it got closer to game time but held off on putting it up. Ah well.

Still three more on the board, I like my chances for a winning day.

griffdog · 07-24-10, 08:20 PM

3-2-1. O'Higgins blew things open in the second half and rolled 4-0. CNI-Sporting Cristal about 20 minutes in...Alajuelense starts in about 40 minutes.

griffdog · 07-24-10, 10:35 PM

Looks like it'll be a 4-3-1 day. Can't complain. CNI got the win, but with a man advantage, I figured they'd get more than just one. But Alajuelense are up 2-0 in the second half, so that one's looking good to go.

lakerboy · 07-24-10, 10:50 PM

griffdog · 07-24-10, 10:58 PM

Not a bad day, I'll say. The strongest plays all won, and there was the Basel push...a bit disappointed about the Sao Caetano over, but I'll take the percentages any day.

Will have several plays tomorrow as well, already scouting them out...