Brazilian soccer New Thread

[Brazilian soccer]

Wednesday 09/29

Adding the last games for today:

Grêmio Porto Alegre X São Paulo: Grêmio ML@ 2,22 (4X)
Grêmio Porto Alegre X São Paulo: Over2,5@ 2,02 (4X)
Ceará x Atletico-**: Atlético ** ML@3,55 (2X)


Do not follow this games in if you not sure about the choice.

Today: Pending 15 units in Risk.


I have to leave now. I do not know if I will return soon. In any case, good luck to all.

[Tien]

oh damn sao paolo over 2.5
finally i hit one from your thread and this time i x4 my normal bet
thanks Brazillian Soccer!

[whitedogau]

handball in the box, no penalty. Shit luck on a shit day

[whitedogau]

3 extra minutes?? There has been 3 minutes if injuries in the last 5, cmon

[whitedogau]

OMG, open goal and the khunt misses

[ink]

great hit on the 4x onto tomorrow!

[whitedogau]

Shame about the 0 from 3 that I tailed. I'm done with this country and their football

[Tien]

Shame about the 0 from 3 that I tailed. I'm done with this country and their football

i sorry man..i was also 0-3 i said i done with brazillian soccer
and i then i got lucky with the sao paolo over

[Brazilian soccer]

Atletico-PR v Vitoria-BA : Over 2 and 2,5@ 1,80 (4X) LOSS

...
Grêmio Prudente X Guarani: Guarani PK@ 2,26 (1X)LOSS
...

adding one more game:Corinthians x Botafogo RJ: Over2,5@ 1,93 (3X)LOSS
...

...

Grêmio Porto Alegre X São Paulo: Grêmio ML@ 2,22 (4X) WIN
Grêmio Porto Alegre X São Paulo: Over2,5@ 2,02 (4X) WIN
Ceará x Atletico-**: Atlético ** ML@3,55 (2X) LOSS
...

Today: 2 - 4 = -1,04 Units

I would like to make a post about what I think of what happened in the game for Corinthians. are not excuses for losing the game in over 2.5, are just my thoughts or one little outburst.

[Brazilian soccer]

I would like to make a comment about the game for Corinthians. Do not think this is an excuse for losing a game over2, 5.

These are just my thoughts.
Also, there were many, many chances for that to happen, and when it happened .... the referee did not let it happen.

First I want to say to those who do not know, I am fan of Corinthians. however, more than a fan and like more than to see my team win, I like to win games like that when I choose and do good reviews of games.
Well, it's unbelievable, unreal the amount of errors by the arbitrators. to promote the team Corinthians.

Someone here, watched the game between Botafogo and Corinthians? Has anyone seen the team goal of Botafogo, at 4 minutes into the second half, the referee annulled, alleging illegal position?

Who has not seen and want to see, can see that video at the following site: http://globoesporte.globo.com/jogo/b...-botafogo.html

I'm thinking here. would not it be easier for Brazilian football confederation; end the championship now and proclaim the corinthians champion?

And not only did this error benefiting the team Corinthians. There are many errors! Penaltys are marked absent, adversáriso players receiving a red card without major reasons, the opponents goal wrongly canceled, etc.

And with that, I'm more ashamed to see my team being one of the favorites to be champion. Of course I wanted to see my team champion again, but not this way.
And with that, for those who do not follow the league, it might seem that my analysis, selected games and reviews are a lot of shit.

Today is another example of this. I responded one post by listing some reasons to believe in my choice, but the referee did not let it happen.
If we excluded this mistake of the referee, I would have won my bet of over 2.5 in this game.
It would also have correctly analyzed the fact that hardly Botafogo lose by more than one goal difference, where I stated that if there was some value in choices for a winner in this game, the choice would be to spread the Botafogo team (see post number 541 this topic).

I'm pissed off about this!! These are not excuses for failing to hit the 2.5 over this game. These are just my thoughts on the league in general, and there are many factors that are beyond our control, and as we engage in trying to provide some useful information, will always have the risk of any referee or external factors that trends help teams considered large, etc., to play my work in the trash, making me an idiot on the forum and let me poorer by 3 units.

If you think this post is a bunch of bullshit excuses to justify a loss of a game (3X), ask someone who follows the Brazilian championship, which he thinks and thinks about the level of refereeing in matches involving the team the Corinthians.


Ready, unburdened.

below; Many Angry people think this post is a crock of shit telling me to hell.

Thanks all.

[bdevil]

Braz, i watched the first half and some minutes from the 2nd one. I watched it because i placed a bet of over 1.5 goals first half which cashed at 2.62 odds, unfortunately it was on a parlay with the Atletico **. The funny thing regarding Corinthians game is i was searching for some odds on the first half and were out of common being too high for such a tight match between two good sides. The odds for draw (or under 0.5 goals) at 10th min from the first half were 1.20, when most of the odds for such a bet are maximum of 1.10-1.14. I put it as a fun, then i head to the game and watched. That made me place over 1.5 goals first half at 2.62 odds. Two goals at first half, then the referee did it in his direction. Obviously wasn't a fixed game between sides, but a referee can weight a lot the balance of the match if he wants it (like it happened at World Cup with England - Germany). We had watched a one way match, and that was propably the under & draw, with a referee taking care of this final result.

[ukbsktbll]

Luckily I tailed the Gremio Bets and the Vitoria match to 2-1, I'll take it

[Brazilian soccer]

Braz, i watched the first half and some minutes from the 2nd one. I watched it because i placed a bet of over 1.5 goals first half which cashed at 2.62 odds, unfortunately it was on a parlay with the Atletico **. The funny thing regarding Corinthians game is i was searching for some odds on the first half and were out of common being too high for such a tight match between two good sides. The odds for draw (or under 0.5 goals) at 10th min from the first half were 1.20, when most of the odds for such a bet are maximum of 1.10-1.14. I put it as a fun, then i head to the game and watched. That made me place over 1.5 goals first half at 2.62 odds. Two goals at first half, then the referee did it in his direction. Obviously wasn't a fixed game between sides, but a referee can weight a lot the balance of the match if he wants it (like it happened at World Cup with England - Germany). We had watched a one way match, and that was propably the under & draw, with a referee taking care of this final result.

Hi;


Maybe there's a possibility that the referee had sold the house and bet the money on a tie and under 2.5.
Maybe the referee of the game today is a forum user who does not like me.
Maybe I'm the only idiot paranoid who sees the arbitrators help Corinthians, and find the level of the arbitrators in Brazil a disappointment.

Try to follow most of the Brazilian championship games, then tell me if you found many strange facts.

I guess mistakes happen arbitrators in the world, but in Brazil is very noticeable. Especially in games for Corinthians, Flamengo, or another team a large proportion that needs of some result.


It's always a pleasure to read your post.

You do not write more about games?
I'll see you soon.

[Brazilian soccer]

Luckily I tailed the Gremio Bets and the Vitoria match to 2-1, I'll take it

[bdevil]

It's always a pleasure to read your post. You do not write more about games? I'll see you soon.

Just did in Mihai's thread, i took Napoli +0.5 and Sampdoria -1.5 on a parlay. Napoli is goin' to rest some of the main players like Dossena, Pazienza, Cannavaro, Aronica or Lavezzi putting them on the bench. Still, they have a strong line up and a possible start XI could be De Sanctis - Santacroce, Cribari, Grava - Maggio, Gargano, Yebda, Vitale - Hamsik, Sosa - Cavani.

Steaua just sacked two coaches in two months. And today the new coach has his first match since he signed Steaua. Although he has been coaching Steaua in the past, but has been sacked also at that time due to bad results. Napoli has a great value also for winning the match, but i don't want to risk, so took +0.5 in case of draw.

Regarding the Sampdoria match with Debrecen, i see only one scenario, and that Sampdoria destroying Debrecen which in the domestic league has been pathetic the last two matches. Sampdoria played two matches on home ground without winning and that's the opportunity to please the fans after a long time streak with no win at home. Debrecen isn't a team to put problems for Sampdoria, more than that with the results from the domestic league which are rough, and also with the stats they have in the group, 5 goals conceided from Metalist Kharkiv and none scored. Guess Sampdoria will have the ace in the hand if they focus on a good game on their side. Best of luck mate.

[Poppa Catfish]

I would like to make a comment about the game for Corinthians. Do not think this is an excuse for losing a game over2, 5.

These are just my thoughts.
Also, there were many, many chances for that to happen, and when it happened .... the referee did not let it happen.

First I want to say to those who do not know, I am fan of Corinthians. however, more than a fan and like more than to see my team win, I like to win games like that when I choose and do good reviews of games.
Well, it's unbelievable, unreal the amount of errors by the arbitrators. to promote the team Corinthians.

Someone here, watched the game between Botafogo and Corinthians? Has anyone seen the team goal of Botafogo, at 4 minutes into the second half, the referee annulled, alleging illegal position?

Who has not seen and want to see, can see that video at the following site: http://globoesporte.globo.com/jogo/b...-botafogo.html

I'm thinking here. would not it be easier for Brazilian football confederation; end the championship now and proclaim the corinthians champion?

And not only did this error benefiting the team Corinthians. There are many errors! Penaltys are marked absent, adversáriso players receiving a red card without major reasons, the opponents goal wrongly canceled, etc.

And with that, I'm more ashamed to see my team being one of the favorites to be champion. Of course I wanted to see my team champion again, but not this way.
And with that, for those who do not follow the league, it might seem that my analysis, selected games and reviews are a lot of shit.

Today is another example of this. I responded one post by listing some reasons to believe in my choice, but the referee did not let it happen.
If we excluded this mistake of the referee, I would have won my bet of over 2.5 in this game.
It would also have correctly analyzed the fact that hardly Botafogo lose by more than one goal difference, where I stated that if there was some value in choices for a winner in this game, the choice would be to spread the Botafogo team (see post number 541 this topic).

I'm pissed off about this!! These are not excuses for failing to hit the 2.5 over this game. These are just my thoughts on the league in general, and there are many factors that are beyond our control, and as we engage in trying to provide some useful information, will always have the risk of any referee or external factors that trends help teams considered large, etc., to play my work in the trash, making me an idiot on the forum and let me poorer by 3 units.

If you think this post is a bunch of bullshit excuses to justify a loss of a game (3X), ask someone who follows the Brazilian championship, which he thinks and thinks about the level of refereeing in matches involving the team the Corinthians.


Ready, unburdened.

below; Many Angry people think this post is a crock of shit telling me to hell.

Thanks all.

You can blame me instead, it was the last piece of a three team parlay for quite a few units. Naturally I thought it was in the bag after going into half time 1-1, but I should have known better. I never win big unit parlays

or maybe it wasn't some huge conspiracy and was just human error. Maybe they assigned the game to some second rate ref. or maybe just maybe it really is somebody from this forum who has something against you


Either way I appreciate your write ups, and hope you continue them.

[Haydenstrauss]

i did not see the 3 last bet

[Lakers1905]

good luck brother dont worry about last 2 days

[OvertimePlease]

keep your head up

[Brazilian soccer]

You can blame me instead, it was the last piece of a three team parlay for quite a few units. Naturally I thought it was in the bag after going into half time 1-1, but I should have known better. I never win big unit parlays or maybe it wasn't some huge conspiracy and was just human error. Maybe they assigned the game to some second rate ref. or maybe just maybe it really is somebody from this forum who has something against you Either way I appreciate your write ups, and hope you continue them.

And to be more accurate, I think this should be the same person who took the points awarded to those who write blogs.
never doubt of possible conspiracies.

i did not see the 3 last bet

good luck brother dont worry about last 2 days

thanks.

keep your head up

[Brazilian soccer]

Hi;

I'll make a new thread asking people's opinions that accompany it, or like it or just have fun with my own topic. I'm willing to do a new project, this project I will post daily, or whenever possible updates.
Briefly, the new project would involve trading, and I would plan a goal to be achieved until the end of the year.

you think would be interesting?

I'll explain further in the new topic regarding this subject, and I hope you join in, providing opinions on, or simply saying whether it has an interest in a topic about this matter; trading.

Referring to this topic:

I will continue with this topic until the end of the season. I'm even waiting for the lines with odds in the open sites to set my games.

I intend to make a great game for Sunday. This year, I did just two games this ratio that I think of doing and if the odds match my expectations, and hit both.
I'm saying I'll make a great game. This does not mean that those who follow my games should follow the amount of units placed in this game.

Let's wait the odds are posted on the sites before to decide the size of the game.

[gigicash]

I am following your thread, for Brazilian soccer, keep it up! Don't let one game put you down. Bad things happen in all leagues too, especially in smaller European countries. Bad beats you can take care of them by doing some live betting, and minimize your losses.

[gigicash]

[Brazilian soccer]

I am following your thread, for Brazilian soccer, keep it up! Don't let one game put you down. Bad things happen in all leagues too, especially in smaller European countries. Bad beats you can take care of them by doing some live betting, and minimize your losses.

The problem is I can not include live betting on my stats of the season.
But of course whenever possible, in games I have wagered: I make these bets to minimize possible losses.

[gigicash]

It seems like stats are very important to you. I wouldn't worrie about them at all if you are taking care of business -live- You can start putting notes beside each loss, if that helps others or you for next season just an idea!

[diegarma]

I'm very interested...
Newells Old Boys
pk and -0.5 +125

[Brazilian soccer]

Saturday 10/02

Santos X Palmeiras: Over2,5@1,88 (10X)

You Only bet if you knew about the game. I am not responsible for their bets.
Never bet on a number of units that you can not lose. Never bet on a number of units that could possibly make diference in your bank.

[ink]

BOL today with ur 10x brazilian soccer hope u cash it

[Brazilian soccer]

01/10 Série B (Serie Bingo)

small bet for fun................... or not:

Figueirense X Ponte Preta: Over 2,5@ 1,89 (1X)

[Brazilian soccer]

OMG! Rain!!!

[Brazilian soccer]

48 minutes:
Figueirense 2 X 1 Ponte Preta

Figueirense X Ponte Preta: Over 2,5@ 1,89 (1X)

[bdevil]

Congrats man, i was watching the result and i was confident about this one. Pretty great round for betting over on most of the games.

[Brazilian soccer]

small bet for fun................... or not:

Figueirense X Ponte Preta: Over 2,5@ 1,89 (1X) WIN

FT: Figueirense 4 X 2 Ponte Preta

1-0= +0,89 Units.

I see you tomorrow.

[JOHON8]

in the game Cruzeiro vs Atletico PR

I'm thinking Atletico PR upset is worth a shot?

Head 2 Head
Sep 19 2004 Cruzeiro - Atletico Paranaense 2-4
Nov 17 2005 Cruzeiro - Atletico Paranaense 1-2
May 31 2006 Cruzeiro - Atletico Paranaense 1-1
Oct 27 2007 Cruzeiro - Atletico Paranaense 1-1
Jul 16 2008 Cruzeiro - Atletico Paranaense 1-0
Aug 05 2009 Cruzeiro - Atletico Paranaense 0-2
This info isn't 100%, I think it's missing 2 early games, but still a descent record.

Cruzeiro
Suspended: Fabricio (Mid20-0)
Doubtful: Diego Renan (Def22-0)
Injured/unavailable: Leonardo Silva (Def4-0), Wellington Paulista (Att15-6), Marquinhos Parana (Mid16-0), Gilberto (Mid4-1), Jonathan (Def17-0)

Atletico Paranaense
Injured/unavailable: Marcio Azevedo (Def7-0), Paulo Baier (Mid21-4)

[Brazilian soccer]

in the game Cruzeiro vs Atletico PR

I'm thinking Atletico PR upset is worth a shot?

Head 2 Head
Sep 19 2004 Cruzeiro - Atletico Paranaense 2-4
Nov 17 2005 Cruzeiro - Atletico Paranaense 1-2
May 31 2006 Cruzeiro - Atletico Paranaense 1-1
Oct 27 2007 Cruzeiro - Atletico Paranaense 1-1
Jul 16 2008 Cruzeiro - Atletico Paranaense 1-0
Aug 05 2009 Cruzeiro - Atletico Paranaense 0-2
This info isn't 100%, I think it's missing 2 early games, but still a descent record.

Cruzeiro
Suspended: Fabricio (Mid20-0)
Doubtful: Diego Renan (Def22-0)
Injured/unavailable: Leonardo Silva (Def4-0), Wellington Paulista (Att15-6), Marquinhos Parana (Mid16-0), Gilberto (Mid4-1), Jonathan (Def17-0)

Atletico Paranaense
Injured/unavailable: Marcio Azevedo (Def7-0), Paulo Baier (Mid21-4)

Hi;
I have no intention to pick out something for this game. I have not studied this game so I'd rather not say.
I'll try to add some additional information for help you possible choice in this game. I hope that the information is useful for you and help you decide the game.

Referring to H2H: I'll post the last 20 games between these teams for you to have a larger sample:


Wed 14/07/10 SEA Atlético PR 0 - 2 Cruzeiro
Sat 21/11/09 SEA Atlético PR 1 - 1 Cruzeiro
Wed 05/08/09 SEA Cruzeiro 0 - 2 Atlético PR
Sat 25/10/08 SEA Atlético PR 1 - 0 Cruzeiro
Wed 16/07/08 SEA Cruzeiro 1 - 0 Atlético PR
Sat 27/10/07 SEA Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Atlético PR
Wed 25/07/07 SEA Atlético PR 2 - 2 Cruzeiro
Sat 07/10/06 SEA Atlético PR 1 -1 Cruzeiro
Tue 30/05/06 SEA Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Atlético PR
Wed 16/11/05 SEA Cruzeiro 1 - 2 Atlético PR
Fri 05/08/05 SEA Atlético PR 5 - 4 Cruzeiro
Sat 18/09/04 SEA Cruzeiro 2 - 4 Atlético PR
Sat 29/05/04 SEA Atlético PR 3 - 1 Cruzeiro
Fri 12/09/03 SEA Atlético PR 1 - 4 Cruzeiro
Fri 02/05/03 SEA Cruzeiro 5 - 2 Atlético PR
Fri 08/11/02 SEA Cruzeiro 4 - 1 Atlético PR
Sat 04/08/01 SEA Cruzeiro 1 - 2 Atlético PR
Sat 29/07/00 SEA Cruzeiro 0 - 2 Atlético PR
Sat 21/08/99 SEA Cruzeiro 3 - 1 Atlético PR
Sat 31/10/98 SEA Atlético PR 1 - 2 Cruzeiro

But if you prefer to analyze only the games between these two teams where the team Cruzeiro are the home team, see the last 11 games in which the Cruzeiro is the home team:

Wed 05/08/09 SEA Cruzeiro 0 - 2 Atlético PR
Wed 16/07/08 SEA Cruzeiro 1 - 0 Atlético PR
Sat 27/10/07 SEA Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Atlético PR
Tue 30/05/06 SEA Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Atlético PR
Wed 16/11/05 SEA Cruzeiro 1 - 2 Atlético PR
Sat 18/09/04 SEA Cruzeiro 2 - 4 Atlético PR
Fri 02/05/03 SEA Cruzeiro 5 - 2 Atlético PR
Fri 08/11/02 SEA Cruzeiro 4 - 1 Atlético PR
Sat 04/08/01 SEA Cruzeiro 1 - 2 Atlético PR
Sat 29/07/00 SEA Cruzeiro 0 - 2 Atlético PR
Sat 21/08/99 SEA Cruzeiro 3 - 1 Atlético PR

Regarding the losses of players from both teams: I'll just write the news about the main subject. But if you want to check the veracity of the information, I'll be putting the link of the source of this information next to each of these information. The sites of these links are in Portuguese, I do not have much time to translate the information completely, sorry for that.
But I think in any way the information can be useful for you.

Cruzeiro:

In place of the player Fabricio; is very likely that the replacement will be the player fabinho: http://www.cruzeiro.com.br/index2.ph...icias&idn=8575

You posted the player Renan; is doubt for the game. I have information that he does not play this match and will have to stay in treatment for two weeks.
The likely replacement for this player is the player Pablo. According to reports the official site, the team Cruzeiro: http://www.cruzeiro.com.br/index2.ph...icias&idn=8572

The other news about the other players that you wrote, appear to be correct.
I might add that the substitute player Jonathan, is the player Romulo.http://www.cruzeiro.com.br/index2.ph...icias&idn=8569

Atlético-PR:
The loss of players on the team's Atlético PR appear to be correct. But there is another player who will not play this game.
Midfielder Vitor is out of the game. http://globoesporte.globo.com/futebo...-cruzeiro.html or http://www.atleticoparanaense.com/no...ta_valor=20159

Well, like I said initially, I will not choose anything for this game.
I just made this post because I thought that some of this information can be useful for you.

Anyway, good luck in the game where you choose.