Brazilian soccer New Thread

[Junoumi]

Great call on Victoria Man!

[Brazilian soccer]

Thanks!

I'll see some games for Saturday and Sunday.
I'll try to post the games as soon as possible because my Internet connection with this problem, not sure if I will be able to login the next day.

If I can not post the games on time, sorry. I try to be back as soon as my connection is good.

See you soon.

[Junoumi]

In my opinion today Vila Nova should be good chooice. Parana without DC Alessandro Lopes 16/2, regular.
Vila Nova - Parana 1 2,0

[Brazilian soccer]

Hello everyone;

I wrote something about a game. Before posting this game I wanted to make some observations.

* All games that I post is intended only to contribute to all of the forum who find some value in some information described in my posts.

* My games are not necessarily good. Sometimes I can see value in a bet of 5X, 10X, etc, and you do not see any value. That does not mean you have to follow my games ever.

*Quite the opposite. Just follow the games where you have an opinion formed before, and you think that some information from my posts, may have aided in his decision.

*Do not follow the games that you do not know what is happening, or why X or Y said it was a great game. Never do that.

I just wrote it because I will not be held liable in case someone has a great loss to follow my games.
I just provide some information with the sole intention of contributing to the forum. Who decides how you will use or ignore such information, are those that they read.

Thank you and sorry for any inconvenience.

[Brazilian soccer]

Saturday 09/25

Santos X Cruzeiro

Game will be held Saturday, on September 25, 2010, 18:30 (BRT) in the city of Barueri, SP, valid for the 25th round of the Brazilian championship.
In this game the Santos is the home team, but the game will be held in the city of Barueri-SP in a stadium considered neutral.

Santos: Today is the 7th place in the league with 35 points scored in 23 games played (they have played a game less in comparison to most other clubs). His record shows 10 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats, scored 36 goals and suffered 30 goals in these 23 games.
*In the last 12 games as the home team, the team won eight, lost four, and not had some draw in this period. *He scored 23 goals and conceded 12 goals in that period.
*Not only goal scored in 2 match of 12 games.

The 12 games were:

23.09.2010 D1 Santos FC/SP 2-3 Corinthians/SP
16.09.2010 D1 Santos FC/SP 4-2 Atlético/GO
10.09.2010 D1 Santos FC/SP 0-1 Botafogo/RJ
03.09.2010 D1 Santos FC/SP 2-1 Avai FC/SC
28.08.2010 D1 Santos FC/SP 2-0 Goiás/GO
22.08.2010 D1 Santos FC/SP 2-0 Atlético Mineiro/**
13.08.2010 CSA Santos FC/SP 1-3 Avai FC/SC
29.07.2010 Cup Santos FC/SP 2-0 Vitória/BA
25.07.2010 D1 Santos FC/SP 1-0 São Paulo/SP
18.07.2010 D1 Santos FC/SP 0-1 Fluminense/RJ
06.06.2010 D1 Santos FC/SP 4-0 Vasco da Gama/RJ
27.05.2010 D1 Santos FC/SP 3-1 Guarani/SP

What caught my attention:

*Not only goal scored in 2 match of 12 games.

*In 8 of these 12 matches, the team scored two goals in the least. Approximately 66.6% when the team scored two goals at least.

*In seven of these 12 matches, more than 50% of the time, the team suffered at least one goal.


Cruzeiro:Today is the 3rd place in the league with 44 points scored in 24 games. His record shows 12 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats, scored 33 goals and conceded 22 goals in those 24 games
In the last 12 games as visitors, have a record of 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Scored 21 goals and suffered 14 goals in this period. However, in 2 of 3 defeats that the team is playing away from home; were losses that occurred prior to the stoppage of the championship during the World Cup.

These are the 12 games:

18.09.2010 D1 Botafogo 2-2 Cruzeiro/**
12.09.2010 D1 Avai 1-2 Cruzeiro/**
05.09.2010 D1 Palmeiras 2-3 Cruzeiro/**
28.08.2010 D1 Vasco 1-1 Cruzeiro/**
15.08.2010 D1 São Paulo 2-2 Cruzeiro/**
01.08.2010 D1 Atlético 0-1 Cruzeiro/**
23.07.2010 D1 Fluminense 1-0 Cruzeiro/**
15.07.2010 D1 AtléticoPR 0-2 Cruzeiro/**
19.06.2010 CF New York 2-4 Cruzeiro/**
14.06.2010 CF New England 0-3 Cruzeiro/**
06.06.2010 D1 Atlético 2-1 Cruzeiro/**
30.05.2010 D1 Ceará 1-0 Cruzeiro/**

What caught my attention:

*After the period of stoppage of the championship, the team scored at least 1 goal in all games played as visitors, except in the match against Fluminense.

*In 10 of these 12 games as visitors, scored at least one goal. (83,33% of the time)

*In 7 of these 11 games, scored at least two goals. (63.63% of the time)

*In nine of 12 games he suffers at least one goal. (75% of the time)

*More recently, the last 5 games as visitors, the team scored at least 2 goals in those 4 games of these 5 games. (80% of the time)

*Also suffered at least one goal in all recent matches.


I just want to remember that in confrontations between these two teams, the records show a balance between over 2.5 and under 2.5.
Exactly 50% of the times for each event in the last 18 games between these teams.

Conclusions: But, the moment the team is more important than the history of games between the teams. so I'm ignoring the balance of 50% over the past 18 games. And the timing is crucial for both teams;
*Both teams need to win this game not to get too far from the leaders of the championship.

*Both teams have an offensive system very well.

*The visiting team has improved a lot with great performances from his players, especially the midfield Montillo, that practicing good football team and leads the visitor with good games.

*The home team always played in an offensive way, and recently has missed much on the defensive, it can be noticed in their latest views.
The team attacks him, so that forgets its defense sector, the consequences can see by looking at the latest results of this team.

*The home team needs a lot of victory in this game, one of his key players, striker Neymar, this certainly eager to erase the bad impression that was on the episode that involved an internal discussion between him and former coach "Dorival jr. " Which resulted in the firing of team coach and the attacker does not call for the selection of Brazil.

*Another factor that may contribute to have a good game, will be the presence of the coach of Brazil, who is attending this game in order to observe some athletes training for the national team. This can cause the players to produce more than usual.


I expect a good game with both teams wanting the win, needing to win to not distance themselves from their leaders, and consequently, both teams in search of goals from the first minute of play.
And seeing the present moment from both teams, I have two choices when I see good value for this game:

PICK: OVER 2,5@ 1,99 (5X)

PICK: Cruzeiro pk and +0.5@ 1,83 (3X)

[diegarma]

Excellent analysis

Argentina
Argentinos Jrs.
pk and +0.5 -122

[Brazilian soccer]

Saturday 9/25

Guarani X Vasco da Gama: Guarani ML@ 2,73 (1X)

Flamengo x Palmeiras: Palmeiras pk and +0.5@ 1,96 (1X)

Flamengo x Palmeiras: OVER 2 and 2.5@ 1,94(2X)

São Paulo x Goiás: UNDER 2.5 and 3@ 1,94 (2X)

[phenomenon]

[nextdurrrr63]

PICK: OVER 2,5@ 1,99 (5X)

[nicamini]

GG for today

[Junoumi]

Great!

[Brazilian soccer]

...
PICK: OVER 2,5@ 1,99 (5X) WIN

PICK: Cruzeiro pk and +0.5@ 1,83 (3X) LOSS

Guarani X Vasco da Gama: Guarani ML@ 2,73 (1X) WIN

Flamengo x Palmeiras: Palmeiras pk and +0.5@ 1,96 (1X) WIN

Flamengo x Palmeiras: OVER 2 and 2.5@ 1,94(2X) WIN

São Paulo x Goiás: UNDER 2.5 and 3@ 1,94 (2X) ½ LOSS½ PUSH

Today is: 4-½-1½: +5,52 Units

[Brazilian soccer]

Thanks for the points!

GG for today

Thanks !
I was sad to miss Cruzeiroo PK and +0.5. But the result was good for my team, Corinthians!
Even with this error, the day was good. The important thing is to get out a little positive to have some profit at the end of the season.

Great!

Thanks!

[Dragoş]

There are borned the essence of Football. Brazil represent the kernel of Football.

[Brazilian soccer]

Hello everyone;

Soon I'll post another game I wrote for today. Let's try to keep a good job in another day.

[GatorTD]

Good luck to you. Pick a winner.

[Brazilian soccer]

Sunday 9/26

Vitória BA X Fluminense

The game will take place on September 26, 2010 at 16:00 (EDT) and will be valid for the 25th round of the Brazilian championship.
This game will be played at the Stadium "Manoel Barradas", also popularly known by the name of Barradão, is located in the city of Salvador in Bahia state.

Vitória BA:
The home team is currently placed 11th in the league with 31 points scored in 24 games. His record shows 7 wins, 10 draws and 7 defeats, scoring 31 goals and conceded 31 goals in those 24 games.
This team is usually very strong when playing at home, most of the points won and goals scored, they are when they play at home.
In his last 12 games at home, records show 6 wins, 5 draws and just 1 loss, scored 21 goals and conceded 13 goals in those 12 games.

The last 12 home games are:

24.09.2010 D1 Vitória/BA 3-0 Avai FC/SC
16.09.2010 D1 Vitória/BA 0-0 Ceará SC/CE
09.09.2010 D1 Vitória/BA 1-1 Palmeiras/SP
02.09.2010 D1 Vitória/BA 0-0 Internacional/RS
27.08.2010 D1 Vitória/BA 1-1 Guarani/SP
15.08.2010 D1 Vitória/BA 4-2 Santos FC/SP
12.08.2010 CSA Vitória/BA 2-0 Palmeiras/SP
05.08.2010 Cup Vitória/BA 2-1 Santos FC/SP
01.08.2010 D1 Vitória/BA 1-3 Botafogo/RJ
22.07.2010 D1 Vitória/BA 2-2 Goiás/GO
17.07.2010 D1 Vitória/BA 3-2 São Paulo/SP
11.07.2010 CNF Vitória/BA 2-1 América Natal/RN


Fluminense: The visiting team is currently placed 2nd in the league, with 45 points scored in 24 games. His record shows 13 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats, scored 45 goals and conceded 25 goals in those 24 games.
This team has the best attack in the competition. However, in recent matches, the team's defensive system has not done a good job, causing the team to account over 50% of all goals conceded in the league, only in the last eight games.
The team needs to win, not to get too far from the championship lead in the case of a possible victory of the leader Corinthians, which has one less game for most clubs, and that will play on the same day against Internacional RS.
The initial team is likely the same one that won the AtléticoMG for 5 X 1 in the last game.


The last 12 games as visitors show a record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats, scored 20 goals and conceded 14 goals in those 12 games.

Last 12 games as visitors:

19.09.2010 D1 Flamengo 3-3 Fluminense/RJ
11.09.2010 D1 Atlético 2-1 Fluminense/RJ
05.09.2010 D1 Guarani 2-1 Fluminense/RJ
26.08.2010 D1 Goiás 0-3 Fluminense/RJ
22.08.2010 D1 Vasco 2-2 Fluminense/RJ
08.08.2010 D1 Grêmio/RS 1-2 Fluminense/RJ
25.07.2010 D1 Botafogo 1-1 Fluminense/RJ
18.07.2010 D1 Santos 0-1 Fluminense/RJ
05.06.2010 D1 Avai FC 0-3 Fluminense/RJ
30.05.2010 D1 Atlético ** 1-3 Fluminense/RJ
23.05.2010 D1 Corinthians 1-0 Fluminense/RJ
09.05.2010 D1 Ceará 1-0 Fluminense/RJ

Games between these two teams.

In a period of 10 years and 12 games played between these teams, records show: 2 victories for the team's Vitória BA, 3 draws and 7 wins for the team Fluminense.
In those 12 games came a total of 40 goals.

The last 12 games between these teams are:
*GREEN = OVER 2,5 / RED = UNDER 2,5

Sat 11/08/01 SEA Fluminense 1 - 1 Vitória
Tue 22/08/00 SEA Vitória 2 - 4 Fluminense
Wed 02/06/10 SEA Fluminense 2 - 1 Vitória
Sun 29/11/09 SEA Fluminense 4 - 0 Vitória
Sun 09/08/09 SEA Vitória 2 - 2 Fluminense
Sun 19/10/08 SEA Vitória 2 - 2 Fluminense
Sat 12/07/08 SEA Fluminense 2 - 1 Vitória
Wed 08/09/04 SEA Vitória 2 - 3 Fluminense
Sat 15/05/04 SEA Fluminense 1 - 0 Vitória
Wed 08/10/03 SEA Fluminense 2 - 0 Vitória
Fri 06/06/03 SEA Vitória 2 - 1 Fluminense
Tue 01/10/02 SEA Vitória 2 - 1 Fluminense


What caught my attention?

*In 11 of the last 12 games of the team Fluminense; happened over 2.5. (91,66 of the time).

*Fluminense's team scored at least 1 goal in each game in the last 21 league games.

*In 13 of the last 21 games, the team Fluminense scored at least two goals. (61,90 of the time).

*In 6 of the last 10 games as a visitor, the team Fluminense scored at least 2 goals. (60% of the time).

*In 4 of the last 5 games as a visitor, the team Fluminense suffered at least 2 goals. (80% of the time).

*Of the 25 goals conceded by a team of Fluminense in the league, 14 have been suffered in the last 8 games. This shows the decrease of yield of the defensive sector in recent matches.

*In 7 of the last 12 games of the home team's happened over 2.5. (58,33 of the time).

*The average goals that happen in games between these two teams. There are 40 goals in his last 12 games. (Average of 3.333 per game).

*In 9 of the last 11 games between these teams, it happened over 2, 5. (81,81% of the time).

*In this period, there were 6 games where the team was Vitória-BA the home team, on all occasions happened 3 or more goals. (100% of the time).

*Fluminense scored at least 1 goal every time he played as a visitor, against the team's Vitória-BA. In more than 60% of the time the team made at least 2 goals.

*The last 6 games as the team Fluminense visitor; was over 2.5.

*The coach Fluminense commented that: "- Our defense was one of the best in the league but did not score many goals. Now, we're making goals and conceding many goals. We must choose a quality. If you play the whole time ago, there is a difficulty. We must attack the opponent and that is how we have to play to have a good outcome and return to fight for leadership".

Conclusion: I expect a game where the home team will play offensively as usual, will try to win the game and win 3 more points in their home games. But, his opponent has the best attack in the competition, the coach will require the team to play offensively in pursuit of victory, is one of the favorite teams to win the championship and certainly wants much to stay on top of the standings.

I hope that in a game, the home team play offensively when playing at home, the visiting team play offensively, both teams have many deficiencies in the defense sector in their recent games.
I add to these facts together with the statistics are positively to the side of over 2.5, with the need for both teams needing the win this time.

Pick: Over 2,5@ 1,85 (5X)

[Blue_Chips]

Good luck to you! I hope I don't forget to play it.

[over5.5]

bol. ty for all the info

[phenomenon]

lol
killed bookie again
hey man did u buy a car with ur earnings ?
haven t u bought yet ?
goodluck,and congragulations.

[Brazilian soccer]

Good luck to you! I hope I don't forget to play it.

Thanks!

bol. ty for all the info

lol
killed bookie again
hey man did u buy a car with ur earnings ?
haven t u bought yet ?
goodluck,and congragulations.

I had to make a withdrawal from almost all of my bank.

Now, I want to earn some points redeemable for cash or some freeplay. After that, I intend to make a profit with freeplay or cash to return to work doing trading.

I think that I'll reach my goals with dedication and patience.

Thanks for always posting in this topic.

[phenomenon]

u need points ?
hııımmm ok, I ll rapidly send u points, coz u deserve this,when u hit I ll send u 3 points brother ok ?
for each hit now u deserve 12 points for today,
u really deserve this

[Brazilian soccer]

u need points ? hııımmm ok, I ll rapidly send u points, coz u deserve this,when u hit I ll send u 3 points brother ok ? for each hit now u deserve 12 points for today, u really deserve this

phenomenon;

Thanks for the points!

I just want to say that I write about the games because I like doing it and I feel that I contribute a little to the forum.
Obviously I like the points, but my initial thought is to help someone, and try to contribute positively to the forum. I think that by doing so, the points are a consequence of this process.

I really write about the games because I like, and I intend to write whenever possible, until the end of the season.
Just do not want to be interpreted the wrong way!

Anyway, I thank you very much for their points and their constant presence in this topic.
Just do not blame me when I miss 50 straight games.


Let's try to make more profitable one day.

[Poppa Catfish]

I'm with you on the Fluminense over

Great read, thanks for sharing. You truly have great insight, that goes far past "I really like the color of their home uniforms, and their mascot is very ferocious."

[diegarma]

Excellent analysis

Argentina
Argentinos Jrs.
pk and +0.5 -122

Argentinos jr won 1-0
today
Club Atletico Tigre
pk and -0.5 -118

[Brazilian soccer]

I'm with you on the Fluminense over
Great read, thanks for sharing. You truly have great insight, that goes far past "I really like the color of their home uniforms, and their mascot is very ferocious."

Thanks !!
I'm glad you're enjoying this topic. I hope I have helped you in some way and that at least it has provided some profit for you.

Well, I think I can improve a lot after this first experience. This is my first season, I had never done this before, I was always afraid, and ashamed to express my opinion in public places; forum.
Honestly, I did not think that would be received so nice, I'm being welcomed by you all.
Maybe I thought that by being a beginner, and also have difficulty in writing correct English.

Now I'll sleep a little. 7:00 AM hours are almost here. Maybe I'll come back later to post more than two games today I'm thinking.

I thank everyone for their patience with me showing attention.

[critical mass]

Thanks for your insight. You've got a great attitude.

[Brazilian soccer]

Thanks for your insight. You've got a great attitude.

Thanks!

[Brazilian soccer]

Sunday 9/26

Adding more games:

Internacional X Corinthians: Internacional-0&-0.5@ 1,90 (4X)

Vitória BA X Fluminense: Fluminense PK@ 2,19 (2X)

Botafogo RJ x Atlético-PR: Atlético-PR PK@ 2,90 (2X)

[phenomenon]

what are ur bets tonight brother?

[nobull]

awesome picks brazil...............good luck man. go undefeated

[phenomenon]

ok
got it ty

[Pauulzcappin]

Let's go CAP!

[Brazilian soccer]

what are ur bets tonight brother?

The answer is that above your post.

Vitória BA X Fluminense:Over 2,5@ 1,85 (5X)

Internacional X Corinthians: Internacional-0&-0.5@ 1,90 (4X)

Vitória BA X Fluminense: Fluminense PK@ 2,19 (2X)

Botafogo RJ x Atlético-PR: Atlético-PR PK@ 2,90 (2X)


Now let us pray!

awesome picks brazil...............good luck man. go undefeated

Let's go CAP!

[Brazilian soccer]

OMG!!!

50 minutes:

Vitória BA 0 X 0 Fluminense.

Internacional 1 X 0 Corinthians