How to maximize profit? Little help requested.

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  • terpkeg
    SBR MVP
    • 10-26-09
    • 2364

    #1
    How to maximize profit? Little help requested.
    I have to win:
    Uruguay 96/1
    Neatherlands 8.5/1
    Paraguay 116/1
    Spain 4/1

    90 minutes plus stoppage time only
    Netherlands -155
    Uruguay +497
    Draw +260
    extra time and shootouts included
    Netherlands advances to final -285
    Uruguay advances to final +243


    What do I do here?

    Where does this line go?

    If Uruguay beats Neatherlands, what is line vs. Spain, Germany or Argintina, similiar to this?

    Do they get more credit at that point and do we see -200?

    How much is Suarez red, and missing defender and injury to captain effecting this line?

    I see no value in hedging Paraguay at this point b/c they are too bog off a dog and I will probably take the loss there. But most concearned with what to do with Uruguay Neatherlands. It could be problamatic if I hedge here and Uruguay wins and winds up at -350 to -400 dog v. one of the powers from the other side.

    What are the other Uruguay backers doing here?
  • pronk
    Restricted User
    • 11-22-08
    • 6887

    #2
    Uruguay/Holland will be decided in OT.
    Comment
    • Art Vandeleigh
      SBR MVP
      • 12-31-06
      • 1494

      #3
      Do you have $10 to win on Uruguay and $1500 to win on Netherlands? Lots of information missing here.
      Comment
      • terpkeg
        SBR MVP
        • 10-26-09
        • 2364

        #4
        Originally posted by Art Vandeleigh
        Do you have $10 to win on Uruguay and $1500 to win on Netherlands? Lots of information missing here.
        True.

        I have 20 to win 1930 on Uruguay and 20 to win 170 on the Neatherlands. As well as 20 to win 2280 on Paraguay and a free bet to win 40 on Spain. My biggest question is: What would line be if Uruguay beat Neatherlands against Argentina, Spain or Germany?

        Neatherlands currently -290 to advance.
        Comment
        • lukahh
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 04-08-10
          • 941

          #5
          a quick solution would be: you can hedge 1/3 of what you stand to win w/ uruguay and 1/3 of what you'd win with spain - put those two amounts on their oponents to advance. perhaps a bit more if you don't trust those teams anymore.
          Comment
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