Surprised to see that the bookies made Uruguay such a heavy favourite. SK +0.5 (90 min) is available at odds against. I was keen on both sides before the WC and have them as futures in the Winners market so this is a perfect scenario for me trade-wise and I'm not sure if it makes sense to become active in this match. But SK looks tremendous value as I don't think there's too much between these two teams. Obviously Uruguay's strikefore justifies to make them favourites but I think the books are overvalueing their group matches and the opposition they faced.
I'd quantify the chances to qualify at ~60-40.
I'd quantify the chances to qualify at ~60-40.