Is there a correlated parlay on next games?

[Cookie Monster]

I am searching for games with result correlation, so a parlay would get extra value. In the last game of groups stage there are a few.

For example, a big France win may cause Mexico-Uruguay to play more safely. So, the France and Under (Mex-Uru) or France and draw (Mex-Uru) could be good value. Other ideas:

Group D:
Australia and draw (Gha-Ger),
Group H:
Honduras and draw (Spa-Chi).

Unfortunately, the last two are longshots. Please tell me if you find something else.

By the way, do any book disallow these parlays?

[nj6]

You are going to trust France to come through on a parlay, I wouldn't.

[VLR100]

You know that the last round of group games are played at the same times for each group?

[rfr3sh]

You know that the last round of group games are played at the same times for each group?

[Cookie Monster]

You know that the last round of group games are played at the same times for each group?

Yes, I know. Still, the teams know the score of the other game, and act accordingly.

You are going to trust France to come through on a parlay, I wouldn't.

It is not about how likely it is, but the value gained with the correlated parlay. For example, in baseball you could parlay Minnesota for AL champions and World Series champions. Not any book would accept such parlay... if they are WS champions, of course they were AL champions.

In soccer case, the correlation is not strong. But even if they move the possibilities of a certain result 10%, the parlay may end being +EV.