TheAntidote's World Cup Thread

mihaita666 · 06-01-10, 02:44 AM

Good luck Tommy, be careful and patient with the freeplay, altough it will last a lot until you roll it over...and apply what I've told you

TheAntidote · 06-01-10, 12:53 PM

Ok. I used my $100 freeplay on the 8 possible outcomes of a 3-way MLB parlay, risking $12.5 on each scenario. Of the 3 games I found, two of them had ML odds of -102 and -108 and the other game was -106 and -104. As a result, I'll be guaranteed no less than $77.61 cash from my freeplay, while I can win up to $83.66.

The three games are:

Twins vs Seattle (-102 and -108)
Mets vs Padres (-104 and -106)
Angels vs Royals (-108 and -102)

Worst scenario: Seattle, Padres, Angels $77.61
Best scenario: Twins, Mets, Royals $83.66

This will be a good starting bankroll for the World Cup.

mihaita666 · 06-01-10, 05:47 PM

you'll not get the worst scenario

TheAntidote · 06-01-10, 06:05 PM

Originally posted by mihaita666

you'll not get the worst scenario

Yeah, I don't see the Twins losing, especially with Blackburn on the mound. Not to mention Seattle's had a difficult time scoring runs this season, while the Twins have been pretty lights out.

mihaita666 · 06-01-10, 06:11 PM

I know nothing about MLB, maybe you will help me this summer :P

TheAntidote · 06-01-10, 11:38 PM

Wow, the 3 teams I would have picked to win in those MLB games all lost. This is why I don't bet on baseball. Anyway, appears I'll be starting my World Cup bankroll with $81.02. Not too shabby.

Ace_of_Spades · 06-02-10, 12:17 AM

gl

mihaita666 · 06-02-10, 12:32 AM

good luck pal, and nice avatar ace_of_spades, a truly classic

acestreet · 06-02-10, 02:52 AM

good luck

TheAntidote · 06-02-10, 12:14 PM

Thanks for the support fellas. Got my USA World Cup jersey today. Very excited about this.

Looking at a few games already. France vs. Uruguay stands out to me right off the bat. France Money Line is -105 which looks to have good value. I don't know too much about Uruguay except that they are historically bad losers/dirty players when losing. I also know Diego Forlan had a great season with Atletico, especially in the Europa League.

My concern with this bet is on France, however. On paper, they should easily defeat Uruguay, but what France team is this? Is it the team that didn't make it out of the group stages in 2002? Are they like the 2006 team that struggled out of the gate and barely made it out of the group stage? Obviously France did very well in the knockout round, but they don't have Zidane to bail them out this time. I'd love to get input for the regulars in the soccer thread on this. I'm currently leaning heavy on France ML @ -105, because I think they just have way too much talent.

TheAntidote · 06-02-10, 12:16 PM

I'm also leaning England v USA O 2 1/2 goals at +106

mihaita666 · 06-02-10, 12:50 PM

France will win the group, and will go though, but the only team that I donlt think they will defeat is Uruguay...Uruguay plays great, I saw them last week against Israel.

TheAntidote · 06-05-10, 07:52 AM

Watching the US/Australia friendly. Obviously I like the start of this game with Buddle scoring 3 minutes in, but this game will give me a great look at the new ball. Seems like every keeper is complaining about this ball, and I understand why. So far it looks like this ball is swerving much more than your normal Premiership ball. I remember keepers complaining about the ball in 2006, and they had every right seeing as how 2006 seemed to produce some amazing goals. Torsten Frings' goal in the first game of the Cup always sticks out to me. Anyway, I think this makes betting overs a lot more appealing.

TheAntidote · 06-06-10, 07:30 PM

First play for the World Cup:

Brasil v Korea DPR O 3

$23.80 to win $20

Original Bankroll: $81.02
Rollover/Requirement: 23.80/648.16
Current Bankroll: $57.22
Pending Plays: $23.80

aceking · 06-06-10, 09:30 PM

Brasil v Korea DPR Over ?

might be 10 man defence from North Korea .

TheAntidote · 06-06-10, 10:23 PM

Originally posted by aceking

Brasil v Korea DPR Over ?

might be 10 man defence from North Korea .

One of Korea DPR's strikers just said he plans on scoring a goal every game, and claimed his team and Brasil will be the teams to go through in their group. Highly laughable, but I hope they do play some attacking football against Brasil. My gut's telling me it'll be a game where Brasil scores at will.

mihaita666 · 06-07-10, 02:15 AM

brazil scores 4....3 times in the first half

TheAntidote · 06-07-10, 12:32 PM

Friday World Cup Play:

Creating an Asian Handicap on the France v Uruguay game. I may be using a few of this AH's, as I feel it's a conservative way to make some bets that will help me reach my rollover requirement with less variance.

France ML $10 to win $11.20

Draw $10 to win $21.00

Obviously I'll be pulling for a draw here.

Original Bankroll: $81.02
Rollover/Requirement: 43.80/648.16
Current Bankroll: $37.22
Pending Plays: $43.80

mihaita666 · 06-07-10, 12:39 PM

I was also thinking about a draw, I don;t see France losing here...

TheAntidote · 06-09-10, 11:51 AM

Adding a play for the US vs England game:

O 1 goal 1st half
$15 to win $16.20

Original Bankroll: $81.02
Rolled over/Requirement: 58.80/648.16
Current Bankroll: $22.22
Pending Plays: $58.80

TheAntidote · 06-09-10, 12:06 PM

Adding a prop:

David Villa O 3 1/2 goals for the tournament
$12.22 to win $10.53

Original Bankroll: $81.02
Rolled over/Requirement: 71.02/648.16
Current Bankroll: $10.00
Pending Plays: $71.02

TheAntidote · 06-11-10, 12:40 PM

Adding another play to tomorrow's US/England game:

England -1, -1 1/2
10 to win 11.80

Original Bankroll: $81.02
Rolled over/Requirement: 81.02/648.16
Current Bankroll: $0.00
Pending Plays: $81.02

Looking forward to the France game!

TheAntidote · 06-11-10, 03:23 PM

Won my first bet, with the France/Uruguay draw.

mihaita666 · 06-11-10, 03:29 PM

great start tommy, that's the best, to start with a win

ericthegangster · 06-13-10, 12:37 PM

win

TheAntidote · 06-13-10, 03:38 PM

Lost one England bet, won one as well. Very happy with the US draw.

mihaita666 · 06-13-10, 03:39 PM

Ive had a nightmare day yesterday, got back a lil bit with Germany/australia over 2.5 today....the panzers are impressive.

TheAntidote · 06-13-10, 03:42 PM

Germany looked very good today. Glad to see you're back on the up.

Updated stats:

Original Bankroll: $81.02
Rolled over/Requirement: 81.02/648.16
Current Bankroll: $62.20
Pending Plays: $36.02

TheAntidote · 06-13-10, 05:30 PM

Tomorrow's play:

Netherlands -1
15 to win 13.89

Original Bankroll: $81.02
Rolled over/Requirement: 96.02/648.16
Current Bankroll: $47.20
Pending Plays: $51.02

TheAntidote · 06-13-10, 08:56 PM

Pulling the trigger on the over for tomorrow's early game:

Netherlands/Denmark O 2 1/2
15 to win 16.65

I think Netherlands win 4-0.

Original Bankroll: $81.02
Rolled over/Requirement: 111.02/648.16
Current Bankroll: $32.20
Pending Plays: $66.02

mihaita666 · 06-13-10, 09:27 PM

on these too...mechanical orange domination, that's what we want

TheAntidote · 06-14-10, 09:15 AM

Small loss on the Netherlands game. Should have pounded the -1 line. If Robben starts I think Netherlands would have gotten 3 goals at least. Thinking about an Asian Handicap on Italy for todays late game.

TheAntidote · 06-14-10, 09:37 AM

Going with the AH on Italy

Italy ML 15 to win 19.50
Draw 15 to win 30

I actually think this game ends as a draw, 0-0 or 1-1.

Original Bankroll: $81.02
Rolled over/Requirement: 141.02/648.16
Current Bankroll: $31.09
Pending Plays: $66.02

TheAntidote · 06-14-10, 03:22 PM

Nice little win there with Italy. Nice to see the Azzurri come back after looking so flat.