Chelsea - Portsmouth

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  • thabeest
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-28-10
    • 159

    #1
    Chelsea - Portsmouth
    0-0 at HT +350 2 units

    It's easy to think Chelsea will be up 5-0 at HT in this game considering what a force they've been this season winning some games with phone numbers alike as results, but I like what Portsmouth have shown in defense to end the season in EPL, and also their form improved later on. The FA Cup have been their first and foremost priority this year after the league went downhill. They have been a totally different team in the cup, with some good performances. One of them holding the spurs to 0-0 FT and winning it in extra time.

    This is the biggest game of Portsmouth's season this year, and I believe the players out there on the pitch will work very hard and give it their absolute best. I'm not sure what approach they will have to this game, but it's clearly suicide to go all out attack vs the blues and I reckon they will defend good for at least 60 minutes before Chelsea gets a goal. I have little hopes for Portsmouth to actually win the Cup even though they will be very much up for the task - the blues will just be too strong after a full 90 minutes - they want this double to end the year. That's why I've chosen to bet the first half only. I believe in Portsmouth, but not enough to back them on the AH +2 for the full game. We all know what Chelsea is capable of. But we have also witnessed Portsmouth's motivation, fighting power and so on when they've been playing in the cup as a different team than the one that are relegated in the league.

    At +350 I think the 0-0 draw at HT is a great pick in this game and I will up my stake to 2 units because of the potential payout.
  • sickler
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 06-05-08
    • 15006

    #2
    good luck
    Comment
    • bostonbruins
      SBR MVP
      • 04-02-08
      • 3272

      #3
      I can't see relegated David slaying Goliath here, why would this game be close?

      Over 3

      3-1 Chelsea
      Comment
      • knightof7
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-14-10
        • 396

        #4
        liking the over here as well
        Comment
        • althelegend
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 07-28-06
          • 596

          #5
          May be better to just watch and enjoy the game. Chelsea are big, big, favourites - but this is the cup final and stranger things have happened than a Portsmouth win.
          Comment
          • MendozaLine
            SBR MVP
            • 01-11-10
            • 4088

            #6
            I don't think anyone expected relegated David beating Tottenham a few weeks ago.

            Originally posted by bostonbruins
            I can't see relegated David slaying Goliath here, why would this game be close?

            Over 3

            3-1 Chelsea
            Comment
            • Bostonknowledge
              SBR High Roller
              • 01-02-10
              • 127

              #7
              Chelsea is going to lay another beat down to an opponent.
              Comment
              • onizuka
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 02-19-10
                • 643

                #8
                Hmm.. interesting analysis, maybe I should try to play HT on this game
                Comment
                • minet123
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-17-07
                  • 10280

                  #9
                  Blues wipe the pitch with Portsmouth
                  Comment
                  • Giuvara
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 03-15-10
                    • 873

                    #10
                    I don't believe Portsmouth will get demolished today. Chelsea will win, but by no means with 5-0 as they did in March in the Premier League. Avram Grant would love to put his fist in the face of Abramovic, but Portsmouth's only chance would be a solid defending game and a late goal. This is why I wouldn't touch the over 3.5 goals at the odds it's currently on.
                    Comment
                    • paste_me
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-11-09
                      • 1832

                      #11
                      2 Chelsea (ENG-Cup) -1½,-2 -155

                      playing it safe
                      Comment
                      • thabeest
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 01-28-10
                        • 159

                        #12
                        Thanks for the interest in my thread and my pick on this game. Thanks for the good luck wish(es), other opinions, and other comments.

                        Chelsea did beat Portsmouth 5-0 on Ports's own turf, but prior to that game Chelsea had just been kicked out of CL and the game before they lost 2 points when drawing 1-1 at Blackburn. That was a game they were certain of not laying an egg in and it was only one possible outcome of that game - to thrash Portsmouth and never look back.

                        The other head2head result at Stamford Bridge ended in a 2-1 win for Chelsea, Portsmouth tied it up 1-1 after being down 1-0 in that game when Piquionne scored in the 51st minute of the game. Chelsea won it with a late goal from who else than Lampard himself.


                        Others in this thread act like I am giving Portsmouth a chance to actually win this game, which I have already said I do not. Of course it's a final leg in a cup and everything can happen, but sheer motivation, will, fight, and hard work will only get you so far. Chelsea are a far superior team and the only rationale side to bet is to back Chelsea, either being ML, spread or the over total of this game.

                        I am only saying that Portsmouth have indeed been showing some pretty damn good defense to end this EPL season, and they have surprised me on that behalf. It's a value bet, guys. +350 is a price I am willing to back. Had it been +300 I would be second guessing it, at +250 I would probably look at it and then eventually passing on it. But at +350 I like the potential payout and I am willing to risk 2 units.


                        Good luck to everyone. and hopefully we can all cash on this game being 0-0 at HT and then Chelsea winning it 3-0 or 4-0 in the end.
                        Comment
                        • aceking
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-07-05
                          • 4782

                          #13
                          1-0 boring game .
                          Comment
                          • Arsenal
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-30-09
                            • 1349

                            #14
                            Good luck. I hope you hit it as it will make the 2nd half interesting to watch.
                            Comment
                            • blackf1re
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 01-31-10
                              • 487

                              #15
                              I'm on hattrick to be scored and over 6.5 goals looking to trade.
                              Comment
                              • SRBI
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-20-09
                                • 8393

                                #16
                                Chelsea will win this 3-0, with the 3rd goal coming in somewhere around the 80-90 minute mark.

                                I'll be waiting for half-time in hopes of this staying tied, then I will unload on Chelsea and o1.5/2.5 whatever it is.

                                Comment
                                • lakerboy
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-02-09
                                  • 94379

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by SRBI
                                  Chelsea will win this 3-0, with the 3rd goal coming in somewhere around the 80-90 minute mark.

                                  I'll be waiting for half-time in hopes of this staying tied, then I will unload on Chelsea and o1.5/2.5 whatever it is.

                                  Comment
                                  • thabeest
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 01-28-10
                                    • 159

                                    #18
                                    The AH -2.0 line on Chelsea has gone from -128 to -102 in the last couple of hours. I was very thrilled to see so many key players that were questionable for Portsmouth to be ready for this game. Boateng, Dindane and O Hara, all three playing today. Especially O Hara will be an important man in offense behind Piquionne up front.
                                    Comment
                                    • pokerpro44
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-20-07
                                      • 3138

                                      #19
                                      2-0 chelsea.
                                      Comment
                                      • Smogs
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-31-08
                                        • 4173

                                        #20
                                        Good wrietups/analysis beest

                                        I personally think this won't be close at all and should be over before half time, but i'm not betting it so i hope you win
                                        Comment
                                        • thabeest
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 01-28-10
                                          • 159

                                          #21
                                          Thanks, smogs. I appreciate that.

                                          Good luck to everyone with bets on this game either with me or against me. Let's go, Portssss
                                          Comment
                                          • ararat2010
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 12-16-09
                                            • 428

                                            #22
                                            Draw HT Draw FT. Chealsea win in added time
                                            Comment
                                            • mihaita666
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-13-09
                                              • 8596

                                              #23
                                              gosh, they are missing so much
                                              Soccer record (2010) : 244-160-24
                                              2010-2011 season (soccer) :
                                              144-95-11
                                              NBA Record (2010-2011 season) :
                                              17-12-1


                                              Comment
                                              • sportscash
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 01-16-09
                                                • 2894

                                                #24
                                                Yeah you could have a winner here
                                                Comment
                                                • thabeest
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 01-28-10
                                                  • 159

                                                  #25
                                                  Wow. I've already gotten my money's worth with this bet. It could of easily have been 3 goals here already. I'm biting fingernails and what not every 3rd or 4th minute
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SRBI
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 10-20-09
                                                    • 8393

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by SRBI
                                                    Chelsea will win this 3-0, with the 3rd goal coming in somewhere around the 80-90 minute mark.

                                                    I'll be waiting for half-time in hopes of this staying tied, then I will unload on Chelsea and o1.5/2.5 whatever it is.

                                                    Draw is almost in the bag!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • theplagy
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-21-09
                                                      • 1915

                                                      #27
                                                      You owe Kalou for your winnings, lol. That was one of the worst misses this EPL season
                                                      Comment
                                                      • thabeest
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 01-28-10
                                                        • 159

                                                        #28
                                                        0-0 at HT +350 2 units

                                                        Cash that bitch


                                                        The most exciting bet I've had in weeks. So close to a few goals before HT. Lampard hitting the crossbar and out, Kalou missing from 4 meters away, headers in the crossbar, Piquionne with a big opportunity for Portsmouth.

                                                        It will be goals in 2nd half for sure.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Mike Lonsdale
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 05-13-10
                                                          • 65

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by thabeest
                                                          0-0 at HT +350 2 units
                                                          congratulations you nailed it, but that halftime was something

                                                          I bet you almots got heart attack
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mihaita666
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 09-13-09
                                                            • 8596

                                                            #30
                                                            I hope Chelsea scores 5 in the second half
                                                            Soccer record (2010) : 244-160-24
                                                            2010-2011 season (soccer) :
                                                            144-95-11
                                                            NBA Record (2010-2011 season) :
                                                            17-12-1


                                                            Comment
                                                            • phenomenon
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-11-10
                                                              • 3227

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by theplagy
                                                              You owe Kalou for your winnings, lol. That was one of the worst misses this EPL season

                                                              don t forget posts,he also owe post. 5 times...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Tommy_de1st
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-23-10
                                                                • 8397

                                                                #32
                                                                Congrats
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thabeest
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 01-28-10
                                                                  • 159

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Thank you guys

                                                                  Good luck with any 2nd half wagers. I will just relax and watch a possible very entertaining 2nd half with lots of goals if it's anything close to the first half. Be sure to check out my thoughts on the Atlético Madrid - Getafe matchup in my other thread. Hopefully I will be as lucky in that game as in this one.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • egzacto
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-02-10
                                                                    • 502

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Nice call
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SRBI
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 10-20-09
                                                                      • 8393

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by thabeest
                                                                      Thank you guys

                                                                      Good luck with any 2nd half wagers. I will just relax and watch a possible very entertaining 2nd half with lots of goals if it's anything close to the first half. Be sure to check out my thoughts on the Atlético Madrid - Getafe matchup in my other thread. Hopefully I will be as lucky in that game as in this one.
                                                                      Awesome hit on the HT draw beest, nicely capped
                                                                      Comment
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