Barcelona - Valladolid = Chelsea - Wigan ?

[mihaita666]

Same situation, practically, Barcelona wins and they are champs, they play at home, againsta a modest team.
The ML line is ignorable, absolutely too small, 1.04 at BetPhoenix. The spread is 2.5 already, and looks like going to 2.75 from what the odds look like.
Also, a very big total here, 3.75 is the opening line. I have never seen such a line before, only as alternative, but not as main pick.

Do ytou guys think Barca can do a similar performance to Chelsea's against Wigan ? I think 5-0 or 5-1 Barcelona isn't unlikely at all, Valladolid isn't yet relegated, and they will have to attack if they wanna survive.

The last two matches on Camp Nou were : 6-0 and 4-1

[calahan]

Will probably play over 4.5 @ 2.27. I think they will explode and have 3-0 in ht. Valladolid do have pride, last game against zaragoza they showed it. They have some good players in manucho, borja and sesma so i think they can score a goal in the second half. 4-1, 5-0, 5-1 is very likely. Medium bet, its pretty risky if valladolid doesnt score.

[kchien]

yeah over looks good, bracelona will probably want to put it away early

[Dark Horse]

I would take a close look at the bottom of the table, and the four teams that are tied at 36 before the final day of play. Two of them play Barca and Real.

Valladolid, with new coach, has been involved in a fight for their lives for the past month. They have 12 points from their last 7 games.

There is very litttle chance of this becoming a Chelsea-Wigan. Barca only needs the win. They are up against a desperate team. I'm pretty sure Barca would have preferred a team with nothing left to play for.

[Totolover1409]

I like the Under.

[Bostonknowledge]

I'm liking the over a lot!!

[mihaita666]

dark horse, if they are desperate, they will attack and we all know what happens when you play open with barcelona

[knightof7]

I like the over but I really hope Barcelona isn't the only team scoring in the game

[Dark Horse]

dark horse, if they are desperate, they will attack and we all know what happens when you play open with barcelona

I doubt that. They would be very happy with a point, and goal differential may factor in (I have to look at the relegation rules in Spain). They may dig in around their goal.

Remember that Wigan had nothing to play for. These guys are as motivated as Barca. There are four teams with 36 points, and two of them will go down. Crazy stuff.

[skrtelfan]

When two teams are tied on points La Liga uses head to head record as the tie break instead of goal differential, right? How does it work when 3 or 4 teams are tied on points, the aggregate results from the "mini-league" involving the tied teams, kind of like how some college basketball conferences sort out tiebreakers?

[mihaita666]

valladolid will receive 4, at least......and i think the best play will be barca -2.5 3-0 would be enough for it

[Dark Horse]

La Liga relegation scenarios explained here:

http://www.goal.com/en-us/news/88/spain/2010/05/10/1917970/goalcom-analysis-the-breathtaking-relegation-battle-in-la

[fuglyboy86hi]

over looks quite attractive specially for barca, messi is on fire !!!!

[mihaita666]

so xerez has the biggest chances to avoid relegation. thanks for the link dark horse