Smogs Europa League Final Picks and Analysis - Atletico Madrid Vs Fulham

[ararat2010]

Fulham really deserves it... but Atletico is a better team imo. Anyway it will be very interesting match

[psv777ua]

Atletiko ML +110

[spirta]

I am on over too GL !

[Dark Horse]

In their respective leagues, on the road:
Fulham 1-7-11 (12-31)
Atletico 2-5-12 (20-37)

In these games, the average scoring:
Fulham 0.65 - 1.65
Atletico 1.05 - 1.95

It doesn't get much closer. Atletico by 0.10 goals. Is that even worth a corner?

These teams look like exact mirror images. Look at the home games from their two leagues:
Fulham 11-3-5 (27-15)
Atletico 11-3-4 (37-21) with a game in hand.


This is so ridiculously similar that I could only play the draw.
May be worth a shot at precise scores 0-0 (+694) and 1-1 (+534).

[Smogs]

In their respective leagues, on the road:
Fulham 1-7-11 (12-31)
Atletico 2-5-12 (20-37)

In these games, the average scoring:
Fulham 0.65 - 1.65
Atletico 1.05 - 1.95

It doesn't get much closer. Atletico by 0.10 goals. Is that even worth a corner?

These teams look like exact mirror images. Look at the home games from their two leagues:
Fulham 11-3-5 (27-15)
Atletico 11-3-4 (37-21) with a game in hand.


This is so ridiculously similar that I could only play the draw.
May be worth a shot at precise scores 0-0 (+694) and 1-1 (+534).

Good analysis, as a result....

I have dropped my Atletico ML Play

I now just have 3 units on Atletico to win the trophy, this game is too close to be my bet of the year. It wouldn't be clever with my WC bankroll still building

[camel]

I do like Athletico, but Fulham have done so well so far, is there any reason for them to stop at the last hurdle?

Only reason i'm leaning Athletico is their fire power up front.

[Smogs]

I do like Athletico, but Fulham have done so well so far, is there any reason for them to stop at the last hurdle?

Only reason i'm leaning Athletico is their fire power up front.

One of my main points for Atletico is the 'big time' situation, which they should be more accustomed to.

Fulham have 2 players who play on the world stage, while Madrid are littered with quality used to these occasions

[tachi]

i dreamed Fulham to win the cup.
i know how this sounds...
but really I haven't been interested at all in this match.
last time I dreamed matches was YEARS AGO .
never,never my dreams became truth in the reality.

i'll bet on atletico.

[simonsolent]

Very difficult to make a reasonable case for Fulham, however Athletico are no model of consistency. So I think i'll leave the winner alone and play the under on the goals. Also a small interest in Murphy (+1600) and Hangeland (+3300) first goalscorers.

[Dark Horse]

i dreamed Fulham to win the cup.
i know how this sounds...
but really I haven't been interested at all in this match.
last time I dreamed matches was YEARS AGO .
never,never my dreams became truth in the reality.

i'll bet on atletico.

lol

[Wilforth]

One of my main points for Atletico is the 'big time' situation, which they should be more accustomed to.

Fulham have 2 players who play on the world stage, while Madrid are littered with quality used to these occasions

In a 7-game series, I'd take Atletico. But in this one game, there's no favorite.

[SoV]

Forlan is the main guy. If he's on fire today, Fulham are done. If they can keep him quiet, then Fulham have a great chance.

[Barroco]

not betting today but hoping fulham win it, everytime i bet on them in Europa league they made me money.

[looch10]

good write up

also leaning atletico.. in the end, KUN and Forlan should be too much. Kun to score anytime +140 for me as well, love this player.

[Smogs]

Thanks for the points Looch

Final bets

3 Units Atletico to lift trophy @ 8/13 (Found a better price in ladbrokes shops)

1 Unit Atletico to have more corners @ 1.75

1 Unit Atletico/Fulham Over 2.5 goals @ 5/4

BOL tonight

[OLBG Sports]

Under 2.5 goals in the game (90 min) and Atlético to lift the trophy!!!

[swiss88]

on Atletico to win the trophy, but playing it small because it probably will be very close. good luck with your bets

[brko]

first half draw... @2.00

i won't repeat the already presented facts and opinions on close statistics and game, but will make a conclusion - because of everything already being said by respective gentlemen i think that neither team won't try anything even close to serious threat in first half. maybe the second half is more promising but i see 0:0 at HT and i'm satisfied.

[Masu485]

not good man...

[Masu485]

very good...

[Socrates]

C'mon Atleti, two more for a guaranteed win.

[Socrates]

Crap lol

[OLBG Sports]

draw... 1x1

No goals on 2nd HT and than Atlético can win on EXT or Penalty shoots...

[Smogs]

Not sure what to think of that, Atletico are dominating, my corners bets is won easy peeeeezy, so happy there. But Fulham have had 2 shots and scored one, frustrating.

If it stays like this, Atletico will win 4-1, keep up the tempo!!!!!!!!!!!!

*Over looks good also - thank god i dropped the ML Atletico bet, that would be far too nervous

[Wilforth]

Fulham will play for a draw and take this to extra time.

[BL]

lol Fulham won't play for the draw. They know they need to score if they want to win the trophy. Nobody is trying to get into extratime

[ClydeFontaine]

Pretty good first half here. Forlan came up big as usual.

[ufuque]

On Penalties

[Smogs]

Urgh, this is not what i envisioned - that 1-1 call by wilforth is looking excellent

[Wilforth]

Urgh, this is not what i envisioned - that 1-1 call by wilforth is looking excellent

[BL]

no penalty? lucky fulham well extratime here we go

[Outlawz]

Gera's gonna hit the winner!

[SRBI]

draw... 1x1

No goals on 2nd HT and than Atlético can win on EXT or Penalty shoots...

I saw this at HT and thought

...decided to play the draw at +160 for a half unit and u3 +150 for a half as well

Thanks OLBG...and I hope Atletico takes the cup so we all profit in the end

[BL]

boring final

[OLBG Sports]

draw... 1x1

No goals on 2nd HT and than Atlético can win on EXT or Penalty shoots...

I told you guys...