Krtica`s SA picks

[Krtica]

19th April 2010 Mexico Primera

Santos Laguna - San Luis

pick : Santos Laguna(-1.0) @2.09 -5/10 -SBO

One round left until end of Mexican regular Clausura season, before playoffs start, but Santos Laguna 2 games to play counting this today.

- These teams have met 17 times. Santos have just three defeats vs San Luis.

-Very important game for Santos Laguna here at home. Its true that Santos is not in-form , cant win in 4 last games. But still they can enter playoffs. And that could be asured if win here. many goals received by their defence recently , and I hope finally they will woke up and play good in this most important game of the year so far. If Santos Laguna wins here they can relax in last round away at America who is also chasing desperately playoff spot. Sooo... Failure here will be desastrous surely.

-As for San Luis , they have realy nothing to play for. Can not relegate, can not enter playoffs, also playing badly for a long long time. They are just crapp , when try in every single game to play in counters. they wait , wait and wait, receive the goal , ... but can not score. They have just 2 wins , 5 draws and 8 losses in this half-season. Some under 21 years players wil be in San Luis team. I can not trust here San Luis. Just simple win of Santos Laguna needed as well as , one good game to finish in entering the playoffs. Fair offer (-1.0) with medium stakes.

If Santos Laguna wins here, they enter playoffs.

Cheers !

[Krtica]

2-1 FT
... void

[Krtica]

23rd April 2010 Mexico Primera

Cruz Azul - Guadalajara

pick: Cruz Azul(-0.5) @1.86 -5/10 -SBO

Last round in Mexico. Clear situation for home side Cruz Azul. If they win here , they enter mexican playoffs. If not they are risking much. It is good that their game is played just before all games on saturday late night which are connected to this , so no calculations. Few days ago Cruz Azul defeated Pachuca in 1st leg finals of CONCACAF. So once again repeating myself , in the case of a tie or defeat Cruz Azul increase the danger to be eliminated if some combination of results occurs. One important thing here is that we can trust Cruz Azul at home even if this is unimportant game , becouse they were just once beaten at their home ground.
-Guadalajara already qualified for playoffs. Also many players missing in Guadalajara which are in national selection. Very important players like Bofo Bautista, Javier Hernandez ... etc.. Same situation was in last round when at home Guadalajara lost to Atlas 0-2 with a man more in awfull performance. How good they were in the beginning of this Clausura, same they are bad in this ending of Clausura.

[Krtica]

1-1 ft

[Krtica]

25th April 2010 Mexico Primera

Club America - Santos Laguna

pick : Club America (-0.5) @2.03 -6/10 -SBO

Clear situation in last game in last round before playoffs.
If America not win here they are out of playoffs. If they win, they will retake 8th place. So a winner of America will eliminate Cruz Azul who unbelievably draw 1-1 yesterday.
-Lets explain a bit something. Yesterdays night schedule was set that many games were playing in different times , but all were connected.
-So America needed some combinations of others teams to have chance today. They got it.
-At the moment Cruz Azul finished 1-1 with Guadalajara, there was left one game , Atlas - Jaguares , considering all results which ended at 02 AM CET , America who plays today needed BADLY not to win ATLAS at 03-45 AM CET. Asian handicap was nicely ruined for Jaguares +0.75. In live betting that +0.75 went in 10 minutes exactly to +0.25 , so its evident where this Atlas-Jaguares game went, exactly to the desaster of Atlas, ending just 1-1. Atlas needed win , no matter of other results they could manage to enter playoffs , but no. They draw 1-1 , and made a big favour to America for today. Lets hit this.

[Krtica]

1-0 ft

[Marginalis]

[Krtica]

copy from other topic here ...

>>>>

Libertadores

San Luis is the worst team in mexican league. Even Indios who managed to relegate this year into lower division got more points than them. San Luis at the end of championship collected 14 points , but even Indios got more.

(due to complicated percentage counting for relegation table in mexico , Indios got relegated becouse in that %`s we count 4 years back, and Indios played just 2 years in Mexcan league recently , counting back. But San Luis is long long time in mexico primera and they got much credits counting backward in that relegation table of %`s, so it was easier for San Luis to maintain their presence in 1st mexican league than Indios)

-I cant remember when San Luis won in Mexican league, if we dont count last round when in unimportant game San Luis won over Queretaro 3-0.
-As I saw almost all 5-6 last games of San Luis , can asure you that there are no reasons to back them here in Libertadores. San Luis isnt good in attack at all, just look at their results in weak mexican league. San Luis and Estudiantes are 2 different worlds, not comparable. Just watch the game... Big gap in quality will be easy to notice.

-Also on the other side, Estudiantes is a good team , if we are mentioning those missings , it not good to judge that , that will have an effect on the income of this game. It will not hurt Estudiantes.

>>>
Estudiantes de La Plata: Agustín Orión; Clemente Rodríguez, Cristian Cellay, Marcos Rojo, Germán Ré; Enzo Perez, Matías Sánchez, Maxi Núñez, Leandro Benítez; Gastón Fernández y Leandro González. Entrenador: Alejandro Sabella.

> this is good team, and as we saw them usually in their argentinean championship, yes they are competitive >>>

conclusion (even if the AH is ruined from +0.25 to 0.0) is >

take : Estudiantes (0.0) @1.96 -5/10 - SBOBET

[Krtica]

copy from other topic here ...

>>>

CONCACAF

This return game is quet unpredictable.
Neither team is in good shape, especially not Pachuca.
Their last win against crapp Tigres does not show anything.
-There is one big problem when taking here Pachuca >>>

-Miguel Callero , keeper of Pachuca , is the weakest point of this team. he have many many credits by Pachuca DT , but now he does not deserve to be between the bars. Long long time he is primary keeper , but as soon as Pachuca DT remove him , this team will do better. Those who watch mexican league clearly know what am I talking about.

-So speaking that defence of Cruz Azul sucks, is not apropriate reasoning, becouse I rate Cruz Azul far better team at the moment than Pachuca. If we forget last win over Tigres 1-2 , and go deeply back to previous results of Pachuca we can easily say that they just got "lucky" entering playoffs.

Speaking of attack... Cruz Azul with their argentineans functioned much better than Pachuca`s attack which was incapable to do anything before last round ...

So at the end ... we rather choose >>>

Cruz Azul(+0.25) @2.05 -5/10 - SBOBET

[Adebayor365]

good luck...

[Krtica]

take : Estudiantes (0.0) @1.96 -5/10 - SBOBET

El arbitro dice que no hay tiempo para mas! Estudiantes gana ! Y nosotros ganamos tambien !

0-1 ft

[Krtica]

Cruz Azul(+0.25) @2.05 -5/10 - SBOBET

1-0 ft



93 min goal ...

[Krtica]

Brasil Serie A 16th May 2010

Atletico PR - Guarani

pick : Atletico-PR (-0.75) @1.90 -6/10 -SBO

-As I saw both teams in 1st round will not hesitate to choose this one.
AtleticoPR played equal game with Corinthians , even with a man less scored at HT. But according to the referee decisions , unfair loss of 2-1 for paranense team.
From the penalty Corinthians with Ronaldo won 2-1. For AtleticoPR , Paolo Baier will not pay suspeded , but instead of him , very good Netinho will get a chance.
Valencia , Bruno Mineiro and Tarta , important ones will be back in team.

-Also as I saw Guarani in first round , thats the main reason I think no chance for them here. Despite they won very lucky over Goias, they showed that arent well connected, many new elements in Guarani from last Serie B team, their coach admited that they arent so far functioning well. That was evident. Whole game Goias was far better , creating all the time chances. All missed, incredible. Guarani players couldnt even lead the ball properly in the field, they were losing the ball even if no tackles were against them, very weak side I could say. Weakest performance in 1st round had Guarani.

-It is announced attacking aproach for this game. Anyway I like their game from 1st round despite loss , we accept here -0.75 on home side usually reliable at home.

[Krtica]

Brasil Serie A 16th May 2010

Atletico PR - Guarani

pick : Atletico-PR (-0.75) @1.90 -6/10 -SBO

2-2 ft

[Krtica]

International Friendly 30th May 2010

Mexico - Gambia

pick : Mexico(-1.25) @1.82 -3/5 -SBO

This line is acceptable for this game. This will be played in Germany and this game wasnt scheduled for Mexico to play.
But again this will be great test for Mexicans , becouse after this game Javier Aguire will remove some players from the team who will go to South Africa.
Lately Mexico played good but unfortunately lost last two games vs strong Holland and England. They were good.
Now as for Gambia team, they did not qualified for World Cup and their players are low quality, becouse they are playing some lower scandinavian divisions or dont even play. Lets remind that in 2007 on WC for U21 players Mexico won over Gambia 3-0 and i that Mexico team were some players who will participate today vs Gambia. This line could be easily covered Africans are just not comparable to this Mexico.

[Krtica]

International Friendly 30th May 2010

Mexico - Gambia

pick : Mexico(-1.25) @1.82 -3/5 -SBO

5-1 ft

[Krtica]

W-V-L (3-1-3)

profit >>> -0.1 u
staked 33u
YIELD : -0.3 %

[Munjoz]

[Krtica]

Brasil A 15th July 2010

AtleticoMG-Atletico-GO

pick : AtleticoMG(-0.75) @1.92 -5/10 -SBO

-I dont like here the visiting team and they will score zero goals as always. Atletico-GO is the worst scoring team. They scored so far from 7 games just 5 and playing away at Minas Gerais vs Atletico-** would be very hard task.
-Diego Tardeli and Diego Souza will play. Ok , Souza maybe 20 min about. He isnt announced but we never know until the game starts.
- Luxemburgo got his Diego Souza in team. So far in 7 games just 2 wins and 5 losses for AtleticoMG , this team dont belong to lower table in Brasil and Im sure they will bounce back today.
That i like much. Can not imagine Atletico-GO taking something here. If we bet on AtleticoMG , than we do it when they are at home.

[lasker]

thanks for the write-ups

[aca]

Best of Luck, Krtice!

[aca]

Congrats!

[Krtica]

Brasil A 15th July 2010

AtleticoMG-Atletico-GO

pick : AtleticoMG(-0.75) @1.92 -5/10 -SBO
.

3-2 ft half won : +2.3 u

[Krtica]

24th July 02h CET (starts in 1 hour about from posting)

Brasil B

Ponte Preta - Ipatinga

Now is high -1.0 , so I think Ipatinga is not a match for them. Also many problems in Ipatinga.
Ipatinga did not won 3 games in a row , were struggling vs weak Vila Nova. Ipatinga is limited team. Players behind wages 2 months in Ipatinga, but thats a regular thing in Brasi lB I think.
And as I saw Ponte Preta recent games , they had good performance in last 2 games gaining 4 ponts.
Can not see bad game of "Macaca" at home , No missings for "Macaca" here, full team... Home win for me here.

pick : Ponte Preta(-1.0) @1.97 -5/10 - SBO

[Krtica]

pick : Ponte Preta(-1.0) @1.97 -5/10 - SBO

1-1 ft
>

-5u