One soccer pick - Wednesday

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  • Wilforth
    Restricted User
    • 05-10-08
    • 16309

    #1
    One soccer pick - Wednesday
    Streak limit rule #2: Spain: Santander/Espanyol draw +220

    There has been no draw between these sides in any of the L4 meetings. These sides have not gone drawless in 5 straight meetings. Employing the Streak Limit Rule (STR), a draw is highly likely in this game. To help matters:
    1) Santander has only 2 wins in 15 home games (13% home win rate) while Espanyol has only 1 win in 15 road games (7% road win rate)
    2) Santander has a home draw rate of 33% (5/15) while Espanyol has a road draw rate of 60% (9/15).

    So the STR, Santander's home win/draw rates and Espanyol's road win/draw rates all seem to point to a draw.

    Yesterday's STR play was Getafe ML (+135) because they were hosting a Villareal team that had exhausted their win streak limit.

    TBH, I've found the STR to be profitable, having considerably tested it in some of my non-posted plays.

  • ararat2010
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-16-09
    • 428

    #2
    Good Point )) BTW they are together on 14/15 places and may agree on easy Draw
    Comment
    • cheesehead004
      Restricted User
      • 12-24-08
      • 715

      #3
      I tailed you on this... would be looking good if not for that stupid red card the keeper took Hopefully Espanyol can net another since they've already scored w/o a penalty and Santander can't seem to be able to.


      And ararat, hayeri tsav@ tanem (if you understood that, which im asuming you can haha)
      Comment
      • Wilforth
        Restricted User
        • 05-10-08
        • 16309

        #4
        Originally posted by cheesehead004
        I tailed you on this... would be looking good if not for that stupid red card the keeper took Hopefully Espanyol can net another since they've already scored w/o a penalty and Santander can't seem to be able to.


        And ararat, hayeri tsav@ tanem (if you understood that, which im asuming you can haha)
        That's the thing with these games. Just when you think you've done your homework well, something screws you up. Let's hope Espanyol can find a way to equalize.
        Comment
        • Euphoria38
          SBR MVP
          • 09-04-08
          • 1188

          #5
          Good luck Wilforth =)
          Comment
          • Wilforth
            Restricted User
            • 05-10-08
            • 16309

            #6
            Originally posted by Euphoria38
            Good luck Wilforth =)
            Santander scored 2 goals both from penalties! I didn't cap 2 penalties for Santander. I capped a 1-1 draw for the game, but there's still time.
            Comment
            • cheesehead004
              Restricted User
              • 12-24-08
              • 715

              #7
              That set piece was close :[
              Comment
              • Wilforth
                Restricted User
                • 05-10-08
                • 16309

                #8
                Originally posted by Wilforth
                Streak limit rule #2: Spain: Santander/Espanyol draw +220 LOSS
                0-1 -1.00

                We're used to it.
                Comment
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