Sportslover's Soccer Bets

[Sportslover]

Here are my Soccer bets. 1 unit for every play.

Today's plays for Tuesday 3/30 are:

BK Hacken -0.5 and -1 -102
BV Veendam -0.5 and -1 -107
Accrington Stanley -0.5 +104
AFC Wimbledon -0.5 +105
Inverness Caledonian Thistle -0.5 -102
Greenock Morton pk and -0.5 -102
Peterhead -0.5 and -1 -109
Olympique Lyonnais +112

Note: BK Hacken game has already started, 0-0 after 30 minutes.

Good luck everyone.

[Sportslover]

Forgot to add:

Bayern Munchen pk and +0.5 -110

[Sportslover]

Edit: BK Hacken game was actually 1-0 after 30 minutes, BetFair Live Score was a bit slow in updating that one, my apologies for any confusion.

[Sportslover]

BK Hacken -0.5 and -1 -102 - WIN
BV Veendam -0.5 and -1 -107 - LOSS
Accrington Stanley -0.5 +104 - VOID
AFC Wimbledon -0.5 +105 - LOSS
Inverness Caledonian Thistle -0.5 -102 - WIN
Greenock Morton pk and -0.5 -102 - WIN
Peterhead -0.5 and -1 -109 - LOSS
Olympique Lyonnais +112 - WIN
Bayern Munchen pk and +0.5 -110 - WIN

5 wins and 3 losses.

Record: 5-3-1, 62.5%, +1.97 Units.

[minet123]

Great day yesterday any thoughts on CSKA tomrrow

[Sportslover]

At the moment, I only like 2 plays on tomorrow's card.

Here are my plays for Wednesday 3/31:

Carl Zeiss Jena -0.5 +112
Esbjerg -0.5 +106

Good luck.

[AssAn]

nice calls on the CL-games

[Sportslover]

Great day yesterday any thoughts on CSKA tomrrow

I think Inter will win but the juice is too much for me to take them on the ML. I'm not confident that Inter will win by 2 goals so I've stayed away from the Asian Handicap as well.

nice calls on the CL-games

Cheers!

[Sportslover]

Not a good today with both plays being losses but that happens sometimes. I'm looking forward to getting back to winning ways soon.

Carl Zeiss Jena -0.5 +112 - LOSS
Esbjerg -0.5 +106 - LOSS

0 wins and 2 losses today, -2 Units.

Full record: 5-5-1, 50%, -0.03 Units.

Already studying tonight's card while watching the Cruzeiro game.

[Sportslover]

Here's a play for a Danish First Division match that's about to start in 8 minutes:

AC Horsens vs Naestved Under 3 -114

[Goat Milk]

You sure? They've scored 7 goals in 4 friendlies and have allowed 10. thats 17 in 4 games

[Sportslover]

You sure? They've scored 7 goals in 4 friendlies and have allowed 10. thats 17 in 4 games

I'm really sure about this one but, as always, I could be wrong.

This is a game between two of the better teams in the First Division, Horsens are averaging less than 1 conceded per home game and Naestved are averaging less than one goal conceded on their travels. Naestved has the 2nd best away defensive record in the Danish First Division.

I've also seen Naestved play this season when I was visiting my uncle who works in Scandinavia for a large part of the year. I mainly went to see Rosenborg play in Norway (one of my favourite teams in Europe ever since they beat AC Milan in the European Cup in 1990's) but I had a brief stay in Denmark to visit my uncle and we watched 2 games while I was over in Denmark. Naestved was away in one of those games and they looked a very solid team on the road, with a very organised defence.

[Sportslover]

Adding the following picks for Thursday 4/1:

Competition: Danish First Division
Game: Vejle vs Thisted
Pick: Vejle -1
Odds: -104

Competition: Danish Ligaen
Game: FC Copenhagen vs Odense BK
Pick: FC Copenhagen -0.5
Odds: -113

Competition: Danish First Division
Game: FC Vestsjælland vs Skive IK
Pick: FC Vestsjælland -1 and -1.5
Odds: -113

Competition: Polish 1. Liga
Game: GKS Belchatów vs Odra Wodzislaw
Pick: GKS Belchatów -0.5
Odds: -104

Competition: Swiss Super League
Game: Basel vs FC Sion
Pick: Basel -1.5
Odds: -110

Competition: Romania Liga 1
Game: Otelul Galati vs Pandurii Targu Jiu
Pick: Otelul Galati -0.5
Odds: -125

Good luck!

[Sportslover]

AC Horsens vs Naestved Under 3 -114 - WIN
Vejle -1 -104 - LOSS
FC Copenhagen -0.5 -113 - WIN
FC Vestsjælland -1 and -1.5 -113 - HALF PUSH, HALF LOSS
GKS Belchatów -0.5 -104 - WIN
Basel -1.5 -110 - LOSS
Otelul Galati -0.5 -125 - OUTCOME PENDING TODAY

3 wins and 2.5 losses for Thursday's Soccer bets for a total profit of +0.21 Units.

Full record: 8-7.5, 51.61%, +0.18 Units.

Friday plays to follow soon.

[Sportslover]

Here are my plays for Friday 4/2:

Brescia -0.5 and -1 -110
Torino -1 +101
Steaua Bucharest -1 +107
Nacional da Madeira -0.5 and -1 +108
Sporting Braga -0.5 and -1 -111
Angers -0.5 -108
Sedan -0.5 -110
Caen -0.5 -111
Guingamp ML +115
Arles pk and -0.5 +104
Rushden and Diamonds -1 -106
West Bromwich Albion -1 -102
Helmond Sport -1 -102
Omniworld -0.5 -111
Den Bosch -1 +102
Aalborg -0.5 and -1 -102

Good luck everyone!

[Sportslover]

Otelul Galati -0.5 -125 - LOSS
Brescia -0.5 and -1 -110 - HALF WIN, HALF PUSH
Torino -1 +101 - PUSH
Steaua Bucharest -1 +107 - PUSH
Nacional da Madeira -0.5 and -1 +108 - HALF WIN, HALF PUSH
Sporting Braga -0.5 and -1 -111 - HALF WIN, HALF PUSH
Angers -0.5 -108 - WIN
Sedan -0.5 -110 - LOSS
Caen -0.5 -111 - WIN
Guingamp ML +115 - LOSS
Arles pk and -0.5 +104 - WIN
Rushden and Diamonds -1 -106 - LOSS
West Bromwich Albion -1 -102 - WIN
Helmond Sport -1 -102 - LOSS
Omniworld -0.5 -111 - LOSS
Den Bosch -1 +102 - LOSS
Aalborg -0.5 and -1 -102 - LOSS

5.5 wins and 8 losses in the last round of picks.

Full Record: 13.5 wins, 15.5 losses, 46.55%.

Saturday picks to follow soon.

[theplagy]

Keep it up my friend, always love your insight on games

[Sportslover]

Here are my picks for Saturday 4/3:

Yokohama F Marinos -0.5 +106
Argentinos Juniors -0.5 -104
San Lorenzo -0.5 +105
Cercle Brugge -0.5 -110
Bayern München pk -103
Leyton Orient pk and -0.5 -106
Rotherham United -0.5 -105
Preston North End -0.5 -103
Queens Park Rangers -0.5 -109
Cardiff City pk and -0.5 -105
Manchester United pk -105
Porto -1.5 -110
Aves -0.5 +107
Dunfermline pk and -0.5 -108
Brechin City -0.5 -106
East Stirling -0.5 +104
Forfar Athletic -0.5 -108
Elche -0.5 +110

Good luck today, everyone.

[Sportslover]

Keep it up my friend, always love your insight on games

Cheers for the kind words, theplagy. Had a strange day yesterday with 11 red cards involved in my picks, hoping for a more "normal" day with my Saturday picks.

[demize21]

BOL this weekend

[Sportslover]

Thoughts on specific Saturday 4/3 picks:

Manchester United vs Chelsea: Manchester United pk -105

A clash of two styles here, the 4-4-2/4-3-3 with wingers vs the 4-4-2 narrow diamond formation.

For Chelsea to get any kind of attacking joy they need a good game from fullbacks who have to get forward to provide some width. Manchester United has the perfect tactic to counter this, however, the use of the defensive, hard working wingers. I'm also certain that Park and Valencia will play and they'll be told to double up on Chelsea's fullbacks in conjunction with their fullback.

To nullify the threat of Chelsea's diamond and potential build up play through the centre, United will simply tell their two central midfielders to stay and home and form a block in front of the back four when defending. The second striker, when United defends, will come back to close down the space just in front of the midfield two and United will frustrate Chelsea's attacking threat throughout the whole match.

United will be happy to play on the counter with the wingers and the second striker bursting forward to support the lone striker when United get the ball. United's two central midfielders should stay behind the ball but United's fullbacks will look to push forward so they can isolate Chelsea's lone wide players, their fullbacks, in countless two vs one situations on the wing. This is where United can exploit Chelsea's weakness and if they play Berbatov as the striker, they'll have someone who can get on the end of their many crosses.

I think United has the perfect strategy to defeat Chelsea and with United attacking down the wings to exploit Chelsea's lack of wide players, they won't be missing Rooney too much because the crosses will be focused towards Berbatov. United's second striker will largely be used as a defensive tool to close down in front of United's two midfielders and link the play between midfield and attack. A more "passing" player would be useful than a dynamic "running" player in this role because Chelsea has too many players in the central midfield area so anyone playing in the second striker role will need to pass the ball and get rid of it quickly so that United can play through the wings.

Of course I am assuming that United will play 4-4-1-1 but a similar strategy of attacking down the wings could work with a 4-3-3, the only difference being that the 3rd midfielder plays a little deeper and creates a backwards triangle that plays a little deeper instead of a forward one that plays a little higher in midfield. One of the 3 would still burst forward to support Berbatov.

Tactically, I think United has the edge, they have the home ground advantage and I think their central defence looks a bit more solid than Chelsea's at the moment, particular at set pieces which could be vital in a tight clash. The pk line provides us with a little extra security as well and the juice is pretty low so I'm really liking this line, can't wait for the game to start! I'm excited about this one, should be a cracking match!

Cardiff City vs Swansea: Cardiff City pk and -0.5

Been extremely impressed with Cardiff in certain games recently and I think they have two massive advantages for a derby type situation, which is what they are facing in this South Wales clash. Derbies are typically tight, tense encounter with few clear cut opportunities, they should favour the clinical teams who can put away their chances when they arise, they can score at important moments even if they're not playing well.

On the other hand, you have Swansea who plays nice football and has lovely build up play but for a team in the playoffs, they have one of the worst offensive records in the league. Swansea just doesn't score enough of the chances they create and in big games you can't afford to waste opportunities like Swansea does. You need to be ruthless and I think Swansea lacks that ruthless streak that is needed to finish off their opponents. No matter how well Cardiff and Swansea are playing, if both had 5 chances, you'd favour Cardiff to score more of them than Swansea.

The other reason I favour Cardiff over Swansea in a derby situation is because derbies are generally played at a higher tempo and a higher intensity and this suits Cardiff's style a lot more than Swansea's. Swansea likes to be patient and play the ball around but Cardiff is capable of playing good football, playing at a high intensity, closing down their opponents quickly and getting stuck into challenges. Cardiff is a good team with a mixture of qualities whereas I get the feeling that Swansea's passing game can be a little one dimensional. Swansea doesn't really have a plan B and if they go a goal down to Cardiff, I can't see them getting back into the game.

The other advantage Cardiff has is that they have players that can score from midfield very regularly. Having goal threats from all over the park is what makes teams like Man Utd and Arsenal so dangerous. Cardiff is a similar threat in the Championship in this regard. Whittingham has scored 22 goals from midfield this season, quite remarkable and he will give Swansea extra problems to think about when defending. Unfortunately for Cardiff, they'll be missing their other goalscoring midfielder, Chris Burke, but they can push Kelvin Etuhu onto the right wing with Jay Bothroyd returning from suspension to play up front.

I know that Cardiff is missing some players through injury, some of them long term like Ledley, but they've still been very impressive in recent wins over Leicester and Crystal Palace. I really rate this Cardiff team highly and I think they can continue to play well in the derby match against Swansea.

Cardiff also has a really good option on the bench, a real goal poacher, someone that can get you a goal even if he's not been involved in the game for a long period. Swansea certainly doesn't have that type of option on the bench, if they are struggling, they don't really have a way of changing things. Michael Chopra is one of the best goal poachers in the Championship in recent years and if Cardiff needs a goal, he is a great option to bring into the game.

I have a strong opinion that Cardiff is going to defeat their South Wales rivals today. Cardiff pk and -0.5 -105 looks like a great bet to me.

Enjoy the games today! I'm really looking forward to these 2 cracking clashes in particular.

[Sportslover]

BOL this weekend

Thanks demize, BOL to you too.

[Sportslover]

Adding the following plays for Saturday 4/3:

MSV Duisburg ML +118
Oldham Athletic ML +112
Newcastle United -1 +104
Sheffield United -0.5 -111
Barrow pk and +0.5 -104
Blackburn Rovers -0.5 +111
Aston Villa ML +163

[Skyline]

Good job bud, serious insights...

I smell a draw for Bolton-Villa game in logic but I also think Villa may show up today after 7-1 defeat against Blues.

[Kemalettin]

GL

[jscar3]

Forgot to add:

Bayern Munchen pk and +0.5 -110

wait and see the bundesmagic.

[Goat Milk]

My bets for today:

3 Team Parlay
England Soccer 375 Newcastle (ENG-Cham) -187* vs Peterborough (ENG-Cham) (Pending)
Germany Soccer 778 Duisburg (GER-2) +103* vs Ahlen (GER-2)
Scotland Soccer 1632 Rangers (SCO-P) -595* vs Hamilton (SCO-P) (Pending)

Russia Soccer 1602 Anji Makhachkala (RUS-P) +112* vs Alaniya (RUS-P)

Germany Soccer 128 Bayern Munchen (GER-1)/FC Schalke (GER-1) Over 2½ -106*

Tailed someone blindly on the Russia pick because I don't know too much about those teams. Hopefully Newcastle comes through. Posted by Bayern over pick earlier, hope any1 tailed.

[Sportslover]

Posting an early play first, will post rest of plays later as I need to go to my work (train station) to open up the toilets for the security guards. There has been a power outage which means there is no CCTV so guards have to stay there all night and they don't want to be going to the toilet in the bushes.

So here is my first play:

Real Sociedad pk and -0.5 -108

Enjoy!

[Sportslover]

Further plays for Sunday 4/4:

VfL Wolfsburg -0.5 -110
Villarreal pk and -0.5 -103

Just a total of 3 plays for Sunday, including the play I posted in my earlier post.

[Sportslover]

Good job bud, serious insights... I smell a draw for Bolton-Villa game in logic but I also think Villa may show up today after 7-1 defeat against Blues.

Thanks Skyline, it was a tight match but good to see Villa come away with the win.

GL

Cheers!

wait and see the bundesmagic.

Well I'm liking the Bayern magic at the moment, two big wins in a week, might have to keep betting Bayern for the rest of the season now!

My bets for today: 3 Team Parlay England Soccer 375 Newcastle (ENG-Cham) -187* vs Peterborough (ENG-Cham) (Pending) Germany Soccer 778 Duisburg (GER-2) +103* vs Ahlen (GER-2) Scotland Soccer 1632 Rangers (SCO-P) -595* vs Hamilton (SCO-P) (Pending) Russia Soccer 1602 Anji Makhachkala (RUS-P) +112* vs Alaniya (RUS-P) Germany Soccer 128 Bayern Munchen (GER-1)/FC Schalke (GER-1) Over 2½ -106* Tailed someone blindly on the Russia pick because I don't know too much about those teams. Hopefully Newcastle comes through. Posted by Bayern over pick earlier, hope any1 tailed.

Nice to see you cash your parlay, well done!

[Sportslover]

Adding another play for Sunday 4/4:

Auxerre -0.5 +106

[Goat Milk]

ay do you know about German soccer? What do you think about Dortmund Sandhausen under 2.5 goals. Dort plays amazing D at home, and terrible offense usually, seems like a boring game. Dort has 7 clean sheets of 9 games at home I think.

[Sportslover]

ay do you know about German soccer? What do you think about Dortmund Sandhausen under 2.5 goals. Dort plays amazing D at home, and terrible offense usually, seems like a boring game. Dort has 7 clean sheets of 9 games at home I think.

I have a good knowledge of Bundesliga 1 and Bundesliga 2 but don't really know much about Bundesliga 3 to be honest.

I watch a lot of games, on TV and on the internet, involving Bundesliga 1 and Bundesliga 2 teams but my knowledge of Bundesliga 3 is through looking at stats and anything that I might read on the internet.

Sorry I couldn't help you on the Dortmund II/Sandhausen match.

[Sportslover]

Results for Saturday 4/3:

Yokohama F Marinos -0.5 +106 - LOSS
Argentinos Juniors -0.5 -104 - WIN
San Lorenzo -0.5 +105 - LOSS
Cercle Brugge -0.5 -110 - WIN
Bayern München pk -103 - WIN
Leyton Orient pk and -0.5 -106 - LOSS
Rotherham United -0.5 -105 - LOSS
Preston North End -0.5 -103 - LOSS
Queens Park Rangers -0.5 -109 - LOSS
Cardiff City pk and -0.5 -105 - WIN
Manchester United pk -105 - LOSS
Porto -1.5 -110 - WIN
Aves -0.5 +107 - WIN
Dunfermline pk and -0.5 -108 - LOSS
Brechin City -0.5 -106 - LOSS
East Stirling -0.5 +104 - WIN
Forfar Athletic -0.5 -108 - WIN
Elche -0.5 +110 - LOSS
MSV Duisburg ML +118 - WIN
Oldham Athletic ML +112 - WIN
Newcastle United -1 +104 - PUSH
Sheffield United -0.5 -111 - LOSS
Barrow pk and +0.5 -104 - LOSS
Blackburn Rovers -0.5 +111 - LOSS
Aston Villa ML +163 - WIN

11 wins and 13 losses on Saturday 4/3.

Full record: 24.5-28.5, 46.22%.

[Sportslover]

Results for Sunday 4/4:

Real Sociedad pk and -0.5 -108 - WIN
VfL Wolfsburg -0.5 -110 - WIN
Villarreal pk and -0.5 -103 - WIN
Auxerre -0.5 +106 - LOSS

3 wins and 1 loss for Sunday 4/4.

Full record: 27.5-28.5, 49.11%.